(Live broadcast on the long and short fronts)
The current LISTA price is $0.3, and it only needs 8.3% to reach the target price of $0.325. The market data shows: 0.3166

The intraday high of the US dollar has reached the target area, but there is a pile of 72.05 BTC (about 5.16 million US dollars) at $0.31.

The sell order wall coincides with the daily Fibonacci 0.618 resistance level. It is worth noting that the $0.295 level

The "spring board" support with a current value of 24.65 BTC forms a 2.7% price buffer zone

(On-chain attack and defense password)

  1. TVL value game: The total locked amount of US$1.538 billion forms a value anchor point, and the current circulating market value/TVL ratio is only

    0.033, far below the industry average of 0.1, there is room for value revaluation

  2. ​​Chip concentration​​: The top 10 addresses hold 41.2% of the circulation, and 3 million-dollar wallets have been added in the past three days.

    The cost of absorbing funds is concentrated in the range of 0.28-0.29 US dollars

  3. ​​Liquidity trap​​: The maximum supply is 1 billion but only 172 million are in circulation. Be wary of the project's future unlocking pressure (when

    Pre-circulation rate 17.27%)

(Technical third-order deduction)

  1. ​​Short term (24-48 hours): Need to break through the historical high of $0.31, which corresponds to:

    • 72.05 BTC sell order wall (about 5.16 million US dollars)

    • Four-hour chart RSI overbought zone (current value 68.3)

    • Gann Angle 3:1 Pressure Level

  2. Medium term (3-5 days): If it holds at $0.31, the $0.325 target area has triple gravity:

    • Psychological integer threshold

    • The upper extension of the daily channel

    • The holding cost line of 12,000 addresses in the chip distribution diagram

  3. ​​Change window​​: On July 25, the weekly MA5 and MA20 will cross. Historical data shows that after the signal is triggered

    Volatility increased by 300% in 72 hours

(Necessary conditions for surge)

  1. ​​Trading volume breakthrough​​: The current 24-hour trading volume is 77.2 million US dollars. To hit 0.325 US dollars, it needs to maintain at least 120 million US dollars

    Yuan/Daily Volume

  2. ​​Eco-catalyst​​: The project party needs to release the main network upgrade or new pledge pool information (the current APY 146% is already the industry

    High)

  3. Exchange cooperation: Currently only second-tier exchanges are listed. If Binance/Coinbase is included in the watch list, leverage will be triggered.

    Rod chasing

(Risk Warning)

  1. ​​Risk of large investors dumping stocks​​: Above $0.31, there is selling pressure from 18,000 addresses (about 28.7 million LISTA)

  2. ​​TVL abnormal movement monitoring​​: If the total locked amount falls below the 1.4 billion US dollar warning line, it may trigger a chain of liquidations

  3. ​​Market Beta Risk​​: If Bitcoin loses the $62,000 support level, it will drag down the entire Altcoin market

(Practical Strategy)

  1. ​​Short-term traders​​: Grid trading at $0.295-0.31, and a 5% increase in position when it breaks through $0.31

  2. ​​Swing players​​: Target of $0.325, take profit in batches (30%@0.315, 50%@0.325,

    20%@0.33）

  3. ​​Risk control iron rule​​: If it falls below $0.285 (daily MA7), stop loss must be made to prevent flash crashes caused by abnormal movements of whale addresses

    collapse

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