📊 [UPDATED AS OF JULY 12, 2025] WINRATE & SENTIMENT: SOMETIMES FEAR OUTPERFORMS GREED

Based on our analysis of community-wide trading data, we examined how winrate varies across different levels of market sentiment, as defined by the Fear and Greed Index (FGI). The results reveal some surprising patterns.

⭐️ Average winrate by market sentiment:

🔹 When the market is in Fear – winrate peaks at 45.19%, the highest across all sentiment categories.

🔹 In a Neutral state – winrate is 44.62%, suggesting stable performance without emotional extremes.

🔹 During Greed – winrate dips slightly to 44.39%, reflecting increased impulsiveness and FOMO-driven trades.

🔹 Under Extreme Fear – winrate remains relatively strong at 44.33%, showing disciplined execution by cautious traders.

🔹 At the height of Extreme Greed – winrate drops to just 42.37%, the lowest among all segments.

⭐️ Key Takeaways:

🔸 When the market is overly greedy, winrate suffers most. This is often when traders chase price moves, ignore risks, and act irrationally.

🔸 Conversely, winrate is strongest during times of fear. Traders tend to be more selective, risk-aware, and focused during uncertain periods.

⭐️ Conclusion:

The data suggests that markets do not reward extreme excitement. When others are fearful, it might just be your best chance to trade calmly and accurately.

Always remember: Good trading is driven by discipline, not emotion.

#Insight #FGI #Winrate #CryptoPsychology