李杨加密日记

With 3720 as the core watershed, clarify the trend direction and operational logic:

1. Watershed positioning

3720 is the key boundary point for the effectiveness of the hourly rebound:

- Stabilizing above → Confirms the initiation of the hourly rebound, with the trend biased upwards;

- Not stabilizing above → Insufficient rebound strength, the downward trend continues.

2. Below the watershed (downward trend)

If it does not stabilize above 3720, the downward trend continues, with support points below as references for short-term buying on dips:

- Key support levels: 3655, 3612, 3570, consider placing long positions with light positions around these levels.

3. Above the watershed (rebound trend)

Dividing line positioning

116000 is the 'bull-bear dividing line' on the 1-hour chart, directly determining the effectiveness of the rebound:

- Stabilizing above → Rebound starts, trend leans towards upward;
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- Not stabilizing above → Weak rebound, trend continues to decline.

2. Below the dividing line (downtrend)

If it does not stabilize above 116000, the downtrend will continue, with the support point below serving as a potential reference for the end of the short-term decline:

- Key support levels: 114260, 113300, 112300, consider initiating long positions near these levels on dips.

3. Above the dividing line (rebound trend)

If it stabilizes above 116000, the rebound trend is confirmed, with the pressure point above serving as a potential reference for the end of the short-term rise:

- Key Point Watershed: The 796 position at the 1-2 hour level is core and is the key point for judging the strength of the lower-level rebound. If the price cannot hold above this point, it indicates that the lower-level rebound lacks strength and may fall again; if it can hold above this point, the lower-level rebound will start.
- Support Level: If the price cannot hold above 796, when it falls again, attention can be paid to 779, 771, and 762 nearby. These are potential support levels, and a light long position can be arranged nearby.
- Pressure Level: If the price holds above 796, the lower-level rebound will start at the 1-2 hour level, and attention can be paid to 812, 834, and 846 in sequence above. These are the stage pressure zones during the upward process, and a light short position can be attempted nearby.

- Key Point Watershed: The 180 position at the 1-2 hour level is crucial and is the key point for judging the strength of the small level rebound. If the price cannot hold above this point, it indicates that the small level rebound lacks strength and may decline again; if it can hold above this point, the small level rebound will begin.
- Support Levels: If the price cannot hold above 180, when it declines again, attention can be paid to 176, 172, and 168 nearby, which are potential support levels. Light positions can be arranged for long orders nearby.
- Resistance Levels: If the price holds above 180, the small level rebound will start at the 1-2 hour level during the night. Attention can be paid to 182, 186, and 189 nearby, which are the phased resistance ranges in the upward process. Light positions can be attempted for short orders nearby.

- Key Point Watershed: The position of 3785 at the 1-2 hour level is crucial and is the key point for judging the strength of the small-level rebound. If the price cannot hold above this point, it indicates that the small-level rebound lacks strength and may decline again; if it can hold above this point, the small-level rebound will start.
- Support Level: If the price cannot hold above 3785, during the next decline, attention can be paid to the vicinity of 3743, 3713, and 3681, as these are potential support levels where small long positions can be lightly established nearby.
- Pressure Level: If the price holds above 3785, the small-level rebound will start at the 1-2 hour level during the night. The upper levels to watch are sequentially 3833, 3876, and 3908, as these are the phased pressure ranges during the upward process, where small short positions can be lightly attempted nearby.

- Key turning point: The 118100 position at the 1-2 hour level is critical and is the key point to determine whether this bottom rebound continues. If the price falls below this point, it means the 1-2 hour level bottom rebound has ended, and it may fall again; if it can hold above this point, the market is likely to continue rising.
- Support level: If the price falls below 118100, during another decline, attention can be paid to around 117055, 115920, and 114660. These are potential support levels, and light positions can be arranged for long trades nearby.
- Resistance level: If the price holds above 118100, the 1-2 hour level market will continue to rise at night, and the resistance levels to watch above are 119100, 120300, and around 120955. These are the phased resistance ranges in the upward process, and light positions can be attempted for short trades nearby.

- Key Watershed: 183 (4-hour level) is the key point for judging the strength of the small-scale rebound of SOL and the subsequent market direction. If the price cannot stay above this position on the 4-hour chart, it means the rebound is weak; if it stabilizes, then the rebound momentum is confirmed, and the market is expected to continue rising.
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- Support and Resistance Levels: If it fails to stabilize at 183, one can pay attention to support levels around 179, 175, and 172. When the price drops to these levels, one can consider opening long positions with light positions. If the 4-hour level stabilizes at 183 and the market rises, pay attention to resistance levels around 186 and 189, and one can try to short near these levels with light positions. Note that the 192 you mentioned might be a typo; according to the previous logic, this should be the upward resistance level, not 182.

- Core watershed: 816 (4-hour level) is the key point for judging the strength of BNB’s small-scale rebound and the subsequent market direction. If the price cannot hold above this level on the 4-hour chart, it indicates weak rebound strength; if it stabilizes, the rebound momentum is confirmed, and the market is expected to continue upward.
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- Support and resistance levels: If the price fails to hold above 816, attention can be paid to the support levels around 796, 789, and 779. When the price drops to these levels, one can consider entering long positions with a light position. If the price stabilizes above 816 on the 4-hour chart and the market moves upward, one can pay attention to the resistance levels around 835, 846, and 861, and consider trying to short at these levels with a light position.

Core Watershed

- Position 3805 (4-hour level): It is a key point for assessing the strength of the small-scale rebound in Ethereum and the subsequent market direction. If the 4-hour level cannot stabilize above this position, the rebound will be weak; if it stabilizes, the rebound momentum will be confirmed, and the market is expected to continue to rise.

Support and Resistance Levels

- Resistance Level (after stabilizing at the watershed): If it stabilizes at 3805, you can pay attention to 3841, 3876, and 3908 above in sequence, which are the phase targets for the upward rebound. You can consider light positions to attempt shorting around these levels.
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- Support Level (when not stabilizing at the watershed): If 3805 cannot hold, the first support level below is around the previous low near 3755. If it does not break, there may be a rebound at a smaller scale; if it breaks, further declines will initiate, and you can continue to pay attention to deep support levels around 3713 and 3681, where you can consider light positions for long entries.

Core Watershed

- 4-hour level at 118300: a key point for judging the strength of short-term rebounds and market direction.

Support and Resistance Levels

- Resistance Level (after stabilizing at the watershed):
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- Sequentially pay attention to around 119260, 120300, and 120955, which are the phased resistance ranges during the upward process, and light positions can be tried for short positions.
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- Support Level (when the watershed is not stabilized):
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- If the rebound is weak and falls again, attention can be paid to around 117055, 115920, and 114660, which are potential support levels for light positioning of long positions.

Summary

118300 is the core judgment standard for today's market: if the 4-hour level is not stabilized, the strength of small-level rebounds is insufficient, and attention should be focused on the support levels below; if stabilized, the market is expected to continue upward, and the upper resistance levels can be tracked. Operations should be based on the breakthrough situation of the watershed, corresponding attention should be paid to the key points above and below, while also noting to operate with light positions and manage risk effectively.

Core watershed: 820 (1-2 hour level)

- This point is key to judging the strength of the rebound: if it cannot hold, the rebound is weak; if it stabilizes, the rebound momentum is confirmed.

Upper resistance level (after stabilizing at the watershed)

- Sequentially monitor the areas around 835, 846, and 861 as phase targets for the rebound upward.

Lower support level (when not stabilized at the watershed)

- If the 1-2 hour level does not hold above 820, pay attention to the support levels around 793, 779, and 771 during the decline.

Summary:
820 as the core watershed directly determines the direction of the night trend—if it does not stabilize, pay attention to the lower support (793 and below); if it stabilizes, track the upper resistance level (835 and above). Operations can be based on the breakthrough situation of the watershed, corresponding to the performance of key points above and below.

Core Watershed: 183 (1-2 hour level)

- This point is key to judging the strength of the rebound: if it cannot hold, the rebound will be weak; if it can hold, the rebound energy is confirmed.

Upper resistance level (after holding the watershed)

- Sequentially focus on 186, 189, and 192 as phase targets for upward rebound.

Lower support level (when the watershed cannot hold)

- First support: previous low of 179 (if not broken, there may be a rebound in a smaller timeframe; if broken, further decline will start);
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- Deep support: around 175, 172, and 168, which are key support ranges after breaking 179.

Summary:

Core watershed: 3805 (1-2 hour level)

- This point is key to judging the strength of the rebound: if it cannot be held, the rebound lacks strength; if it stabilizes, the rebound momentum is confirmed.

Resistance level above (after stabilizing the watershed)

- Sequentially pay attention to levels around 3876, 3908, and 3940, which are the phased target levels for the rebound upward.

Support level below (when the watershed is not stabilized)

- If it cannot hold above 3805 at the 1-2 hour level, pay attention sequentially to support levels around 3727, 3705, and 3681 during the decline.

Summary:
3805 serves as the core watershed, directly determining the direction of the night trend—if it does not stabilize, attention needs to be paid to the support below (3727 and below); if it stabilizes, then the resistance above can be tracked (3876 and above). The operation can be based on the breakthrough situation of the watershed, corresponding attention to the performance of key points above and below.

Core watershed: 118300 (1-2 hour level)

- This point is key to judging the strength of the rebound: if it doesn't hold, the rebound will lack strength; if it holds, the rebound momentum is confirmed.

Upper resistance level (after holding the watershed)

- Sequentially focus on 119260, 120310, 120955, as phase targets for upward rebound.

Lower support level (when not above the watershed)

- First support: previous low 117200 (if not broken, small level may rebound; if broken, further decline begins);
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- Deep support: around 115920, 114660, 113580, which is a critical support range after falling below 117200.