According to data released by the U.S. Department of Labor at 8:30 PM on June 5, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits increased to 247,000 for the week ending May 31, setting a record high since 2025, which is higher than the market's previous expectation of 235,000. This data indicates that the job market in the United States is not very optimistic, and the labor market is not as vibrant as it used to be, which may likely prompt the Federal Reserve to decide on interest rate cuts.

However, when formulating policies, the Federal Reserve must consider not only employment conditions but also inflation. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that by the end of this year, the inflation rate in the United States may rise to 3.9%. This means that in the short term, the Federal Reserve cannot significantly cut interest rates. However, if the labor market continues to decline, the Federal Reserve may have to restart interest rate cuts in the second half of 2025, with general speculation that a reduction of 25 basis points may occur in July or September. Next, the non-farm payroll report and the minutes of the Federal Reserve's June meeting are worth paying close attention to. Although in the short term, cryptocurrency prices may rise due to expectations of interest rate cuts, if there are significant fluctuations in economic data, prices may likely fall, which requires special caution. #我的COS交易 #特朗普马斯克分歧 #加密市场回调 #美国初请失业金人数 #Circle扩大IPO规模 $ETH $BTC