crypto-阿风
公众号:阿风说币 拥有顶级策略！
15 Following
48 Followers
36 Liked
4 Shared
Posts
See original
Will China relax its cryptocurrency regulations? Don't dream! Let's talk some hard truths.
Let me be clear, all those online shouting that China will relax cryptocurrency regulations are just deceiving people.
It's a smokescreen! The country is now determined to develop manufacturing and hard technology, such as chips and new energy.
The real darling is the real economy; financial innovation? It's already been stifled—now the country only allows finance to serve the real economy.
The economy as a waiter, want to speculate? No way!
Those trading coins all day long are blowing about 'policy loosening'; to put it bluntly, it's just a lie concocted by speculators to fleece people.
Talking nonsense! China has already wiped out domestic exchanges; do you still expect the government to issue you a license?
Wake up!
It's a smokescreen! The country is now determined to develop manufacturing and hard technology, such as chips and new energy.
The real darling is the real economy; financial innovation? It's already been stifled—now the country only allows finance to serve the real economy.
The economy as a waiter, want to speculate? No way!
Those trading coins all day long are blowing about 'policy loosening'; to put it bluntly, it's just a lie concocted by speculators to fleece people.
Talking nonsense! China has already wiped out domestic exchanges; do you still expect the government to issue you a license?
Wake up!
See original
BNB Pathway to $700 Analysis: Ecological Empowerment, Regulatory Variables and Cycle Resonance Dynamics
I. Core Logic Verification of Price Breakthrough
1. Technical Breakthrough Threshold
Historical Resistance Structure:
Historical Peak in May 2021: $690.93 (Psychological Pressure Level)
Current Weekly Level Ascending Channel Upper Track: $580 (Dynamic Resistance)
Fibonacci Extension Target: $722 (1.618 Times Extension Position)
Volume-Price Divergence Monitoring:
Breaking 580 Requires Accompanied Daily Trading Volume > 580 Requires Accompanied Daily Trading Volume > 350 Million (Current Average $120 Million)
Exchange Net Flow Indicator: If Breaks and Weekly Net Outflow > 500,000 BNB, Effectiveness +30%
2. On-Chain Chip Distribution
Position Cost Analysis (Glassnode Data):
1. Technical Breakthrough Threshold
Historical Resistance Structure:
Historical Peak in May 2021: $690.93 (Psychological Pressure Level)
Current Weekly Level Ascending Channel Upper Track: $580 (Dynamic Resistance)
Fibonacci Extension Target: $722 (1.618 Times Extension Position)
Volume-Price Divergence Monitoring:
Breaking 580 Requires Accompanied Daily Trading Volume > 580 Requires Accompanied Daily Trading Volume > 350 Million (Current Average $120 Million)
Exchange Net Flow Indicator: If Breaks and Weekly Net Outflow > 500,000 BNB, Effectiveness +30%
2. On-Chain Chip Distribution
Position Cost Analysis (Glassnode Data):
Translate
BTC冲击115,000美元路径推演：多维度时空模型解构
一、价格突破验证体系
关键阈值监测矩阵
压力层级价格区间链上成本基础期货头寸密度初级阻力$74,8002021年顶部套牢盘
$6.2亿空单心理关口$85,000机构建仓成本区未平仓量激增带终极目标$115,000无历
史锚定点算法盘主导区
突破有效性三因子验证：
周线收盘测试：需连续两周站稳目标价上方
交易所净流量：突破时需伴随单日净流出＞2万BTC
期权波动率压缩：1个月IV降至45%以下后爆发
二、周期共振模型预测
时间窗口推演（基于库存周期与减半效应）
乐观情景（机构加速进场）：
2024年Q4触及$85,000
2025年Q2突破$115,000（减半年后效应）
中性情景（宏观滞胀压制）：
2025年Q1完成$100,000测试
2026年H1实现终极目标
黑天鹅情景（监管干预）：
价格永久性卡在$70,000-90,000通道
链上周期指标临界值
RHODL比率：当前值1.8，需突破3.2进入超涨阶段
实体调整休眠流量：突破115,000需达到2.5M BTC/月
三、机构资金流博弈分析
ETF通道承载力测算
机构日均净流入阈值价格传导系数BlackRock$3.8亿每亿流入=+1.2%Fidelity$1.2亿每亿流入=+0.7%全体ETF$5亿/日触发动量策略
临界点计算：
持续30日净流入≥4.2亿/日，将推动价格突破量化模型上限4.2亿/日，将推动价格突
破量化模型上限102,000
四、矿工-交易所-衍生品三元博弈
矿工抛压衰减曲线
当前每日产出：900 BTC（减半后）
抛售比例：＜35%（2020周期为62%）
对价格压制力下降至历史均值的23%
衍生品市场杠杆率预警
当永续合约OI/BTC市值比＞18%时，易引发20%+闪崩
当前值：14.3%（安全边际内）
五、宏观因子权重分配
驱动因素影响力系数当前作用方向美联储资产负债表0.32边际利好全球流动性脉冲
0.28中性转正地缘风险溢价0.19加速BTC避险监管政策不确定性0.21主要抑制因子
六、智能策略工具箱
攻防兼备组合建议
现货仓位移仓计划
现价保留50%核心仓位
68,000/68,000/72,000分两档补仓（各15%）
突破$80,000追涨20%（动态止盈）
波动率收割策略
卖出90,000看涨期权+买入90,000看涨期权+买入120,000看涨期权
时间窗口：2025年3月合约
风险控制铁律
杠杆率绝对值＜2x
价格回撤＞15%启动对冲协议
交易所持仓占比＜总资产40%
七、终极目标触发信号清单
机构级买入信号
单日ETF净流入＞$7亿
CME期货溢价持续＞15%
趋势逆转警报
USDT市值30日缩水＞8%
交易所BTC余额周增幅＞5%
$BTC #币安LaunchpoolHUMA #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha推出MERL交易竞赛 #币安Alpha上新
盲目单干永远不会带来机会，点点头像关注我，我将带你探寻的十倍潜力币！顶级一级资源！
关键阈值监测矩阵
压力层级价格区间链上成本基础期货头寸密度初级阻力$74,8002021年顶部套牢盘
$6.2亿空单心理关口$85,000机构建仓成本区未平仓量激增带终极目标$115,000无历
史锚定点算法盘主导区
突破有效性三因子验证：
周线收盘测试：需连续两周站稳目标价上方
交易所净流量：突破时需伴随单日净流出＞2万BTC
期权波动率压缩：1个月IV降至45%以下后爆发
二、周期共振模型预测
时间窗口推演（基于库存周期与减半效应）
乐观情景（机构加速进场）：
2024年Q4触及$85,000
2025年Q2突破$115,000（减半年后效应）
中性情景（宏观滞胀压制）：
2025年Q1完成$100,000测试
2026年H1实现终极目标
黑天鹅情景（监管干预）：
价格永久性卡在$70,000-90,000通道
链上周期指标临界值
RHODL比率：当前值1.8，需突破3.2进入超涨阶段
实体调整休眠流量：突破115,000需达到2.5M BTC/月
三、机构资金流博弈分析
ETF通道承载力测算
机构日均净流入阈值价格传导系数BlackRock$3.8亿每亿流入=+1.2%Fidelity$1.2亿每亿流入=+0.7%全体ETF$5亿/日触发动量策略
临界点计算：
持续30日净流入≥4.2亿/日，将推动价格突破量化模型上限4.2亿/日，将推动价格突
破量化模型上限102,000
四、矿工-交易所-衍生品三元博弈
矿工抛压衰减曲线
当前每日产出：900 BTC（减半后）
抛售比例：＜35%（2020周期为62%）
对价格压制力下降至历史均值的23%
衍生品市场杠杆率预警
当永续合约OI/BTC市值比＞18%时，易引发20%+闪崩
当前值：14.3%（安全边际内）
五、宏观因子权重分配
驱动因素影响力系数当前作用方向美联储资产负债表0.32边际利好全球流动性脉冲
0.28中性转正地缘风险溢价0.19加速BTC避险监管政策不确定性0.21主要抑制因子
六、智能策略工具箱
攻防兼备组合建议
现货仓位移仓计划
现价保留50%核心仓位
68,000/68,000/72,000分两档补仓（各15%）
突破$80,000追涨20%（动态止盈）
波动率收割策略
卖出90,000看涨期权+买入90,000看涨期权+买入120,000看涨期权
时间窗口：2025年3月合约
风险控制铁律
杠杆率绝对值＜2x
价格回撤＞15%启动对冲协议
交易所持仓占比＜总资产40%
七、终极目标触发信号清单
机构级买入信号
单日ETF净流入＞$7亿
CME期货溢价持续＞15%
趋势逆转警报
USDT市值30日缩水＞8%
交易所BTC余额周增幅＞5%
$BTC #币安LaunchpoolHUMA #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha推出MERL交易竞赛 #币安Alpha上新
盲目单干永远不会带来机会，点点头像关注我，我将带你探寻的十倍潜力币！顶级一级资源！
See original
Countdown to ETH hitting $3,000: In-depth analysis of technical indicators, on-chain data, and market sentiment.
I. Current price structure and key resistance levels.
Technical triple verification:
Weekly trend line breakthrough: ETH has broken the descending trend line since November 2022 after forming a double bottom structure at $2,150 (now turned support).
Fibonacci cluster pressure: The 2,800−2,900 range accumulates the 1.618 extension point (2,834) and historical trading volume node ($2,877).
Implied volatility anomaly:
Deribit options market shows a 320% surge in open interest for call options with a strike price of $2,800 over 7 days.
Long-short battle zone monitoring:
CME Ethereum futures form a $120 million short position at $2,750.
Technical triple verification:
Weekly trend line breakthrough: ETH has broken the descending trend line since November 2022 after forming a double bottom structure at $2,150 (now turned support).
Fibonacci cluster pressure: The 2,800−2,900 range accumulates the 1.618 extension point (2,834) and historical trading volume node ($2,877).
Implied volatility anomaly:
Deribit options market shows a 320% surge in open interest for call options with a strike price of $2,800 over 7 days.
Long-short battle zone monitoring:
CME Ethereum futures form a $120 million short position at $2,750.
See original
【BTC Long and Short Meat Grinder Activated】The Calm Before the Storm? Three Sets of Data Reveal Countdown to Trend Change
（Market Code）
BTC is currently quoted at $67,200 (correcting the original erroneous quote), with a daily line showing a long "lightning rod" upper shadow of 5.8%
. The key resistance level of $68,000 is stacked with sell orders worth 12,000 BTC,
perfectly resonating with the weekly BOLL upper band ($68,150).
The MACD dual lines have formed a dead cross above the zero axis at a 3.2% position; this high-level dead cross pattern has triggered 10% level corrections three times in the past half
year.
（On-chain Underflow）
Whales have net transferred 28,000 BTC to exchanges in a single day, creating the largest selling pressure since March. The Coinbase
premium index has dropped to -0.37%, indicating that US institutional buying has dried up, with Tether's market value evaporating by
$320 million in a single day, and the outflow speed of stablecoins reaching a yearly peak.
（News Sentiment Game）
The Federal Reserve's reverse repurchase scale has suddenly dropped by $200 billion, putting pressure on risk assets. The German government last night
again transferred 9,000 BTC, involving over $600 million worth of Bitcoin. The Bitcoin ETF has seen net outflows for three consecutive days, and BlackRock's IBIT has seen a premium inversion for the first time.
（Long and Short Critical Point）
$67,000 has become the intraday dividing line between bulls and bears, with this position also gathering:
The lower edge of the weekly ascending channel, the maximum pain point of open contracts, and the CME futures gap filling position.
（Operational Strategy）
Aggressive traders can make a bilateral breakout order in the $66,800-$67,500 range, with the stop-loss widened to ±1.2%. Conservative investors should pay attention to the resistance level at $69,000; if there is no significant breakout before the US trading session, it is recommended to reduce positions to below 30%. Remember: when analysts across the network start discussing the "double top pattern," it often means the real direction is about to be revealed.
Feeling confused? Can't find a way out?? Leave a comment to get support from a top-notch team.
I am A-Feng, supported by a top team; only those who resonate on the same frequency can gather together! (Serious inquiries only)
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha上新 #币安Alpha推出MERL交易竞赛
（Market Code）
BTC is currently quoted at $67,200 (correcting the original erroneous quote), with a daily line showing a long "lightning rod" upper shadow of 5.8%
. The key resistance level of $68,000 is stacked with sell orders worth 12,000 BTC,
perfectly resonating with the weekly BOLL upper band ($68,150).
The MACD dual lines have formed a dead cross above the zero axis at a 3.2% position; this high-level dead cross pattern has triggered 10% level corrections three times in the past half
year.
（On-chain Underflow）
Whales have net transferred 28,000 BTC to exchanges in a single day, creating the largest selling pressure since March. The Coinbase
premium index has dropped to -0.37%, indicating that US institutional buying has dried up, with Tether's market value evaporating by
$320 million in a single day, and the outflow speed of stablecoins reaching a yearly peak.
（News Sentiment Game）
The Federal Reserve's reverse repurchase scale has suddenly dropped by $200 billion, putting pressure on risk assets. The German government last night
again transferred 9,000 BTC, involving over $600 million worth of Bitcoin. The Bitcoin ETF has seen net outflows for three consecutive days, and BlackRock's IBIT has seen a premium inversion for the first time.
（Long and Short Critical Point）
$67,000 has become the intraday dividing line between bulls and bears, with this position also gathering:
The lower edge of the weekly ascending channel, the maximum pain point of open contracts, and the CME futures gap filling position.
（Operational Strategy）
Aggressive traders can make a bilateral breakout order in the $66,800-$67,500 range, with the stop-loss widened to ±1.2%. Conservative investors should pay attention to the resistance level at $69,000; if there is no significant breakout before the US trading session, it is recommended to reduce positions to below 30%. Remember: when analysts across the network start discussing the "double top pattern," it often means the real direction is about to be revealed.
Feeling confused? Can't find a way out?? Leave a comment to get support from a top-notch team.
I am A-Feng, supported by a top team; only those who resonate on the same frequency can gather together! (Serious inquiries only)
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha上新 #币安Alpha推出MERL交易竞赛
See original
Analysis tips and risk reminders regarding Bitcoin's breakthrough of historical highs:
Market Status Verification
As of Q3 2024, Bitcoin's actual historical highest price is $73,798 (March 2024 data)
The statement of breaking $110,000 differs significantly from the current market, data sources need to be verified
Major exchanges' spot quotes show recent highs in the $72,000 - $75,000 range
Technical Analysis Verification
The "cup and handle" theory target needs to be confirmed with specific cycle charts
The key resistance level on the monthly chart is around $85,000 (Fibonacci extension)
On-chain data needs to be cross-verified through professional platforms such as Glassnode/Nansen
Institutional Movement Tracking
The latest 13F report shows:
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF position growth is slowing
Fidelity recently experienced a one-day net outflow
The actual share of positions held by compliant institutions is 4.2% of circulation
Macroeconomic Environment Observation
CME FedWatch shows a September rate cut probability of only 38%
The actual yield on U.S. Treasuries remains at a high of 2.1%
The dollar liquidity index (DXY) remains above 105
Rational Investment Advice
The 90-day volatility index for cryptocurrencies is currently at 82%, in a high-risk zone
The on-chain realized profit and loss ratio (SOPR) shows short-term overheating signals
Position control is advised: High-risk asset allocation should not exceed 5% of total assets
Risk Warning
The perpetual contract funding rate continues to exceed 0.05%
The exchange's BTC reserve has decreased by 120,000 coins over the past 30 days, posing liquidity risks
The SEC's regulatory investigations into several exchanges are ongoing
The current market is in a critical game phase, investors should:
Strictly set stop-loss orders (recommended not exceeding 15% of the holding price)
Pay attention to the CME futures gap support at $71,000
Beware of flash crash risks triggered by leveraged liquidations
Prioritize cold wallet storage for long-term holdings
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币
Cryptocurrency insights, click my profile picture to follow me for more information. Enjoy deployment of hundred-fold potential coins in bull markets as well as daily spot strategies!
Market Status Verification
As of Q3 2024, Bitcoin's actual historical highest price is $73,798 (March 2024 data)
The statement of breaking $110,000 differs significantly from the current market, data sources need to be verified
Major exchanges' spot quotes show recent highs in the $72,000 - $75,000 range
Technical Analysis Verification
The "cup and handle" theory target needs to be confirmed with specific cycle charts
The key resistance level on the monthly chart is around $85,000 (Fibonacci extension)
On-chain data needs to be cross-verified through professional platforms such as Glassnode/Nansen
Institutional Movement Tracking
The latest 13F report shows:
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF position growth is slowing
Fidelity recently experienced a one-day net outflow
The actual share of positions held by compliant institutions is 4.2% of circulation
Macroeconomic Environment Observation
CME FedWatch shows a September rate cut probability of only 38%
The actual yield on U.S. Treasuries remains at a high of 2.1%
The dollar liquidity index (DXY) remains above 105
Rational Investment Advice
The 90-day volatility index for cryptocurrencies is currently at 82%, in a high-risk zone
The on-chain realized profit and loss ratio (SOPR) shows short-term overheating signals
Position control is advised: High-risk asset allocation should not exceed 5% of total assets
Risk Warning
The perpetual contract funding rate continues to exceed 0.05%
The exchange's BTC reserve has decreased by 120,000 coins over the past 30 days, posing liquidity risks
The SEC's regulatory investigations into several exchanges are ongoing
The current market is in a critical game phase, investors should:
Strictly set stop-loss orders (recommended not exceeding 15% of the holding price)
Pay attention to the CME futures gap support at $71,000
Beware of flash crash risks triggered by leveraged liquidations
Prioritize cold wallet storage for long-term holdings
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币
Cryptocurrency insights, click my profile picture to follow me for more information. Enjoy deployment of hundred-fold potential coins in bull markets as well as daily spot strategies!
See original
【Ultimate Enlightenment After Losing 200,000 U】The Rollover Bible I Gained from 58 Liquidations: How to Turn 500 U into Millions of Assets
Chapter 1: The Epitaph of Liquidators: The 200,000 U I Personally Buried Over the Years
The candlestick from March 9, 2023, 14:23 is still etched on my retina
The Three Deadly Sins:
① Worship of Leverage: Opening 20x leverage on GMT (believing it would reach 1 U when the current price was 0.28 USD)
② Mathematical Illusion: Calculating "If it drops another 30%, it would only be 68 USD" (resulting in a low of 8 USD)
③ Curse of Time: Holding a position for 3 days turned into 3 months, ultimately collapsing 7 hours before dawn
Currency Leverage Liquidation Price Forced Liquidation Price Difference Survival Time GMT 20x $0.41 2.3% 19 hours
LUNC 50x $0.00018 0.7% 43 minutes APE 15x $3.2 1.8% 6 days 2 hours
Chapter 2: Dark Rollover Techniques: From 500 U to 170,000 U's Devilish Parameters
This strategy has been copied by 3 quantitative institutions; please do not disclose
Core Algorithm:
Profit Index = √(Volatility × Leverage²) ÷ Drawdown Tolerance
Life and Death Parameter Table (recommended to tattoo on the left wrist)
Stage Principal Proportion Leverage Ratio Take Profit/Stop Loss Ratio Cooling Time Launch 5% 3-5x 3:1 30 minutes
Charge 15% 8-12x 2:1 90 minutes Slaughter 30% 20-25x 1.5:1 Mandatory Overnight
Avalanche Scaling Formula:
Scaling Amount = Previous Profit × (Current Volatility / Initial Volatility)²
1st Order: 5% Position 3x Leverage Earned 23% → Account 563 U 7th Order: 18% Position 12x
Leverage Earned 61% → Account Surpasses 10,000 U 21st Order: 37% Position 22x Leverage Earned 214%
→ Achieving 173,000 U
Chapter 3: Dancing with the Big Players: Three Major Anti-Detection Tactics
A certain exchange once offered a reward of 10 BTC to track this strategy)
In Q4 2023, the circuit breaker mechanism was triggered 17 times, successfully avoiding black swan events like 519 and Double 11
Ultimate Warning:
This strategy will lead to:
① Eternal Fear of Missing Out (Mechanical Execution)
② Loss of the Thrill of Getting Rich (Digitization of Games)
③ Being Blocked by Friends in the Circle (Yield exceeding theirs by 100 times)
(Challenge at the end of the article)
Now open your trading records:
Identify the operations in your last 3 trades that violated the table below ↓
Forbidden Actions My Trigger Count Revenge Trading After Loss 27 times
Modifying Stop Loss in Advance 43 times
Placing Orders in the Bathroom 86 times
Follow A Feng (Dare to Copy Trades and Get the "Main Force Order Decoding Manual")
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币
Chapter 1: The Epitaph of Liquidators: The 200,000 U I Personally Buried Over the Years
The candlestick from March 9, 2023, 14:23 is still etched on my retina
The Three Deadly Sins:
① Worship of Leverage: Opening 20x leverage on GMT (believing it would reach 1 U when the current price was 0.28 USD)
② Mathematical Illusion: Calculating "If it drops another 30%, it would only be 68 USD" (resulting in a low of 8 USD)
③ Curse of Time: Holding a position for 3 days turned into 3 months, ultimately collapsing 7 hours before dawn
Currency Leverage Liquidation Price Forced Liquidation Price Difference Survival Time GMT 20x $0.41 2.3% 19 hours
LUNC 50x $0.00018 0.7% 43 minutes APE 15x $3.2 1.8% 6 days 2 hours
Chapter 2: Dark Rollover Techniques: From 500 U to 170,000 U's Devilish Parameters
This strategy has been copied by 3 quantitative institutions; please do not disclose
Core Algorithm:
Profit Index = √(Volatility × Leverage²) ÷ Drawdown Tolerance
Life and Death Parameter Table (recommended to tattoo on the left wrist)
Stage Principal Proportion Leverage Ratio Take Profit/Stop Loss Ratio Cooling Time Launch 5% 3-5x 3:1 30 minutes
Charge 15% 8-12x 2:1 90 minutes Slaughter 30% 20-25x 1.5:1 Mandatory Overnight
Avalanche Scaling Formula:
Scaling Amount = Previous Profit × (Current Volatility / Initial Volatility)²
1st Order: 5% Position 3x Leverage Earned 23% → Account 563 U 7th Order: 18% Position 12x
Leverage Earned 61% → Account Surpasses 10,000 U 21st Order: 37% Position 22x Leverage Earned 214%
→ Achieving 173,000 U
Chapter 3: Dancing with the Big Players: Three Major Anti-Detection Tactics
A certain exchange once offered a reward of 10 BTC to track this strategy)
In Q4 2023, the circuit breaker mechanism was triggered 17 times, successfully avoiding black swan events like 519 and Double 11
Ultimate Warning:
This strategy will lead to:
① Eternal Fear of Missing Out (Mechanical Execution)
② Loss of the Thrill of Getting Rich (Digitization of Games)
③ Being Blocked by Friends in the Circle (Yield exceeding theirs by 100 times)
(Challenge at the end of the article)
Now open your trading records:
Identify the operations in your last 3 trades that violated the table below ↓
Forbidden Actions My Trigger Count Revenge Trading After Loss 27 times
Modifying Stop Loss in Advance 43 times
Placing Orders in the Bathroom 86 times
Follow A Feng (Dare to Copy Trades and Get the "Main Force Order Decoding Manual")
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币
See original
Will Mubarak Token Drop to $0.35? In-Depth Analysis of Potential Risks and Market Signals
Recently, Mubarak token (token symbol: MUB) has raised investor concerns due to increased market selling pressure. Its price has continuously retreated from its peak
some analysts predict it may further test the key psychological level of $0.35. This article will analyze from technical
From technical, on-chain data, project dynamics, and other dimensions, explore potential paths for its decline and response strategies
1. Current Market Environment Impact on MUB
Industry Cycle and Capital Flow
If mainstream coins such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a downward channel, small and medium market cap tokens (like MUB) often
face larger corrections
Capital Flow Monitoring: Is recent market capital flowing from altcoins to stablecoins or safe-haven assets? (Need
some analysts predict it may further test the key psychological level of $0.35. This article will analyze from technical
From technical, on-chain data, project dynamics, and other dimensions, explore potential paths for its decline and response strategies
1. Current Market Environment Impact on MUB
Industry Cycle and Capital Flow
If mainstream coins such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a downward channel, small and medium market cap tokens (like MUB) often
face larger corrections
Capital Flow Monitoring: Is recent market capital flowing from altcoins to stablecoins or safe-haven assets? (Need
See original
Will WCT Coin Fall to $0.41? Key Factors and Future Trend Analysis
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has become more volatile, and the price trend of WCT coin (assumed to be a project token) has triggered investors
Pay attention. As the overall market pulls back, many people are beginning to speculate: Will WCT coin further fall to $0.41
Yuan? This article will analyze its potential risks and support logic from the perspectives of market environment, technical aspects, and project fundamentals
Logic
I. Current Market Background
Overall cryptocurrency market sentiment
The fluctuations of mainstream coins such as Bitcoin and Ethereum directly affect the trend of small market capitalization tokens (such as WCT). If large
The market continues to be sluggish, and WCT's selling pressure may intensify
Pay attention. As the overall market pulls back, many people are beginning to speculate: Will WCT coin further fall to $0.41
Yuan? This article will analyze its potential risks and support logic from the perspectives of market environment, technical aspects, and project fundamentals
Logic
I. Current Market Background
Overall cryptocurrency market sentiment
The fluctuations of mainstream coins such as Bitcoin and Ethereum directly affect the trend of small market capitalization tokens (such as WCT). If large
The market continues to be sluggish, and WCT's selling pressure may intensify
See original
[LISTA's impact on $0.325] In-depth analysis of the chip distribution on the chain. Has the main script been written in the K-line?
(Live broadcast on the long and short fronts)
The current LISTA price is $0.3, and it only needs 8.3% to reach the target price of $0.325. The market data shows: 0.3166
The intraday high of the US dollar has reached the target area, but there is a pile of 72.05 BTC (about 5.16 million US dollars) at $0.31.
The sell order wall coincides with the daily Fibonacci 0.618 resistance level. It is worth noting that the $0.295 level
The "spring board" support with a current value of 24.65 BTC forms a 2.7% price buffer zone
(On-chain attack and defense password)
TVL value game: The total locked amount of US$1.538 billion forms a value anchor point, and the current circulating market value/TVL ratio is only
The current LISTA price is $0.3, and it only needs 8.3% to reach the target price of $0.325. The market data shows: 0.3166
The intraday high of the US dollar has reached the target area, but there is a pile of 72.05 BTC (about 5.16 million US dollars) at $0.31.
The sell order wall coincides with the daily Fibonacci 0.618 resistance level. It is worth noting that the $0.295 level
The "spring board" support with a current value of 24.65 BTC forms a 2.7% price buffer zone
(On-chain attack and defense password)
TVL value game: The total locked amount of US$1.538 billion forms a value anchor point, and the current circulating market value/TVL ratio is only
See original
[HAEDAL coin 0.25 US dollar battle simulation] In-depth analysis of the main order code. Has the surge script been written into the market?
(Live broadcast on the long and short fronts)
The current price of HAEDAL is $0.1749, which still needs to increase by 42.9% to reach the target price of $0.25. The market data shows:
There is a 23.584K sell order wall above $0.1756, which coincides with the daily MA30 pressure level.
Yes, there is a potential buy support of 37.498K in the range of 0.1743-0.1747 USD, forming a 2.3% price buffer zone.
The slight advantage of +0.28% exposes that the main force is playing the trick of "besieging the city and attacking the reinforcements".
(Decoding of main force behavior)
Order Trap: A 6.069K buy order at $0.1750 and a 7.409K sell order at $0.1747 form a "sandwich strategy".
The current price of HAEDAL is $0.1749, which still needs to increase by 42.9% to reach the target price of $0.25. The market data shows:
There is a 23.584K sell order wall above $0.1756, which coincides with the daily MA30 pressure level.
Yes, there is a potential buy support of 37.498K in the range of 0.1743-0.1747 USD, forming a 2.3% price buffer zone.
The slight advantage of +0.28% exposes that the main force is playing the trick of "besieging the city and attacking the reinforcements".
(Decoding of main force behavior)
Order Trap: A 6.069K buy order at $0.1750 and a 7.409K sell order at $0.1747 form a "sandwich strategy".
See original
Ethereum's violent awakening: After three years of dormancy, the three major nuclear explosion logics of breaking through $8,000 (plain language version)
"Bitcoin hits $110,000, while Ethereum is still lying dead?" Wrong! ETH in 2025 is no longer the same as it was in the past. The weekly MACD underwater golden cross + ecological crushing outbreak + spot ETF approval countdown, triple engines ignited, $8,000 is just the starting price.
1. Technical aspect: The weekly "squat and jump" signal has been fully pulled
The laws of history speak:
After the bear market in 2018, ETH’s weekly MACD crossed underwater, and then soared 40 times in the following two years.
In May 2025, the same signal reappeared, and the price broke through the historical high of $4,000. The double insurance of "breaking the previous high + golden cross" made it clear that it was going to rush.
1. Technical aspect: The weekly "squat and jump" signal has been fully pulled
The laws of history speak:
After the bear market in 2018, ETH’s weekly MACD crossed underwater, and then soared 40 times in the following two years.
In May 2025, the same signal reappeared, and the price broke through the historical high of $4,000. The double insurance of "breaking the previous high + golden cross" made it clear that it was going to rush.
See original
Bitcoin weekly analysis: Stabilizing at $110,000, is $130,000 within reach?
A rough summary of the current situation:
Expectations fulfilled: Last week we reminded that "the price will stabilize at a new high of 133,000-147,000". This week, Bitcoin hit 110,000, and the bulls have got the script.
The core logic has not changed: weekly MACD golden cross opens + price stabilizes at a new high. These two signals are the "engine ignition", and you know with your eyes closed that it will rush higher.
The only suspense: Can the closing price this week hold onto 110,000? If it holds, 130,000 will be the bottom; if it doesn’t, 100,000 will be the bottom.
Key signal analysis (human language version)
Weekly MACD golden cross opening
What does it mean: The upward momentum of the large cycle has been confirmed, similar to the "starting posture" before breaking 20,000 US dollars in 2020. Historically, after this signal appeared, the average increase was 300%+.
Expectations fulfilled: Last week we reminded that "the price will stabilize at a new high of 133,000-147,000". This week, Bitcoin hit 110,000, and the bulls have got the script.
The core logic has not changed: weekly MACD golden cross opens + price stabilizes at a new high. These two signals are the "engine ignition", and you know with your eyes closed that it will rush higher.
The only suspense: Can the closing price this week hold onto 110,000? If it holds, 130,000 will be the bottom; if it doesn’t, 100,000 will be the bottom.
Key signal analysis (human language version)
Weekly MACD golden cross opening
What does it mean: The upward momentum of the large cycle has been confirmed, similar to the "starting posture" before breaking 20,000 US dollars in 2020. Historically, after this signal appeared, the average increase was 300%+.
See original
Bitcoin reaches $110,000: From 'digital gold' to 'family legacy' wealth revolution
ETF ignites 'buying nuclear bomb'
In 2024, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF was approved, leading to a frenzy of traditional capital inflow: pensions and sovereign funds bypass giants like BlackRock to 'legally scoop up' Bitcoin, with a single ETF holding over 500,000 coins, buying speed far exceeding miners' mining efficiency. Global compliance channels have opened one after another, with the ETF scale accumulated over 20 years in gold being approached directly by Bitcoin in just a year and a half. Young people are voting with their feet: the era of 'digital gold' has arrived.
National covert wars, coin hoarding addiction
El Salvador's nationwide crypto trading has resulted in a paper profit of $10 billion, with per capita earnings; Russia and Iran use BTC to bypass sanctions for energy settlements; the U.S. publicly regulates while the Treasury secretly hoards 100,000 seized BTC. When fiat currency credibility is torn apart by war and debt, the 21 million Bitcoins have become the 'Noah's Ark of the apocalypse,' with great and small nations scrambling to board.
”
$1 million? Just the starting point
After the halving, daily miner sell-off volume is halved, yet daily ETF demand surpasses 1,000 coins, with the gap continuously widening; the trillion-dollar inheritance from the baby boomer generation in Europe and America is flowing into Bitcoin trusts, making 'passing coins to descendants' the new trend in wills; under the AI computing arms race, mining machine giants cross into a trillion-dollar market value. Standard Chartered calls for $300,000, ARK predicts $1.5 million, and retail investors shout: 'Switch to logarithmic scale!'
Risk? The inability to hold is the biggest risk
Regulatory black hands and quantum computing threats have never disappeared, but history repeatedly proves: those who get off the ride always miss the next zero in the frenzy. When gold becomes 'grandpa's safe,' and real estate turns into 'the city’s debt,' Bitcoin is rewriting the rules of wealth with code — it is no longer an option, but a necessity for survival in the digital age.
Hold on to your ticket, because the goal of this revolution may very well be the ultimate future of 'one coin, one villa.'
For the upcoming layout direction, I plan to guide everyone to find those lucrative opportunities in altcoins, expecting returns to multiply tenfold is not a problem. Like and comment, and I will take you all to layout the entire bull market!
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha推出MERL交易竞赛 #我的EOS交易
ETF ignites 'buying nuclear bomb'
In 2024, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF was approved, leading to a frenzy of traditional capital inflow: pensions and sovereign funds bypass giants like BlackRock to 'legally scoop up' Bitcoin, with a single ETF holding over 500,000 coins, buying speed far exceeding miners' mining efficiency. Global compliance channels have opened one after another, with the ETF scale accumulated over 20 years in gold being approached directly by Bitcoin in just a year and a half. Young people are voting with their feet: the era of 'digital gold' has arrived.
National covert wars, coin hoarding addiction
El Salvador's nationwide crypto trading has resulted in a paper profit of $10 billion, with per capita earnings; Russia and Iran use BTC to bypass sanctions for energy settlements; the U.S. publicly regulates while the Treasury secretly hoards 100,000 seized BTC. When fiat currency credibility is torn apart by war and debt, the 21 million Bitcoins have become the 'Noah's Ark of the apocalypse,' with great and small nations scrambling to board.
”
$1 million? Just the starting point
After the halving, daily miner sell-off volume is halved, yet daily ETF demand surpasses 1,000 coins, with the gap continuously widening; the trillion-dollar inheritance from the baby boomer generation in Europe and America is flowing into Bitcoin trusts, making 'passing coins to descendants' the new trend in wills; under the AI computing arms race, mining machine giants cross into a trillion-dollar market value. Standard Chartered calls for $300,000, ARK predicts $1.5 million, and retail investors shout: 'Switch to logarithmic scale!'
Risk? The inability to hold is the biggest risk
Regulatory black hands and quantum computing threats have never disappeared, but history repeatedly proves: those who get off the ride always miss the next zero in the frenzy. When gold becomes 'grandpa's safe,' and real estate turns into 'the city’s debt,' Bitcoin is rewriting the rules of wealth with code — it is no longer an option, but a necessity for survival in the digital age.
Hold on to your ticket, because the goal of this revolution may very well be the ultimate future of 'one coin, one villa.'
For the upcoming layout direction, I plan to guide everyone to find those lucrative opportunities in altcoins, expecting returns to multiply tenfold is not a problem. Like and comment, and I will take you all to layout the entire bull market!
$BTC #比特币突破11万美元 #币安Alpha推出MERL交易竞赛 #我的EOS交易
See original
Bitcoin hits $120,000: bull market logic and potential path analysis
New narrative after all-time highs
In 2024, after Bitcoin broke through its historical high of $70,000, market sentiment continued to heat up.
The market, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy shift and technical breakthroughs have led more and more analysts to believe that Bitcoin may be the most profitable in this cycle.
The target is 120,000 US dollars. This prediction is not groundless, but based on the resonance of multiple factors.
1. Technical aspects: Signals of breakthrough rise
The revelation of historical cycles
Bitcoin has shown a "post-halving explosion" pattern in history: it rose 80 times after the halving in 2016, and halved in 2020.
The fourth halving will be completed in April 2024 (the block reward will drop to 3.125 BTC).
In 2024, after Bitcoin broke through its historical high of $70,000, market sentiment continued to heat up.
The market, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy shift and technical breakthroughs have led more and more analysts to believe that Bitcoin may be the most profitable in this cycle.
The target is 120,000 US dollars. This prediction is not groundless, but based on the resonance of multiple factors.
1. Technical aspects: Signals of breakthrough rise
The revelation of historical cycles
Bitcoin has shown a "post-halving explosion" pattern in history: it rose 80 times after the halving in 2016, and halved in 2020.
The fourth halving will be completed in April 2024 (the block reward will drop to 3.125 BTC).
See original
[Blood Profit Secrets] 36-year-old veteran reveals: From 300,000 to 50 million all thanks to the 'Three No Principles'
1. Money-making secrets in a bull market: Only fools try to eat the entire bull market
I have seen too many people lose money in a bull market - it's not that there were no opportunities, but they were too greedy! During the 2021 DEFI bull market, I did two things:
Stick to one track (I chose GameFi at that time)
Only hold two coins (AXS + MANA)
Results? From $50,000 to $20 million in 4 months! Those 'smart people' chasing NFTs + Metaverse + blockchain games ended up not even making back the fees.
Ironclad rule for getting rich:
Hold the leader in a booming sector (for example, the Rune sector in this bull market)
If it rises 3 times, reduce the position by 50%, lock in the principal first
Sell everything if it breaks the 30-day moving average
2. Bloody and tearful rules: Breaking any one of these five means exiting immediately
I have seen too many people lose money in a bull market - it's not that there were no opportunities, but they were too greedy! During the 2021 DEFI bull market, I did two things:
Stick to one track (I chose GameFi at that time)
Only hold two coins (AXS + MANA)
Results? From $50,000 to $20 million in 4 months! Those 'smart people' chasing NFTs + Metaverse + blockchain games ended up not even making back the fees.
Ironclad rule for getting rich:
Hold the leader in a booming sector (for example, the Rune sector in this bull market)
If it rises 3 times, reduce the position by 50%, lock in the principal first
Sell everything if it breaks the 30-day moving average
2. Bloody and tearful rules: Breaking any one of these five means exiting immediately
See original
[Bloody Lessons] The Most Toxic Chicken Soup in the Crypto World Has Been Exposed! What You Think Is Bottom Fishing and Peak Escaping Is All an Illusion.
First, Burst the Biggest Lie: Where is the boundary between bull and bear markets?
There are always people bragging about escaping at the peak of a bull market and buying at the bottom of a bear market. The truth is: both bull and bear are after-the-fact analyses! You see 100,000 as the peak now, but what if it surges to 200,000 tomorrow? You think 70,000 is the bottom today, but what if it drops to 50,000 the day after tomorrow? Before the market has run its course, no one knows where the turning point is.
Those who flaunt their trading slips are just survivors’ bias—out of 100 people guessing randomly, one will get it right, but that’s no different than throwing darts to pick stocks.
Second, the only controllable actions are two.
Buy: What price to buy? How much to buy?
There are always people bragging about escaping at the peak of a bull market and buying at the bottom of a bear market. The truth is: both bull and bear are after-the-fact analyses! You see 100,000 as the peak now, but what if it surges to 200,000 tomorrow? You think 70,000 is the bottom today, but what if it drops to 50,000 the day after tomorrow? Before the market has run its course, no one knows where the turning point is.
Those who flaunt their trading slips are just survivors’ bias—out of 100 people guessing randomly, one will get it right, but that’s no different than throwing darts to pick stocks.
Second, the only controllable actions are two.
Buy: What price to buy? How much to buy?
See original
SOLV death spiral begins! Is $0.04 the burial point? Hard evidence from three major chains revealed
On-chain evidence: the project owner has run away
The founding team cashed out crazily: From May 20th to 22nd, the address marked as "SOLV Team" transferred a total of
120 million SOLV (worth $5.4 million), with the transfer note containing "Final Settlement"
Market makers withdraw: Wintermute stops providing liquidity, and buying depth drops by 83% (CoinGlass data)
Whale stampede: The top 10 holding addresses sold 21% of the total circulation in 7 days (Nansen on-chain monitoring)
Technical Death Trio
① Weekly collapse: breaking through the historical strong support of $0.082 and entering the unresistance falling zone
The founding team cashed out crazily: From May 20th to 22nd, the address marked as "SOLV Team" transferred a total of
120 million SOLV (worth $5.4 million), with the transfer note containing "Final Settlement"
Market makers withdraw: Wintermute stops providing liquidity, and buying depth drops by 83% (CoinGlass data)
Whale stampede: The top 10 holding addresses sold 21% of the total circulation in 7 days (Nansen on-chain monitoring)
Technical Death Trio
① Weekly collapse: breaking through the historical strong support of $0.082 and entering the unresistance falling zone
See original
NEIRO is in a death spiral! $0.0004 is just the beginning? Three major nuclear-level negative factors have been triggered
On-chain changes confirmed
The project wallet was raided: At 23:17 last night, the founding team’s address transferred 230 million NEIRO (worth $1.2 million) to Binance, and the transfer note actually said "Final Cashout"
The stock of exchanges surged: the proportion of CEX balances soared from 15% to 47%, and the selling pressure of whales has formed
Contract Massacre Warning: Perpetual Contract Funding Rate Breaks -0.45%, Short Positions Soar 800% in Three Days
Technical Death Cross
① Monthly line guillotine: just broke through the key support of $0.0023, setting a new historical low
② RSI Death Zone: 4-hour RSI value of 14.3 enters the oversold abyss (historical data shows that the average subsequent decline is 58% when the index is less than 15)
The project wallet was raided: At 23:17 last night, the founding team’s address transferred 230 million NEIRO (worth $1.2 million) to Binance, and the transfer note actually said "Final Cashout"
The stock of exchanges surged: the proportion of CEX balances soared from 15% to 47%, and the selling pressure of whales has formed
Contract Massacre Warning: Perpetual Contract Funding Rate Breaks -0.45%, Short Positions Soar 800% in Three Days
Technical Death Cross
① Monthly line guillotine: just broke through the key support of $0.0023, setting a new historical low
② RSI Death Zone: 4-hour RSI value of 14.3 enters the oversold abyss (historical data shows that the average subsequent decline is 58% when the index is less than 15)
See original
Analysis of cryptocurrency investments, suggestions to focus on the following objective evaluation dimensions:
Fundamental analysis of the project
View the white paper's technical architecture (whether it has innovative solutions)
Audit report (security assessment from institutions like CertiK or Hacken)
Background of the development team (real resumes verifiable on LinkedIn)
On-chain data verification
Distribution of holding addresses (to avoid excessive centralization risk)Capital flow direction in exchanges (CoinGlass monitors large movements)Smart contract interaction volume (real-time data from Dune Analytics)Market environment assessmentCurrent volatility of total cryptocurrency market capitalization (TradingView MACD indicator)Regulatory policy trends (focus on developments from the US SEC)
View the white paper's technical architecture (whether it has innovative solutions)
Audit report (security assessment from institutions like CertiK or Hacken)
Background of the development team (real resumes verifiable on LinkedIn)
On-chain data verification
Distribution of holding addresses (to avoid excessive centralization risk)Capital flow direction in exchanges (CoinGlass monitors large movements)Smart contract interaction volume (real-time data from Dune Analytics)Market environment assessmentCurrent volatility of total cryptocurrency market capitalization (TradingView MACD indicator)Regulatory policy trends (focus on developments from the US SEC)
Login to explore more contents