哈希妮
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Powell Speaks Tonight! Is the Bitcoin 80K Threshold a Life-or-Death Situation?
Tonight at 1:30 AM, Powell's speech is regarded as the "fate blind box" of Bitcoin! The three major suspense factors directly influence the life and death of the crypto world, with the 80K threshold in the 78000-81000 range presenting a fierce battle for bottom fishing!
First, let's look at Powell's three major bombshell suspense factors: Can the Federal Reserve withstand the pressure from Trump’s tariffs and leadership changes to maintain its independence? If the Fed's policy is swayed by politics, funds may crazily flow into Bitcoin for safe-haven purposes;
Conversely, if this happens, the upward momentum of the coin price will be discounted.
Will the expectations for interest rate cuts change? If cuts come quickly, inflation rebounds, and funds flow into Bitcoin for preservation; if cuts come slowly, economic recession hits, and high-risk Bitcoin will take a beating.
Lastly, who wins the internal hawk-dove battle within the Federal Reserve? If the doves win, aggressive rate cuts will send Bitcoin skyrocketing; if the hawks hold onto rate hikes, the coin price will instantly become the "champion of plummeting prices".
Looking at Bitcoin itself, the 78000-81000 range could very well form a double bottom, making the 80K threshold a battleground for bulls and bears. Since the bear market began in 2023, it has only intersected twice without forming a death cross, indicating that we have not yet reached a true deep bear market. If a death cross forms after this intersection, Bitcoin is likely to enter a crash mode.
Looking ahead, Powell's words will have a "nuclear explosion-level" impact on Bitcoin.
Previously, he hinted at rate cuts, causing Bitcoin to surge by 5.12%; when he stated he wouldn't hoard coins, the price immediately plummeted. This speech tonight is bound to keep the crypto world awake! Is bottom fishing at the 80K threshold the key to wealth or a trap for massive losses?
Follow Hashini for continuous updates, and let's witness this grand financial drama together!
#比特币与美国关税政策 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
$ETH
$BTC
Tonight at 1:30 AM, Powell's speech is regarded as the "fate blind box" of Bitcoin! The three major suspense factors directly influence the life and death of the crypto world, with the 80K threshold in the 78000-81000 range presenting a fierce battle for bottom fishing!
First, let's look at Powell's three major bombshell suspense factors: Can the Federal Reserve withstand the pressure from Trump’s tariffs and leadership changes to maintain its independence? If the Fed's policy is swayed by politics, funds may crazily flow into Bitcoin for safe-haven purposes;
Conversely, if this happens, the upward momentum of the coin price will be discounted.
Will the expectations for interest rate cuts change? If cuts come quickly, inflation rebounds, and funds flow into Bitcoin for preservation; if cuts come slowly, economic recession hits, and high-risk Bitcoin will take a beating.
Lastly, who wins the internal hawk-dove battle within the Federal Reserve? If the doves win, aggressive rate cuts will send Bitcoin skyrocketing; if the hawks hold onto rate hikes, the coin price will instantly become the "champion of plummeting prices".
Looking at Bitcoin itself, the 78000-81000 range could very well form a double bottom, making the 80K threshold a battleground for bulls and bears. Since the bear market began in 2023, it has only intersected twice without forming a death cross, indicating that we have not yet reached a true deep bear market. If a death cross forms after this intersection, Bitcoin is likely to enter a crash mode.
Looking ahead, Powell's words will have a "nuclear explosion-level" impact on Bitcoin.
Previously, he hinted at rate cuts, causing Bitcoin to surge by 5.12%; when he stated he wouldn't hoard coins, the price immediately plummeted. This speech tonight is bound to keep the crypto world awake! Is bottom fishing at the 80K threshold the key to wealth or a trap for massive losses?
Follow Hashini for continuous updates, and let's witness this grand financial drama together!
#比特币与美国关税政策 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
$ETH
$BTC
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After reading the post, do you still think that Chuan Jianguo is a fool? The abacus is ringing too loudly.
Many people complain that Jianguo only has a business mindset and doesn't understand governance. This time, with the tricks of substitution, rising in name but falling in reality, first stirring up chaos, using tariffs as a big stick to deal with disobedient countries, and when they can't hold on and compromise, lowering tariffs for allies, making prices seem to drop, and everyone breathes a sigh of relief. But right after that, he will start the printing press and print money like crazy. In the short term, the economy looks booming like it's on steroids, but in the long run, the time bomb of inflation will explode sooner or later, prices that have dropped will surge back up, and by then, the money we hold will be worth less and less.
This wave of operations can, on one hand, support domestic enterprises in the U.S., reduce imports, and give American people more choices for domestic products; on the other hand, it can also give more leverage at the negotiating table, forcing other countries to make concessions.
Chinese goods are taxed at 54%, that's quite ruthless! Simply put, if you charge me this much, I'll charge you half. China imposes a 67% tax on American goods, Trump charges 34%, and with the original 20%, it skyrockets to 54%, and other countries have to add at least 10%.
This approach completely disregards international trade rules, it's a typical case of unilateral bullying. As tariffs rise, global trade costs soar, and the supply chain is thrown into chaos. American consumers are paying more for imported goods, and other countries are also beginning to retaliate, with a global trade war on the brink.
The already unstable cryptocurrency market, faced with this chaotic trade situation, has a future trend that is even more uncertain.
Stay rational: Don't be disturbed by rumors, stick to your own judgment.
Many people complain that Jianguo only has a business mindset and doesn't understand governance. This time, with the tricks of substitution, rising in name but falling in reality, first stirring up chaos, using tariffs as a big stick to deal with disobedient countries, and when they can't hold on and compromise, lowering tariffs for allies, making prices seem to drop, and everyone breathes a sigh of relief. But right after that, he will start the printing press and print money like crazy. In the short term, the economy looks booming like it's on steroids, but in the long run, the time bomb of inflation will explode sooner or later, prices that have dropped will surge back up, and by then, the money we hold will be worth less and less.
This wave of operations can, on one hand, support domestic enterprises in the U.S., reduce imports, and give American people more choices for domestic products; on the other hand, it can also give more leverage at the negotiating table, forcing other countries to make concessions.
Chinese goods are taxed at 54%, that's quite ruthless! Simply put, if you charge me this much, I'll charge you half. China imposes a 67% tax on American goods, Trump charges 34%, and with the original 20%, it skyrockets to 54%, and other countries have to add at least 10%.
This approach completely disregards international trade rules, it's a typical case of unilateral bullying. As tariffs rise, global trade costs soar, and the supply chain is thrown into chaos. American consumers are paying more for imported goods, and other countries are also beginning to retaliate, with a global trade war on the brink.
The already unstable cryptocurrency market, faced with this chaotic trade situation, has a future trend that is even more uncertain.
Stay rational: Don't be disturbed by rumors, stick to your own judgment.
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$BTC Key Node is Coming!
Tomorrow, the Ethereum mainnet will launch the Pectra upgrade.
More Ethereum, no charity, last time the upgrade caused a drop from 4000 to half.
Let's see if it can break the current oscillating situation this time!
Right now, there are no significant bullish or bearish news, both sides are deadlocked, all waiting for the results of this week's meeting.
The points shared last night should have been profitable!
From the 4-hour trend today, $BTC indicates that the price will likely rise. In the long run, 97800 is expected to be the peak of this wave.
Even if the price rebounds later, the overall trend is still bearish. Even if the price breaks through 97800, it can only rise to 98500 at most, and there isn't much room above that.
If the price goes up, it may encounter resistance at 95500, 96350, 97100, and 97800.
If it goes down, the positions at 93500, 92400, 91600, and 90600 might hold up, so keep an eye on them.
Follow Hashini for daily point sharing～
#美联储FOMC会议 #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案 #币安LaunchpoolSXT #Strategy增持比特币
Tomorrow, the Ethereum mainnet will launch the Pectra upgrade.
More Ethereum, no charity, last time the upgrade caused a drop from 4000 to half.
Let's see if it can break the current oscillating situation this time!
Right now, there are no significant bullish or bearish news, both sides are deadlocked, all waiting for the results of this week's meeting.
The points shared last night should have been profitable!
From the 4-hour trend today, $BTC indicates that the price will likely rise. In the long run, 97800 is expected to be the peak of this wave.
Even if the price rebounds later, the overall trend is still bearish. Even if the price breaks through 97800, it can only rise to 98500 at most, and there isn't much room above that.
If the price goes up, it may encounter resistance at 95500, 96350, 97100, and 97800.
If it goes down, the positions at 93500, 92400, 91600, and 90600 might hold up, so keep an eye on them.
Follow Hashini for daily point sharing～
#美联储FOMC会议 #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案 #币安LaunchpoolSXT #Strategy增持比特币
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$BTC
97800 is still the recent high point
If the price can stabilize around 95000 tonight
An opportunity to short will come
The upper 95000 is still tough resistance. From the daily level, if it cannot break this level, it is highly likely to pull back
Just touched 94700 and lost momentum, the short-term uptrend is basically at an end.
Next, focus closely on the two lower defense lines: 92700 and 91700. If the price drops to these two positions, you can take a small position to bet on a rebound
But you must set a stop loss: 91700
Pay attention to Hashini, sharing continuously every day～
#Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案 #比特币战略储备
97800 is still the recent high point
If the price can stabilize around 95000 tonight
An opportunity to short will come
The upper 95000 is still tough resistance. From the daily level, if it cannot break this level, it is highly likely to pull back
Just touched 94700 and lost momentum, the short-term uptrend is basically at an end.
Next, focus closely on the two lower defense lines: 92700 and 91700. If the price drops to these two positions, you can take a small position to bet on a rebound
But you must set a stop loss: 91700
Pay attention to Hashini, sharing continuously every day～
#Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案 #比特币战略储备
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If we could do it all over again, how to capture early buying signals for TRUMP?
What did those KOLs who made money from skyrocketing meme coins do right?
Discovered quite a few practical methods and tools!
1. Catch potential new coins: Using the Moonshot platform
Moonshot is a platform specifically for meme coins, where you can find many new coins that haven’t yet hit major exchanges. Last Saturday, it was also recommended by the $TRUMP official website, allowing direct purchase of coins with fiat. To discover new opportunities in real-time, you can follow these channels:
Moonshot official TG channel: will push new coin news and project background
Signal bot channel: can monitor new coin listings, as well as capture signals from influencer recommendations and smart money buying in large amounts
Moonshot UMI website: quickly view newly listed projects and market trends
2. Follow smart money closely: Super practical tools
1. Beginner-friendly
Zerion: Just download the App to use it; you can monitor by pasting wallet addresses, but it can be a bit annoying with too many addresses bombarding you with messages
Chain.fm, lmk.fun: Can follow prepared smart money monitoring channels by others, and set reminders
GMGN: Essential for trading meme coins, supports batch monitoring, and can bind to TG for instant notifications
2. Advanced for experienced users
Arkham: Comprehensive functions, can monitor in bulk, tag categorization, suitable for advanced players
DeBot: Can monitor multiple chains, group analyze wallets, and set reminders for multiple wallets to buy simultaneously
Trouble finding smart money addresses? Just follow ready-made monitoring channels, like @0x01yuqi's SOL smart money channel, monitoring over 3000 wallets together, and get notified immediately when something happens!
3. Keep an eye on social media: Popularity equals market movement
Whether a meme coin can become popular often hinges on a single comment from a social media influencer!
DeBot can monitor specific Twitter accounts, notifying you immediately when influencers post about coins
Some TG channels specifically monitor token contracts recommended by influencers
The Bloom tool can automatically capture buying signals from Twitter and also set stop-loss and take-profit levels, although the operations are a bit complex
Ultimately, playing with meme coins is all about timing, so it’s recommended to combine all these methods: monitor everything from new coin listings to smart money movements and influencer recommendations to seize money-making opportunities!
The content is a bit long; save it and savor it slowly~
Or if you think the above process is too complicated, you can follow Hashini, who shares continuously for free every day!
#美国稳定币法案 #山寨 #比特币战略储备
What did those KOLs who made money from skyrocketing meme coins do right?
Discovered quite a few practical methods and tools!
1. Catch potential new coins: Using the Moonshot platform
Moonshot is a platform specifically for meme coins, where you can find many new coins that haven’t yet hit major exchanges. Last Saturday, it was also recommended by the $TRUMP official website, allowing direct purchase of coins with fiat. To discover new opportunities in real-time, you can follow these channels:
Moonshot official TG channel: will push new coin news and project background
Signal bot channel: can monitor new coin listings, as well as capture signals from influencer recommendations and smart money buying in large amounts
Moonshot UMI website: quickly view newly listed projects and market trends
2. Follow smart money closely: Super practical tools
1. Beginner-friendly
Zerion: Just download the App to use it; you can monitor by pasting wallet addresses, but it can be a bit annoying with too many addresses bombarding you with messages
Chain.fm, lmk.fun: Can follow prepared smart money monitoring channels by others, and set reminders
GMGN: Essential for trading meme coins, supports batch monitoring, and can bind to TG for instant notifications
2. Advanced for experienced users
Arkham: Comprehensive functions, can monitor in bulk, tag categorization, suitable for advanced players
DeBot: Can monitor multiple chains, group analyze wallets, and set reminders for multiple wallets to buy simultaneously
Trouble finding smart money addresses? Just follow ready-made monitoring channels, like @0x01yuqi's SOL smart money channel, monitoring over 3000 wallets together, and get notified immediately when something happens!
3. Keep an eye on social media: Popularity equals market movement
Whether a meme coin can become popular often hinges on a single comment from a social media influencer!
DeBot can monitor specific Twitter accounts, notifying you immediately when influencers post about coins
Some TG channels specifically monitor token contracts recommended by influencers
The Bloom tool can automatically capture buying signals from Twitter and also set stop-loss and take-profit levels, although the operations are a bit complex
Ultimately, playing with meme coins is all about timing, so it’s recommended to combine all these methods: monitor everything from new coin listings to smart money movements and influencer recommendations to seize money-making opportunities!
The content is a bit long; save it and savor it slowly~
Or if you think the above process is too complicated, you can follow Hashini, who shares continuously for free every day!
#美国稳定币法案 #山寨 #比特币战略储备
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$BTC
The great pancake starts to decline
Is it the perfect time to enter the altcoin market?
How to filter altcoins based on core dimensions:
Chip Distribution: If chips are concentrated in the hands of a few with no signs of sell-off, there may be major players controlling the market. If the chips are dispersed and mostly retail investors are involved, the price may fluctuate greatly.
Major Player Control: Determine through trading volume and price trends; if volume and price are inconsistent or rising against the trend, there may be major player operations. Also, pay attention to the movements of large wallets; coins that are continuously being bought are worth more attention.
K-Line Trend: It’s best to choose ones with a well-formed bottom pattern and upward diverging moving averages, which are resilient to declines and have a high possibility of rising. Definitely avoid those that keep declining or have messy K-line charts; the risks are too high.
Community Atmosphere: You can check social media and forums to see the enthusiasm for the project; projects that have KOL support and frequently hold events tend to have high attention and greater development opportunities.
Narrative Logic: Unique aspects, like those that combine with current hot concepts such as DeFi, NFT, or the Metaverse, are more likely to attract funds and offer greater imaginative space.
Focus on AI, RWA, and MEME in these few tracks
Alagent: VIRTUAL COOKIE AIXBT AI16Z
TURBO/WLD/ARKM/TAO/
CAKE/FORM/CHEEMS/TUT
Lastly, emphasize focusing on OG; if you're interested, you can check out my post, aiming for a starting target of 10 times (the stable kind!)
In summary, Bitcoin's pullback is indeed a good time to invest in altcoins.
But the premise is to carefully filter, and definitely do not blindly follow the trend.
Investing in altcoins is risky; you must be cautious and control your positions well.
Follow Hashini for daily shares
#币安LaunchpoolSXT #Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案
The great pancake starts to decline
Is it the perfect time to enter the altcoin market?
How to filter altcoins based on core dimensions:
Chip Distribution: If chips are concentrated in the hands of a few with no signs of sell-off, there may be major players controlling the market. If the chips are dispersed and mostly retail investors are involved, the price may fluctuate greatly.
Major Player Control: Determine through trading volume and price trends; if volume and price are inconsistent or rising against the trend, there may be major player operations. Also, pay attention to the movements of large wallets; coins that are continuously being bought are worth more attention.
K-Line Trend: It’s best to choose ones with a well-formed bottom pattern and upward diverging moving averages, which are resilient to declines and have a high possibility of rising. Definitely avoid those that keep declining or have messy K-line charts; the risks are too high.
Community Atmosphere: You can check social media and forums to see the enthusiasm for the project; projects that have KOL support and frequently hold events tend to have high attention and greater development opportunities.
Narrative Logic: Unique aspects, like those that combine with current hot concepts such as DeFi, NFT, or the Metaverse, are more likely to attract funds and offer greater imaginative space.
Focus on AI, RWA, and MEME in these few tracks
Alagent: VIRTUAL COOKIE AIXBT AI16Z
TURBO/WLD/ARKM/TAO/
CAKE/FORM/CHEEMS/TUT
Lastly, emphasize focusing on OG; if you're interested, you can check out my post, aiming for a starting target of 10 times (the stable kind!)
In summary, Bitcoin's pullback is indeed a good time to invest in altcoins.
But the premise is to carefully filter, and definitely do not blindly follow the trend.
Investing in altcoins is risky; you must be cautious and control your positions well.
Follow Hashini for daily shares
#币安LaunchpoolSXT #Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案
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$ETH
Reminder this morning that around 1810! Can't get up in an hour
Definitely a "false rebound", continue to look bearish
The bears had a good laugh today
Tonight's thoughts
Price rebounds to the 1807-1824 range
Four-hour K-line closing price effectively breaks above 1824 (confirmation of closing shape needed)
First target at 1735 USD, if broken can look to 1665
If the four-hour level closes strongly above 1824
And accompanied by increased trading volume, it can be seen as a bullish trend reversal signal.
Subsequent market is expected to challenge the 1870 resistance level
Follow Hashini, sharing daily
#Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案 #加密市场回调
Reminder this morning that around 1810! Can't get up in an hour
Definitely a "false rebound", continue to look bearish
The bears had a good laugh today
Tonight's thoughts
Price rebounds to the 1807-1824 range
Four-hour K-line closing price effectively breaks above 1824 (confirmation of closing shape needed)
First target at 1735 USD, if broken can look to 1665
If the four-hour level closes strongly above 1824
And accompanied by increased trading volume, it can be seen as a bullish trend reversal signal.
Subsequent market is expected to challenge the 1870 resistance level
Follow Hashini, sharing daily
#Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案 #加密市场回调
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$BTC
May 8th not lowering interest rates is not scary
What is scary is if Powell doesn't even draw a pie chart anymore
Real necessary conditions for lowering interest rates:
1. Prices stop rising, inflation calms down, only then can the Federal Reserve dare to lower interest rates
2. The economy is so bad that it’s on the verge of collapse, only then will the Federal Reserve lower interest rates to save the situation
So it's almost certain there won't be an interest rate cut in May
Tariff policies could intervene at any time. Unless inflation completely cools off, or the economy deteriorates badly, a rate cut is just a daydream
Trump is constantly posting in bold on social media: "No inflation, Federal Reserve, hurry up and cut interest rates!!" After all, cutting rates can stimulate the economy and boost the stock market, which are all part of his performance KPIs.
On the 7th, Ethereum will undergo a major upgrade, but currently, market sentiment is low. Based on past upgrades, every rise has been followed by a drop; the last upgrade saw a halving from 4000!
However, it cannot be ruled out that this time there might be a rise before a drop
Bitcoin's direction has recently been very clear, which is bearish
Upper resistance: 95600/96250/96800/97300
Lower support: 93500/92800/91600/9060
Pay close attention to around 91600; if it fails to hold, it will directly drop towards around 89500 and may even reach around 86800
For Ethereum today, focus on around 1810! If it doesn't manage to hold within the hour, it's definitely a “false rebound,” continue to look for bearish trends
Follow Hashini, daily point sharing~
#美国稳定币法案 #比特币战略储备 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
May 8th not lowering interest rates is not scary
What is scary is if Powell doesn't even draw a pie chart anymore
Real necessary conditions for lowering interest rates:
1. Prices stop rising, inflation calms down, only then can the Federal Reserve dare to lower interest rates
2. The economy is so bad that it’s on the verge of collapse, only then will the Federal Reserve lower interest rates to save the situation
So it's almost certain there won't be an interest rate cut in May
Tariff policies could intervene at any time. Unless inflation completely cools off, or the economy deteriorates badly, a rate cut is just a daydream
Trump is constantly posting in bold on social media: "No inflation, Federal Reserve, hurry up and cut interest rates!!" After all, cutting rates can stimulate the economy and boost the stock market, which are all part of his performance KPIs.
On the 7th, Ethereum will undergo a major upgrade, but currently, market sentiment is low. Based on past upgrades, every rise has been followed by a drop; the last upgrade saw a halving from 4000!
However, it cannot be ruled out that this time there might be a rise before a drop
Bitcoin's direction has recently been very clear, which is bearish
Upper resistance: 95600/96250/96800/97300
Lower support: 93500/92800/91600/9060
Pay close attention to around 91600; if it fails to hold, it will directly drop towards around 89500 and may even reach around 86800
For Ethereum today, focus on around 1810! If it doesn't manage to hold within the hour, it's definitely a “false rebound,” continue to look for bearish trends
Follow Hashini, daily point sharing~
#美国稳定币法案 #比特币战略储备 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
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$BTC
74000 You don't buy, 95000 you shout bottom?
MicroStrategy hints at increasing BTC holdings again
Why this time's call, isn't it because the whales feel there aren't enough chips on the table, and profits aren't in place
They are waiting for everyone to obediently send money to their doorstep! At this time, when MicroStrategy makes a call, retail investors rush in as if they have taken a stimulant, this may be the carefully arranged 'please enter the urn' trap.
Previously, every time he bought Bitcoin, it dropped right after, earning the title of 'reverse weather vane'
Recently, however, buying has turned into rising; now when he makes a call, if everyone blindly believes that the market will rise and rushes to enter.
When most people think this way, the time to be harvested is not far off.
When no one believes the news, the market secretly rises; once everyone believes it and thinks they can share the profits, that's when the sickle is raised high, ready for the harvest.
Instead of focusing on such news, it's better to hone your skills.
Follow Hashini, continuous sharing every day～
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #非农就业数据来袭 #欧盟隐私币禁令
74000 You don't buy, 95000 you shout bottom?
MicroStrategy hints at increasing BTC holdings again
Why this time's call, isn't it because the whales feel there aren't enough chips on the table, and profits aren't in place
They are waiting for everyone to obediently send money to their doorstep! At this time, when MicroStrategy makes a call, retail investors rush in as if they have taken a stimulant, this may be the carefully arranged 'please enter the urn' trap.
Previously, every time he bought Bitcoin, it dropped right after, earning the title of 'reverse weather vane'
Recently, however, buying has turned into rising; now when he makes a call, if everyone blindly believes that the market will rise and rushes to enter.
When most people think this way, the time to be harvested is not far off.
When no one believes the news, the market secretly rises; once everyone believes it and thinks they can share the profits, that's when the sickle is raised high, ready for the harvest.
Instead of focusing on such news, it's better to hone your skills.
Follow Hashini, continuous sharing every day～
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #非农就业数据来袭 #欧盟隐私币禁令
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$BTC
A major drop is about to come
On May 8th, Powell is likely to make a hawkish statement!
Now the media is spreading that Powell is going to "hawk up,” and the market may start to decline ahead of time, possibly dropping on Tuesday or Wednesday, with significant declines on Thursday during the press conference.
Moreover, recent U.S. employment data has been relatively stable, with the unemployment rate and non-farm data not showing major issues.
After the last statement, U.S. stocks fell by 2%
This time, Bitcoin may drop by $2000-$3000, falling to around $93,000-$94,000, with a worst-case scenario of around $82,000-$86,000.
Currently, it seems likely that the Federal Reserve will announce interest rate cuts in September this year.
The probability of a rate cut in September is greater than in May and June.
Old Powell will not step down before September; gold will enter a consolidation range from May to September.
Cutting rates too quickly may not be a good thing, so a rate cut does not equal a rise! Because cutting rates too quickly can cause inflation issues.
Those interested can check out my previous posts.
Thoughts before Powell's speech on May 8th
If it stays stable around 94,700-95,000,
it may not drop further and start to rebound, a good entry point for buying.
Wait for it to rise above 97,000, then sell to short, operating back and forth in this range to capture profits from the fluctuations.
Follow Hashini for daily level sharing.
#欧盟隐私币禁令 #数字资产法案 #币安Alpha上新
A major drop is about to come
On May 8th, Powell is likely to make a hawkish statement!
Now the media is spreading that Powell is going to "hawk up,” and the market may start to decline ahead of time, possibly dropping on Tuesday or Wednesday, with significant declines on Thursday during the press conference.
Moreover, recent U.S. employment data has been relatively stable, with the unemployment rate and non-farm data not showing major issues.
After the last statement, U.S. stocks fell by 2%
This time, Bitcoin may drop by $2000-$3000, falling to around $93,000-$94,000, with a worst-case scenario of around $82,000-$86,000.
Currently, it seems likely that the Federal Reserve will announce interest rate cuts in September this year.
The probability of a rate cut in September is greater than in May and June.
Old Powell will not step down before September; gold will enter a consolidation range from May to September.
Cutting rates too quickly may not be a good thing, so a rate cut does not equal a rise! Because cutting rates too quickly can cause inflation issues.
Those interested can check out my previous posts.
Thoughts before Powell's speech on May 8th
If it stays stable around 94,700-95,000,
it may not drop further and start to rebound, a good entry point for buying.
Wait for it to rise above 97,000, then sell to short, operating back and forth in this range to capture profits from the fluctuations.
Follow Hashini for daily level sharing.
#欧盟隐私币禁令 #数字资产法案 #币安Alpha上新
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$BTC
Thoughts sharing before Powell's speech on May 8th
Around 94700 - 95000, if it stabilizes
and doesn't drop further, it might start to rebound, enter for buying
Wait until it rises above 97000, then sell and short, operate back and forth in this range to capture price differences in the volatile market.
Yesterday's point analysis also matched predictions
This time there is a high probability of a hawkish speech
Because the recent employment data in the US has been relatively stable, both the unemployment rate and non-farm data haven't shown major issues.
After the speech, the US stock market may drop by 2%, this time Bitcoin might fall by 2000 - 3000 dollars, dropping to around 93000 - 94000, with an extreme low of around 82000 - 86000.
Now the media is spreading that Powell is going to "hawkish", the market might start to decline early, it may begin to drop on Tuesday or Wednesday, and could drop the most on the day of the press conference on Thursday.
On Thursday, we will interpret it for everyone at the first time
Follow Hashini, for daily point sharing～
#欧盟隐私币禁令 #比特币战略储备 #空投防骗手册
Thoughts sharing before Powell's speech on May 8th
Around 94700 - 95000, if it stabilizes
and doesn't drop further, it might start to rebound, enter for buying
Wait until it rises above 97000, then sell and short, operate back and forth in this range to capture price differences in the volatile market.
Yesterday's point analysis also matched predictions
This time there is a high probability of a hawkish speech
Because the recent employment data in the US has been relatively stable, both the unemployment rate and non-farm data haven't shown major issues.
After the speech, the US stock market may drop by 2%, this time Bitcoin might fall by 2000 - 3000 dollars, dropping to around 93000 - 94000, with an extreme low of around 82000 - 86000.
Now the media is spreading that Powell is going to "hawkish", the market might start to decline early, it may begin to drop on Tuesday or Wednesday, and could drop the most on the day of the press conference on Thursday.
On Thursday, we will interpret it for everyone at the first time
Follow Hashini, for daily point sharing～
#欧盟隐私币禁令 #比特币战略储备 #空投防骗手册
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$ETH
The direction will soon become clear
The K-line for the last hour has formed a doji
This is generally a signal for trend change!
Moreover, the MACD indicator shows that the downward momentum is strengthening, and soon we will see whether the price will rise or fall.
However, the market is currently lifeless, with a pitifully low trading volume; everyone is waiting and watching, and this 1800 defense line may be breached at any moment!
Upgrades are imminent, and there is a possibility of a surge leveraging the upgrade.
Next Thursday there will be another speech.
The key is to watch the ETF: if a large amount of capital is buying in, the major asset may not fall much, but U.S. stocks are in jeopardy. Last time Powell made a hawkish statement, U.S. stocks fell by 2%, this time the major asset could fall by 2000 - 3000 points.
Stay tuned for Hashni, sharing daily points～
Resistance levels above: 1845 1865 near 1900
Support levels below: 1808 1775 1750 1725 near 1700
#加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备 #山寨币ETF展望
The direction will soon become clear
The K-line for the last hour has formed a doji
This is generally a signal for trend change!
Moreover, the MACD indicator shows that the downward momentum is strengthening, and soon we will see whether the price will rise or fall.
However, the market is currently lifeless, with a pitifully low trading volume; everyone is waiting and watching, and this 1800 defense line may be breached at any moment!
Upgrades are imminent, and there is a possibility of a surge leveraging the upgrade.
Next Thursday there will be another speech.
The key is to watch the ETF: if a large amount of capital is buying in, the major asset may not fall much, but U.S. stocks are in jeopardy. Last time Powell made a hawkish statement, U.S. stocks fell by 2%, this time the major asset could fall by 2000 - 3000 points.
Stay tuned for Hashni, sharing daily points～
Resistance levels above: 1845 1865 near 1900
Support levels below: 1808 1775 1750 1725 near 1700
#加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备 #山寨币ETF展望
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$BTC
97800 is the recent high point
It is very difficult to break through 98500, and the pressure level close to 99000 is also extremely hard to surpass.
Trend Analysis: A pullback started yesterday, and if it touches around 97400 again, it may face resistance and continue to pull back. The volume is depleting and indicators are diverging multiple times, making the overall trend not optimistic.
The main strategy is to be bearish at highs.
Key levels:
Upper pressure levels include 97400, 97800, 98500, 99599,
Lower support levels are 94700, 93600, 92400, 91600.
In the future, pay close attention to the price performance at these key levels to verify the accuracy of the analysis.
Follow Hashini for daily updates～
#非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备
97800 is the recent high point
It is very difficult to break through 98500, and the pressure level close to 99000 is also extremely hard to surpass.
Trend Analysis: A pullback started yesterday, and if it touches around 97400 again, it may face resistance and continue to pull back. The volume is depleting and indicators are diverging multiple times, making the overall trend not optimistic.
The main strategy is to be bearish at highs.
Key levels:
Upper pressure levels include 97400, 97800, 98500, 99599,
Lower support levels are 94700, 93600, 92400, 91600.
In the future, pay close attention to the price performance at these key levels to verify the accuracy of the analysis.
Follow Hashini for daily updates～
#非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备
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$BTC
Today mentioned twice that it stopped falling near 95000, still have opportunities for long positions
My family, pay attention, today we are going to have some fun again 😜
Once again, the prediction was successful
The strategy remains unchanged, short on rallies～
Follow Hashini, daily updates on points
#非农就业数据来袭 #比特币战略储备 #加密市场反弹
Today mentioned twice that it stopped falling near 95000, still have opportunities for long positions
My family, pay attention, today we are going to have some fun again 😜
Once again, the prediction was successful
The strategy remains unchanged, short on rallies～
Follow Hashini, daily updates on points
#非农就业数据来袭 #比特币战略储备 #加密市场反弹
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$BTC
The daily closing price has fallen below 95000
The upward trend has ended, and the bearish trend is established!
As long as the support level of 95000 is not broken, there is still an opportunity for a second rally in the market.
The strategy remains around 'short high, long low'
If BTC stands again around 97700, short positions can be established.
For stability, attention can be paid to the range of 98500 - 99500, and short positions can begin to be arranged.
No need to get too caught up in interest rate cuts.
Rapid interest rate cuts can easily trigger a rebound in inflation, leading investors to turn to safe-haven assets like gold and government bonds.
Slow interest rate cuts may lead to economic recession, causing investors to be more conservative and reduce high-risk investments, which may lead to a drop in Bitcoin prices.
So, interest rate cuts do not equal BTC rising!
Hone your trading skills and cultivate market sense without exhausting your energy.
Image reference 'Fox One'
Follow Hashini for daily point sharing～
#非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹 #稳定币日常支付
The daily closing price has fallen below 95000
The upward trend has ended, and the bearish trend is established!
As long as the support level of 95000 is not broken, there is still an opportunity for a second rally in the market.
The strategy remains around 'short high, long low'
If BTC stands again around 97700, short positions can be established.
For stability, attention can be paid to the range of 98500 - 99500, and short positions can begin to be arranged.
No need to get too caught up in interest rate cuts.
Rapid interest rate cuts can easily trigger a rebound in inflation, leading investors to turn to safe-haven assets like gold and government bonds.
Slow interest rate cuts may lead to economic recession, causing investors to be more conservative and reduce high-risk investments, which may lead to a drop in Bitcoin prices.
So, interest rate cuts do not equal BTC rising!
Hone your trading skills and cultivate market sense without exhausting your energy.
Image reference 'Fox One'
Follow Hashini for daily point sharing～
#非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹 #稳定币日常支付
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Delisting = Surge?
Alpaca's 30x surge taught everyone a lesson!
Everyone thought delisting was a negative signal, and retail investors all rushed to short, but it played right into the hands of the big players. In fact, before the delisting news, the big players were already quietly accumulating coins, waiting for the shorts to pile up, and then they immediately pumped the price, directly blowing up the shorts.
The Alpaca that was to be delisted not only didn't drop but surged instead, skyrocketing 30 times, peaking at $1.27, with over $52 million in liquidations in 24 hours, more than the liquidation volume of $BTC !
The funding rate settlement changed from 8 hours to 1 hour, and shorts not only had to guard against liquidation but also had to pay "interest" every hour. Those who couldn't hold on had to close their positions, further driving up the coin price.
The big players made money on both ends: accumulating at low prices and selling at high prices; contracts profiting from negative funding rates by liquidating shorts. Once Binance adjusts the funding rate cap, the coin price will plummet, leaving countless retail investors with nothing.
✈️ The observation area and delisting area are continuously creating legends, how should ordinary people benefit from this wave?
1. Low market cap = low-cost control
2. Position size greater than market cap: CoinGlass can check the entire network's contract positions
3. Observe the tokens in the tags; project teams pull the price to get rid of the label, or make one last profit before delisting
4. Negative funding rate, CoinGlass can check the negative funding rate leaderboard
Follow Hashini for daily position sharing～
#加密市场反弹 #非农就业数据来袭 #比特币战略储备
Alpaca's 30x surge taught everyone a lesson!
Everyone thought delisting was a negative signal, and retail investors all rushed to short, but it played right into the hands of the big players. In fact, before the delisting news, the big players were already quietly accumulating coins, waiting for the shorts to pile up, and then they immediately pumped the price, directly blowing up the shorts.
The Alpaca that was to be delisted not only didn't drop but surged instead, skyrocketing 30 times, peaking at $1.27, with over $52 million in liquidations in 24 hours, more than the liquidation volume of $BTC !
The funding rate settlement changed from 8 hours to 1 hour, and shorts not only had to guard against liquidation but also had to pay "interest" every hour. Those who couldn't hold on had to close their positions, further driving up the coin price.
The big players made money on both ends: accumulating at low prices and selling at high prices; contracts profiting from negative funding rates by liquidating shorts. Once Binance adjusts the funding rate cap, the coin price will plummet, leaving countless retail investors with nothing.
✈️ The observation area and delisting area are continuously creating legends, how should ordinary people benefit from this wave?
1. Low market cap = low-cost control
2. Position size greater than market cap: CoinGlass can check the entire network's contract positions
3. Observe the tokens in the tags; project teams pull the price to get rid of the label, or make one last profit before delisting
4. Negative funding rate, CoinGlass can check the negative funding rate leaderboard
Follow Hashini for daily position sharing～
#加密市场反弹 #非农就业数据来袭 #比特币战略储备
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Ethereum Pectra Upgrade on May 7
Interest Rate Meeting on May 8
$BTC Faked Breakout at 97400, 4-hour MACD Shows Top Divergence
This means the short-term rebound trend has ended. The market is expected to first fluctuate for a few days before entering a downward adjustment phase.
The first retracement target is around 93000, and the second target is around 91000.
If the interest rate decision is negative, Bitcoin is likely to experience a significant drop.
If a rate cut signal is released, it could reverse the market trend.
However, a rate cut too quickly may not be a good thing, as it can lead to inflation! I mentioned this in a previous post, you can check out my posts.
From an overall trend perspective, BTC is likely to experience a round of retracement decline starting with 8.
The ETF upgrade is imminent, but market sentiment remains generally fluctuating. The ETF market is merely a capital game among institutions like Grayscale and BlackRock, so don't be swayed by some news.
The market is fluctuating, and the current operational strategy can revolve around "short high and long low."
If BTC rises again above 97700 and ETH is at 1870, it can be seen as a shorting opportunity.
If the price of Bitcoin drops to around 95000 and shows signs of stopping the decline, it presents a good opportunity to set up long positions.
Follow Hashni, daily levels are continuously shared~
#非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备
Interest Rate Meeting on May 8
$BTC Faked Breakout at 97400, 4-hour MACD Shows Top Divergence
This means the short-term rebound trend has ended. The market is expected to first fluctuate for a few days before entering a downward adjustment phase.
The first retracement target is around 93000, and the second target is around 91000.
If the interest rate decision is negative, Bitcoin is likely to experience a significant drop.
If a rate cut signal is released, it could reverse the market trend.
However, a rate cut too quickly may not be a good thing, as it can lead to inflation! I mentioned this in a previous post, you can check out my posts.
From an overall trend perspective, BTC is likely to experience a round of retracement decline starting with 8.
The ETF upgrade is imminent, but market sentiment remains generally fluctuating. The ETF market is merely a capital game among institutions like Grayscale and BlackRock, so don't be swayed by some news.
The market is fluctuating, and the current operational strategy can revolve around "short high and long low."
If BTC rises again above 97700 and ETH is at 1870, it can be seen as a shorting opportunity.
If the price of Bitcoin drops to around 95000 and shows signs of stopping the decline, it presents a good opportunity to set up long positions.
Follow Hashni, daily levels are continuously shared~
#非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备
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$BTC
Don't chase high prices! Around 97800 is the recent ceiling!
Once the price rises to 97600, it won't go up anymore; the key is that the trading volume is decreasing. Even if it rises again, it won't exceed around 98600.
In the coming week, it will hover around 97000 for a few days, and then it will head down. Why bearish?
This time the price rebounded in a V-shape, and when it drops, it will likely be just as decisive. The first wave of correction will at least reach 91000, and if it’s more severe, it could directly hit 87000 - 85000.
Key points for everyone:
Resistance levels:
97400 is a strong short-term resistance; if it can't break through, don't fantasize about a big rise.
98200, 98500; if encountered, it’s time to consider reducing positions.
Support levels: If 96000 can't hold,
the next support is at 94800; if it breaks again, it will head straight for 91600. If these price levels are breached, the market will really head downward.
Follow Hashini, sharing key points daily~
#数字资产法案 #加密市场反弹 #非农就业数据来袭
Don't chase high prices! Around 97800 is the recent ceiling!
Once the price rises to 97600, it won't go up anymore; the key is that the trading volume is decreasing. Even if it rises again, it won't exceed around 98600.
In the coming week, it will hover around 97000 for a few days, and then it will head down. Why bearish?
This time the price rebounded in a V-shape, and when it drops, it will likely be just as decisive. The first wave of correction will at least reach 91000, and if it’s more severe, it could directly hit 87000 - 85000.
Key points for everyone:
Resistance levels:
97400 is a strong short-term resistance; if it can't break through, don't fantasize about a big rise.
98200, 98500; if encountered, it’s time to consider reducing positions.
Support levels: If 96000 can't hold,
the next support is at 94800; if it breaks again, it will head straight for 91600. If these price levels are breached, the market will really head downward.
Follow Hashini, sharing key points daily~
#数字资产法案 #加密市场反弹 #非农就业数据来袭
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$BTC
The view that there will be a major drop in May has not changed.
The current rise is just a setup for the upcoming drop; all my previous analyses have proven to be correct. If you're interested, feel free to check my posts.
Don't believe BlackRock, Trump, or the institutions. How much inventory do they have while shouting long-term bullish? Why would they easily accept losses and exit?
You never know when a sudden 'earth-sky needle' might hit, first smashing the price to the bottom to scare you out of your positions, and then immediately shooting up, trapping you completely.
Don't be fooled by these indistinguishable messages. Instead of staring at those ambiguous data every day, it’s better to refine your trading skills and develop your market sense.
Follow Hashini for daily point sharing～
#非农就业数据来袭 #数字资产法案 #加密市场反弹
The view that there will be a major drop in May has not changed.
The current rise is just a setup for the upcoming drop; all my previous analyses have proven to be correct. If you're interested, feel free to check my posts.
Don't believe BlackRock, Trump, or the institutions. How much inventory do they have while shouting long-term bullish? Why would they easily accept losses and exit?
You never know when a sudden 'earth-sky needle' might hit, first smashing the price to the bottom to scare you out of your positions, and then immediately shooting up, trapping you completely.
Don't be fooled by these indistinguishable messages. Instead of staring at those ambiguous data every day, it’s better to refine your trading skills and develop your market sense.
Follow Hashini for daily point sharing～
#非农就业数据来袭 #数字资产法案 #加密市场反弹
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