5/6$BTC Market Trend Analysis

Key Trading Logic

1. Trend Judgment

- Short-term bearish: The daily line has not stabilized above $95,000, indicating insufficient bullish momentum, and the pullback pressure remains.

- Support range: $92,700-$91,600 is the first pullback support area; if it stabilizes, it may trigger a rebound.

2. Long Position Opportunities

- Entry point: Lightly test long positions near $92,000, betting on a rebound wave.

- Stop-loss setting: Strictly set stop-loss at $91,000-$91,500 (risk of 500-1,000 points) to prevent a breakdown.

- Target space: If the rebound is confirmed, the short-term target can be $93,500-$94,000, and you can hold until the resistance level of $95,000 after a breakout.

3. Risk Warning

- Breakdown risk: If the price falls below the $91,600 support with volume, it may further test $90,000 or even $88,000 (stronger support on the daily line).

- Beware of false breakouts: If there is a quick drop to the support followed by a V-shaped rebound, observe whether it is accompanied by increased trading volume to confirm its validity.

4. Supplementary Strategy Recommendations

- Short Position Auxiliary Strategy:

If the price rebounds to $94,500-$95,000 under pressure, consider a short position with a stop-loss above $95,500, targeting $93,000.

- Position Management:

- Single trade position ≤5%, total risk exposure controlled within 2% of account funds.

- Time Window:

- Focus on the daily closing price (UTC time), and only shift to a neutral/bullish view if the daily line has three consecutive candles above $95,000.