5/8$BTC Market Analysis

I. Key Price Levels

1. Resistance Zone: 99500-100000 (Psychological Barrier)

2. Breakout Target: 102500 (Previous High Resistance Level)

3. Support Below: 97700 (Current Support), 95000 (Strong Support)

II. High Short Strategy Execution Plan (Conservative)

1. Entry Timing:

- Ideal Short Area: 99300-99800 (Upper Edge of Resistance Zone)

- Confirmation Signal: Pin bar/Dusk Star + Volume Shrinkage on 4-hour Chart

2. Risk Control:

- Stop Loss Setting: 100300 (Breakout of Previous High + 0.3% Buffer)

- Position Management: No more than 5% of Capital (Assuming 20x Leverage)

3. Gradual Take Profit:

- First Target 98000 (50% Position)

- Second Target 96500 (30% Position)

- Remaining Position Gamble on 95000

III. Breakout Long Strategy (Aggressive)

1. Confirmation Conditions:

- Two consecutive 4-hour Candles closing above 100000

- Volume increasing by 30%+ compared to daily average

2. Entry Point:

- Enter when retesting 100000 does not break

3. Target Levels:

- 101800 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension)

- 102500 (Psychological Barrier)

IV. Technical Indicator Divergence Warning

- Current 4-hour RSI (14) entering 65-70 overbought zone, increasing the success rate of shorts

- When MACD shows a top divergence, consider closing long positions early

> Suggestion: The current price is in a key decision zone, it is recommended to wait for the 99500 resistance test results. If it cannot break above 99000 during the European session, consider a light short position; if there is a breakout with volume during the US session, timely strategy adjustment is necessary.

(Note: The above analysis is based on technical aspects, actual trading should consider personal risk tolerance, it is recommended to set stop loss not exceeding 2% of capital)