老杨讲币

1. Core long and short boundary: 604.7 position at 4-hour level

BNB focuses on the 604.7 key point at night (4-hour level):

- If the 4-hour closing line is stable above 604.7, the bulls will have the upper hand and the market is expected to continue to rise;

- Sell under pressure: If the price fails to break through or falls below this position, a correction may occur in the short term.

2. Long and short scenarios and key points

Scenario 1: Breakout to the upside (4-hour closing price ≥ 604.7)

- Upside target:

- The first resistance level: 610 (recent high point at 4-hour level);

- The second pressure level: 614 (upper Bollinger band on daily level);

1. Key observation point: Breakthrough direction of 4-hour sideways zone

SOL maintains a weak sideways trend today, and the 4-hour level focuses on the 149 position (the upper edge of the sideways zone):

- Breakout: If the 4-hour closing line stabilizes above 149, breaking the sideways trend, the market is expected to start to rise;

- Sell under pressure: If it fails to break through, it may continue to move sideways or test the support.

2. Long and short scenario simulation

Scenario 1: Breakout upward (4-hour closing line ≥ 149)

- Technical signals: MACD golden cross appears, RSI breaks through 50 pressure, and the price stabilizes on the short-term moving average.

- Upside target:

- First pressure: 153.2 (connecting the May highs);

1. Core Support Level Determines Short-term Trend

Focus on the key support level of 1800 for Ethereum at night (4-hour level):

- Stabilize for longs: If the 4-hour close is above 1800, the bullish pattern continues, and after a small pullback, there is a high probability of continuing to rise;

- Short position if broken: If the entity breaks below 1800, the short-term trend will turn to a correction, and we need to guard against the release of short momentum.

2. Long and Short Scenarios and Key Levels

Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (not breaking below 1800)

- Upside Target:

- First Resistance Level: 1856 (recent high at 4-hour level);

- Second resistance level: 1881 (daily Bollinger Band upper limit);

1. Core support levels set the tone for short-term trends

The current price of Bitcoin is competing around 94530, which serves as a 'deciding point' for the short-term trend on the 4-hour level. From a technical structure perspective, if the 4-hour close at night remains above this level, the bullish pattern remains unchanged, and the market is likely to continue fluctuating upwards; if it falls below, the short-term trend will reverse, and we need to guard against the risk of a pullback.

2. Analysis of key levels under long and short scenarios

Bullish continuation scenario (not breaking 94530)

- Technical signal: 4-hour MACD red bars continue, RSI in the strong zone of 55-65, price testing upwards relying on the 55-period moving average.

1. Analysis of key points

1. Long-Short Watershed:
The 4-hour level 603 is the core support level. If it holds this level, the upward trend will most likely continue after a small-level pullback. If the 4-hour closing line falls below this level, it will confirm that the 4-hour level pullback has started.

2. Upward pressure level:

- Short-term pressure: 609 (recent oscillation upper edge, breakthrough requires volume support);

- Medium-term pressure: 614 (upper Bollinger band on daily level, technical resistance);

- Long-term pressure: 620 (historical intensive trading area, bull-bear psychological barrier).

3. Pullback support level:

- First support: 598 (20-period moving average at 4-hour level, initial buffer);

1. Analysis of core points

1. Long-Short Watershed:
The 4-hour level 148.7 is the key threshold. If it can stand above this level, it shows that the bulls are dominant and the market is expected to continue the upward trend. If the closing line fails to stand above or falls below this position, it will confirm that the 4-hour level correction will continue.

2. Upward pressure range:

- Short-term pressure: 153.2 (recent rebound high, breakthrough requires volume support);

- Medium-term pressure: 157.3 (upper Bollinger band on the daily level, strong technical resistance);

- Long-term pressure: 159.4 (historical intensive trading area, bull-bear psychological barrier).

3. Callback support system:

1. Key Level Analysis

1. Bull-Bear Watershed:
The 4-hour level needs to focus on the 1795 support level. If this level holds, a small level pullback is likely to continue the upward trend; if the 4-hour closing line breaks below, it confirms the start of a 4-hour level pullback.

2. Upside Resistance Level:

- Short-term Resistance: 1826 (recent upper boundary of oscillation, breaking through opens up space);

- Medium-term Resistance: 1856 (corresponding to the upper band of the daily Bollinger Bands, volume validation key);

- Long-term Resistance: 1881 (historical trading dense area, bull-bear psychological level).

3. Pullback Support Levels:

- First Support: 1781 (4-hour level 20-period moving average, initial buffer);

1. Trend Structure and Key Point Analysis

1. Bull-Bear Watershed and Short-term Trend Judgment
Currently, the major coin price is at a key technical position on the 4-hour level, with 94300 becoming the core watershed for bulls and bears. From a technical perspective, if the 4-hour candlestick closes and stabilizes above this position, it indicates that short-term bullish forces dominate, and the price is expected to continue the upward trend; conversely, if it breaks below this support level, it will confirm the start of a 4-hour pullback, and the market may turn towards a weak adjustment.

2. Upward Pressure Range and Target Level

- First Pressure Level (Short-term): 95780
This position is the upper edge of the recent fluctuation range, combined with the 50-period moving average resistance. A breakout may open up short-term upward space.

I. Key positions and trend judgment

Tonight, focus on the performance of the 4-hour level K-line at the 603 position, as this point is an important watershed for short-term bullish and bearish trends:

1. Upward conditions: If the 4-hour closing price stabilizes above 603, it indicates that the bullish forces are in control, and the market is expected to continue its rebound rhythm. The resistance levels above can be referenced:

- First resistance level: 609 (recent fluctuation range upper limit, breaking through may open short-term upward space);

- Second resistance level: 614 (10-day moving average resistance at the daily level, requires volume support to break through);

- Strong resistance level: 620 (mid-March high point connection resistance, breaking through may point to higher targets).

1. Key positions and trend judgment

Tonight, focus on the performance of the 4-hour level K-line at the 148.7 position; this level is a key node for the continuation or pullback of the short-term market:

1. Upward conditions: If the 4-hour closing price stabilizes above 148.7, it is regarded as the bullish strength dominating, and the market is expected to continue its rebound trend. The upper resistance levels can be referenced:

- First resistance level: 153.2 (Resistance from the recent high point connection, breaking it may open up short-term upward space);

- Second resistance level: 157.3 (20-day moving average pressure on the daily chart, requires volume cooperation to break);

- Strong resistance level: 159.4 (Late March high point, breaking it may indicate a mid-term target).

I. Key Positions and Trend Judgment

Tonight, it is crucial to focus on the performance of the 4-hour candlestick at the 1795 level, as this point is the watershed for the short-term bull and bear trend:

1. Conditions for Upward Movement: If the 4-hour closing price holds above 1795, it indicates that the bulls are in control, and the market is likely to continue its rebound rhythm. Upper resistance levels can be referenced:

- First Resistance Level: 1830 (the upper end of the recent volatility range; a breakout may open up short-term upward space);

- Second Resistance Level: 1856 (pressure from the 50-day moving average on the daily chart; a breakout requires volume support);

- Strong Resistance Level: 1881 (the resistance line connecting mid-March highs; a breakout may point to higher targets).

I. Key positions and trend judgments

Tonight, we need to pay special attention to the performance of the 4-hour K-line at the 94200 position, which is the core node for determining the direction of the short-term market:

1. Upward conditions: If the 4-hour closing price holds above 94200, it will be seen as short-term bullish strength, and the market is expected to continue its rebound trend. At this time, attention should be paid to the multiple resistance levels above:

- First resistance level: 95780 (recent densely traded area’s lower edge, breaking through may open up upside potential);

- Second resistance level: 96980 (previous minor high, needs volume to break);

- Ultimate resistance level: 98500 (key resistance at the daily level, if reached may trigger intensified bull-bear competition).

1. 4-hour key level: 603.7 defines the short-term balance of power

The 4-hour K-line chart is an important basis for judging BNB's short-term trend. The current price level of 603.7 is at the bullish-bearish dividing line at the 4-hour level, and its subsequent closing situation is crucial.

(1) Defending above 603.7

If the 4-hour K-line closing price remains stable above 603.7, it indicates that the bullish forces currently hold the upper hand. Even if there is a price pullback on a smaller scale, the overall upward trend is likely to continue. Such pullbacks are often normal adjustments by the bulls, aimed at clearing floating positions and digesting profit-taking, thereby accumulating energy for subsequent rises. Once the adjustment ends, the BNB price is expected to launch an attack towards higher price levels, with three key resistance levels to watch above:

I. Key 4-hour Level: 149.1 determines the short-term direction

In the current market, the 4-hour level trend has become an important basis for judging the short-term trend of Solana (SOL), with the price of 149.1 being a key point of contention between bulls and bears. Its gain or loss will directly influence the subsequent price direction.

1. Stay above 149.1

If the 4-hour candlestick closes firmly above 149.1, it indicates that bullish forces are taking the initiative in short-term games, and the market is expected to continue its upward trend. Even if a minor correction occurs, it is a normal adjustment in the rising process, and there still exists upward momentum. At this time, there are three key pressure levels above:

1. Core points of the 4-hour level: The strategic significance of 1801

The 4-hour K-line cycle is an important time window for judging Ethereum's short-term trend, effectively filtering out intraday noise while accurately capturing trend turning points. Currently, the price level of 1801 plays a key role as the 'deciding factor' between bulls and bears in the 4-hour level, with its support and resistance conversion dominating market development.

(1) Bullish dominance: The upward logic of stabilizing above 1801

If the 4-hour K-line continues to close above 1801, it means that the bulls have the initiative in the key point contest, and the short-term upward trend is expected to continue. At this time, minor corrections can be seen as a consolidation phase in the upward journey, where main funds wash out floating positions and digest profits to accumulate energy for the subsequent upward attack. Technically, if the MACD indicator synchronously shows a golden cross above the zero line and trading volume moderately increases, it will further confirm the bullish advantage.

1. The Strategic Significance of the Core Point at the 4-Hour Level: 94150

The 4-hour candlestick period is an important time frame for judging Bitcoin's short-term trend. It filters short-term volatility interference while accurately capturing trend reversal signals. The 94150 level, as a key price point at the 4-hour level, serves as a 'watershed' for market trends.

(1) Bullish Dominance: The upward path after stabilizing above 94150

If the 4-hour candlestick closing price remains above 94150, it indicates that the bulls have the upper hand in the competition at this key point, and the short-term upward trend is expected to continue. At this time, minor pullbacks can be seen as a 'momentum-building' action for the bulls, digesting profit-taking and cleaning up floating positions to build strength for subsequent upward attacks.