1. Core criteria: 589 determines 1-2 hour level trend

Bull-bear dividing line: 589 (1-2 hour closing price as confirmation standard)

- Bearish signal: Price continues to be suppressed below 589, volume shrinks → Support looks down at 583→576.3→573 (gradually probing down).

- Bullish signal: Volume breakout and stabilizing above 589, short-term moving average golden cross → Target pressure 594→600→605.5 (gradual breakthrough).

2. Analysis of support and resistance levels

1. Downward trend (losing 589)

- 583: Lower edge of short-term trading dense area, breaking below may accelerate probing down to 576.3 (recent weekly low).

- 576.3: 60-day moving average support at the 4-hour level; a breach may trigger medium-term stop-loss orders, targeting 573 (daily Bollinger Bands lower band).

- 573: Strong support area; breaking may open space below 570, need to watch for strong liquidation risk from staking.

2. Rebound trend (stabilizing above 589)

- 594: Yesterday's rebound high point, breaking above may shift market sentiment to optimistic, targeting 600 (psychological level).

- 600: Upper edge of the one-month oscillation center; breaking confirms bullish trend, attracting chase funds targeting 605.5 (Fibonacci 38.2% resistance).

- 605.5: Strong resistance area, requires volume support (daily trading volume ≥1 billion), otherwise may encounter resistance and fall back.

3. Operation strategy and risk control

1. Conservative strategy

- Wait and see: Wait for a clear breakout above 589 or a drop below 583 to avoid participating in the oscillation.

- Entry:

- Bullish: After breaking 589, confirm with a pullback (not breaking 589), build positions in batches, target 600, stop loss 583.

- Bearish: After breaking 583, rebound under pressure (not exceeding 589), build positions in batches, target 573, stop loss 589.

2. Aggressive strategy

- Left-side trial order:

- Long position: Light position entry near 583 (position ≤5%), target 589, stop loss 580 (risk-reward ratio 1:2).

- Short position: Light position entry near 594 (position ≤5%), target 589, stop loss 600 (risk-reward ratio 1:1.7).

- Right-side chasing orders:

- Long position: After breaking 589, chase up at 590-592 (position 10%), target 605, stop loss 585.

- Short position: After breaking 583, chase short at 581-582 (position 10%), target 573, stop loss 588.

3. Core of risk control

- Single stop loss: ≤2% of total capital, for example, with a principal of 10,000 USD, single stop loss ≤200.

- Position diversification: BNB holdings ≤30% of total capital to avoid excessive exposure risk in a single currency.

4. Risk warning

1. Mainstream coins correlation: Closely monitor the trends of BTC (94730) and ETH (1813); if mainstream coins break down, BNB may follow the decline.

2. Platform dynamics: Track Binance's burn plan and regulatory policies (such as SEC movements), such events may trigger price fluctuations in BNB.

3. Macro data: Tonight at 20:30, US non-farm payroll data may affect the US dollar index, which may in turn affect the cryptocurrency market; position adjustments should be made in advance.

5. Summary

Today, BNB is undergoing a tug-of-war around 589, and operations should be based on key point breakthroughs + volume support:

- Downward: Based on support levels, stepwise layout of short positions, beware of the risk of breaking 573;

- Upward: Based on pressure level, stepwise take profit on long positions, focus on volume confirmation at 600.

Always adhere to the principle of 'light position trial and error, strict stop loss', dynamically responding to market changes, and avoiding emotional trading.$BNB #BNB走势