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The Federal Reserve's decision is about to come, beware of the bears' efforts! 6.18 Bitcoin Aunt's strategy
At 2 AM the next day, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision, and at 2:30 PM, Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference. The market expects a high probability that the Federal Reserve will remain unchanged this time, it just depends on Powell's attitude to affect the price movement! Currently, the situation in Iran is becoming increasingly tense, and Trump is clearly leaning towards Israel. Trump issued a statement demanding Iran's 'unconditional surrender' and warned of possible strikes against Iranian leaders. At present, Iran does not seem to have any intention of backing down. The escalating tensions have caused bears to retreat, and yesterday's shorts have performed well, join in and profit!
The daily line has two days of closing with long upper shadows. Although funds continue to flow into the ETF market, the geopolitical risks have intensified, and prices have not rebounded strongly. The daily line closing still looks bearish, so for intraday operations, Conan suggests focusing on shorting during rebounds. The upper pressure levels to watch are 106200, 107700, 109000, and 110000, while the lower support levels to watch are 104000, 103000, 102000, 101000, and 100000.
6.18 Bitcoin trading strategy: For intraday rebounds, enter short at 105500-105800, conservative traders at 106200-106500, with a stop loss around 107000, targeting 105000-104500-104000-103000, and if broken, look at 102500-102000. Continue holding if broken, depending on the situation!
6.18 Ethereum trading strategy: Aggressive traders short around 2550 on rebounds, conservative traders enter at 2580-2610, with a stop loss around 2650, targeting 2500-2470-2450, and if broken, look at 2430-2400, continue holding if broken, depending on the situation!
Long position strategy: For intraday Bitcoin pullbacks, add one lot at 102500-103000, with a stop loss at 102000, targeting 104000-104500-105000, and if broken, continue holding depending on the situation!
For Ethereum pullbacks, enter one lot at 2400-2430, with a stop loss around 2380, targeting 2450-2480-2500-2530, and if broken, adjust the stop loss depending on the situation!
In the midnight, the price of cryptocurrencies rebounded slightly, and the long entry points were only slightly different; shorts made a big profit, and long points could also yield some returns. If the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates, then the rebound strength of prices will be limited. Coupled with the unfavorable international situation, funds may lean more towards the gold and oil markets. Everyone should pay attention to the risks! #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC
Directly achieving divinity in two battles, shorted yesterday and replenished at night, exited this morning, today the intraday short position on Bitcoin is over two thousand points, and Ethereum also has fifty to sixty points. Friends who followed can move the stop loss to 2565/105800 for Poly! Currently, the U.S. stock market opened low and is rebounding, bringing the Poly stop loss to prevent the cryptocurrency prices from following the stock market rebound and to prevent profit withdrawal. Or simply take the profits! Those who haven't boarded can continue to wait for the rebound!
Short on Bitcoin during the rebound at 106700-107000, enter Ethereum during the rebound at 2580-2600, defend at 107500/2630, and aim for 105000-104500-104000-103500-103000 for Bitcoin, and for Ethereum aim for 2550-2530-2500, hold if it breaks and watch the situation!
For long positions, refer to the entry points given in the morning! #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突
The intraday short positions dropped by over a thousand points, and Ethereum also fell by nearly 50 points! Friends who followed can move their stop-loss to protect profits, and those who haven't entered can continue to wait for a rebound! The reference points given in the morning remain unchanged! #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC
Escalation of the Israel-Iran Conflict, Be Cautious of Short Selling! 6.17 Bitcoin Trading Strategy
In the early hours of the 17th, news from Iran reported explosions in the eastern part of Tehran, with the air defense system activated to intercept aerial targets. Shortly thereafter, reporters in Tehran heard intense gunfire. Around 7 AM, explosions were also reported in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region. It seems Iran has begun to counterattack. Last night, the cryptocurrency price broke through the stop-loss level provided, and seeing the situation, this trade has already had its stop-loss removed; this morning's waterfall can be considered as having been held back. Ethereum's stop-loss at 2580 was swept, while Bitcoin is still being held!
Geopolitical risks are increasing. Although US stocks were strong yesterday, cryptocurrency prices also rose, mainly due to significant inflows in the ETF market. Capital has controlled the entire market; the daily close is undoubtedly a signal of a trend change. The Bollinger Bands are still slowly contracting, and combined with the weekly doji star, if there is no interest rate cut this week, the price could break through the daily 60-day moving average near 101600. Therefore, we firmly hold a bearish outlook this week! Key resistance levels to watch are 109200, 110000, and 111000. Key support levels to watch are 106000, 105000, 104000, 103000, 102000, 101000, and 100000.
6.17 Bitcoin Trading Strategy: Aggressive traders should short at 107700-108000, and conservative traders should enter at 108500-109000, with a stop-loss near 109500, targeting around 106000-105000. If broken, watch for 104000-103000-102000. Continue to hold based on the situation!
6.17 Ethereum Trading Strategy: Aggressive traders should short at 2600-2630, and conservative traders should enter at 2650-2680, with a stop-loss near 2700, targeting around 2550-2500-2470-2450. If broken, watch for around 2430-2400. Continue to hold based on the situation!
Long Position Strategy: For Bitcoin, enter one position long during intraday dips at 102500-103000, with a stop-loss at 102000, targeting around 104000-104500-105000. If broken, continue to hold based on the situation!
For Ethereum, enter one position long during dips at 2430-2450, with a stop-loss near 2400, targeting around 2480-2500-2540. If broken, adjust the stop-loss based on the situation!
Geopolitical risks are increasing, and protests against Trump's unilateralism are also escalating. It is still unknown how this will evolve. The market expects that the Federal Reserve's decision this week will remain unchanged. Therefore, the main outlook is bearish; the higher it goes, the harder it will fall! $BTC #Metaplanet增持比特币 #以色列伊朗冲突
Israel submitted a revised proposal in hostage negotiations with Hamas, suggesting a possible opening for a temporary ceasefire. Subsequently, U.S. stock futures surged strongly during the day, while gold and oil prices fell sharply. U.S. stocks also opened higher as expected.
Currently, Russia is negotiating with the U.S. on issues related to Iran. However, Iran privately stated that if the U.S. does not participate, it will resume nuclear negotiations. Therefore, the situation seems difficult to alleviate, so Conan suggests focusing on short positions during rebounds this evening!
For Bitcoin, enter short at the current price of 107200-107700, with a stop loss at 108500 and targets at 106000-105500-105000. If it breaks down, watch 104500-104000.
For Ethereum, enter short at 2630-2640, with a stop loss at 2660 and targets at 2600-2580-2550. If it breaks down, watch 2530-2500.
Super Central Bank Week is Coming, Can We Take Off Again This Week? 6.16 Bitcoin Aunt's Strategy
Before the latest escalation of geopolitical tensions, traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates. Although these bets slightly retreated on Friday, the money market still expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates twice before the end of the year. This week is Super Central Bank Week, waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision!
The daily line closed on the weekend with one bearish and one bullish candle, both with long upper shadows. The Bollinger Bands are severely contracted, and after the price broke below the 20-day moving average, it has tested the price for three days without breaking through. Both MACD and KDJ are in a death cross downward, with slight volume increase, and the weekly K line has consecutively closed two doji candles, finishing below the 5-day moving average. Therefore, without much favorable conditions this week, Conan suggests taking a primarily short position! Pay attention to resistance levels at 106300, 107500, 109000, and 110000, while support levels are at 104000, 103000, 102000, 101000, and 100000.
6.16 Bitcoin Trading Strategy: Aggressive traders can short at 106000-106300, while conservative traders can enter at 106700-107000, with a stop-loss around 107500, targeting near 105000-104000, and if broken, look towards 103000-102000, holding based on the situation!
6.14 Ethereum Trading Strategy: Aggressive traders can short one contract on a rebound at 2550-2580, while conservative traders can enter at 2610-2630, with a stop-loss around 2650, targeting near 2500-2470-2450, and if broken, look towards 2430-2400, holding based on the situation!
Long Position Strategy: During the day, if Bitcoin pulls back to 102500-103000, go long one contract, with a stop-loss at 102000, targeting near 104000-104500-105000, holding based on the situation!
For Ethereum, if it pulls back to 2430-2450, go long one contract, with a stop-loss around 2400, targeting near 2480-2500-2540, moving the stop-loss based on the situation!
Geopolitical risks are escalating, and there is internal conflict in the U.S. Unless the Federal Reserve urgently lowers interest rates or funds continue to flow in, it will be difficult to drive the bull market again. Last week, many gained by shorting, and I believe those who followed earned quite a lot. This week, we will temporarily maintain a high position shorting strategy, so everyone should be cautious in bottom fishing! #伊朗袭击以色列
Yesterday's strategy for continuing to short on the rebound was executed accurately again. Currently, Bitcoin can drop to 600-1100 points, and Ethereum can drop nearly forty points. Friends who followed can move their stop-loss to protect profits or take cash!
For those who haven't entered, continue to ambush on the rebound, enter Bitcoin at 106000-106500, with a stop-loss at 106800, and target around 105000-104000-103000. Hold if it breaks!
For Ethereum, enter short on the rebound at 2550-2580, with a stop-loss at 2620, and target around 2500-2480-2450. Hold if it breaks! #特朗普比特币金库 $BTC
The short selling ideas provided at midnight and the short selling points given yesterday were very accurate. In the morning yesterday, we looked for a rebound to go long, and as the evening approached, we managed to take more than a hundred points on Ethereum and over two thousand points on Bitcoin. The short selling ideas given subsequently have also realized over a thousand points. Those who followed should pay attention to moving their stop loss to protect profits! For those who missed the entry, short Bitcoin on the rebound at 105500-106000, with a stop loss above 106500, targeting 104500-104000-103500-103000; hold if it breaks and watch the situation!
For Ethereum, short on the rebound at 2550-2580, with a stop loss at 2620, targeting around 2500-2480-2450, and if it breaks, watch around 2430-2400! #以色列伊朗冲突 #美国阅兵
How to Understand Whether Bitcoin is a Risk Asset or a Safe-Haven Asset?
Many times, Bitcoin keeps rising against the odds, and even geopolitical risks cannot suppress its upward momentum. Therefore, many friends say that Bitcoin has become digital gold. However, it depends on how we specifically view it!
In the eyes of different people, its attributes are different. For high-net-worth investors, it may be a safe-haven asset, but what they are avoiding is not the risk of asset depreciation, but the risk of asset exchange.
Everyone knows that during geopolitical conflicts, the first thing a country restricts is currency exchange, and if one wants to leave that country, many assets cannot be fully taken away, such as local gold, stocks, bonds, real estate, and cash. However, BTC is different; when Biden was in office, many people took away crypto assets.
Many friends have also discussed why it cannot be USDT or USDC? For ordinary people, stablecoins are undoubtedly the best, but stablecoins have no appreciation potential. For high-net-worth investors, what they look at is not short-term fluctuations but long-term value. Therefore, in recent years, Bitcoin has been shifting towards long-term and high-net-worth investors.
However, for small-scale investors, due to its strong volatility, it is inevitably a risk asset. After all, for most investors, Bitcoin is just a tool for wealth, not wealth itself.
As we often say, it is just that its volatility attracts many risk investors. They want to profit from its fluctuations, which is what we call buying low and selling high! Conan focuses on contract investment; if you are also interested, we can discuss and broaden our horizons together. If there is a need in this area, we can discuss it in the comments!
Long positions are profiting, opportunities and levels have been given, I wonder if everyone has kept up? A significant drop must have a rebound is a consensus. The drop caused by news has led to an intraday rebound of over 2000 points, and Ethereum also rebounded by over 100 points, this wave of long positions is profitable. Friends who have kept up can move their stop loss to protect profits or directly take profits! In the absence of obvious negative news, continue to go long on dips, first focus on the gains and losses around the 106500 level, and near this position, one can try to short! For Ethereum, reference 2550-2570 for entry!
Israeli airstrikes on Iran, cryptocurrency prices this morning fell below 103,000, Ethereum also broke below 2,500. From this evening until now, Bitcoin has plummeted over 5,000 points, and Ethereum has dropped over 300 points. Last night, a long position strategy was suggested, slowly moving the stop loss, ultimately exiting with a small profit. Unfortunately, the short entry point was not good, and the opportunity to catch this pullback was missed!
The daily chart closed with a large bearish candle, and the bearish trend continued this morning, with Ethereum's drop exceeding 10%. It's been a while since we encountered such market conditions. Therefore, we expect a rebound during the day, but due to intensifying geopolitical risks and issues in California, the main outlook for the day is bearish! Key resistance levels to watch are 105,000, 106,500, and 107,500; key support levels are 102,000, 101,000, and 100,000.
6.13 Bitcoin trading strategy: Aggressive traders can enter long positions at the current price of 102,500-103,000; conservative traders can enter at 101,500-102,000, with a stop loss near 101,000 and a target of around 104,000-105,000. If broken, look for 105,500-106,000-106,500.
6.13 Ethereum trading strategy: Aggressive traders can buy at the current price of 2,450-2,470; conservative traders can enter at 2,410-2,430, with a stop loss near 2,380 and a target of around 2,530-2,550. If broken, look for 2,580-2,600.
Short position strategy: For Bitcoin, sell one contract at 106,500-107,000 during the rebound; conservative traders can enter at 107,500-108,000 with a stop loss at 108,500, targeting around 105,000-104,000-103,000. If broken, hold on for 102,500-102,000.
For Ethereum, sell one contract at 2,550-2,580 during the rebound; conservative traders can wait to enter at 2,630-2,650 with a stop loss at 2,700, targeting around 2,500-2,470-2,450. If broken, look for 2,430-2,400.
A significant drop must have a reason; the riots in California continue to escalate. Reports indicate that tomorrow's Trump parade will also stir things up, so everyone should not blindly chase the rise. Conan predicts there will be another wave of selling; everyone should be cautious when chasing the rise! #加密市场回调 #地缘政治风险
Long positions can bring good protection against losses! 6.12 Bitcoin Auntie's evening strategy
U.S. stocks opened low and rose high, and the long position strategy provided during the day can only be entered at stable points to make a profit. After entering Ethereum at 2720, an additional position was added, and currently, there is a small profit. Bitcoin is relatively weak during the day, and currently, the long positions can only be said to be in a break-even state. However, there are signs of a temporary bottom rebound. Follow the low positions to go long with good protection against losses and hold patiently. Friends who haven't entered can wait for a pullback to set up!
6.12 evening strategy:
Enter Bitcoin on a pullback at 106500-107000, with a stop loss at 106000, targeting around 108000-108500-109000, and if broken, look for around 109500-110000!
For Ethereum, enter long at a pullback of 2700-2730, with a stop loss at 2670, targeting 2770-2800, and if broken, look for around 2830-2850-2880-2900.
Short position strategy: Short Bitcoin at a rebound of 110000-110500, with a stop loss at 111500, targeting around 109000-108500-108000-107500.
Short Ethereum at 2870-2900, with a stop loss at 2930, targeting around 2830-2800, and if broken, look for around 2770-2750!
California riots continue to escalate, and geopolitical risks are also intensifying. Based on recent data performance, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June and July is low, so everyone should not blindly chase the rise! Recently, Ethereum liquidity has increased, and while shorting at high levels carries risks, as long as you set a good stop loss to control risks, it remains a good choice! #山寨币ETF展望 #加州暴乱
Financial mogul boldly predicts that the dollar will fall 10% after Powell steps down! 6.12 Bitcoin trading strategy
Market forecasts suggest that after Powell's term ends next year, Trump is likely to appoint a 'super dove' as the Federal Reserve chairman to align with his growth agenda. This year, the dollar index has fallen nearly 8%, primarily due to the trade war. The financial mogul boldly predicts that the dollar will plummet another 10% after Powell's departure.
Recently bullish on Ethereum, it has not disappointed me, surging to 2878 at midnight before starting to retreat. Those who entered Ethereum the day before still want to continue with the pattern, moving the stop loss to 2820 but were forced to take profits! The Bitcoin daily candlestick closed with a bearish candle in the morning, the Bollinger Bands are closing again, the KDJ three-line indicator is turning down in the overbought zone, and the MACD dual lines are basically in a converged state. The daily chart shows a normal technical pullback, so everyone should be cautious about selling! Watch for resistance levels at 111000 and 112000, and support levels at 107500, 106500, 105000, 104000, and 103000.
6.12 Bitcoin trading strategy: Aggressive traders can enter long positions in the 107500-108000 range, while conservative traders can enter at 106500-107000, with a stop loss near 106000. Target levels are 109000-109500-110000-110500, and if broken, watch for 111000-111500-112000.
6.12 Ethereum midnight trading strategy: Aggressive traders can buy one hand at 2740-2760 on a pullback, while conservative traders can enter at 2680-2700 with a stop loss near 2650. Target levels are around 2800-2830, and if broken, look for 2850-2880-2900-2950-30000, and continue to adjust the stop loss based on the situation!
Short position strategy: Short one hand of Bitcoin on a rebound at 110000-110500, with a reversal at 112000, targeting around 109500-109000-108500.
Short one hand of Ethereum on a rebound at 2880-2900, with a stop loss at 2940, targeting around 2830-2800-2780-2760.
Due to decreasing market expectations for a Fed rate cut, coupled with the lack of resolution in international situations, U.S. stocks rose sharply before ultimately closing lower. Cryptocurrency prices also followed suit but have not seen recent capital outflows. The situation is unfavorable, and risk aversion sentiment has surged, so for now, we will maintain a primary strategy of pullback to buy!
Short-term bearish small profit, CPI below expectations, interest rate cut expectations rising, cautious about shorting! June 11 Bitcoin strategy in the evening
During the day, Bitcoin Auntie peaked and retreated, and the current strategy for this pullback perfectly aligns with market trends. CPI did not meet expectations, interest rate cut expectations are rising, and the coin price rebounded from the bottom. I suggested everyone be cautious in cutting losses, reminding friends who followed to set appropriate stop-losses!
The day's pullback has largely been recovered by the interest rate cut expectations, US stocks opened slightly higher, and the US-China consultation talks have reached a consensus, so for the evening operations, Conan suggests primarily looking to go long on pullbacks! The upper pressure positions to watch are 111000 and 112000, while the lower support to watch is 108200, 107500, 106500, and 105000.
June 11 Bitcoin evening operation strategy: Aggressive traders should go long on the pullback at 108200-108500, while conservative traders should enter at 107500-107800, with a stop-loss at 107000, targeting around 109500-110000-110500, and if broken, look for 111000-111500-112000 nearby, continuing to hold based on the situation!
June 11 Ethereum midnight operation strategy: Aggressive traders should go long one lot on the pullback at 2740-2760, while conservative traders should enter at 2680-2700, with a stop-loss near 2650, targeting around 2800-2830, if broken, look for 2850-2880-2900-2950-3000 nearby, and continue to move stop-loss based on the situation!
If Bitcoin does not drop significantly, then Ethereum has the opportunity to catch up to 3000 or even break above it, everyone should be cautious about shorting! If it is a significant sell-off, then it will bring down the market. Recently, spot ETFs for Ethereum have been heavily bet on, so just follow the trend and go long! #CPI数据来袭 #山寨币ETF展望 #以太坊生态回暖
Simply from the technical structure of Ethereum, there is still some room for the short term below. The intraday short position for Ethereum can yield a small profit of 30-40 points. Friends who are following can move the trailing stop loss and see how it goes! The CPI is coming in the evening, and the market expects that the inflation report for April may be the last calm before the rise in inflation caused by tariffs.
The median forecast from economists shows that the overall CPI in the U.S. for May is expected to maintain a month-on-month growth rate of 0.2%, while the year-on-year growth rate is expected to rise from last month's four-year low of 2.3% to 2.5%; the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy categories, is expected to rise from 0.2% in April to 0.3%, while the year-on-year growth rate is expected to rise from 2.8% to 2.9%, which will reverse the downward trend seen this year.
Forecasters indicate that U.S. core inflation may rebound in May, reflecting the mild effects of tariffs on major imported goods, while prices for certain services, such as airline tickets, may see a narrower increase or a direct decline.
The Bitcoin market is slightly consolidating today; if it doesn't fall, Ethereum still looks bullish. Everyone, be cautious about selling! #看懂K线 #CPI数据来袭
First empty, then more win-win, pay attention to moving stop-loss for Poly! 6.11 Bitcoin Aunt's Idea
Bitcoin consolidated for a day, and due to the lack of significant decline, Ethereum's liquidity has increased, allowing Ethereum to rise again and reach a new recent high. The long position provided in the evening perfectly reached the target, and Bitcoin also has over a thousand points of space. Congratulations to those who followed!
From a technical perspective, after four consecutive daily candles, this morning a long lower shadow doji candle appeared. The Bollinger Bands slightly contracted, the KDJ three lines golden cross upwards, the J line slightly slowed down at a high position, and the MACD dual lines also formed a golden cross at a low position. The volume slightly increased, but Bitcoin is only consolidating at a high position, so intra-day focus should first be on the gains and losses of previous highs. If broken, it will open up space above; if not, there is a high probability of a pullback! Upper resistance levels to watch are 111000 and 112000, while lower support levels to watch are 108200, 107500, 106500, 105000, 104000, and 103000.
6.11 Bitcoin Trading Strategy: Aggressive traders buy on the pullback at 108200-108500; conservative traders enter at 107500-107800, with a stop loss at 107000, targeting 109500-110000-110500 nearby. If broken, target 111000-111500-112000 nearby.
Short position strategy: Aggressive traders enter at 111000-111500, with a stop loss near 112000, targeting 109000-108200-107500 nearby. If broken, look for 107000-106500 nearby, and continue to adjust stop-loss based on situation!
6.11 Ethereum Trading Strategy: First, short one lot at 2810-2830 intra-day, with a stop loss at 2850, targeting 2780-2750-2720-2700 nearby. If broken, look for 2680-2650 nearby, and continue to adjust stop-loss based on situation!
Long position strategy: Aggressive traders buy one lot on the pullback at 2700-2720; conservative traders enter at 2650-2680, with a stop loss nearby 2620, targeting 2750-2780-2800 nearby. If broken, look for 2830-2850 nearby.
The first meeting of the China-US economic and trade negotiation mechanism has made significant progress, and the achievements are beneficial for further building trust between China and the US, temporarily considered a positive factor. Coupled with good performance in US stocks, high closing, and slight increase, so temporarily do not blindly sell off. Operate with good stop-loss to control risks, and pay close attention to capital flow! #看懂K线 #以太坊生态回暖
US stocks opened high and continued to rise. Bitcoin Aunt has closed her short positions for the day. The market has been struggling to decline throughout the day, so we do not expect a significant drop in the evening. It is recommended that friends following the trades close their short positions for profit or move their stop-losses, and consider entering long positions in Ethereum in batches. Enter lightly around 2720, add positions between 2650-2680, with targets set at 2760-2780-2800, and if broken, look at 2900-2950-3000.
Buying Bitcoin at 108500-108800, adding positions at 107500-107000, with a stop-loss at 106500, targeting 109500-110000-110500-111000-112000 around #看懂K线