Alfreda Weissenborn fLWj

- Price Performance: Currently reported at approximately $103,140, down slightly by 0.11% from yesterday, with an intraday fluctuation range of $101,430-$104,180. After breaking through the $100,000 milestone, it remains in a high-level range oscillation, digesting profit-taking pressure.
- Technical Form: RSI index is approximately 40.47, retreating from the overbought area to a neutral weak zone; MACD indicator is -266.5, indicating a short-term momentum shift towards a sell signal; Williams %R indicator is in the overbought area, indicating a demand for adjustment in the short term, but the price is operating above the key moving averages, with an upward trend in the medium to long term.
- Market Sentiment and On-chain Signals: Strong inflow of funds into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs, with a net inflow of 2,494 BTC (approximately $255 million) on May 15. BlackRock's iShares increased holdings by 2,250 BTC in a single day, and its spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT has seen a net inflow for 20 consecutive days, accumulating over $5 billion in funds. However, Bitcoin's dominance dropped from about 65% to 62%, ending a five-month rising trend, with funds beginning to shift to altcoins.

May 19 Market Fundamentals
1. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 91.4%
2. In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the network reached $618 million, with long positions liquidated at $392 million and short positions liquidated at $227 million. The liquidation volume of ETH exceeded that of BTC.
3. Metaplanet purchased an additional 1004 BTC, raising its total holdings to 7800 BTC, Japan's version of MicroStrategy.
4. (Rich Dad Poor Dad) Author: Hold physical gold, silver, and BTC to resist the next crisis instead of buying ETFs.
Interpretation
Previously, there was a slight fantasy about a rate cut in June, but now it can be clearly stated that there will be no rate cut in June. In the past 24 hours, the market saw sharp fluctuations, first inducing longs to liquidate, then crashing and liquidating shorts, experiencing significant ups and downs. However, there were no significant positive or negative news events, which can only mean one thing: the main force has started to operate and harvest. Japan's version of MicroStrategy continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings. For institutions increasing their positions, a reminder for the retail investors: you are different from institutions. Institutions look at the long term; they can consider trends over ten or twenty years, while you, if stuck for three to five years, may be finished. So don’t rush in just because institutions are continuing to accumulate. Robert Kiyosaki, the author of (Rich Dad Poor Dad), has long observed economic cycles and debt crises. He stated that the next crisis might be triggered by $1.6 trillion in student loan debt leading to a market collapse. Although Trump's tariff issues have ceased, could he possibly come up with new initiatives next? The answer is certainly possible.

The calm before the storm? The BTC long-short game enters a critical time window! Remember, bull markets often have sharp declines, and bear markets often have sharp spikes. Manage your stop-loss and watch the show; surviving allows for bottom fishing!

Brothers, today’s market is making my scalp tingle! This morning, BTC was playing a ‘heartbeat chart’ around 28,200, with five-minute candlesticks more tangled than an old lady knitting. But if we carefully peel back the technical aspects, combined with the news that the ‘U.S. SEC postponed the Bitcoin spot ETF decision’ that broke overnight, the undercurrents in this market can't be hidden.

1. MACD underwater golden cross: Is the bull sneaking up or is it a trap to entice buyers?

Brothers, right now this situation can be summed up in four words - "Main force draws the door". BTC is stuck at the $100,000 mark, fluctuating back and forth. The MACD fast and slow lines are playing the "death cross" above the zero axis, but if you look closely, the dog coin actually has three flaws:

First layer of window paper: Is the MACD's underwater death cross a fake fall?
Now, although the 1-hour MACD red bars are still shrinking, the DIFF line (white line) is pressing down on the DEA line (yellow line) trying to dip. Normally, this would have led to a waterfall drop. But strangely, the price is stuck at 102,360 and refuses to break the MA30 moving average. What does this indicate? The dog coin is using moving averages to weave a web!

Summary: WLFI under Trump refuses to acknowledge allegations involving potential conflicts of interest for the president. The official Trump meme coin TRUMP invited 16 mysterious figures through events, profiting millions from transactions.
FX168 Financial News (Asia-Pacific) reports that U.S. President Trump's cryptocurrency empire is facing accusations, and his family-owned World Liberty Financial (WLFI) refuses to acknowledge potential conflicts of interest for the president. The official Trump meme coin TRUMP is hosting a banquet for major token holders, and British media disclosed that the first 16 'mysterious anonymous figures' profited millions through the event.

Summary: Goldman Sachs stated that the Chinese stock market has shaken off the negative impact of the Trump trade war, and the market has recovered, upgrading the ratings of the Chinese banking and real estate sectors to overweight.


FX168 Financial News (Asia Pacific) reported that Goldman Sachs Chief China Equity Strategist Kinger Lau stated that the Chinese stock market has shaken off the negative impact of the Trump trade war, and the market has recovered, upgrading the ratings of the Chinese banking and real estate sectors to overweight.

"We need to pay more attention to execution and find the right investment direction, especially in light of the recent rebound in market indices," Lau stated during an interview. "Investors should allocate to those industries with higher risks and returns."

Summary: A tariff truce agreement has been reached between China and the U.S., yet Bitcoin faces resistance at $104,000. The bankrupt crypto exchange FTX announced plans to begin a new round of distributions to creditors on May 30, creating strong selling pressure.

Bitcoin has rebounded from an overnight slump, returning to around $104,000, but cautious sentiment remains strong. Despite the U.S. government's tariff 'truce' agreement with China, Bitcoin still faces resistance. The bankrupt crypto exchange FTX announced plans to begin a new round of distributions to creditors on May 30, creating strong selling pressure.
After FTX's collapse at the end of 2022, it started distributing refunds to creditors in February. The initial refund recipients were convenience claim holders with claims of $50,000 or less.

Summary: The PI coin, regarded as the largest Ponzi scheme coin in China and Southeast Asia, plummeted 60% within a week, and the hopes for the launch of the desired DaPP ecosystem have been dashed. Pi Network is facing a trust crisis.
FX168 Financial News (Asia Pacific) reported that on Monday (May 19), PI coin was struggling around $0.7375. The market speculates that the main reason for the 60% plunge of PI coin in a week is that the official major announcement did not meet community expectations. The Pi Network, regarded as the largest Ponzi scheme coin in China and Southeast Asia, is facing a trust crisis, and the originally expected decentralized application (DaPP) ecosystem launch has failed.
One week after the launch of PI coin, the highest price had approached $3, but now the price is only $0.7375. Entering April, PI coin oscillated in the $0.6000 range for more than a month. Until May, there were rumors in the community that the Pi Network official would make a significant announcement at the Toronto Consensus 2025 conference, briefly restarting the price surge, which once rose to $1.6700. However, the price then fell sharply.

TradingKey - Bitcoin surges past $107,000, reaching a new high in nearly five months. Will it continue to rise?
On Monday (May 19), the price of Bitcoin (BTC) soared past $107,000, reaching a high of $107,108, a new high since January 24, 2025. As of the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin has significantly retreated, currently reported at $104,771.

【Bitcoin Price Chart, Source: TradingView】
In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin suddenly surged and then retreated, leading to liquidations on both long and short positions. According to the data, the liquidation amount is $575 million, with longs accounting for 60% and shorts for 40%.

Summary: The PI coin, considered the largest multi-level marketing coin in China and Southeast Asia, dropped 60% in a week, with the anticipated DaPP ecosystem for the elderly not coming to fruition, putting Pi Network to the test of trust.
FX168 Financial News Agency (Asia-Pacific) reported that on Monday (May 19), the price of PI coin hovered around $0.7375. The market speculates that the main reason for the 60% drop in PI coin over the week is that the official major announcement did not meet community expectations. Considered the largest multi-level marketing coin in China and Southeast Asia, Pi Network is facing a trust crisis, with the decentralized application (DaPP) ecosystem that many hoped for not coming to fruition.
A week after the launch of PI coin, the highest price nearly approached $3, but now the price is only $0.7375. Entering April, the price of PI coin fluctuated above $0.6000 for over a month. Until May, the community heard that Pi Network would make a major announcement at the Consensus 2025 conference in Toronto, leading to a brief resurgence in price to $1.6700. However, the price subsequently fell sharply.

This is a brief and concise article sharing my thoughts on veVIRTUAL staking and how to navigate the points game.
If you have been active recently in the trenches of Virtuals, you may have noticed that the team has just launched one of the most significant updates ever:
Integrated Kaito, launched a comprehensive Yapper leaderboard to incentivize top Yappers and Kaito stakers to earn points.
Updated the tokenomics, introducing veVIRTUAL (20% of the points are now allocated to veVIRTUAL stakers instead of holders).
The changes in tokenomics have aligned the interests of long-term supporters (those willing to lock $VIRTUAL) more closely with the protocol (Virtuals and the agent team). This new dynamic reminds me of the xGRAIL tokenomics (during the Arb season) and the ve(3,3) tokenomics that emerged when Velodrome and Aerodrome made their mark on OP and Base.

A reflection and reconstruction suggestion from a three-time liquidator. 'I have been in the cryptocurrency world for ten years, with assets exceeding ten million three times, and also returned to zero three times during bull and bear market switches.
If you are a beginner wanting to get rich quickly in the cryptocurrency world, I want to tell you: there is a chance, but you won't last.” — I, a ten-year veteran player in the cryptocurrency world, am expressing my true feelings.
1. Why are we always attracted to the 'myth of getting rich'? What is the biggest attraction of the cryptocurrency world? It’s not technology, finance, or philosophy, but the 'possibility of getting rich.' If you casually scroll through Twitter, Xiaohongshu, or Douyin, you will see: 'Getting ten times with meme coins overnight,' 'Airdropped ten ETH,' 'I made 5 million from 10,000 in a bull market.' Beginners enter the market, seeing these stories, as if they just need to hit it right once to escape poverty and achieve a free life. But what you see are results; you don’t see the paths, risks, and corpses. I am one of them, who once in 2017 relied on early investments in crowdfunding projects to hold assets worth tens of millions, and also in 2021 made dozens of times overnight with meme coins. But I also experienced liquidation three times, losing all profits and even principal, and ended up with more than 500,000 in debt. This is reality: there are indeed opportunities to get rich in the cryptocurrency world, but 99% of people cannot last until that moment of realization; they have already fallen.

I have never seen any financial asset that has so many people promoting it vigorously. If you dare to say something negative, a bunch of people will criticize you. Simply put, if there are no new people coming in to take over, the price of the coins won't rise. Moreover, the cryptocurrency circle is the most absurd financial model I have ever seen, with many ways to encourage traders to bring in new customers, such as rebates, encouraging traders to trade frequently, like many activities on the ZhiMa exchange that require you to reach a certain trading volume. Regardless of which exchange it is, they will launch trading activities every week, offering some contract vouchers or rebates. Especially when altcoins are newly launched. However, the corresponding trading fees are very high, around one-tenth of the transaction value. For example, if you short $1000 worth of an altcoin, just one round trip would require a fee of one-tenth of a percent. If you leverage this, it becomes significant. No matter how these people promote the crypto circle, I still view it as a bubble, although I don’t know when it will hit zero.

In the early hours of May 19, 2025, it was destined to be a sleepless night for crypto investors. The market suddenly dropped without warning, with Ethereum leading the charge, falling in a horrifying manner, making investors break out in cold sweat. This scene was a complete replica of the '519 disaster' four years ago.

Looking back at the '519' of 2021, Bitcoin plunged from a high of 50,000 dollars to 30,000 dollars, while Ethereum fell over 40% in a single day. It was a catastrophe for the crypto world, with countless people facing liquidation and losing everything. Some even tragically took to the rooftops, unable to bear the immense financial loss.

Latest News
Weekend market volatility, Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating has triggered a rise in risk-averse sentiment, Bitcoin initially surged to around 106 before dropping back to 103, and then rebounded strongly again.
The current market shows a double kill pattern. If US stocks continue to decline, the upward trend of Bitcoin may be established. From a technical perspective, the daily level indicates that after consolidation, the price is experiencing a rapid rise, with RSI entering the overbought zone, indicating that the previous sideways movement was to build strength for a second attack.
The 4-hour level shows that after a price correction, it has re-established above the upper Bollinger Band, with MACD golden cross extending upwards, indicating a bullish market sentiment, but the KDJ indicator shows there may be short-term correction risks. Overall, both resistance and support levels are moving upwards, leading to increased volatility, suggesting a short-term high short strategy, focusing on the resistance level around 1069. Although Ethereum's trend follows Bitcoin, the rhythm and strength are slightly different, currently in a consolidation phase.

How was your money pierced short by a 'needle'?
When the K-line chart suddenly drops vertically by 30% and then quickly pulls back,
Don't think it's just 'market volatility'—
This is a hunting trap meticulously designed by the dealer,
Harvesting your principal and confidence precisely!
🔥 Inserting the needle is not crashing the market, it's precise slaughter!
On the surface: the dealer is directing the 'left hand倒右手'
In reality: using one needle to complete 'washing the盘 + forced liquidation + absorbing funds' triple kill
🔪 Operation logic breakdown (with dealer's perspective):
❶ Breaking through the human defense line
▶ Instantly crashing 5,000 hands, breaking through all technical support lines (MACD golden cross? Neckline? All traps!)

I. Significant risks of cryptocurrency trading
Severe market volatility
Cryptocurrency prices are easily affected by policy changes, market manipulation, technical vulnerabilities, etc., often experiencing extreme market movements with daily drops over 50% (for example, LUNA coin nearly went to zero in a short time). Methods like 'technical analysis' pressure levels and support levels may be ineffective in a highly volatile market.
Lack of effective regulatory protection
Cryptocurrency trading platforms are not regulated by Chinese law, and investors' rights concerning the safety of their funds and fairness of transactions cannot be guaranteed. If a platform runs away or experiences technical failures, investors may find it difficult to protect their rights through legal means.

• Learning is the top priority: Don’t rush to make money first, thoroughly understand the basics of blockchain, cryptocurrency, and trading principles. You can find free courses online or purchase professional books for systematic learning. Instead of asking others everywhere, practice leads to true knowledge; trying and making mistakes is the way to truly gain experience.

• Carefully choose investment platforms: Always select legitimate, compliant, and reputable exchanges. Refer to user reviews and the platform's security measures; never trust obscure small platforms easily, as it can lead to significant losses.
• Diversify investments, manage risks: Don’t put all your funds into one cryptocurrency, and be cautious with new coins and contract trading as they carry high risks, which are difficult for beginners to grasp. Bitcoin and Ethereum are relatively stable and can be focused on. At the same time, never invest all your funds; keep a portion to respond to market changes.

1. Review of this week's market and strategy execution
(1) Overall market performance
This week, the cryptocurrency market showed limited volatility, presenting a consolidation pattern, with both bulls and bears locked in a stalemate. Bitcoin and Ethereum's trends diverged, and news significantly impacted the short-term market, with the overall rhythm revolving around key resistance and support levels.
(2) Bitcoin (BTC) market analysis
At the beginning of the week, boosted by the expectation of tariff cancellation by 'King of Understanding', market sentiment warmed up, and Bitcoin saw a strong bullish rebound, quickly rising to this week's highest point of around 105,800 USD, but it was unable to break through due to strong resistance above. Subsequently, the market entered a phase of consolidation after peaking, with a mid-week dip touching a low of 10,700 USD (Note: there may be a typo here; if it is 107,000 USD, it would make more sense; please verify), finally stopping near this support level and maintaining a range-bound consolidation pattern.