📉 $BTC (2025-08-10 09:30) | Long-Short Trend Index: 59 / 100 (Neutral to Bullish)

BTC is currently trading around $116,600. The price is maintaining a volatile consolidation, with slight weakness in the short cycle, but the 4-hour and daily structures are still bullish; if it can break through the $116,800–$117,000 range and increase in volume, it is expected to further explore $118,500; if it falls below $116,000, it may turn to volatile or corrective.

Multi-Cycle K-Line Trend Judgment:

15-minute chart: MA7/25 falls back to near MA99, MACD is neutral, RSI ≈ 49 → short-term neutral consolidation.

1-hour chart: Moving averages tend to flatten, MACD is still negative but narrowing, RSI close to the central axis → momentum is weak but there is no clear signal.

4-hour chart: MA25/7 support is not broken, MACD histogram is weak, RSI ≈ 55 → medium-term structure is still stable.

Daily chart: The price is still above MA25, the MACD histogram maintains a positive value, RSI ≈ 53 → the daily line maintains a bullish pattern.

Weekly chart: The bullish arrangement is still sound, and the long-term trend has not been destroyed.

Technical Indicator Analysis:

MACD: Short-cycle momentum weakens but does not turn bearish, 4H/daily line maintains a golden cross or high level, indicating that the structure is still there.

RSI: The short cycle is close to the midline callback, and the daily line still holds the support, and there is still potential space.

Moving Average System: The overall arrangement is bullish, and there is no obvious breakdown.

Volume: The volume remains stable, with no obvious signs of capital withdrawal.

Macro News Summary (Last 24 Hours):

1. ETF Fund Flow: On August 8, Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of $403.9M, mainly from IBIT ($360M) and FBTC ($30.5M). The ETF had a cumulative net inflow of approximately $277M last week.

2. Policy Promotion Direction: Trump signed an executive order allowing crypto assets to enter 401(k) retirement plans, expanding the possibility of medium and long-term capital entering the market. This news pushed BTC to stand at $117,000.

3. Market Comparison Dynamics: Although gold prices hit new highs, BTC gained some safe-haven attention; however, BTC showed more of a "risk asset" attribute.