📊 [UPDATED AS OF JULY 12, 2025] WINRATE & SENTIMENT: SOMETIMES FEAR OUTPERFORMS GREED
Based on our analysis of community-wide trading data, we examined how winrate varies across different levels of market sentiment, as defined by the Fear and Greed Index (FGI). The results reveal some surprising patterns.
⭐️ Average winrate by market sentiment:
🔹 When the market is in Fear – winrate peaks at 45.19%, the highest across all sentiment categories.
🔹 In a Neutral state – winrate is 44.62%, suggesting stable performance without emotional extremes.
🔹 During Greed – winrate dips slightly to 44.39%, reflecting increased impulsiveness and FOMO-driven trades.
🔹 Under Extreme Fear – winrate remains relatively strong at 44.33%, showing disciplined execution by cautious traders.
🔹 At the height of Extreme Greed – winrate drops to just 42.37%, the lowest among all segments.
⭐️ Key Takeaways:
🔸 When the market is overly greedy, winrate suffers most. This is often when traders chase price moves, ignore risks, and act irrationally.
🔸 Conversely, winrate is strongest during times of fear. Traders tend to be more selective, risk-aware, and focused during uncertain periods.
⭐️ Conclusion:
The data suggests that markets do not reward extreme excitement. When others are fearful, it might just be your best chance to trade calmly and accurately.
Always remember: Good trading is driven by discipline, not emotion.
#Insight #FGI #Winrate #CryptoPsychology