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刘宗毅A

Occasional Trader
3.9 Years
公众号:(老刘必发财)手续费现:R9RG1RK7(邀请码)手续费8折,永久有效,注册请告知
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The commission refund that the official won’t tell you㊙️, read this to lose 50% less 1️⃣ Trading costs drop by 30% Do you think you profit from the price fluctuations? Actually, the transaction fees are the hidden money-eating beast! When trading contracts with 100x leverage, the fees are calculated based on the amplified principal. For example🌰: 💰100,000 principal × 100x leverage = fees calculated as 10,000,000 👉 Order fee rate of 0.02% also amounts to 2,000 yuan! And a 30% commission refund can directly save you 600 yuan per transaction, high-frequency trading can save enough for a car🚗 in a year! 2️⃣ Compounding snowball effect The saved fees can be used to increase positions or hedge, allowing for low-cost trial and error on new strategies! User case: average monthly savings of 3,600 dollars ≈ like getting a small bull market profit for free🌊#加密市场反弹 $BTC
The commission refund that the official won’t tell you㊙️, read this to lose 50% less
1️⃣ Trading costs drop by 30%
Do you think you profit from the price fluctuations? Actually, the transaction fees are the hidden money-eating beast!
When trading contracts with 100x leverage, the fees are calculated based on the amplified principal.

For example🌰:
💰100,000 principal × 100x leverage = fees calculated as 10,000,000
👉 Order fee rate of 0.02% also amounts to 2,000 yuan!
And a 30% commission refund can directly save you 600 yuan per transaction, high-frequency trading can save enough for a car🚗 in a year!

2️⃣ Compounding snowball effect
The saved fees can be used to increase positions or hedge, allowing for low-cost trial and error on new strategies! User case: average monthly savings of 3,600 dollars ≈ like getting a small bull market profit for free🌊#加密市场反弹 $BTC
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In the early morning, the Fed issued four warnings.The Fed announced that it would maintain interest rates, but issued a rare warning. As a result, the U.S. stock market gave back gains, with the S&P 500 index briefly breaking the 6000-point mark, ultimately closing below that level. Warning One: Issuing an inflation warning. Tariffs will push up prices, and this effect may persist. The cost of tariffs ultimately has to be borne by someone, and much of it will fall on consumers—this was stated by Fed Chairman Powell at a press conference, where he has previously avoided commenting on specific views on tariffs, but this time he rarely expressed an opinion.

In the early morning, the Fed issued four warnings.

The Fed announced that it would maintain interest rates, but issued a rare warning. As a result, the U.S. stock market gave back gains, with the S&P 500 index briefly breaking the 6000-point mark, ultimately closing below that level.
Warning One: Issuing an inflation warning.
Tariffs will push up prices, and this effect may persist. The cost of tariffs ultimately has to be borne by someone, and much of it will fall on consumers—this was stated by Fed Chairman Powell at a press conference, where he has previously avoided commenting on specific views on tariffs, but this time he rarely expressed an opinion.
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Federal Reserve, PreviewThe Federal Reserve is about to announce the decision from the June meeting, which is the least impactful meeting so far this year. 1. No one expects a rate cut this time, and news about the Middle East and tariffs is dominating the headlines, so market attention to this meeting is very low. This meeting has the typical characteristics of 'three lows and one high': · Low expectations: The market generally expects no action; · Low attention: News coverage is taken away by the Middle East situation, EU tariffs, and the U.S. elections; · Low volatility in advance: Recent volatility in the U.S. stock and bond markets has been very low, with the VIX remaining at low levels. However, it is precisely because this meeting is expected to be 'squeezed', that if any surprises arise, investors may be caught off guard.

Federal Reserve, Preview

The Federal Reserve is about to announce the decision from the June meeting, which is the least impactful meeting so far this year.
1. No one expects a rate cut this time, and news about the Middle East and tariffs is dominating the headlines, so market attention to this meeting is very low.
This meeting has the typical characteristics of 'three lows and one high':
· Low expectations: The market generally expects no action;
· Low attention: News coverage is taken away by the Middle East situation, EU tariffs, and the U.S. elections;
· Low volatility in advance: Recent volatility in the U.S. stock and bond markets has been very low, with the VIX remaining at low levels.
However, it is precisely because this meeting is expected to be 'squeezed', that if any surprises arise, investors may be caught off guard.
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A great war is imminent—— A final facade of calm. Market atmosphere is unprecedentedly tense: - Gold and oil opened slightly higher on Wednesday, while U.S. stocks fell across the board the previous night. - VIX (Volatility Index) soared to 21, while VVIX (which measures VIX volatility) surged to a high not seen since April, even the "insurance for insurance" is rising — the market is actively buying "downside protection." The market's nervous system is on alert; there is a sense that a great war is imminent. 1. Trump met with his national security team for over an hour, raising speculation about the U.S. potentially joining Israel in attacking Iran. The White House did not immediately issue a statement afterward.

A great war is imminent

—— A final facade of calm.
Market atmosphere is unprecedentedly tense:
- Gold and oil opened slightly higher on Wednesday, while U.S. stocks fell across the board the previous night.
- VIX (Volatility Index) soared to 21, while VVIX (which measures VIX volatility) surged to a high not seen since April, even the "insurance for insurance" is rising — the market is actively buying "downside protection."
The market's nervous system is on alert; there is a sense that a great war is imminent.
1. Trump met with his national security team for over an hour, raising speculation about the U.S. potentially joining Israel in attacking Iran. The White House did not immediately issue a statement afterward.
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Drop 5000 points❓ Listen to the applause, 🤑 it's all the scent of 💰. $BTC #暴跌潮来袭 Bitcoin ongoing short-selling view, 10.87 top 👍, then the aunt seems a bit insufficient, continue to hold lightly, closing and reopening carries significant risk, or after reducing positions, do a break-even loss.
Drop 5000 points❓
Listen to the applause, 🤑 it's all the scent of 💰.
$BTC #暴跌潮来袭
Bitcoin ongoing short-selling view, 10.87 top 👍, then the aunt seems a bit insufficient, continue to hold lightly, closing and reopening carries significant risk, or after reducing positions, do a break-even loss.
ETHUSDT
Short
Unrealized PNL (USDT)
+379.00%
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10.72📍 Are you daring to short again here❓ Trying to short at a small level, entering with a light position, short-term position preferred. #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC Let me share my thoughts: I still hold the short position at 10.87 that I posted this morning, expanding the light position for significant gains. For high-frequency trading, we look at the 1-hour and 15-minute levels; overthinking is useless. Currently, there has not been much change. The small level has already broken below the MA30 daily moving average, and the rebound has not broken the intraday high, leading to a significant drop accompanied by a small rebound. The reason is that the divergence signal given by the 4-hour structure is too strong. Therefore, at this position of 10.72📍, it is relatively favorable for the high-frequency short viewpoint to hold, based on the principle of resonance. Below, 10.58-10.42 is all within the box resonance interval. We will plan the next steps upon reaching or breaking this level. In any case, I believe the possibility of a breakdown is slightly greater, or that only by shorting can one preserve capital.
10.72📍
Are you daring to short again here❓
Trying to short at a small level, entering with a light position, short-term position preferred.
#美联储FOMC会议 $BTC
Let me share my thoughts: I still hold the short position at 10.87 that I posted this morning, expanding the light position for significant gains.

For high-frequency trading, we look at the 1-hour and 15-minute levels; overthinking is useless. Currently, there has not been much change. The small level has already broken below the MA30 daily moving average, and the rebound has not broken the intraday high, leading to a significant drop accompanied by a small rebound. The reason is that the divergence signal given by the 4-hour structure is too strong. Therefore, at this position of 10.72📍, it is relatively favorable for the high-frequency short viewpoint to hold, based on the principle of resonance.

Below, 10.58-10.42 is all within the box resonance interval. We will plan the next steps upon reaching or breaking this level. In any case, I believe the possibility of a breakdown is slightly greater, or that only by shorting can one preserve capital.
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Remember this location📍 The price is approaching the 10.9 point💥 $BTC #加密市场反弹 Shorting goes without saying, it's the best time to take a four-hour level position, why❓ It meets the divergence conditions and is synchronized with the one-hour, it is completely possible to short at this stage. The current price is at 10.87, if you feel unstable you can enter with a small position to increase the floating profit space, based on the original amount open 5 BTC, now you can just open 2.
Remember this location📍
The price is approaching the 10.9 point💥
$BTC #加密市场反弹
Shorting goes without saying, it's the best time to take a four-hour level position, why❓ It meets the divergence conditions and is synchronized with the one-hour, it is completely possible to short at this stage.

The current price is at 10.87, if you feel unstable you can enter with a small position to increase the floating profit space, based on the original amount open 5 BTC, now you can just open 2.
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Trump announces after the market closes, this is a serious matter.After the global markets closed, Trump announced a shocking piece of news: the nominee for the next Federal Reserve chair 'will be announced soon.' This is a serious matter. It seems like just another normal news— the president nominates the next Federal Reserve chair, which is expected. But this is a significant negative news, shocking the world. First, Trump's choice to announce after the global market closes on Friday indicates that he knows this is bad news, leaving the market to digest and forget over the weekend. Second, announcing the nominee for the next Federal Reserve chair nearly a year in advance (Powell's term does not end until May next year) is extremely rare in modern Federal Reserve history— this news is comparable to 'firing Powell', and it is a 'covert palace coup'. After announcing the next nominee, Powell's influence on the market will be greatly weakened. Market attention will shift to what the next Federal Reserve chair is saying and preparing to do, even if Powell is still in place, the market will already regard him as a 'caretaker chair'.

Trump announces after the market closes, this is a serious matter.

After the global markets closed, Trump announced a shocking piece of news: the nominee for the next Federal Reserve chair 'will be announced soon.'
This is a serious matter.
It seems like just another normal news— the president nominates the next Federal Reserve chair, which is expected. But this is a significant negative news, shocking the world.
First, Trump's choice to announce after the global market closes on Friday indicates that he knows this is bad news, leaving the market to digest and forget over the weekend.
Second, announcing the nominee for the next Federal Reserve chair nearly a year in advance (Powell's term does not end until May next year) is extremely rare in modern Federal Reserve history— this news is comparable to 'firing Powell', and it is a 'covert palace coup'. After announcing the next nominee, Powell's influence on the market will be greatly weakened. Market attention will shift to what the next Federal Reserve chair is saying and preparing to do, even if Powell is still in place, the market will already regard him as a 'caretaker chair'.
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Preview of the Second China-U.S. Talks, a Huge Amount of InformationTrump also expects that this meeting should go very smoothly. Trump posted on Friday that his three cabinet officials will meet with Chinese representatives in London next Monday to discuss the trade agreement. The U.S. side will be represented by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, and Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer. First, the meeting location is in London (a third-party country) = 'keeping distance, leaving room'. Choosing the UK instead of Beijing or Washington indicates that both sides are not yet ready to publicly demonstrate willingness at home. However, being willing to engage in 'dialogue in a third place' is itself a signal of de-escalation.

Preview of the Second China-U.S. Talks, a Huge Amount of Information

Trump also expects that this meeting should go very smoothly.
Trump posted on Friday that his three cabinet officials will meet with Chinese representatives in London next Monday to discuss the trade agreement. The U.S. side will be represented by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, and Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer.
First, the meeting location is in London (a third-party country) = 'keeping distance, leaving room'. Choosing the UK instead of Beijing or Washington indicates that both sides are not yet ready to publicly demonstrate willingness at home. However, being willing to engage in 'dialogue in a third place' is itself a signal of de-escalation.
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China wakes up, and the world experiences a decent declineChina wakes up, and a decent decline occurred in global markets: - The dollar, U.S. stocks, U.S. Treasury bonds, gold, Bitcoin, and other assets suffered indiscriminate selling, but the decline was not large. This decline was considered 'decent' because funds have not fully exited, but they also do not dare to launch a full offensive. First, news of the call came yesterday, but the U.S. stock market did not gain any boost. The call was seen by the market as 'news landing,' leading to 'buying the news, selling the facts' operations. There was no official statement on the White House's official website, but Trump revealed some details during an interview with reporters:

China wakes up, and the world experiences a decent decline

China wakes up, and a decent decline occurred in global markets:
- The dollar, U.S. stocks, U.S. Treasury bonds, gold, Bitcoin, and other assets suffered indiscriminate selling, but the decline was not large. This decline was considered 'decent' because funds have not fully exited, but they also do not dare to launch a full offensive.
First, news of the call came yesterday, but the U.S. stock market did not gain any boost. The call was seen by the market as 'news landing,' leading to 'buying the news, selling the facts' operations.
There was no official statement on the White House's official website, but Trump revealed some details during an interview with reporters:
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Federal Reserve, Interest Rate Cuts Change Late at NightOvernight, the market's expectation for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut suddenly surged—The probability of a rate cut in September rose to over 90%, and it is expected that there will be a cut of about 55 basis points by the end of the year (at least two cuts of 25 basis points). This is a substantial upgrade in interest rate cut expectations, and the reasons behind it are different from the past. Previously, the expectation of rate cuts increased due to escalating tariff threats, stemming from invisible, intangible, and hard-to-quantify concerns. But last night, it was due to worsening economic data that broke the market's imagined expectations. · ADP added 37,000 jobs in May: a new low since March of last year, far below the market expectation of 114,000. Tariffs have already begun to impact companies' hiring intentions, and the overall resilience of the labor market is starting to weaken.

Federal Reserve, Interest Rate Cuts Change Late at Night

Overnight, the market's expectation for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut suddenly surged—The probability of a rate cut in September rose to over 90%, and it is expected that there will be a cut of about 55 basis points by the end of the year (at least two cuts of 25 basis points).
This is a substantial upgrade in interest rate cut expectations, and the reasons behind it are different from the past. Previously, the expectation of rate cuts increased due to escalating tariff threats, stemming from invisible, intangible, and hard-to-quantify concerns. But last night, it was due to worsening economic data that broke the market's imagined expectations.
· ADP added 37,000 jobs in May: a new low since March of last year, far below the market expectation of 114,000. Tariffs have already begun to impact companies' hiring intentions, and the overall resilience of the labor market is starting to weaken.
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Late at night, emergency market rescueOn Monday, after experiencing a suffocating round of selling, the situation improved in the evening. First, let’s look at the US stock market close: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.08%, the S&P 500 index rose by 0.41%, and the Nasdaq index rose by 0.67%—such a close helps stabilize market sentiment. Behind the market trend is the joint market rescue by the White House and the Federal Reserve. 1. Data released at 22:00 Beijing time showed that the US manufacturing PMI has contracted for the third consecutive month, and the import index has fallen to a 16-year low—when the data deteriorates to a certain extent, bad news is interpreted as good news, and the market begins to harbor fantasies about interest rate cuts—the market starts to rebound.

Late at night, emergency market rescue

On Monday, after experiencing a suffocating round of selling, the situation improved in the evening.
First, let’s look at the US stock market close: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.08%, the S&P 500 index rose by 0.41%, and the Nasdaq index rose by 0.67%—such a close helps stabilize market sentiment.
Behind the market trend is the joint market rescue by the White House and the Federal Reserve.
1. Data released at 22:00 Beijing time showed that the US manufacturing PMI has contracted for the third consecutive month, and the import index has fallen to a 16-year low—when the data deteriorates to a certain extent, bad news is interpreted as good news, and the market begins to harbor fantasies about interest rate cuts—the market starts to rebound.
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How can old users earn commissions❓ Binance exclusive channel, the customer service will automatically provide the link🔗, enter the invitation code to participate in the commission. #PCE数据来袭 $BTC As shown in the picture below, enter: If the referrer ID was not added during registration, a link will automatically pop up. Enter the referrer's invitation code to participate. Invitation link:https://www.marketwebb.me/join?ref=R9RG1RK7 Invitation code:R9RG1RK7
How can old users earn commissions❓
Binance exclusive channel, the customer service will automatically provide the link🔗, enter the invitation code to participate in the commission.
#PCE数据来袭 $BTC
As shown in the picture below, enter: If the referrer ID was not added during registration, a link will automatically pop up. Enter the referrer's invitation code to participate.

Invitation link:https://www.marketwebb.me/join?ref=R9RG1RK7

Invitation code:R9RG1RK7
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Many brothers do not understand $WCT , so let us educate our brothers a bit, at least let you know what this coin is for, there are very few KOLs in the crypto circle discussing this topic. WCT is a coin focused on network security, major platforms' web3 wallets have collaborated with WCT, and the mainstream platforms and wallets shown in the image all utilize the WCT network. The prospects are very good, with widespread applications and practical uses; basically, any wallet you have seen or used is likely using the WalletConnect network, and the security of the wallets is provided by WCT. A project that provides a secure network for the crypto market, what market value do you think would match its value? The only drawback is the market makers, who are not performing well and are not pushing the market properly, but if you hold this coin for the long term, it will definitely perform well. That’s why I was madly recommending it when it was at 0.4-0.5, because I know what this coin is for, because I know the future value of this coin, this is investment research, so investment research helps you understand the quality of the coin, letting you know clearly what this coin is all about. #WCT {future}(WCTUSDT)
Many brothers do not understand $WCT , so let us educate our brothers a bit, at least let you know what this coin is for, there are very few KOLs in the crypto circle discussing this topic.

WCT is a coin focused on network security, major platforms' web3 wallets have collaborated with WCT, and the mainstream platforms and wallets shown in the image all utilize the WCT network.

The prospects are very good, with widespread applications and practical uses; basically, any wallet you have seen or used is likely using the WalletConnect network, and the security of the wallets is provided by WCT.

A project that provides a secure network for the crypto market, what market value do you think would match its value?
The only drawback is the market makers, who are not performing well and are not pushing the market properly, but if you hold this coin for the long term, it will definitely perform well.
That’s why I was madly recommending it when it was at 0.4-0.5, because I know what this coin is for, because I know the future value of this coin, this is investment research, so investment research helps you understand the quality of the coin, letting you know clearly what this coin is all about. #WCT
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A sharp decline would be the best gift to the world Trump's latest tariff threats have shattered hopes that the trade war is about to ease: global stock markets are down, the dollar has fallen to its lowest point this year, and U.S. Treasury yields have risen—markets are expressing their unease through their actions. First, the market has not yet entered the worst-case scenario that traders assume, where the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rises to 5% and the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rises to 6%—whether or not this occurs, conditions may worsen further before improving. Second, according to the latest survey, investors continue to be bearish on U.S. stocks next week (65% bearish, 24% bullish), slightly bearish on A-shares next week (45% bearish, 41% bullish), and market sentiment has not improved. Third, our exclusive indicators show significant signals for the dollar, A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, yen, gold, crude oil, and Bitcoin after this week's close. In this context, a dramatic decline (a “controlled” adjustment) would be the best gift to the world: On one hand, a sharp drop can eliminate obvious asset bubbles and excessive speculation, quickly wash away excessive optimism and leverage positions, allowing the market to reassess the reasonable range of asset prices. On the other hand, it would force the Federal Reserve to act and compel Trump to rein in his actions, ushering in a more promising trading environment. For investors, losing expectations is the most painful. We can choose to face this world with panic and anger, or we can choose to view it with a relaxed, slightly ironic mindset and think gently about what we can do.
A sharp decline would be the best gift to the world
Trump's latest tariff threats have shattered hopes that the trade war is about to ease: global stock markets are down, the dollar has fallen to its lowest point this year, and U.S. Treasury yields have risen—markets are expressing their unease through their actions.

First, the market has not yet entered the worst-case scenario that traders assume, where the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rises to 5% and the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rises to 6%—whether or not this occurs, conditions may worsen further before improving.

Second, according to the latest survey, investors continue to be bearish on U.S. stocks next week (65% bearish, 24% bullish), slightly bearish on A-shares next week (45% bearish, 41% bullish), and market sentiment has not improved.

Third, our exclusive indicators show significant signals for the dollar, A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, yen, gold, crude oil, and Bitcoin after this week's close.

In this context, a dramatic decline (a “controlled” adjustment) would be the best gift to the world:

On one hand, a sharp drop can eliminate obvious asset bubbles and excessive speculation, quickly wash away excessive optimism and leverage positions, allowing the market to reassess the reasonable range of asset prices.

On the other hand, it would force the Federal Reserve to act and compel Trump to rein in his actions, ushering in a more promising trading environment.

For investors, losing expectations is the most painful. We can choose to face this world with panic and anger, or we can choose to view it with a relaxed, slightly ironic mindset and think gently about what we can do.
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Like a Prelude to a Big DropFriday: Clear skies, light clouds. It seems like the quietest trading day this week, but traders are considering many issues. First, the dollar and U.S. stock futures are still falling, A-shares turned down in the afternoon, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hovers above 4.5% (which itself indicates higher market expectations for the interest rate center), and gold has once again risen above $3,300 — all of this seems like some kind of omen (reflecting market concerns about future risk events). Second, last night the U.S. House of Representatives voted to pass Trump's "Big and Beautiful Bill", which could lead to a multi-trillion dollar increase in the U.S. budget deficit (raising questions about overseas demand for U.S. assets) — the market will respond further. The feedback from the market on the first day and the second day is different; the first day is an information shock, while the second day is emotional differentiation. Just like the typical market reversal the day after the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

Like a Prelude to a Big Drop

Friday: Clear skies, light clouds.
It seems like the quietest trading day this week, but traders are considering many issues.
First, the dollar and U.S. stock futures are still falling, A-shares turned down in the afternoon, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hovers above 4.5% (which itself indicates higher market expectations for the interest rate center), and gold has once again risen above $3,300 — all of this seems like some kind of omen (reflecting market concerns about future risk events).
Second, last night the U.S. House of Representatives voted to pass Trump's "Big and Beautiful Bill", which could lead to a multi-trillion dollar increase in the U.S. budget deficit (raising questions about overseas demand for U.S. assets) — the market will respond further. The feedback from the market on the first day and the second day is different; the first day is an information shock, while the second day is emotional differentiation. Just like the typical market reversal the day after the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
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Fall, fall, fall! The straw that broke America.Fall, fall, fall, as an auction result triggers a chain collapse in the market. U.S. dollar, down; U.S. stocks, down; U.S. bonds, down. The straw that broke the market's back has appeared—the U.S. 20-year bond auction results were poor, causing the bond market to collapse again and triggering a significant drop in the stock market. Last night, the U.S. Treasury issued $16 billion in 20-year bonds, with a winning yield of 5.047%. This is only the second time that the yield has exceeded 5% in a 20-year bond auction, which is 24 basis points higher than April's 4.810%. Firstly, from a market impact perspective, the 'sell America' trade has returned. The dollar, U.S. stocks, and U.S. bonds are all falling simultaneously—the dollar has fallen for three consecutive days, and the yield on 10-year U.S. bonds has broken through 4.6%, with the U.S. stock market experiencing its largest single-day drop in nearly a month.

Fall, fall, fall! The straw that broke America.

Fall, fall, fall, as an auction result triggers a chain collapse in the market.
U.S. dollar, down;
U.S. stocks, down;
U.S. bonds, down.
The straw that broke the market's back has appeared—the U.S. 20-year bond auction results were poor, causing the bond market to collapse again and triggering a significant drop in the stock market.
Last night, the U.S. Treasury issued $16 billion in 20-year bonds, with a winning yield of 5.047%. This is only the second time that the yield has exceeded 5% in a 20-year bond auction, which is 24 basis points higher than April's 4.810%.
Firstly, from a market impact perspective, the 'sell America' trade has returned. The dollar, U.S. stocks, and U.S. bonds are all falling simultaneously—the dollar has fallen for three consecutive days, and the yield on 10-year U.S. bonds has broken through 4.6%, with the U.S. stock market experiencing its largest single-day drop in nearly a month.
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Misfortune Only Finds the Unfortunate Since there are no heights to fear here❓ $BTC #BTC再创新高 Waking up to see this point, I have to try to short at 10.87, setting the stop loss right at the whole number of 11, and taking profits by reducing positions in batches.
Misfortune Only Finds the Unfortunate
Since there are no heights to fear here❓
$BTC #BTC再创新高
Waking up to see this point, I have to try to short at 10.87, setting the stop loss right at the whole number of 11, and taking profits by reducing positions in batches.
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Trump's Line Has Been Breached!Everything is happening at a moment when summer is approaching, usually a relatively calm time. The US dollar index has fallen for three consecutive trading days, erasing all gains since the US-China talks were announced on May 7. First, reports this morning about Israel preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities triggered safe-haven buying in Swiss francs and yen, which has now evolved into a broader wave of dollar selling. Currently, global asset sensitivity remains very high; a single report has sparked a widespread dollar sell-off, reflecting more on market positioning leaning towards 'high leverage long positions in the dollar' that flee at any hint of bad news.

Trump's Line Has Been Breached!

Everything is happening at a moment when summer is approaching, usually a relatively calm time.
The US dollar index has fallen for three consecutive trading days, erasing all gains since the US-China talks were announced on May 7.
First, reports this morning about Israel preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities triggered safe-haven buying in Swiss francs and yen, which has now evolved into a broader wave of dollar selling. Currently, global asset sensitivity remains very high; a single report has sparked a widespread dollar sell-off, reflecting more on market positioning leaning towards 'high leverage long positions in the dollar' that flee at any hint of bad news.
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At 21:00 sharp, the world suddenly fellGlobal markets exhibited a pattern of 'gold rising, everything else falling' yesterday, indicating that capital has not truly embraced risk assets, and the market is in a 'half-skeptical' state under the dual uncertainties of 'trade + fiscal policies.' First, the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks, and U.S. Treasury bonds are all declining simultaneously—the dollar is about to fall below the 100 level, and the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds is about to break through the 4.5% alert level, signaling danger in the market. Second, the turning point for the market occurred between 21:00 and 22:00 Beijing time, as U.S. investors began to sell off right after the market opened, resembling a delayed reaction to Moody's downgrade of the U.S. rating (the market's pricing of U.S. sovereign credit risk has clearly risen).

At 21:00 sharp, the world suddenly fell

Global markets exhibited a pattern of 'gold rising, everything else falling' yesterday, indicating that capital has not truly embraced risk assets, and the market is in a 'half-skeptical' state under the dual uncertainties of 'trade + fiscal policies.'
First, the U.S. dollar, U.S. stocks, and U.S. Treasury bonds are all declining simultaneously—the dollar is about to fall below the 100 level, and the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds is about to break through the 4.5% alert level, signaling danger in the market.
Second, the turning point for the market occurred between 21:00 and 22:00 Beijing time, as U.S. investors began to sell off right after the market opened, resembling a delayed reaction to Moody's downgrade of the U.S. rating (the market's pricing of U.S. sovereign credit risk has clearly risen).
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