I. Core Conclusions
94730 is the key level for long and short positions on an hourly basis:
- If not stabilized, it is weak: Rebound is weak, lower support levels 93480→92720→91620 (may decline sequentially).
- If stabilized, it is strong: Confirming a rebound, upper pressure levels 95665→96450→97300 (may break through sequentially).
II. Detailed Analysis
1. Bearish Trend (losing 94730)
- Signal: Price continuously suppressed below 94730, volume is sluggish, rebound height is constantly decreasing.
- Support level function:
- 93480 USD: Short-term drop 'buffer zone', breaking it may lead to a rapid decline to 92720.
- 92720: Mid-term strong and weak dividing line, losing it may trigger panic selling.
- 91620: Strong support 'bottom line', breaking it may open up space below 90,000.
2. Bullish Trend (stabilizing at 94730)
- Signal: Price breaks through 94730 with volume and stabilizes for more than 1 hour, short-term moving averages form a golden cross.
- Pressure level function:
- 95665: The 'first level' for rebounds, breaking through may shift market sentiment to optimistic.
- 96450: Mid-term resistance 'touchstone', breaking through may attract chasing funds.
- 97300: Strong resistance 'ceiling', if stabilized, it is expected to challenge the 100,000 integer mark.
III. Operating Strategies and Risk Warnings
1. Strategy Suggestions
- Conservative: Wait for the direction to become clear (break above 94730 or break below 93480) before entering, avoid losing capital in volatile markets.
- Aggressive:
- Down to support level (e.g., 93480) with light holdings to long, target 94730, stop loss set below 93000.
- Short positions with light holdings at the resistance level (e.g., 95665), target 94730, stop loss set above 96000.
2. Risk Warning
- Technical limitations: Single period analysis has lag, need to combine with 4-hour/daily trend judgment (e.g., whether the daily line stabilizes above the 5-day moving average).
- Position management: Single trade stop loss does not exceed 2% of total capital, avoid full position speculation, prevent extreme market conditions (e.g., spikes, explosive increases).
IV. Summary
Today's market revolves around 94730 for long and short competition, short-term direction depends on the breakthrough situation of this position:
- Downwards: Support levels layer by layer, need to be wary of risk of continuous decline;
- Upwards: Pressure levels gradually rising, or may initiate a wave rebound.
Operationally suggest 'light prediction, heavy response', using key points as risk control anchor points, flexibly adjusting positions.$BTC #BTC走势分析 
