美国初请失业金人数

【U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Surge to 8-Month High】

For the week ending May 31, initial jobless claims in the U.S. increased by 8,000 to 247,000, exceeding market expectations of 235,000, reaching the highest level since October of last year, indicating a continued cooling in the labor market.

The four-week average rose to 235,000 (also a new high since October of last year), and while continuing claims for unemployment benefits decreased slightly, they remain elevated, suggesting increasing difficulty for the unemployed to find re-employment.

Recent data and surveys indicate that U.S. economic activity is slowing down, and if initial claims continue to rise, it may signal an expanding wave of layoffs.

【European Central Bank Cuts Deposit Rate by 25 Basis Points to 2%, Marking the Eighth Rate Cut in the Past Year, in Line with Market Expectations.】

This rate cut is due to inflation in the Eurozone falling below 2% and the economy being impacted by U.S. tariffs. The European Central Bank emphasized that monetary policy will be adjusted dynamically based on data and will not lock in the interest rate path in advance.

Current inflation is close to the European Central Bank's medium-term target of 2%, and the latest quarterly forecast shows that inflation expectations for 2026 are at 1.6%, below the target level, and next year's economic growth expectations have also been slightly revised down.

Following the announcement, the money market slightly raised its expectations for rate cuts this year to 33 basis points, and the euro strengthened against the dollar.
#美国初请失业金人数 #美国加征关税

June 6 Morning Thoughts
On June 5 at 20:30, the U.S. Department of Labor reported that the number of initial unemployment claims for the week ending May 31 reached 247,000, hitting a new high for 2025 (expected 235,000). A weak labor market may prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. However, the OECD projects U.S. inflation to rise to 3.9% by the end of the year, limiting significant short-term rate cuts. If employment continues to weaken, the Federal Reserve may cut rates by 25 basis points in the second half of 2025 (expected in July and September). Future attention should be on non-farm payroll data and the minutes from the Federal Reserve's June meeting. Cryptocurrency prices may rise in the short term due to expectations of rate cuts, but caution is needed regarding the volatility of economic data.

From the market perspective, the daily cryptocurrency price is fluctuating downward, with consecutive bearish candles and lower highs. Yesterday's candlestick rebounded and then fell back, showing a long upper shadow and heavy selling pressure. The hourly chart shows support at 103,000, demonstrating narrow fluctuations at a low level. In terms of technical indicators, the hourly MACD is contracting with weak momentum, and the RSI is around 45, indicating subdued market sentiment; the daily MACD is dominated by bears, and the RSI is below 40, showing weakness. The hourly EMA7, 30, and 120 moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, while the daily EMA7 and 30 are declining, suggesting a long-term bearish trend. In the short term, it remains advisable to look for buying opportunities on retracements.

Bitcoin: Buy at 101,000-101,500 with a target of 103,000-104,000

Ethereum: Buy at 2,380-2,410. Target: 2,450-2,480
#特朗普马斯克分歧 #我的COS交易 #加密市场回调 #美国初请失业金人数 #Circle扩大IPO规模 $BTC $ETH

Yesterday's Highlights:
1. Tariffs -
Japanese media: The U.S. has shown flexibility in reducing additional equivalent tariffs on Japan;

Insiders: U.S. and Indian negotiating representatives may finally finalize tariff reductions and market access issues, reaching a temporary agreement.

Trump: A good trade agreement will be reached with Germany.

2. Trump - Musk Split: Intense mutual criticism from both sides, Tesla's market value evaporated by $150 billion.

Musk calls Trump an ungrateful person and implies that Trump would not have won the election without his help.

Trump said Musk opposes the bill because it includes a provision that would reduce electric vehicle tax credits, which Tesla benefits from.

3. U.S. initial jobless claims surged to an 8-month high; U.S. trade deficit sharply decreased by 55.5% to $61.6 billion due to a steep fall in imports caused by Trump's tariffs.

4. U.S. Treasury's semi-annual report: Did not designate any country as a currency manipulator.

5. European Central Bank lowered three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle may end, and the market no longer fully prices in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.

6. U.S. Treasury's latest report rarely did not designate any country as a currency manipulator but warned it would strengthen actions against unfair monetary policies. This means that if tariffs cannot suppress opponents, the U.S. may directly target various currencies!

Today's Focus:

14:00, Germany's April seasonally adjusted industrial output month-on-month, Germany's April seasonally adjusted trade balance, UK May Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month;

17:00, Eurozone first quarter GDP year-on-year revision, Eurozone first quarter seasonally adjusted employment month-on-month final value, Eurozone April retail sales month-on-month;

20:30, Canada May employment numbers, U.S. May unemployment rate, U.S. May seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, U.S. May average hourly wage year-on-year/month-on-month;

South Korea - Seoul Stock Exchange closed for one day in observance of Memorial Day.

#特朗普马斯克分歧 #加密市场回调 #美国初请失业金人数 #美国加征关税 #韩国加密政策

According to data released by the U.S. Department of Labor at 8:30 PM on June 5, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits increased to 247,000 for the week ending May 31, setting a record high since 2025, which is higher than the market's previous expectation of 235,000. This data indicates that the job market in the United States is not very optimistic, and the labor market is not as vibrant as it used to be, which may likely prompt the Federal Reserve to decide on interest rate cuts.

However, when formulating policies, the Federal Reserve must consider not only employment conditions but also inflation. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that by the end of this year, the inflation rate in the United States may rise to 3.9%. This means that in the short term, the Federal Reserve cannot significantly cut interest rates. However, if the labor market continues to decline, the Federal Reserve may have to restart interest rate cuts in the second half of 2025, with general speculation that a reduction of 25 basis points may occur in July or September. Next, the non-farm payroll report and the minutes of the Federal Reserve's June meeting are worth paying close attention to. Although in the short term, cryptocurrency prices may rise due to expectations of interest rate cuts, if there are significant fluctuations in economic data, prices may likely fall, which requires special caution. #我的COS交易 #特朗普马斯克分歧 #加密市场回调 #美国初请失业金人数 #Circle扩大IPO规模 $ETH $BTC

The price of coins has plummeted, shorts are profiting, pay close attention to tonight's non-farm payroll! 6.6 Bitcoin trading strategy

A tax reform bill promoted by a special push has been strongly opposed by Ma, who believes the bill will lead to increased debt for the United States. The two sides have debated the subsidy policies for electric vehicles, tariffs, and government contracts, accusing each other of being 'ungrateful'. Their quarrel not only reflects the deterioration of personal relationships but also reveals deeper political and economic differences. Recent data has all been negative; yesterday's short position advice has reached the profit-taking target, and those who followed have made a big profit!

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has broken below the lower Bollinger band on the daily chart, closing the morning with a candlestick that has almost equal upper and lower wicks and a relatively long body. The Bollinger bands are widening, and the KDJ and MACD indicators are diverging downwards with a death cross. The volume is increasing, and from the daily chart, there is still space below, so today’s trading strategy from Conan suggests focusing on shorting during rebounds! Upper pressure levels to watch are 103000, 104000, 105000, and 106000; lower support levels to watch are 100000, 99000, 98000, 97000, and 96000.

6.6 Bitcoin trading strategy: Aggressive traders can short on rebounds at 103000-103500, conservative traders can enter at 104000-104500, with a stop-loss above 105000, targeting around 102000-12500-101000-100000, and if broken, watch for 99000-98000.

6.6 Ether trading strategy: Aggressive traders can short on rebounds at 2470-2500, conservative traders can enter at 2530-2550, with a stop-loss above 2580, targeting around 2420-2400-2380, and if strongly broken, watch for 2350-2320.

Long position strategy: Pay close attention to tonight's non-farm payroll, as we expect a market with both upward and downward spikes. After a significant drop this morning, a slight rebound is anticipated. For Bitcoin, consider entering long around 99500-100000, with a stop-loss at 99000, targeting around 101000-101500-102000, and if broken, watch for 102500-103000. For Ether, consider entering long around 2350-2380, with a stop-loss at 2320, targeting around 2420-2450-2470, and if broken, watch for 2500-2530.

I have repeatedly said recently that caution is needed when going long! The main strategy should be to focus on shorting during rebounds! After the initial unemployment claims were released negatively yesterday, I also mentioned that rebounds present opportunities to short! The bearish target of 102000 has also been perfectly reached! Strong bears should manage risks and set proper stop-losses when going long! Move stop-losses gradually during rebounds to secure profits! Pay close attention to tonight's non-farm payroll data! #美国初请失业金人数 #币安Alpha上新

5000u to 200,000u (6 consecutive wins)

Currently 8955u

The number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week, this market climb is really exciting, immediately grabbing 1,300 points, no hesitation!!!

Give Old Zhang some attention, sharing valuable insights from time to time

#美国初请失业金人数

The intraday market is coming to an end. Looking back at today’s market, since early morning, Bitcoin has shown a wave of fluctuating downward structure. Although there was some upward momentum in the morning, the upward space was quickly swallowed by subsequent pullbacks. In the evening, influenced by fundamentals (jobless claims and U.S. stock market trends), the market first surged to a high point of 105878 and then rapidly descended, hitting a low near 103800 before rebounding. The short positions laid out during the day and the short-term long positions were all successful. The basic trend of Ethereum is similar to that of Bitcoin; it rebounded to 2640 in the evening before showing a synchronized downward movement, hitting a low of 2560 before rebounding.
#美国初请失业金人数
Looking at the overall situation, the daytime white plate market still aligns with our expectations, fluctuating and adjusting within a certain range. A point often mentioned is that the daily chart is contracting, with the K-line dominating the market, and the influence of fundamentals is substantial; the evening’s volatility is just like that.
On the four-hour line, it is currently in a fluctuating downward structure, and after receiving the influence of fundamentals, the market will show up and down pin bar movements, with point movements being frequent. However, although the downward trend is strong, the improvement of the BOLL bag opening is not obvious; the bag opening is still in a parallel form, and the pressure of the middle track is becoming stronger. The price will run between the middle and lower tracks and will seek opportunities to break below the lower track, with a higher chance of continuation, but the concentrated buying power below will also offer strong resistance.
#美国加征关税
In the future, Bitcoin reference around 104500, looking at 103000; Ethereum reference around 2580, looking at 2550-2500.

Beijing police's move is quite practical. The virtual currency obtained from raids could not be processed before; it was just a pile of numbers in hand. Now it can be exchanged for real money through the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and deposited into the national treasury. The process is clear: the police give the coins to the Beijing Stock Exchange, which finds professional institutions to take over, sells them at a licensed exchange in Hong Kong, and the foreign exchange goes through proper approval, with the money finally entering the national treasury. Shunyi has already successfully tested this.

This is good for the police in handling cases — stolen goods can be converted into cash, increasing the treasury's income; it's bad for illegal industries — previously, the police couldn't do anything about these coins, but now they can.

Old Poison says: Does this count as a disguised recognition of the value of virtual currency? But who cares, it's better than letting the illicit money rot on the blockchain. What do you think, what do you say!?
$BTC
#美国初请失业金人数 #特朗普媒体科技集团比特币财库

$BTC

The support at $10,000 is only temporary; it will break sooner or later, unless there’s suddenly a favorable market trend tonight, otherwise the probability of going down is greater!

Tonight's strategy prediction:
First lure the bulls, let it rebound to around $103,000, attracting a batch of people who think it's going to rise, then turn around and drop to $98,000.

Yesterday, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the U.S. suddenly rose to the highest level in eight months.

Scaring the U.S. bond yields down to the lowest level in nearly a month, now everyone thinks the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in September.

Although it's highly unlikely to cut rates, if there's an unexpected result in tonight's non-farm payroll, everyone's outlook on interest rates will change significantly.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts depend on employment and inflation:
A surge in unemployment + poor non-farm data indicates the economy 'can't hold on any longer'.
Rate cuts would have to be anticipated.

Conversely, good data = a 'robust' economy.
Rate cut expectations would be pushed back, and Bitcoin, as a 'representative of risk assets', jumps around with market sentiment. Tonight is the 'moment of the bull-bear showdown'.

Follow Hashni, and I will share new directions with you at the first moment tonight.

#特朗普马斯克分歧 #加密市场回调 #美国初请失业金人数

【Alarm sounded! Unemployment data unexpectedly cold, is Bitcoin about to soar?】

Family, who understands! The recently released unemployment data from the US has caused a stir! The number of first-time unemployment claims soared to 247,000 last week, significantly higher than the market expectation of 235,000, and even the previous value was secretly revised down from 240,000 to 239,000. This wave of data is like throwing a 'smoke bomb' into the market—where's the strong economy that was promised? Where's the cooling off of interest rate cut expectations?

For example: It's like thinking your partner is going to give you a 520 cash gift, but instead they send you a '5.20' and add, 'I'm a bit tight on cash lately'... (Ouch!) When unemployment data falters, the market immediately starts speculating that the Federal Reserve will become 'soft-hearted' and cut rates.
After all, Trump's tariff stick has already made companies shiver, and a wave of layoffs is quietly brewing (look at the data from US banks, more high-income families are receiving relief), even Powell has loosened up and said, 'future employment may be weaker'.

Emotional time: If you ask me, this data is the 'signal gun' for the crypto world! When the unemployment rate rises, assets like gold and Bitcoin, which resist inflation, immediately perk up. Last night, gold rose sharply, and Bitcoin also jumped a bit. But don't rush to go all in! The Federal Reserve is still stubbornly talking about 'inflation risks', and the June interest rate meeting is the main event.

Tonight, the European Central Bank will also announce its interest rate decision. If the ECB goes dovish + US employment continues to decline, under the double blow, the dollar may collapse, and Bitcoin could directly take off! Friends, keep an eye on real-time data, the bottom-fishing opportunity may be right in front of you!
$BTC #小非农数据创8月以来最低水平
Want to get the Federal Reserve's easing signals first-hand? Follow me, and I'll bring you the latest information and in-depth analysis!

#美国初请失业金人数
Tonight's Non-Farm Payroll Meeting

Goldman Sachs Trader: USD/JPY may face a disaster, more aggressive movements are expected in... Due to the ambiguous signals from weak data, everyone is focusing on tonight's non-farm data, which could provide momentum for the next round of declines in USD trading. Over the past two weeks, the reduction in USD short positions supports our view of a mid-term downtrend for the USD. The USD/JPY has seen the largest decline in overall USD short positions during this time, and we expect more aggressive movements in this area after the employment data is released on Friday.
After holding above the 145.75-146 level (the downtrend remains intact), we currently expect USD/JPY to break below the key 139.5-140 area, accelerating the decline in the coming weeks. Sell-offs are expected in both domestic and international markets in Japan, and the market is currently unprepared for more aggressive market operations.
(Source: Jinshi Data APP)

Dear investors, please pay attention, stay vigilant, and prepare to face the potential market upheaval that may come. Seize opportunities, avoid risks, and find your direction amidst the wave of financial data!
Tonight at 20:30, the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week ending May 31 will be unveiled. The previous value was 240,000, and the expectation is 235,000. This data acts like a 'thermometer' for the job market; even a slight change can reflect the warmth or chill of the American employment environment. If the actual value exceeds expectations, it may indicate that the job market is deteriorating, potentially severely impacting investor confidence, which could, in turn, affect various sectors including the stock and bond markets.

6.6 Friday Morning Bitcoin Analysis

From the daily chart perspective, the lower retracement points are gradually rising, showing support stabilization, but the rebound highs have consistently failed to break through effectively, forming a convergence. The approach does not recommend aggressively chasing shorts, but rather prefers to buy on dips. The four-hour chart shows a clear bottoming rebound, halting the decline while making a rebound. Currently, the overall trend has entered a slow upward oscillation rhythm. After a continuous strong downward move, the low-level rebound and recovery is also a normal correction method. However, the current rebound strength is also gradually digesting; the trend is still predominantly bearish, with the bullish rebound being a sub-level movement. The upward rebound is gradually slowing down, clearly facing resistance and pressure. Today, we will continue to follow the trend, still focusing on bearish positions.

Trading range for Bitcoin is 1018-1020, with a target of the 1005 range
$BTC $ETH #我的COS交易 #币安钱包TGE #美国初请失业金人数 #Circle扩大IPO规模 #美国加征关税

Tonight, there's a high probability of a sharp decline, be ready to act!

Tonight, the initial unemployment claims will be announced,

The market has already started to consolidate sideways, clearly waiting for the data.

However, from the overall market perspective, the sentiment is leaning bearish,

Once the data is released and is unfavorable, if U.S. stocks lead the way,

the market could plunge at any moment, don’t wait until it drops to panic.

Reduce positions in advance, set stop-losses, or be ready to go short.

When the market moves, it often results in a large bearish candle, leaving no opportunity.

The longer the market holds back, the bigger the movement tonight, don’t be on the wrong side.

#币安钱包TGE #币安Alpha上新

I am 37 years old this year, started trading cryptocurrencies at 28, and by 2025 my cryptocurrency trading will reach 8 figures. My current lifestyle involves staying at high-end hotels costing around 3000 yuan, and my suitcase and hat may have cryptocurrency symbols! I have hardly ever experienced troublesome business dealings.

I have the patience to summarize my insights; the most important aspect of trading cryptocurrencies is maintaining a good mindset, while technical skills come second.

1. In most cases, Bitcoin is the leader of the ups and downs in the cryptocurrency market. Strong-quality Ethereum can sometimes move independently of Bitcoin and create a unilateral market trend, while altcoins generally cannot escape its influence;

2. Bitcoin and USDT move in opposite directions. If you notice that USDT is rising, be cautious as Bitcoin may drop; when Bitcoin is rising, it is a good opportunity to buy USDT;

3. Between 0:00 and 1:00 AM, there is a tendency for price spikes, so domestic cryptocurrency friends can place a buy order at a low price for their desired coin and a sell order at a high price before going to bed. You might just get a deal while you sleep;

4. Every morning between 6:00 and 8:00 AM is a good time to decide whether to buy or sell, as well as to assess the day's potential gains or losses. If the price has been dropping from 0:00 to 6:00, and continues to drop during this period, it’s a good time to buy or average down, and it is likely to rise that day. Conversely, if the price has been rising from 0:00 to 6:00, and continues to rise, it’s a good selling opportunity, and the price is likely to drop that day;

5. 5:00 PM is an important time to pay attention to rumors in the market. Due to time zone differences, American cryptocurrency friends are waking up and starting their activities, which may cause fluctuations in coin prices. Significant rises or falls have indeed occurred at this time, so be especially cautious;

6. There is a saying in the cryptocurrency community about 'Black Friday,' as there have been instances of significant drops occurring on Fridays, but there have also been instances of major rises or sideways movements, so it’s not particularly reliable; just pay a bit of attention to the news;

7. If a coin with a certain trading volume drops, don’t worry; holding patiently will definitely get you back to breakeven. It could take as short as 3 or 4 days, or as long as a month. If you have extra USDT, average down in batches to pull the price down, and you’ll break even faster. If you don’t have extra cash, just wait; it won’t let you down. Unless you really bought I coin;

8. For spot trading, holding the same coin long-term with less trading activity yields greater returns than frequent trading; it just depends on whether you have the patience to hold. I bought Dogecoin at 0.1 and it has increased more than 20 times since then.

🔥🔥Brothers, it's time to buy the dip!!!

Current price for #以太 is entering around 2650, stop-loss set at 2549

A'er has already entered the market, those who want to follow quickly come!!!🎊

$ETH
#美国初请失业金人数 #美国加征关税