Key macro events and important forecasts and interpretations of the crypto market this week:
June 17, Tuesday: U.S. May retail sales month-on-month, import price index month-on-month, and industrial production month-on-month; Nansen will launch the first quarter points program;
June 18, Wednesday: U.S. initial claims for unemployment benefits; Sonic Labs will launch the second season of S airdrop;
June 19, Thursday: #美联储 announces interest rate decision, Powell holds a press conference; Swiss Central Bank and Bank of England announce interest rate decisions; U.S. stock market closed for one day.
Binance Alpha changes airdrop rules, distributing in two phases starting June 19.
CoinAnk data shows that the focus this week is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision (to be announced on June 19), which is expected to remain unchanged due to falling inflation and strengthened employment resilience, with rate cut expectations weakened to about 0.45 percentage points. Meanwhile, U.S. retail sales data (June 17) will reveal the impact of tariffs on consumption; if the data is weak, it may suppress risk appetite; while initial claims for unemployment benefits (June 18) could support the Federal Reserve's extension of high interest rates if they exceed expectations. Additionally, the U.S. stock market closure (June 19) may amplify volatility in the crypto market, especially during times of liquidity shortage.
In the crypto market, airdrop activities are active but rules are being adjusted; Binance Alpha will distribute in two phases starting June 19, prioritizing high-point users before opening to those with lower thresholds, aiming to incentivize participation and reduce unclaimed rates; Nansen and Sonic Labs' new points program emphasizes the cancellation of passive mechanisms, shifting towards active interaction to enhance fairness. The Federal Reserve's policy wait-and-see stance combined with optimized airdrop rules may temporarily boost market sentiment, but caution is needed for unexpected macro data (such as a decline in retail sales) that may trigger risk aversion sentiment to spill over to crypto assets. Overall, this week marks a turning point in policies and market rules, and investors should pay attention to the optimization of points strategies to cope with potential #BTC volatility.