大大大小王

#亚利桑那比特币储备 $BTC
Long time no see, family. Happy May Day! Here are some thoughts on the big pancake.

1. Confirmation of Key Price Levels
1. Support Level: 96,400 (turns into support after breaking)
2. First Resistance Level: 99,400 (short-term short entry area)
3. Ultimate Resistance Level: 102,400 (trend reversal observation area)

2. Long and Short Strategy Execution Plan
(1) Upward Breakthrough Phase
- Trigger Condition: Price effectively breaks 96,400 (suggest observing the 1-hour closing price for stability)
- Bullish Strategy:
- Initial Entry: 96,500-96,800 range
- Stop Loss Setting: 95,800 (below the previous low)
- Target Levels:
- First Target 99,200 (reduce position by 50%)
- Ultimate Target 102,200-102,500 range

(2) Resistance Level Pullback Phase
- 99,400 Short Strategy:
- Entry Signal: Appearance of any of the following patterns
- 4-hour chart pin bar
- Bearish engulfing
- RSI overbought (>70) divergence
- Position Management:
- Initial Short Position 99,400-99,600
- Additional Position Opportunity at 100,000 round number (needs to be combined with shrinking trading volume)
- Stop Loss Setting: 100,800 (break above previous high)
- Target Level:
- Main Target 96,400 (1:3 risk-reward ratio)
- Break below looking towards 94,000 (previous wave low)

(3) Ultimate Resistance Area Strategy
- 102,400 Area Layout:
- Short Conditions:
- Weekly TD sequence shows 9
- Derivative indicators show overbought (recommended to combine with MACD histogram divergence)
- Stop Loss Setting: 103,800 (break above historical high by 3%)
- Medium-term Target: 92,000 (measured theoretical drop of head and shoulders pattern)

2. Momentum Confirmation:
- Requirements when breaking 96,400:
- RSI(14) > 55
- Trading volume increases by 30% compared to the average of the previous 5 days

3. Volatility Assessment:
- Bollinger Band width breaks above the average of the previous 20 days
- ATR(14) > 2.5% of current price

5. Handling Abnormal Situations
1. Response to False Breakout:
- If price quickly breaks below 95,800:
- Close all long positions
- Observe the 92,000-93,500 support area
- Wait for a bottom pattern to appear on the 4-hour chart before re-entering

2. Strong Breakout above 102,400:
- Trigger Condition: Continuous closing above 103,000 for 2 days
- Response Plan:
- Reverse to go long (reduce position by half)
- Target 105,600 (1.618 extension level)

#加拿大推出SolanaETF $SOL 4/16sol analysis and trading ideas
1. **Resistance verification**: A double resistance is formed in the 129-130 range (previous support turned resistance + psychological round number), the appearance of a pin bar or bearish engulfing pattern in this area can strengthen the short signal.

2. **Momentum indicators**: It is recommended to observe if the RSI on the 4-hour chart remains below 50 and if the MACD histogram is below the zero line to confirm downward momentum.

3. **Volume-price coordination**: If the price rebounds to 129 accompanied by decreasing trading volume, it indicates weakness in the bulls.

- Stop-loss is recommended to be set at 130.3 (breaking the previous high + filtering regular fluctuations).

- Use a staggered take-profit strategy:

First target 127.5 (previous low support)

Second target 125 (psychological level)

Third target 122.5 (measured amplitude = 1.618 times extension of 136-130)

If the price approaches 129:

- Long lower shadow: pause entry, wait for a rebound at 128.5 before re-entering.

- Continuous sideways: be cautious of potential head and shoulders bottom formation, need to observe the strength of the 125 support.

#巨鲸动向 $BTC
4/16 Analysis and Trading Ideas for Bitcoin

- Resistance Level: $864 (previous daily high + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level overlap)

- Secondary Resistance: $848 (4-hour EMA50 + short-term descending trendline)

- Support Level: $830 (psychological level + VPVR volume concentration area)

- Initial Position Recommendation:

- Place a limit order at $848 (2% position), with a stop loss above $864 at 2% (approximately $881)

- Additional Strategy: If the price tests the $864 resistance and shows:

* 4-hour Pinbar/Engulfing Pattern

* RSI Divergence (above 70)

* Volume Contraction

Then, you may add 3% more to the position.

- MACD: Observe if a death cross forms on the 1-hour chart and if the histogram turns green.

- Bollinger Bands: Higher validity when the price touches the upper band (usually corresponds to the $848-$852 range).

- Order Flow: Confirm a large accumulation of sell orders above $864 through L2 data.

- Total Position Size ≤ 5% of account funds.

- Risk-Reward Ratio set to 1:2.5 (enter at $848, target $820, stop loss at $881).

- Contingency Plan: If it breaks above $864 and holds for 2 hours, consider going long (stop loss at $852).

- Pay special attention to the London session opening (16:00 Beijing time) and around the US stock market opening, as volatility usually increases.

#巨鲸动向 $SOL personal opinions
SOL has shown strong performance recently and is currently challenging the key resistance level of $136. If it can effectively break through and hold above this level, the subsequent targets to watch are $140 and $145. However, caution is needed due to market volatility, as $128 is an important support level; a break below this could trigger a pullback.

If any friends are entering long positions in the morning, observe whether $136 can hold with increased volume (e.g., 4-hour closing price) to avoid false breakouts.
Long positions can take partial profits (at $140/$145), with stop-loss set below $128; shorts should be cautious and wait for a breakdown signal.

Pay attention to Bitcoin's trends; if BTC stabilizes, SOL may continue its strength; if the market pulls back, SOL may follow suit.

SOL has a short-term bullish bias, but strict trading discipline is necessary. A breakthrough at $136 may suggest higher targets, while a break below $128 would shift the strategy to a wait-and-see approach. It is recommended to respond flexibly in conjunction with volume and overall market dynamics.

How should I put this?

$SOL
The mid-month prediction was almost realized

This needle is just so damn scary! There's no doubt that I did it to blow the contract, did any of you fall for it yesterday? Hahaha $BTC
$ETH
$SOL

$SOL We have witnessed the history of Bitcoin, family! The performance of SOL has been quite weak, having tested the support at 223 and rebounded to 233. Similarly, 233 remains a key level; if it breaks down on the four-hour chart, it will continue to decline. Only if it holds on the four-hour chart can it have the momentum to reach 245. Therefore, we can go long near 233, and if it breaks below 233 on the four-hour chart, we will short, with upward targets at 245, 255, 265

$BTC so exciting, broke 100,000, witness history
So sad, I wasn't even on the car...

The large pancake (Bitcoin) tested the 947-95 support again yesterday, it's really tough. Last night, I took a short position with a buddy below 97, hitting a low of 943 in the early morning. The take-profit point was set quite low and didn't reach the target. When I woke up in the morning, I closed at 953 and made a profit of nearly 2000 points. On the daily chart, the large pancake looks bearish already, but we cannot rule out continued fluctuations and fake outs. Currently, it’s a small-level rebound situation. I suggest a trading idea of going short, targeting to short near 975 with the first target looking at 957, and if it breaks down, look for 943, 930, 908.

Last week's achievements, not to boast, but to attract like-minded individuals

$BTC 11/30 once again tested support at 95, 12/1 tested support at 958, and stabilized at 97 in the early morning today starting to impact 976, 986, currently still in an upward trend and will impact 100k! This pattern thought has already entered long positions yesterday, target 101796
$ETH nothing much to say, stabilize at 3700 to impact 4000, low long thought just finished

$SOL is still yesterday's viewpoint, shoulder and neck image and the big pancake and second pancake drove the rise to a high, originally called friends to enter at 226, but unexpectedly got washed out by three pin inserts, however, re-entered at 229 and now has achieved a maximum of 15 points, already took half of the profit, the target remains 260

#$ETH Recently, the fluctuations have been quite large. Yesterday afternoon at four o'clock, it rose to 3390 turning bullish and strongly pushed up to the 3650 resistance level, finally stopping at 3686 and starting a small pullback. Now it has begun a minor level correction. The original resistance levels of 3530, 3490, 3420, and 3380 will all become support. The strongest support still needs to watch 3260. Yesterday, I told my friends to place orders, but it was annoying to be just 2u short; fortunately, I managed to enter manually later.

$BTC btc started a daily pullback a few days ago. The previously mentioned positions of 958, 925, 936, and 922 have all been reached, however, it stopped falling at 908. The technical aspect has not fully retraced, but it firmly held at 952 at midnight last night and at 8 AM today, clearly indicating a stop in the decline and a shift to bullish. As long as it doesn't break below 95, it will once again challenge 100k

No analysis, only the chart

Just get it done

#$BTC The daily line has already broken, why not boldly predict that the hourly line's retracement pressure level is 958, and then continue to decline breaking 922, 9, reaching 855!

$ETH Yesterday, Bitcoin pulled back and ETH also followed suit to test the 3261 support level. I wonder if there are friends who stayed up late to watch the market and went long. They also made 100 points of profit. Today, if Bitcoin closes below 3380 in four hours, it will hit 3450 again. If Bitcoin hits 100,000, then ETH can at least expect 3550. Of course, if the small level falls below 3350 again, everything else is nonsense. It must test 3261 again. The more times it tests the support, the more dangerous it is.

After the big pie maintained around 985 after reaching the high point of 995, it started to pull back in the afternoon of 11/23. The pullback was expected to target 971, 958, and 936, but the support at 958 held. Our friends also followed us to short at 982 and made a profit of 2000 points at 962, then reversed to go long and made another 2000 points!
The support at 958 has already taken effect, and 971 has also stabilized, so the big pie may start the challenge of 100,000. Pay attention to the pullback to 971-975 during the day; if it breaks down, it will go lower. Let's go, big pie! Aim for 100,000!
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