币鹰007

Institution predicting Bitcoin's trajectory in 2024 waves the flag again: Q2 breaks $120,000, reaching $200,000 by year-end

Standard Chartered, which is bullish on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets in the long term, predicted on Monday that the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) could break the $120,000 mark in the second quarter, setting a new historical high and significantly boosting bullish sentiment in the crypto space.

The core logic behind Standard Chartered's continued support for the Bitcoin bull market is the substantial deterioration of confidence in holding dollar assets, as global funds are widely reconfiguring from dollar-denominated assets to other currency assets, along with several technical indicators signaling bullish momentum for Bitcoin.

It is worth noting that Standard Chartered has accurately predicted the unprecedented bull market trajectory for Bitcoin in 2024, having long bet last year that the price of Bitcoin would break the $100,000 barrier by the end of 2024. Bitcoin ultimately exceeded $100,000 in December, setting a new historical high.

This bullish target from Standard Chartered suggests a potential upside of about 25% compared to the current Bitcoin price. The bank also forecasts that by the end of 2025, the price of Bitcoin will leap to the historical level of $200,000, implying that the Bitcoin price is expected to rise about 65% from the Q2 target by the end of this year, and is a full 110% higher than current levels.

Geoff Kendrick, an analyst at Standard Chartered who accurately predicted Bitcoin would break the $100,000 mark in 2024, wrote in a recent report to clients that a significant driving force behind the bullish sentiment comes from the U.S. Treasury term premium (UST term premium)—a metric closely related to Bitcoin's movements—currently at its highest level in 12 years. The term premium typically refers to the extra yield that investors require for holding long-term U.S. Treasury bonds compared to short-term bonds.

This long-term bullish analyst also pointed out that the “whales” in the crypto space (i.e., large holders) are significantly increasing their Bitcoin holdings. Earlier, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, MicroStrategy (now known as Strategy, founded by Michael Saylor), disclosed another week of Bitcoin accumulation.

MicroStrategy spent $1.42 billion last week to increase its holdings by 15,355 bitcoins at an average purchase price of $92,737.

According to the Form 8-K filed by MicroStrategy with the SEC, the company purchased 15,355 bitcoins between April 21 and April 27, 2025, with a total expenditure of approximately $1.42 billion and an average purchase price of $92,737.

As of April 27, MicroStrategy holds a total of 535,555 bitcoins, with a cumulative purchase cost of approximately $37.9 billion and an average price of $68,459.

#BTC #BTC走势分析

$BTC $ETH $SOL

The great showdown between bulls and bears is coming!

Bitcoin has been fluctuating between 916-957 for a few days,
having completed major adjustments on the 4-hour and 12-hour charts.
69% of the market is bearish,
while many are optimistic for 10+.
Actually, neither perspective is wrong,
because ultimately both will happen!

The important thing is that before reaching this position,
you can survive and
make some profit.

Most bulls are betting on a sudden interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve,
while most bears are pessimistic about this year's financial market outlook.

Currently, the market is still in an upward trend,
and the bears are on the weaker side!

#BTC #ETH #solana #BTC走势分析

Federal Reserve Board Member Warns: Trump's High Tariffs May Trigger Unemployment Wave; Fed Will Consider Rate Cuts in Response

Christopher Waller, a member of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board, recently issued a warning, stating that the trade protection policies implemented by the Trump administration could lead to a sharp deterioration in the U.S. job market.

He pointed out that due to retaliatory tariffs imposed by multiple countries on U.S. goods, American companies that rely on exports are facing severe challenges. If overseas orders continue to decline, related industries may be forced to lay off large numbers of employees.

Waller analyzed that the current tariff policy is unlikely to have a significant impact on the economy before July, but if the government further raises tariff barriers, a wave of layoffs could follow.

He clearly stated that if the unemployment rate shows an abnormal spike, he would support the Federal Reserve in implementing rate cuts. This Fed official emphasized that once serious signs of recession in the labor market appear, the Federal Reserve should quickly initiate rate cuts to stabilize the economy.

#加密货币总市值重回3万亿 #加密市场反弹 #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔 #美联储何时降息？

Federal Reserve withdraws bank guidance related to cryptocurrency asset activity

On April 24, local time, the Federal Reserve announced the withdrawal of bank guidance related to activities involving crypto assets and dollar tokens.

The Federal Reserve also rescinded a 2022 regulatory letter that required banks to provide prior notice of crypto asset activities. Such financial institutions will no longer need to submit such notices. Their crypto asset activities will be monitored through normal regulatory processes.

In 2022, the Federal Reserve had suggested steps that regulated lending institutions should take before engaging in the digital asset industry.

This signifies the end of the crackdown and restrictions on cryptocurrency during the sleepy period.

$BTC

The Trading Expert – Trump

Trump sets up a "Trump Coin Shareholders Closed-Door Dinner"; the top 25 can visit the White House and have the chance to hear insider information, Trump Coin skyrockets.

U.S. President Trump will host a closed-door dinner for "Trump Coin" holders, with the top 25 holders receiving VIP treatment at the White House.

On April 24, reports indicated that the official website of Trump’s meme coin, "Trump Coin," announced on April 23 local time that it will invite the top 220 coin holders to dinner at Trump’s private golf club in Washington D.C. on May 22, claiming attendees will hear "first-hand" information as Trump discusses "the future of cryptocurrency."

The top 25 holders of Trump Coin will receive special treatment: an invitation to a welcome cocktail party before the dinner and a VIP tour of the White House the next day.

Thanks to this news, Trump Coin surged in the past 24 hours.

The official website of "Trump Coin" also stated in the announcement that attendees will be determined based on the average coin holding from April 23 to May 12.

Participants can check their rankings on the leaderboard on the Trump Coin website. As of the afternoon of April 23, 183 people had connected their wallets to the leaderboard. The top holder, "CASE," holds about 400,000 Trump Coins, valued at approximately $5.2 million.

Trump Coin is mired in controversy.

Data shows that Trump Coin has entered the 37th position in cryptocurrency market capitalization rankings. As of April 23, the circulating value of Trump Coin is approximately $2.6 billion.

Since its launch just days before Trump took office, Trump Coin has faced continuous controversy. Its value surged from around $6 to a peak of $75, drawing criticism from cryptocurrency experts who argue that Trump is exploiting the enthusiasm of his supporters for financial gain. Analysts estimate that Trump’s crypto project has made at least $350 million in profit since its issuance in January.

Additionally, according to information from the token's official website GetTrumpMemes.com, about 80% of the tokens are held by CIC Digital, associated with the Trump organization, and Fight Fight Fight LLC, co-owned by CIC, raising concerns about market manipulation due to this highly concentrated holding structure.

In February of this year, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the main market regulator, stated that such tokens are more akin to collectibles and are not governed by federal securities laws.

$TRUMP #TRUMP晚宴 #TRUMP

$BTC $ETH $SOL

Attention!!!

Forget your positions!
Forget your plans!
Zero mindset!

Where is the direction?!
Don't let your backside determine your brain!

#BTC #ETH #solana #加密市场反弹

In response to Trump's latest statement, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded: Still the same ten words

On April 23, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun hosted a regular press conference.

Q: According to reports, US President Trump told reporters that we get along well with China and will not take a tough attitude when negotiating with China. The 145% tariff on China is indeed very high. After the agreement is reached, the US tariff on China will drop significantly, but it will not drop to zero. China must reach an agreement with the United States, otherwise it will not be able to do business with the United States. If we do not reach an agreement with the United States, we will do what the United States says, and the United States is the one who sets the rules. US Treasury Secretary Benson said that the current situation is essentially a trade embargo. The US goal is not to decouple from China, and the two countries may reach a comprehensive agreement within two to three years. Negotiations with China on such an agreement have not yet begun. What is China's comment on this?

A: China has long pointed out that there are no winners in tariff wars and trade wars, protectionism has no way out, and decoupling and breaking the chain will only isolate itself. Regarding the tariff war launched by the United States, China's attitude is very clear. We are unwilling to fight, but we are not afraid of fighting. If we fight, we will accompany to the end; if we talk, the door is open. If the US really wants to solve the problem through dialogue and negotiation, it should stop threatening and blackmailing, and talk to China on the basis of equality, respect and mutual benefit. Saying that it wants to reach an agreement with China while constantly exerting extreme pressure is not the right way to deal with China, and it will not work.

Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs

According to this information, the so-called ceasefire in the trade war is only a unilateral compromise of the United States, and there has been no substantial progress. The market is a bit overly optimistic, so pay attention to trading risks!

$BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC #ETH #sol

$BTC $ETH $SOL

Trump's ability to manipulate the financial market is unparalleled!

"Troublemaker" Trump sparked a financial market explosion with a single statement: "I will significantly reduce tariffs on China!"

U.S. stocks, U.S. bonds, the dollar, and cryptocurrencies surged, while gold plummeted!

His inconsistent style of doing things caught the market off guard!
The interest groups behind it made a fortune!

#BTC #ETH #solana #加密市场反弹

Trump's Latest Statement: No Intention to Fire Powell, but the Federal Reserve Should Cut Interest Rates

Overnight, U.S. stocks surged, with the Dow rising over 1,000 points, and Chinese concept stocks soaring.

In today's Asian early trading, U.S. stock index futures expanded their gains, with Nasdaq futures up 2% and S&P 500 futures rising over 1.8%.

U.S. Stocks Soar Across the Board

On Tuesday, U.S. stocks rebounded sharply, with the Dow closing up over 1,000 points, a gain of 2.66%. The Nasdaq rose 2.71%, and the S&P 500 index was up 2.51%.

Popular Chinese concept stocks strengthened, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closing up 3.69%. Futu Holdings rose over 6%, Alibaba increased by over 5%, and Pinduoduo, Xpeng Motors, and NIO were up over 4%.

Analysts believe that U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent's remark that the trade war is unsustainable fueled the sharp rebound in U.S. stocks on Tuesday.

According to media reports, a knowledgeable source stated that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told investors in a closed-door meeting on Tuesday that the trade war is unsustainable and that the situation could ease in the "not-too-distant future."

Trump's comments regarding Fed Chairman Powell are also attracting attention.

On the 22nd local time, U.S. President Trump stated that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates, and he has no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, hoping that Powell will take more proactive actions on interest rates.

On April 17, Trump pressured Powell again, demanding an immediate interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Trump also stated that Powell's actions are always "too late and wrong." He said that Powell, who is acting too slowly, should have cut rates like the European Central Bank and that now an immediate cut is even more necessary. He also mentioned that it would be better for Powell to leave "sooner rather than later." Trump's threat to dismiss Powell has made the market uneasy.

Due to concerns that President Trump might fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, investors sold off U.S. stocks, bonds, and dollars, causing gold prices to soar to historic highs.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the Fed will not yield to political pressure and will focus on combating inflation in the face of the complex economic situation brought about by the recent tariff policies of the Trump administration.

$BTC $ETH $SOL

What will happen next in the market?

The cumulative increase of BTC is close to 20%.
90,000 is just around the corner,
can it continue to rise significantly?!

Thanks to the efforts of Comrade Jian Guo,
The US has already achieved a triple kill in stocks, bonds, and currency markets.
Last night, the S&P 500 Index fell short by 1.31 and dropped below 5100,
The Federal Reserve has maintained a wait-and-see attitude,
refusing to cut interest rates to save the market.

This round of W-bottom rebound is almost over,
If there is no positive stimulus,
I personally feel it will follow the path depicted in the chart.

Fortunes change,
The bulls have been celebrating for half a month,
The bears' opportunity is coming!

#BTC #ETH #solana #加密市场反弹 #特朗普施压鲍威尔

The "Sell America" trade is in full swing, and the Federal Reserve has issued a distress signal

Trump has once again launched a verbal attack on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, as the "Sell America" trade is in full swing.

Overnight, the dollar, U.S. stocks, and U.S. bonds all fell. Today, the Asian markets continue to decline, with gold breaking through $3,450, and the alarm has not yet been lifted. The market's decline can be seen as a distress signal issued by the Federal Reserve—because the more the market falls, the less likely it is that Powell will be fired.

Regardless of whether Trump has the legal authority to take action against the Federal Reserve, this dispute undermines the foundation of the Federal Reserve's independence and puts the financial markets in jeopardy.

Chicago Fed President Goolsbee (who has voting rights this year) has appeared twice in succession, first warning against undermining the Federal Reserve's independence, and the second time continuing to hint that there will be no rate cuts.

Goolsbee stated on CBS's "Face the Nation" program on Sunday that the independence of monetary policy is crucial; without this independence, inflation rates will rise, economic growth will slow, and the job market will deteriorate.

Goolsbee indicated that the Federal Reserve needs to watch and wait, but if the impact of tariffs does not spread beyond imports that account for 11% of the economy, then the impact may be relatively small.

Goolsbee's frequent remarks are both a powerful counter to Trump's pressure and a necessary repair of market confidence, as well as a reaffirmation of the "data-driven" policy framework.

1. Wall Street's sentiment has shifted from optimistic to a "Sell America" mode, which is an instinctive reaction from the market.

2. Next, people will reassess those assets that are crucial to America's economic dominance. It will no longer be a simple response to "rate cuts" or "tariffs," but a rapid repricing of risks in American dominant assets under the dual pressure of "political intervention" and "institutional risks."

3. If Powell is fired, the initial reaction will be extreme volatility in financial markets, along with what could be imagined as the largest wave of divestment. Not only is the independence of the Federal Reserve obviously under threat, but the prospect of de-dollarization and breaking free from U.S. hegemony is also becoming increasingly realistic.

$BTC $ETH $SOL

How much longer can the rebound last?

Since hitting the bottom on April 7th,
it's been half a month,
btc has increased by 19.3%
eth has increased by 21.9%
sol has reached an astonishing 50.49%

Looking at the current financial environment,
market liquidity is already tight,
the upward momentum is nearing its end,
the probability of a significant breakout upwards is decreasing,
be careful of being trapped at high levels!

#BTC #ETH #solana #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #加密市场反弹

New Reasons to Sell the Dollar: A Battle Between the White House and the Federal Reserve

Markets are worried that Trump may dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, a move that would undermine the Fed's independence and further shake confidence in dollar assets. The 'Sell America' trend accelerated on Monday. The dollar index plummeted 1% that day, briefly falling below the 98 mark; both the dollar and U.S. stock futures dropped, while the yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds rose significantly.

The euro rose to a three-year high, and the yen also reached a new high since September of last year. Several strategists expect the dollar's weak trend to continue.

After White House National Economic Council Director Hassett publicly stated that 'Trump is looking into this matter,' several hedge funds joined the ranks of dollar sellers. Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that hedge funds' current bearish stance on the dollar is at its highest level since October of last year.

Whether Powell will be dismissed has become a focal point for the market. According to the Federal Reserve Act, Federal Reserve governors can only be removed by the President for 'cause,' and no conclusive judicial interpretation has yet been established, but the event itself is already sufficient to become a new trigger for investors to reduce their dollar exposure.

$BTC $ETH $SOL

The main force has taken advantage of the weekend while everyone is relaxing to sneak back in.

Moreover, this time it is a phased breakout,
sol first rises quietly,
btc remains inactive,
this strategy is good!

#BTC #ETH #solana #加密市场反弹

The iron rules and insights of trading cryptocurrencies, hoping to be useful to everyone.

1. Never buy coins at a high price; always have the mindset that it can go as high as it wants, consider that this coin does not exist.

2. There are only two types of coins: the coins bought at a good point are good coins; otherwise, they are worthless coins. The coins bought at a major level point are the best quality coins. Patiently wait for these major level coins to become truly quality coins; this is the true mindset.

3. In fact, the most important thing in trading cryptocurrencies is the mindset. Many people know very well that it is not a buying point, yet they cannot help but itch to buy; this is a mindset issue. If this is not resolved, any theory will be useless.

4. The mindset must be stable; do not have emotions towards any coin or point, only look at the market signals. There should be emotions towards buying and selling points. If the technicals are good and the funds are large, for example, operations can be done weekly or monthly, positions can be built in batches, and diversification can occur. Then, there is no problem with timing.

5. The reasons for mistakes are always unrelated to the market. To find the reasons, one can only look for their own reasons; every mistake must be summarized immediately.

6. The eagerness to make a quick profit is a big taboo for us cryptocurrency traders. If one cannot control their own heart, and cannot control their greed and desires, they cannot succeed in the market for the long term. There are two forms of emptiness: when one holds the coins, their thoughts are controlled by the bulls; conversely, they become slaves to the bears. The market's emotions are accumulated and guided by this. Those who cannot break free from this state will forever remain false participants in the market.

7. Trading cryptocurrencies tests the ability to profit over the long term, not the ability to explode once; the key is a long-term effective trading strategy. When buying, one must consider various situations; holding must be resolute, and selling must be even more resolute; this is how one can gradually improve. You are trading cryptocurrencies, not the coins trading you; start with yourself.

8. The virtual currency market will only reward those with patience; any good coin needs to be nurtured. Constantly swapping for new coins will surely lead to small funds and minor profits. Focus more; those who run around every day will definitely not make big money.

Don't underestimate! Why Trump's firing of Powell could trigger a Wall Street crash?

The recent turmoil in financial markets shows that Trump's aggressive approach to tariffs has caught many investors off guard.

Now, there are concerns that Trump may attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Several investment strategists told MarketWatch that such a move could harm the financial markets, which in turn would affect the U.S. economy.

On Thursday (April 17), Trump publicly criticized Powell for refusing to cut interest rates, calling him "too slow" on social media and urging the Federal Reserve to follow the European Central Bank's rate cut announced that day.

The day before, Powell reiterated that the Federal Reserve would observe the impact of Trump’s tariffs on the economy and inflation, stating that they would wait for clearer data before deciding whether to cut rates further.

When asked if the Federal Reserve would intervene if the stock market crashed, Powell replied, "No." The stock market fell sharply that day.

There is still controversy over whether Trump has the authority to fire Powell. Powell emphasized again on Wednesday that current laws protect Federal Reserve members from being removed by the White House for political reasons.

On Thursday, despite the volatile market trends, investors seemed willing to give Trump some space for trust, as the S&P 500 index ultimately rose slightly, closing in positive territory on the trading day before the holiday.

Although not as strong as Warren, Sosnick stated that any decision that undermines the independence of the Federal Reserve could scare off foreign investors.

At Thursday's press conference at the White House, Trump insisted that if asked to resign, Powell would leave. Powell, however, stated that he would not do so. When asked if he really intended to remove the Federal Reserve chairman, Trump did not give a clear answer.

The Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that Trump had expressed thoughts of dismissing Powell multiple times but had been advised against it by his team of advisors.

Not all Wall Street figures oppose replacing Powell. Jay Hatfield, portfolio manager at Infrastructure Capital, believes that Trump may indeed have reasons to dismiss Powell, especially since he refused to raise interest rates amid rising inflation at the end of 2021.

College Student Earns Millions but Wears Silver Bracelet!

Recently, a news report titled "Top Student in College Earns Millions from Cryptocurrency Trading but is Taken Away by Police During Withdrawal" has gone viral in the crypto community. This raises the question: Is cashing out in the crypto world really that dangerous? Today, we will reveal the pitfalls of cashing out in the crypto space and teach you how to safely protect your hard-earned money!

Pitfall 1: Black Money Trap, Hard to Defend Against

What you think is a normal transfer could be a ticking time bomb:

Tier 3 Black Money: Just acquired a 3-day frozen card package, large funds may start from half a year

Tier 2 Black Money: Directly triggers judicial freeze, your principal could be lost

Tier 1 Black Money: Congratulations on acquiring a "Silver Bracelet", three years of all meals and accommodation is not a dream

Anti-Risk Secrets:​

Don’t get carried away by high premium USDT traders! A player was tempted by a 7.5 yuan high price for USDT, and ended up stepping on involved funds. Moreover, avoid cash transactions offline — last year in Hangzhou, someone was robbed of 2 million USDT during a face-to-face meeting.

Cashing Out Survival Rules:​

Three Principles for Trading with Acquaintances: Collect money before releasing coins, check transaction flow overnight, avoid high-frequency accounts.

Ants Moving House Style Cashing Out: Split 5 million into 100 transactions, transferring 200,000 via Alipay daily.

Be Cautious with Hong Kong Card Channels: Don't force it without an overseas account, be careful of getting stuck in the foreign exchange process.

Bank Risk Control Undercover War:​

▶️ Daily transaction volume exceeds 500,000? Prepare for a counter visit.
▶️ Account suddenly increases by 8 digits? Anti-money laundering department will invite you for tea immediately.
▶️ Have online loan records? Congratulations, you've become a key focus object.

Core Takeaway:​

Don’t be greedy for small profits and take shortcuts; transactions with acquaintances ensure safety. It is recommended that monthly cash outs do not exceed 30% of account flow, and to use digital RMB wallets for transition.

$BTC

Last night the main force slacked off,
only now pulling it up!

A few hundred dollars of oscillation zone,
will have to grind for a few more hours,
Asian盘 is just a garbage time for organizing candlesticks,
Grandma's foot binding cloth,
both smelly and long!

#BTC #鲍威尔发言 #BTC走势分析