下一任美联储主席人选

Powell has become a pawn! Trump's list of confidants leaked, was this "interest rate cut coup" foreshadowed?​

Trump wants to settle on the next Federal Reserve chairman early because he is unhappy with Powell.​​
1. ​​Why is Trump in a hurry?​​ Current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is in charge of U.S. interest rates, but Trump feels Powell has been dragging his feet on the interest rate cut issue, which frustrates him. Although Powell has 11 months left in his term, Trump can't wait.​​

2. ​​When does he plan to announce?​​ According to insiders, Trump may announce a new candidate as early as September or October, or even finalize it during the summer.​​

3. ​​Who are the candidates?​​ Several named include:
Kevin Warsh
Hassett
Treasury Secretary Mnuchin
Former World Bank President Malpass, and a current board member of the Federal Reserve, Waller.​​

4. ​​What is the impact of this?​​ It's clear he wants to stir things up!​​ The selection of the Federal Reserve chairman is a big bombshell. Announcing it this early is a blatant interference in the market. It will make everyone start guessing what the new appointee's stance will be and how interest rates will move next, and the financial market is sure to be turned upside down.​​

This is clearly Trump playing political tricks. He is unhappy that Powell is not cutting rates to stimulate the economy as he wishes, and he wants to intimidate the market and coerce the Federal Reserve into submission by announcing his confidant's ascension in advance. He doesn't care about the independence of the Federal Reserve, just thinking about giving the economy a shot in the arm before the election, regardless of whether this move is a major risk to market stability. Too reckless!​

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#下一任美联储主席人选 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

Since taking office, Trump has repeatedly publicly criticized the current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Powell has consistently ignored him. However, Trump has recently stepped up his rhetoric, stating that he plans to announce the next Fed chairman candidate in the summer or fall, several months ahead of the traditional timeline.

Some say, what impact could this have? Even if a candidate is chosen, they won't take office for another year. If you think that way, you are simplifying the matter.

Trump is hastily 'appointing' a year in advance; in simple terms, he is pressuring Powell. Powell currently holds this position, but Trump can't wait any longer, as he believes Powell is obstructing interest rate cuts. Just think, if the new chairman candidate is decided now, how can Powell continue to work? Will the market still listen to him?

Wall Street has always regarded Powell as a 'stabilizing force.' One of the Fed's very important jobs is managing expectations. Now that there is a 'stabilizing force' that is set to take over in the future, the effectiveness of the original 'stabilizing force' might be greatly diminished. Trump's move is truly a cunning one, and it is indeed ruthless.

Moreover, this indicates that the independence of the Federal Reserve will also be affected. This is the real thunder; two months ago, when Trump openly questioned Powell, the market experienced similar concerns, with the dollar, U.S. bonds, and U.S. stocks all declining simultaneously.

Regardless of who Trump selects as a candidate, due to debt anxiety, the direction will certainly be towards interest rate cuts, and it may not just be small cuts, but significant ones. A 2% rate cut could save hundreds of billions of dollars in interest, and that’s savings every year. With more than three years left for Trump, how much could he save? Anyone who sees this would find it enticing; the underlying benefits are too great.

Deutsche Bank states that the market is pricing in an unusually loose policy under the new Fed chair's term, especially in the third quarter of 2026. Coincidentally, JPMorgan also has a similar prediction, forecasting that the Fed will cut rates seven times next year, bringing rates down to between 2.5% and 2.75%.

Needless to say, if Trump really goes through with this, market expectations may be immediately affected, and a shift may be imminent. One must admit that Trump's power is still too great; the entire capital market has to pay attention to what he says and does every day.

Under Trump's turmoil, it is highly likely that the four-year cycle routine will be broken.

Trump is eager to replace the Federal Reserve Chairman! He is dissatisfied with the current chairman Powell's lack of aggressiveness in cutting interest rates, and even though Powell has 11 months left in his term, Trump cannot wait.

There are reports that Trump may announce the new Federal Reserve chairman candidate as early as September, October, or even this summer. The candidates mentioned so far include Kevin Warsh, Hassett, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, former World Bank President Malpass, and current Federal Reserve Governor Waller.

Trump's actions have significant implications! The choice of Federal Reserve Chairman is crucial, and his premature announcement could disrupt financial markets. Everyone would speculate on the new appointee's stance on interest rates, leading to market volatility. Trump's actions are aimed at stimulating the economy ahead of the election, disregarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, and forcibly pressuring for interest rate cuts, which undermines market stability and is truly reckless. #下一任美联储主席人选

"The Wall Street Journal" reports that Trump is increasingly dissatisfied with Powell due to the Federal Reserve's slow interest rate cuts and is considering announcing the next Federal Reserve chair candidate ahead of schedule. Powell has 11 months left in his term, and Trump may finalize a successor in September or October of this year, or even this summer, with candidates including Kevin Warsh and Hassett among others. If announced in the summer or fall, this would exceed the usual three to four month transition period, aimed at allowing the nominee to influence market interest rate expectations early. $BTC #下一任美联储主席人选

Trump plans to replace the Federal Reserve Chairman in advance, market independence faces challenges???

Trump is actively looking for the next Federal Reserve Chairman to replace the current Chairman Powell. Reports indicate that Trump is dissatisfied with Powell's cautious approach to interest rate cuts. Although Powell has about 11 months left in his term, Trump is eager to expedite the replacement process.
Key Information Points:
Trump's Urgency: The core conflict lies in the interest rate policy. Trump wants to cut rates faster to stimulate the economy, while the Federal Reserve under Powell maintains a more cautious stance, which has caused Trump's dissatisfaction.
Possible Announcement Timing: According to informed sources, Trump may announce the new Chairman as early as this summer, or in September or October.
Potential Candidates: Rumored candidates include:
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh
Former White House Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett
Former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin
Former World Bank President David Malpass
Current Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller
Potential Impact and Controversy: This move is widely seen as an attempt to exert political influence. The position of Federal Reserve Chairman is crucial, and announcing a successor several months in advance would inevitably disrupt market expectations. The market will begin to speculate on the new Chairman's policy tendencies and future interest rate path, which could lead to significant fluctuations in the financial market.

The market changes every day, so it's important to choose the right timing to act. If you're still feeling confused, you can follow me, as I regularly share cutting-edge information and practical strategies. Feel free to come and discuss anytime to seize great opportunities together!

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International News

1. Middle East Situation - ① Iran confirms that its nuclear facilities were 'severely damaged' in the US airstrike. ② Trump: believes that the war between Israel and Iran has ended, conflict may flare up again, possibly soon; will not abandon sanctions against Iran; does not believe Iran will restart its nuclear program; US talks with Iran next week, does not think a nuclear agreement is necessary. ③ Israeli ground assault troops conducted operations deep inside Iran during the conflict. ④ CIA states that several key Iranian nuclear facilities have been destroyed.

2. Federal Reserve - ① Powell: tariffs as a one-time impact may become a baseline expectation, but need to respond cautiously; does not consider federal debt issues in monetary policy decisions; the stablecoin industry has gradually matured. ② Collins: Now is the time to remain patient and cautious. Rate cuts may occur later this year, but depend on tariff impacts.

3. Trump: will select the next Federal Reserve Chairman from three or four candidates.

4. Federal Reserve proposes to relax the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio requirements for large banks.

5. Sources: If OPEC deems it necessary, Russia is willing to increase oil production again.

6. US housing regulator: plans to allow cryptocurrencies as collateral for mortgages, requires the 'GSEs' to be prepared.

7. White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Hassett: If countries reach a trade agreement, the 'retaliatory taxes' in Trump's tax law could be eliminated.

8. European Automobile Manufacturers Association: Tesla's new car registrations in the EU dropped by 40.5% in May.

9. Nvidia's market value hits a historic high, reaching $3.75 trillion.

10. NATO allies agree to increase defense spending targets to 5% of GDP by 2035.

Risk Warning

☆ 19:00, Bank of England Governor Bailey will give a keynote speech at the British Chamber of Commerce Global Annual Meeting;

☆ 20:30, the US will announce the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending June 21, with the market expecting an increase of 245,000, previous value an increase of 245,000;

☆ 20:30, the US will announce the final value of the first quarter annualized GDP growth rate, with the market expecting -0.20%, previous value -0.20%;

☆ 20:30, the US will announce the final value of the first quarter core PCE price index annualized growth rate, with the market expecting 3.4%, previous value 3.4%;

☆ The next day at 02:30, European Central Bank President Lagarde will give a speech.
#下一任美联储主席人选

【Countdown to the Dollar Crisis? Trump May Announce Successor Early, Powell's Authority May Be 'Cut in Half'!】
If Trump reveals the new Federal Reserve chair candidate before September, Powell's authority may instantly 'evaporate', and the dollar might slide from 'weak' to 'collapse'!
What does this mean? The remaining six interest rate decisions during Powell's term will be made under the 'shadow of the successor', leading to more chaotic market signals and potentially undermining policy effectiveness.
Market expectations have become subtle:
Current estimate for the July 30 rate cut probability is 25%
If Powell remains inactive again (for the fifth consecutive time), it could very well anger Trump, prompting him to intervene in Federal Reserve matters early.
Once 'political intervention' is confirmed, the Federal Reserve's independence will face unprecedented scrutiny! This will not only impact confidence in the dollar but also open up possibilities for hedging assets like Bitcoin!
Future pathways:
1️⃣ If Powell continues with a dovish stance → Trump changes leadership early → Dollar bleeds
2️⃣ If Powell is forced to pivot to easing → Bitcoin or gold may surge
3️⃣ Markets face the dual risk of 'personnel changes + policy ambiguity'
Global finance is entering a new cycle of 'power struggle + trust imbalance', with a dollar storm brewing; Bitcoin may once again become a safe haven for capital. Remember, real opportunities always lie between the vacuum of power and the cracks of confidence!
#BTC #香港加密概念股 #下一任美联储主席人选 #ETH #sol $BTC $ETH $SOL

Trump may change personnel early, dangerous signal for the US dollar sounds

Foreign media whispers are rising: if Trump announces a successor to Powell before September

Then for the next six months, Federal Reserve meetings may fall into a "caretaker" mode

If on July 30, the Fed holds steady for the 5th time, Trump may be thoroughly angered—raising the chances of a successor appearing early.

Currently, the market only gives a 25% chance for a rate cut in July, but under the dual pressure of political and financial maneuvering, the situation for the US dollar will only become more confusing. #香港加密概念股 #上市公司山寨币财库 #下一任美联储主席人选 #币安Alpha上新 #SEI $BTC $ETH $XRP

Old Bao might be getting laid off

After Huang Mao took office, Old Bao ignored him, and recently Huang Mao has started interviewing to replace Old Bao #下一任美联储主席人选

Trump considers breaking historical precedent by announcing the next Federal Reserve chairman candidate early

U.S. President Trump recently publicly criticized current Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as "terrible" and revealed he has identified three to four potential candidates to succeed Powell as the next Federal Reserve chairman.

Trump is considering announcing the next Federal Reserve chairman candidate as early as September this year, which would be about eight months earlier than the current chairman Powell's term ending in May 2026, breaking historical transition customs.

This move aims to influence market expectations for future interest rate paths through an established "shadow Federal Reserve chairman" and to exert pressure on current chairman Powell, who insists on independent decision-making.

Candidates emerge

The main candidates currently considered by the White House include:

Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh;

Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers Kevin Hassett;

Current Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, although reports in January 2025 indicated that Waller had been removed from the main candidate list due to his support for a significant interest rate cut last September;

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

Breaking historical transition customs

If Trump announces his nominee in September or earlier, it will create a new model for power transition at the Federal Reserve. The traditional transition period is usually 3-4 months before the term ends, while this plan would advance the transition preparation period to 8-10 months, with the nominee remaining in a "chairman-in-waiting" status for a long time before Powell officially steps down.

This arrangement allows the nominee to influence market expectations through public speeches, creating a "shadow pressure" on the current decision-making body. However, it also places the successor in a dilemma—criticizing current policies could damage internal unity at the Federal Reserve, while remaining silent could risk losing Trump's support.

Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell for not lowering interest rates and has suggested firing him or quickly appointing a successor. Although he sometimes retracts his threats, the overall public pressure on the Federal Reserve has become routine.

Historically, Federal Reserve chairmen are considered not to be removed by the U.S. president unless there is malfeasance or misconduct, but Trump's frequent threats are seen as a deliberate challenge to this legal premise.

$BTC $ETH $SOL
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#ETH #BTC

《Three Major Macroeconomic Signals Overlapping — Is BTC/ETH Welcoming a New Trend?》

【Today's Market Dispatch】

BTC remains strong today, currently priced around $107,800, with an intraday high approaching $108,100. ETH is also performing robustly, currently reported at $2,488, with an intraday high of $2,510. The volatility of mainstream coins is intensifying, with funds and sentiment rising in sync.

【1. U.S. Unemployment Rate May Rise to 6%, Policy Expectations Shift】

The U.S. employment leading indicators have dropped to a nearly seven-year low, and the unemployment rate may rise to 6% within months. Under employment pressure, expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates are heating up, and the window for releasing market liquidity is opening, benefiting risk assets.

【2. Hong Kong Crypto Brokers Breakthrough Compliance, Sector Heat Continues to Explode】

Traditional brokerages like Guotai Junan International have been approved to provide crypto asset services, further enhancing Hong Kong's position in global virtual asset innovation. The compliance dividends have driven related Hong Kong stocks and digital asset sectors to rise strongly, with increasing capital attention.

【3. Uncertainty Over the Replacement of the Federal Reserve Chair Sparks Market Expectation Games】

“The Next Federal Reserve Chair Candidate” has become the market focus. The uncertainty regarding the future direction of monetary policy makes the pricing of global risk assets more elastic, with sentiment in the crypto sector heating up in advance, benefiting mainstream coins continuously.

With three major macro signals resonating, the market for mainstream coins is brewing a new round of changes. Do you think BTC/ETH will break through again? What are your views on macro, regulation, and market trends?

Feel free to leave a message and let's discuss the latest market trends together!

#香港加密概念股
#下一任美联储主席人选

Powell annoys Trump, initial jobless claims approaching, proceed with caution on chasing up! 6.26 Bitcoin Auntie's strategy

Trump increasingly feels dissatisfied with the Federal Reserve's inaction. Although Powell has 11 months left in his term, he is already considering whether to announce Powell's successor this September or October. Such an early announcement may influence the market's expectations for future interest rates. The short-selling strategy mentioned yesterday unfortunately hit a stop loss. Due to Trump's sudden change in stance at midnight, two short-term trades were made between 107800-108000, which turned out well, gaining over a thousand points!

The daily chart shows three consecutive bullish candles, and this morning a bullish candle with a long upper wick was formed. The KDJ three-line golden cross is diverging upwards, and the MACD double line has also turned upwards, forming a golden cross. The daily chart indicates a stagnation signal, but the four-hour indicators show the opposite. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, KDJ is forming a death cross from a high position, and the MACD double line has also turned downwards, with significant reduction in volume, so we expect a pullback today! Key resistance levels to watch are 108100, 109000, and 110000, while support levels are 104500, 103000, 102000, 100800, 100000, and 98000.

6.26 Bitcoin trading strategy: Aggressive traders should short at the rebound of 107700-108000, add positions near 108000, defend around 109000, and target 106000-105000-104500. If broken, look for 104000-103500-103000.

6.26 Ethereum trading strategy: For today’s rebound, short at 2450-2480, while conservative traders can enter at 2500-2530, defending around 2550, and targeting 2400-2380-2350. If broken, look for 2320-2300.

Long position strategy: Buy one hand at the Bitcoin pullback of 102000-102500, defend around 101500, and target 103000-103500-104000. If broken, look for 104500-105000.

For Ethereum, buy one hand at pullback of 2280-2300, defend around 2250, and target 2330-2350. If broken, look for 2380-2400.

The market is starting to show volatility again, with Bitcoin consistently pulling up, while Ethereum closed with a bearish candle this morning. The contrasting movements of these two major cryptocurrencies make the market uncertain. Everyone should pay attention to tonight's initial jobless claims, as this is an important reference indicator for whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates!

The election is approaching, will Powell be 'dismissed'?

It is reported that Trump has been unable to hold back and is preparing to 'change leaders' early—kicking the current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell out! Although Powell has 11 months left in his term, Trump dislikes his slow interest rate cuts, and an announcement about a successor could come as early as summer.

Candidate list revealed: Waller, Hassett, Bessen, Malpass, Waller... each one more 'compliant' than the last, with only one goal: to lower interest rates, flood the economy, and boost performance for votes!

💡June 26th afternoon market outlook.💡
$BTC 's viewpoint:
The big coin has already cleared out the short liquidity around 108000 last night. Now it’s time for the big coin to choose its direction: will it be a surge followed by a pullback, or will it continue to consume the short liquidity around 112000?

The big coin broke through 107861 with volume, and the hourly closing price settled above 107861, indicating a right-side follow-up buy, with stop loss on break.
107114 broke down with volume, and if it can't recover on the pullback, follow up on the right side with a short position, with stop loss on recovery. Pay attention to the changes in volume and manage your stop losses.
At 106000, a false breakdown occurred; recover with a light long position. If it breaks below 105187, stop loss applies; if it can't recover, don't go long.
💡
If the big coin stabilizes above 107980 on the hourly level, continue to look upwards to 108836-109356. The more people short, the higher the big coin will rise.
Those looking to short the big coin at a high position should note that at 109711, a 2b false breakout occurred, short one unit; if it stabilizes above 110381, stop loss applies.
Cautious players wait: buy at 104210, with stop loss below 103402.
If the big coin can break and stabilize above the Fibonacci 61.8 position at 108580, then it will challenge the 1:1 upward target at 111064, and even create a new high to completely clear out the shorts. Then, it may range for a few days at a high position, making everyone think that the big coin will continue to rise, leading to a final wave of pullback where all are trapped; we don't know if the big coin is following this script, let’s wait and see.
💡
Upper resistance: 107940-108836-109699
Lower support: 106776-106038-105265
On the 4-hour level, if 107113 breaks down, look down to 106165-105263. As long as it pulls back without breaking below 106165, the big coin will continue upwards.

💡💡💡💡💡💡💡💡💡💡

$ETH 's thought process:
The second coin broke through 2473 with volume; follow up on the right side with a buy, with stop loss on recovery.
2422 broke down with volume; follow up on the right side with a short position, and manage your stop loss.

Pull back to 2377 to confirm effective support for an additional long position; stop loss applies below 2333.
If the second coin stabilizes at 2486 on the hourly level, look upwards to 2525-2547. A breakthrough at 2525 indicates that the second coin is starting to strengthen.
Watch for the second coin at the upper level for a short position at 2506, with stop loss above 2547.
Left-side order: buy at 2317, stop loss below 2280.
💡
Upper resistance: 2486-2506-2547
Lower support: 2440-2405-2375
On the 4-hour level, if 2404 breaks down, look down to 2377-2317. No matter how the second coin pulls back, as long as it doesn’t reverse the bullish engulfing at the daily level, everything is fine. Meeting adjourned.
$BTC
#香港加密概念股
#下一任美联储主席人选
#币安Alpha上新

I have been trading cryptocurrencies for five or six years with an initial investment of 200,000. Now, I rely on this to support my family because I have put into practice many useful things I've learned and mastered them through repeated use. This process has indeed been difficult; for the sake of life and family, today I will share some knowledge:
1. Divide your funds into 5 parts, and only invest one-fifth at a time! Control a stop-loss of 10 points; if you make a mistake once, you only lose 2% of your total funds, and if you make mistakes 5 times, you'll lose 10% of your total funds. If you're right, set a take-profit of over 10 points. Do you think you will still be stuck?
2. How to further increase the winning rate? Simply put, it’s about following the trend! In a downtrend, every rebound is a trap to attract buyers, and in an uptrend, every drop creates a golden opportunity. Would you say it's easier to make money by bottom-fishing or by buying on the dips?
3. Avoid trading coins that have rapidly surged in the short term, whether they are mainstream or altcoins. There are very few coins that can make several waves of major upward movements. The logic is that after a short-term surge, it’s quite difficult to continue rising. When prices stagnate at high levels, they will naturally drop later; it's a simple principle, but many still want to gamble.
4. You can use MACD to determine entry and exit points. If the DIF line and DEA cross above the 0 axis, and once it breaks the 0 axis, it is a solid entry signal. When MACD forms a dead cross above the 0 axis and starts to move downward, it can be seen as a signal to reduce positions.
5. I don’t know who invented the term 'averaging down,' but it has caused many retail investors to stumble and suffer great losses! Many people keep adding to their losing positions, which only leads to greater losses; this is the biggest taboo in trading cryptocurrencies and can put you in a dire situation. Remember, never average down on a loss, but add to your position when you are in profit.
6. Volume and price indicators are crucial; trading volume is the soul of the cryptocurrency market. Pay attention when the price breaks out with increased volume at low levels during consolidation, and decisively exit when there is increased volume and stagnation at high levels.
7. Only trade coins in an upward trend; this maximizes your chances and saves time. If the 3-day line turns upwards, it indicates short-term upward movement; if the 30-day line turns upwards, it indicates medium-term upward movement; if the 84-day line turns upwards, it indicates a major upward wave, and if the 120-day moving average turns upwards, it indicates long-term upward movement!
8. Persist in reviewing each trade, check if there are changes in the holdings, and technically analyze whether the weekly K-line trend conforms to your judgment.

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$ETH

Brothers, there are some things I really don't want to say, but Trump, the king of understanding, is starting to play his tricks again. Right now, my feeling about the market is that it still has room to rise, and this time it might really aim for the previous highs.

There's nothing we can do; the king of understanding is just that. When he says something, it's impressive. For those holding short positions below, you can defend and enter some long positions; this way, you can both seek profit and prevent liquidation. As for brothers who haven't entered yet, try going long; believe in the king of understanding this time!!!

For those who like Hongzhi, please pay attention, like, and comment to get the general direction $ETH

#香港加密概念股
#下一任美联储主席人选

The task for the first week of xdm is to follow x account and upload one picture every day, that's it.