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📈 $BTC (2025-08-08 08:30) | Long/Short Trend Index: 67 / 100 (Neutral to Bullish)
BTC is currently priced at $117,433, experiencing a continuous upward fluctuation over the past 48 hours. The short-term cycle shows a certain strong structure, with the MACD and RSI indicators fully recovering. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are showing golden cross momentum expanding. After the price broke through the 115,000 level, it formed a pullback confirmation. If it can stabilize above 117,500, it is expected to further explore the 119,800 area. Short-term bullish momentum is strengthening, but caution is still needed for the short pressure zone above 118,500.
🔹 Multi-Timeframe Candlestick Trend Judgment:
15-Minute Chart: MA7/25 strongly crosses above MA99, MACD retreats but does not break the zero line, RSI falls to 59.59, showing a short-term high-level consolidation;
1-Hour Chart: The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, MACD continues to show golden cross expansion, RSI is at 68.27 approaching overbought, momentum is strong but may fluctuate in the short term;
4-Hour Chart: MA25/7 re-crosses above MA99, MACD golden cross continues to expand, RSI is at 66.17, and the trend has been repaired to a strong structure;
Daily Chart: Price stands above MA7 and MA25, MACD golden cross repair continues, RSI rises to 56.49, and the daily structure has significantly improved;
Weekly Chart: Bullish structure is solid, MACD histogram continues to expand, RSI rises to 64.80, approaching a strong range, and still bullish in the long term.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 1H/4H/Daily all show golden cross expansion, weekly histogram expansion, trend momentum is concentrated upwards;
RSI: 15m~Daily all cycle is upward, 1H/4H is nearing overbought, Daily has just broken through the midline, indicating there is still upward space;
Moving Average System: Short cycles are fully bullish, daily moving averages form a breakthrough structure, and the weekly long-term trend is positive;
Trading Volume: The volume has significantly rebounded in the past 24 hours, indicating active capital entry and sufficient bullish replenishment.
🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. [ARK Invest August 7, 21:30] ARK's BTC spot ETF received a net inflow of $25 million yesterday, setting a new high for this month, with funds continuously increasing;
2. [Bloomberg August 7, 20:10] US Treasury yields have fallen, and the market is re-evaluating the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations for the year, which is positive for Bitcoin and other risk assets;
3. [CryptoQuant August 7, 18:45] Exchange BTC balances have reached a new monthly low, on-chain data shows that the proportion of retail holdings is increasing;
4. [The Block August 7, 16:50] Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) reports that BTC futures open interest has increased for three consecutive days, indicating rising institutional interest.
BTC is currently priced at $117,433, experiencing a continuous upward fluctuation over the past 48 hours. The short-term cycle shows a certain strong structure, with the MACD and RSI indicators fully recovering. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are showing golden cross momentum expanding. After the price broke through the 115,000 level, it formed a pullback confirmation. If it can stabilize above 117,500, it is expected to further explore the 119,800 area. Short-term bullish momentum is strengthening, but caution is still needed for the short pressure zone above 118,500.
🔹 Multi-Timeframe Candlestick Trend Judgment:
15-Minute Chart: MA7/25 strongly crosses above MA99, MACD retreats but does not break the zero line, RSI falls to 59.59, showing a short-term high-level consolidation;
1-Hour Chart: The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, MACD continues to show golden cross expansion, RSI is at 68.27 approaching overbought, momentum is strong but may fluctuate in the short term;
4-Hour Chart: MA25/7 re-crosses above MA99, MACD golden cross continues to expand, RSI is at 66.17, and the trend has been repaired to a strong structure;
Daily Chart: Price stands above MA7 and MA25, MACD golden cross repair continues, RSI rises to 56.49, and the daily structure has significantly improved;
Weekly Chart: Bullish structure is solid, MACD histogram continues to expand, RSI rises to 64.80, approaching a strong range, and still bullish in the long term.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: 1H/4H/Daily all show golden cross expansion, weekly histogram expansion, trend momentum is concentrated upwards;
RSI: 15m~Daily all cycle is upward, 1H/4H is nearing overbought, Daily has just broken through the midline, indicating there is still upward space;
Moving Average System: Short cycles are fully bullish, daily moving averages form a breakthrough structure, and the weekly long-term trend is positive;
Trading Volume: The volume has significantly rebounded in the past 24 hours, indicating active capital entry and sufficient bullish replenishment.
🌐 Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):
1. [ARK Invest August 7, 21:30] ARK's BTC spot ETF received a net inflow of $25 million yesterday, setting a new high for this month, with funds continuously increasing;
2. [Bloomberg August 7, 20:10] US Treasury yields have fallen, and the market is re-evaluating the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations for the year, which is positive for Bitcoin and other risk assets;
3. [CryptoQuant August 7, 18:45] Exchange BTC balances have reached a new monthly low, on-chain data shows that the proportion of retail holdings is increasing;
4. [The Block August 7, 16:50] Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) reports that BTC futures open interest has increased for three consecutive days, indicating rising institutional interest.
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