Beware! The violent rebound has not yet bottomed out, lock in profits and watch the trend of Bitcoin carefully!
The market has rebounded slightly since last night. Are many people eager to try and buy at the bottom again? “There will be a rebound after a sharp drop, and there will be a correction after a sharp rise.” Today’s rebound is not a return to the bull market, but a market law. If you don’t understand the market now, are unsure and unclear! My point of view is: wait and see! The current rebound is temporarily regarded as a short-term oversold rebound. The drop to $48,888 did not form a bottom. Although the amplitude exceeded 20,000 points, it is not certain that the five waves of decline have ended. Therefore, it is not recommended to hold yesterday's "bottom-picking" for too long, and it is recommended to take profits in batches.
This round of bull market should be the worst in the history of cryptocurrencies
1. General losses: In the first half of this year, most people lost money, and only a few people made profits. Many of the losers are old investors in the currency circle. Even if they have resources and capital, this bull market is particularly harsh, and many people cannot get out of the trap.
2. Collective panic: In the past, people thought that there would be a big bull market two or three months before and after the halving of BTC, but BTC almost finished rising last year. The same is true for altcoins. When everyone thinks the market is coming, it is actually over. After missing BTC, they collectively boarded altcoins, and the result was that there was no rise after boarding.
3. Collapse of altcoins: Many altcoins will return to zero. Unlike previous rounds of bull markets, today's consensus logic and investment standards have changed. Altcoins are no longer seen as opportunities, and many people are eliminated as a result. The consensus of altcoins collapsed, and no one paid after the inside story was exposed, and a rapid collapse occurred, burying many people.
4. VC consensus collapses: Investors no longer hold high respect and faith in venture capital, and their words and actions have very low trust.
5. Project entrepreneurship becomes more difficult: Project parties need to understand future trends, community needs, marketing and community operations, which are becoming increasingly difficult. There are fewer and fewer successful projects, and retail investors' trust in project parties is also decreasing, forming a vicious cycle.
6. Cryptocurrency dividends fade: The currency circle dividends fade, and everyone is eager to quickly obtain wealth freedom, which seems very anxious. After this round of bull market, many people are worried about their future in the circle.
7. Ideological change: This round of bull market has brought many changes in ideology and consensus forms, and everyone needs to re-understand the crypto circle. Don't be impatient, don't be discouraged, don't be happy too early, and don't lose the pattern.
8. Unexpected changes: This round of bull market will make many people's years of accumulation go to waste, and things you didn't expect will happen. After so many years of happiness, it's not too much to be sad once.
The cruelty and complexity of this bull market are unprecedented, reminding us to remain calm and rational in the pursuit of wealth.
Is August the 'ghost gate' for the crypto market? US stocks crash + ETF outflows, this wave hasn't hit bottom yet! Is Bitcoin's stop-loss at 100000? Is ETH about to collapse, and do altcoins still have a chance?
The collapse of August has begun, and this familiar scene has returned: US stocks took the lead in plummeting, Bitcoin once fell below 113000, mainstream altcoins followed in a flash crash, and even junk coins lost weight on the spot. But don't panic; overall, this looks more like a phase pullback, and it hasn't reached a dangerous level yet. As long as there are no major issues with US stocks, the crypto market won't collapse directly. Last night, BTC plunged, and I thought the market was going to completely crash, but it stabilized during the day. The most regrettable thing is that the URPD gap around 112 is still not filled; historical experience tells us: such gaps will eventually need to be filled.
Is it going to be cut in half? It's okay, it's okay, I've hidden it, I just can't see how much I've lost It's so normal for a bull market to crash, right? 😭😭😭
Bitcoin's spike crash, Ethereum on the brink! Can the crypto market withstand this wave? Next week may see a major plunge, can altcoins hold up? Is this rebound a trap or an opportunity? Identify the key levels, don't be the last one to buy the dip! #加密项目 $BTC $ETH
What big winds and waves have we not seen over the years?
The 312 liquidation, the 519 halving, Luna going to zero, FTX running away, and then there's the market crashes from various countries, black swan events from wars, heavy regulations... We've long trained ourselves to be "Zen holders".
Now, this little fluctuation? Not even a drop of coffee spills.
🔥 Current survival rules in the market: 1️⃣ Better to miss out than to make a mistake. Capital safety comes first; don't let FOMO lead you into a pit. 2️⃣ Are altcoins already cold? No strength to follow the rise, deadly when they fall, new investors aren't picking them up anymore. 3️⃣ A real bull market only recognizes "regular armies"—only the coins chosen by ETFs and institutions are the true picks; coins endorsed by celebrities? Be careful not to become fodder.
The heartfelt words of an experienced investor, those who like this can escape the peaks and bottoms this year. #交易心得分享
Is August's opening a show of force? Bitcoin breaks down, ETH holds strong, the real 'bull return' may just be beginning? An article teaching you how to select coins!
Is this the first day of August, so stimulating? I quickly flipped through historical data to see if August is indeed a market black hole. Indeed, Bitcoin and Ethereum have mostly declined in August over past years, but interestingly - the average return rate is actually positive.
Especially considering the four-year cycle of crypto bull and bear markets, 2025 actually corresponds to the structural strong phases of 2021 and 2017, so don't be too quick to conclude that the bull market is over. BTC trend: The longer the low-level fluctuation continues, the smaller the rebound space will be. From the #Bitcoin hourly chart, the longer this fluctuation range drags on, the more limited the height of future rebounds will be. This pattern extending to the 4H level and above is likely to break downwards. Therefore, it is more suitable to wait for the 15-minute level to rearrange or wait for a second retest opportunity on the 4H level.
The recent sharp decline in the market is due to multiple negative factors: 1. Trump's sudden tariff policy, which will impose tariffs on Taiwan, India, South Korea, and several other countries starting August 8, has led to a broad decline in Asian stock markets and a surge in market risk aversion; 2. The Fed's hawkish remarks + rising PCE data have caused the expectation for a rate cut in September to plummet from 65% to 41%. 3. The strengthening dollar has hit crypto assets the hardest, with BTC facing downward pressure.
Today, some analysts in the market pointed out that August is traditionally Bitcoin's "Waterloo," and it could even drop by 100,000! In the past ten years, there have only been three years of gains, and all three occurred a year after halving—perhaps there is still hope for 2025.
My personal view: If this rebound is weak, it will continue to decline, with short-term support at 114K, and the next level at the 112K range. Those without positions can patiently wait for a pullback and not be swayed by short-term fluctuations.
The market has turned red this month! Today's market focus:
1️⃣ The three major US stock indices have retreated, the crypto market has also declined, and blockchain concept stocks have broadly fallen, exacerbating the correlation between cryptocurrencies and stocks. 2️⃣ The SEC has launched the "Project Crypto" initiative, aiming to promote a coexistence trading mechanism for securities and crypto assets, achieving an upgrade of on-chain financial infrastructure. However, this positive news did not boost the market, instead triggering a short-term pullback.
3️⃣ The ETH reserve ranking has changed: BMNR holds 625,000 ETH at the top, followed closely by SBET and The Ether Machine; the Ethereum Foundation has dropped to 4th place, with a total of 64 institutions holding coins listed. 4️⃣ Solana has reposted the Moonit trading platform, bundling the Meme sector behind it, with $MEME surging 40% at one point, but it has since retreated with the overall market.
5️⃣ The JUP ecosystem platform's popularity is rising, with significant growth in trading volume; note that traffic is circulating across multiple platforms rather than staying on a single one. 6️⃣ $PENGU surged 40% as its CEO revealed efforts to promote the PENGU ETF proposal, which covers NFT and native token legislative suggestions, entering the regulatory landscape.
7️⃣ The leading token on the Base chain, Zora, has plummeted over 30% in the past two days, but the content issuance has not slowed down, with daily issuance continuing to suppress Pumpfun and Letsbonk. Pump.fun has registered a new subdomain: fee.pump.fun, suspected to launch a trading volume incentive panel, with an on-chain "money-absorbing mechanism" about to be restructured?
8️⃣ Coinbase plans to launch tokenized stocks and prediction markets, further increasing its Web3 financial services layout. 9️⃣ The #WLFI ecosystem may launch, with the WorldLibertyFi family package consolidated; refer to the project list organized by @BroLeonAus for preparation.
🔟 Mainstream coins have generally retraced, and CEX has also declined, but funds continue to flow into assets like BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, $DOGE , SUI, SOL, $ENA , which have been officially confirmed to establish reserve warehouses, suitable for mid-term stealth reference. #加密市场回调
An Explosive Week! BTC Money-Sending Script Reappears, Has ETH Stabilized Its Status? New ETF Regulations Ignite Shanzhai? Who Will Surge First, UNI, SUI, ADA, ETC?
It’s truly a macro week, with one news after another coming in. Last night, Powell just made strong statements and crashed the market, then turned around to see Microsoft and Google’s earnings reports violently boost US stock futures, with the Nasdaq pre-market up 1.4%, and Bitcoin also instantaneously revived. This kind of disjointed rhythm is really hard to understand, but one has to participate. How is the current rhythm of BTC and ETH? #BTC : Recently, this wave of movement is classically chaotic: false break + stop-loss of long positions + inducement to short, then a reversal surge. I have talked about this 'doge logic' too many times; understanding it is a money-making opportunity.
ENA has received a significant benefit from stablecoins, performing quite well. There were expectations and attention before, and currently, it can be held. For those in cash, you can wait for a pullback to enter in batches for the next TP1. $ENA
As a newcomer, remember this: never get too excited and go all in!
When you just enter the market, you might have at most 1000 USDT, so don't think about getting rich overnight. The best way is to divide it into 10 parts, using only 100 USDT to test the waters each time, with a 20x leverage, that's enough, don't get too carried away. Put the remaining 900 USDT in financial management; if you really lose, don't think about averaging down. First, summarize your experience, take a few days off; there will always be market opportunities, so don’t worry about missing this one.
When you invest next time, use the remaining money and divide it into 10 parts, with each part being 90 USDT. Take it slow and aim to turn the tables. If you do make a profit, for example, earning 300 USDT, take out 100 USDT to continue playing, and directly transfer the 200 USDT to secure your gains.
Trading relies on rhythm and mindset; don’t expect to win every time. Even for experts, a 60% win rate is considered impressive. If you bet everything on the wrong direction once, you could lose it all; all the previous profits would be in vain.
So: controlling your position is the hard truth!
Also, never trade when your emotions are unstable. If you lose 2% in a day, you should be alert; if you lose 6%, clear everything and take a few days off. For increasing your position, either add immediately or wait for a clear pullback, using a pyramid method, and don’t increase your position as the price rises.
For trades with profits exceeding 200%, remember to set a take-profit level: withdraw half if it retraces 40%, and take the other half out at break-even. Missing a market opportunity is not scary; losing everything is the nightmare.
Lastly, a reminder: never go against the trend. Enter the market infrequently and strike at the right time to survive longer and go further in the cryptocurrency world.
US stocks plunge during the day, Microsoft surges after hours! The ETH 10th anniversary commemorative NFT has only 14 hours left to open for minting, free + a small amount of gas is needed to mint, more of a sentimental commemoration rather than an 'airdrop expectation'.
1⃣ Trump continues to exert pressure, Powell maintains a hawkish tone, and the probability of a rate cut in September has dropped to 45.7%. 2⃣ The White House releases a digital asset report: no substantial updates on the Bitcoin reserve plan, but proposes legislation requiring the declaration of overseas crypto accounts, sparking heated discussions. 3⃣ The US SEC plans to set new standards for crypto ETF listings, with Coinbase futures-linked tokens likely to benefit first, potentially landing in September-October.
4⃣ BlackRock bought over $1.2 billion in ETH last week, far exceeding BTC, as reserve ETF buying is quietly increasing its Ethereum holdings. 5⃣ Matrixport warns: market sentiment is diverging from the fundamentals, and a short-term cooling period may be imminent; while ETH/BTC fund inflows continue, speculative psychology is heating up. 6⃣ The Hong Kong stablecoin sector collectively adjusted, as the regulatory system for Hong Kong stablecoin issuers will take effect on August 1, leading to early capital realization.
7⃣ ETH concept stocks collectively surged, with on-chain reserve themes leading the charge; blockchain concept stocks rose across the board in US stocks, with renewed interest. 8⃣ $KAITO is being questioned for 'paid listings', and the community is dissatisfied with the ranking mechanism, with market value dropping to 1.23 billion, having declined for two consecutive weeks. 9⃣ Polygon experienced a 1-hour downtime after the hard fork, $POL 's performance remains sluggish, and 'glory no more' has become a joking catchphrase in the community.
The overall market is relatively volatile, with significant pressure on mainstream coins on the monthly chart, increasing short-term fluctuations; capital is frequently rotating between mainstream coins, small-cap stocks, meme tokens, and NFTs, with ETF developments and on-chain anomalies as core driving forces. #白宫数字资产报告 #以太坊十周年
With Powell's speech imminent, can ETH hold its own again? With altcoins continuing to fall into pitfalls, where are the structural opportunities in August? When is the right time to buy the dip?
Tonight will be a critical turning point. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 2:00 AM, with Powell scheduled to speak at 2:30 AM. The market is tense and silent, a kind of "calm before the storm" taking hold. For us, the key question isn't whether a rate cut is imminent, but whether Powell will hint at the start of a rate-cutting cycle in September. I personally think that the probability of releasing a dovish signal is not low. After all, Trump just met with Bob and used the "next chairman" card to engage in a wave of psychological warfare.
ETH is holding up, while altcoins are getting worse The daily structure is undoubtedly upward, and the lifeline strategy is still effective.#ETHhas rebounded multiple times relying on the 3730~3780 area, and it is still possible to try a low-long position with quick entry and exit.
This week's data week saw significant market fluctuations, so it's best to hold your ground and avoid any trades!
Let's see what new market events are worth watching today!
1️⃣ The SEC took two actions: postponing the review of the Truth Social Bitcoin ETF and the Grayscale Solana spot ETF; but it also just approved the physical redemption mechanism for the BTC and ETH ETFs, resulting in a lukewarm short-term market reaction. 2️⃣ Yesterday's market fell across the board, with significant outflows of funds from major CEX currencies. Short-term speculation intensified, and sentiment remained cautious. Reserve-focused stocks BMNR and SBET (#ETH ) fell over 8%, possibly driven by the pullback in US crypto stocks.
3️⃣ $CFX and CKB fell after rising yesterday, possibly due to the upcoming implementation of Hong Kong's stablecoin regulatory regime on August 1st, leading to significant hot money speculation. 4️⃣ The $DEGEN Foundation plans to gradually destroy 32.5% of the total supply to alleviate inflation and dilution concerns, emphasizing long-term sustainability rather than airdrops as a stimulus. 5️⃣ $HOME launched a buyback of 1 billion tokens; $Pumpfun transferred 12,000 SOL to the buyback address. $PUMP's market capitalization reached 2.78 billion, showing clear signs of short-term resistance. However, with declining revenue and no new initiatives, its ability to take off will depend on execution. 6️⃣ Plasma's public offering concluded, with subscriptions reaching $373 million, exceeding the target by 7 times.
7️⃣ The Korean exchange's new offering, $OMNI , saw a threefold increase, demonstrating the continued effectiveness of the Korean exchange. Coinbase added $BIO and $EUL to its roadmap, and listed TREE and $BNKR. The former reached a peak of $1.5 billion in FDV on Binance last night. 8️⃣TRON Inc. submitted a hybrid offering plan of up to $1 billion to the US SEC; Binance announced that it will launch the Treehouse airdrop program for HODLers on July 29th ($TREE ). #以太坊十周年 #币安HODLer空投TREE
The Ethereum 10th Anniversary Conference is approaching, and market sentiment is a bit tense; the foundation has just sold off, and ETH was under pressure for a time. But let's not forget, $4000 is still a strong resistance level. Whether it can break through in August depends on whether the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and macro data are supportive.
Bitcoin has been moving sideways these past few days, and altcoins are also warming up in place. It could either take off directly in a third wave or face a deep correction in a fourth wave. At this time, staying calm is not necessarily avoidance; rather, it is a rational choice to avoid being shaken out by market fluctuations. It is difficult to make short-term judgments, and sometimes remaining still is the most stable strategy. #以太坊十周年
Altcoins have crashed badly! Is the savior again AI and MEME? Who will be the next breakout point: VIRTUAL, ACE, or JUP? The bull market for Ethereum isn’t over yet!
In the past two days of the market, are you feeling a bit confused? Is this round of correction a trap or a reversal? Should we throw away altcoins? What is the real logic behind the Ethereum ETF? After reading this article by Xiao Miao, you might have the answer. #比特币 : The recent rebound of Bitcoin appears to be a consolidation on the surface, but the core is very clear — the box has not yet been broken. The upper limit of 120,000 has become a suppression zone, and I currently do not recommend fighting the trend in the short term. Last night, around 119,800, I warned everyone to be careful of a high pullback, and indeed it quickly retreated to 117K. If we open a short position now, try to wait for a sufficient rebound; don’t rush the rhythm. I’d rather miss the opportunity than get caught halfway up the mountain; a laid-back strategy still applies.
August is approaching, is the counterfeit curtain about to rise? BNB, AVAX, INJ are skyrocketing, DOGE is poised to explode, and the entire arena of FOMO has been activated! $BB $BNB $DOGE
SEC this is a bit deliberate! Repeatedly suppressing the price of SOL, if Ethereum doesn't move, funds will rotate to SOL Babies, you can start regular investments at $SOL
$C recommended in the crypto world yesterday, today it is close to 20% The most expensive three words in the crypto world are 'wait a little longer'! Our journey in the crypto world continues today~