April 12th $BTC Sideways Trading Password: Dog Dealer Locks 84,000 Just for Leveraging?
Sideways trading is not lying flat; it’s the dog dealer counting chips under the table—83,000 is the threshold; if kicked open, it’s a golden house; if not, it’s a guillotine!
1: Market: 83,000 Becomes the Bull-Bear Meat Grinder
1. This morning at 82,900, after opening, the dog dealer pulled up to a high of 83,536 in 15 minutes and then smashed back to 82,850. This technique is consistent with the March 20 wash trading routine. Now the price is stuck between the middle band (80,746) and the upper band (85,726) of the Bollinger Bands, which is like stepping on a spring bed reaching for the ceiling; a 0.6% amplitude clearly indicates the main force is controlling the market.
2. The key is watching the resistance at 84,300, where institutions buried their short positions last December, and it hasn’t been cleared yet. However, on-chain alarms are ringing—after 3 weeks of silence, the giant whale address “18XQf9” suddenly swallowed 5,600 BTC, which is hungrier than MicroStrategy's accumulation in February.
2: News: Miners Dumping vs. Institutions Supporting
1. This morning, a miner dumped 8,000 BTC on Binance, but it was quickly gobbled up by three mysterious wallets; the on-chain transaction speed was faster than McDonald's fries coming out. I’m familiar with this script: In January 2024, Bitfinex played this trick of “fake dump, real accumulation,” dumping shorts and then pulling back 15%.
2. Now Grayscale ETF holdings are increasing rather than decreasing, and BlackRock's fund pool has been draining for three consecutive days. Does the dog dealer dare to smash it below 80,000? I bet he can’t bear to!
3: Operation Guide
1. Breakout Script: Stand firm at 84,000 and blindly go long, stop-loss set at 83,000, target aiming directly at the upper Bollinger band of 85,726. 2. Sudden Drop Script: Buy the dip around 81,500 (20-day moving average + chip peak), if it breaks below 80,000, accept defeat. 3. Sideways Script: Hold the bottom position and watch the show, open a position when the amplitude < 1% = delivering takeout to the dog dealer.
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"$ETH is now like a gambler pressed against a knife, with the lower Bollinger Band at 1419 being the last safety rope; if it doesn’t bounce back, it will bleed."
Brothers, keep an eye on the market. The 4-hour K-line on April 12 is more uncomfortable than constipation. The price is stuck in a suffocating range of 1545-1566, closing at 1551, barely hanging above the middle Bollinger Band at 1543. Trading volume has shrunk to 5.15 million, and the dog fund is too lazy to bring in supporting actors for their performance.
Three key signals are clear: 1. This long lower shadow bearish candle resembles the pattern before the crash on March 12 this year, but a whale snuck in 32,000 ETH in the early morning (on-chain evidence), clearly playing the "fake fall to accumulate" trick. 2. MACD is playing a two-step dance below the zero line, with the green bars shrinking to toothpicks; this is the calm before the storm. 3. The purple trend line at 1384 has withstood four sell-offs since January this year, bouncing at least 15% each time it was touched; now there's only 6% space left to this ancestral position.
Looking back at last August's Merge upgrade script, it consolidated for a week before surging 30% on good news. Now, Vitalik has hinted that there will be a Proto-danksharding upgrade in May, which can double the speed of Layer 2; the dog fund might replicate the pump trick.
Operation guide: 1. For spot traders, start building a base position around 1551, add more for every 2% drop, and if it breaks 1520, close your eyes and play dead. 2. For contracts, keep a close watch on the 1580 resistance level; if it breaks, set a take profit at 1650, but the stop loss must be set at 1.5%. 3. Dollar-cost averaging brothers, hold steady; the current price is 18% lower than institutional holding costs, and time can be exchanged for space to guarantee profits.
Tonight at 20:30, the US CPI data will be released. Last month, this data caused ETH to shake 5% in two hours. Combined with internal news on BlackRock's ETH spot ETF, favorable data might replicate the March surprise, while unfavorable news means prepare for a quick exit.
Binance ETH perpetual funding rate is -0.03%; the more the shorts celebrate, the more likely the dog fund is to reverse pump. Remember, retail investors have a memory of only 7 seconds, but a liquidation order can be remembered for a lifetime!
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US PPI data unexpectedly cools! Rate cut expectations ignite the crypto market; can BTC launch a counterattack?
The US March PPI data unexpectedly fell below expectations, strengthening the trend of cooling inflation! The market bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates ahead of schedule, Bitcoin's short-term surge breaks key resistance; is the bull market catalyst in place?
Data interpretation: Inflation pressure continues to ease. 1. PPI annual rate 2.7% (expected 3.3%, previous value 3.2%), monthly rate -0.4% (expected +0.2%, previous value 0.1%), the largest month-on-month decline since April 2020. 2. Core PPI monthly rate 0.2%: The decline in energy and service industry costs is the main drag, further indicating the possibility of CPI retreating.
"The K-line is the scoreboard of the market makers, and the Bollinger Bands are the blood pressure monitor for retail investors—today's SOL has made the retail investors' heart rates spike with this rapid ECG."
Having just analyzed SOL's 4-hour K-line chart, three abnormal signals sent chills down my spine: 1. The Bollinger Bands' mouth suddenly narrowed (upper band 121.26/lower band 100.98), which is usually the calm before the storm. 2. The MACD is playing 'death cross' below the zero axis, with the fast and slow lines intertwined like a twisted pastry. 3. After opening at 116.61 this morning, it surged to 117.93 before crashing back to 115.88, with a daily volatility of 1.76% resembling a market maker's setup.
Pay attention to this bizarre phenomenon: the price is clearly stuck above the middle band at 111.12, but the volume bars have shrunk to toothpicks for 5 consecutive candles. This is akin to soldiers on the front line suddenly retreating together—right now, the current price of 116.98 is like a barbecue set on a volcano, ready to be consumed by lava at any moment.
Combined with the overnight drop of 8% in grayscale holdings and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, the 100.98 defense line has become the Normandy of the crypto circle. However, on-chain data shows signs of trouble: despite the price drop, the NFT trading volume in the Solana ecosystem has surged 23%, indicating that whales are secretly exchanging hands.
Now remember three things not to touch: ① Don’t touch contracts in the 115-117.93 fluctuation range (a disaster zone for spikes) ② Don’t touch the toxic chicken soup of 'all in bottom fishing' (wait for the 100.98 support confirmation) ③ Don’t touch the shanzhai coins pushed by small-time dogs (funds are accelerating back to BTC)
Focus on two key reversal signals: 1. Break above 117.93 and hold for 1 hour, then chase long to 121.26 2. Break below the 115.88 support, directly look at the 100.98 life-and-death battle.
If you're still confused in the crypto circle, not knowing how to operate, click on my profile picture to follow me! This round of the bull market will unleash more hundred-fold coins; it's better to grasp it than to guess blindly. #CPI数据来袭 #保护您的资产 #加密市场反弹
16 Heartfelt Words from a Ten-Year Veteran of the Crypto World
1. When the market is good, don’t just focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum; small altcoins can explode even more. When the bear market comes, just hold the leading coins tightly for stability.
2. If you see coins with sudden high volumes at low prices, quickly add them to your watchlist; it’s a sign that the operators are about to take action. Such opportunities don’t come by often, maybe a few times in five years.
3. When strong coins retrace to the 30-day line, it’s like compressing a spring. If you don’t enter the market, just wait and slap your thighs, but remember to set your stop-loss.
4. Don’t act like a model worker staring at the screen every day; catching the big waves a few times a year is enough to turn your fortunes around. Frequent trading only sends fees to exchanges without any benefit.
Cryptocurrency market earthquake! Trump's series of punches shake the global market, brothers fasten your seatbelts! Latest breaking news: The U.S. raises tariffs on China directly to 125%, while other countries receive a 90-day exemption period. This 'precision strike' has pushed the China-U.S. game to a climax. The magical part is that the Nasdaq actually surged 4.2%, marking the largest single-day increase in 24 years. The reverse logic of the capital market is truly incomprehensible.
Vietnam has become the biggest dark horse! The stock market surged 3.8% in a single day, leading Southeast Asia, while the gold price skyrocketed to 1.04 million Vietnamese dong per two (approximately 29,000 RMB). Even pomelos are making their way into large supermarkets like E-mart in South Korea. In my opinion, behind this wave of dividends, Vietnam is replicating the explosive trajectory of China's entry into the WTO, and the cross-border payment and supply chain finance track is worth laying in.
The most outrageous move is the U.S. lifting the shower water pressure limit, superficially claiming it is to 'allow citizens to enjoy an additional 15 minutes of hot showers,' but in reality, it hides an energy layout—just announced a partnership with Vietnam for LNG cooperation, and then immediately pulled the EU into a natural gas alliance. This energy hegemony game is likely a prelude to a new round of bulk commodity market trends.
Domestically, CPI has fallen for three consecutive months, the RMB exchange rate has broken the 7.35 mark, and the deflation alarm has been sounded. To break the deadlock, we need to look at the progress of cross-border payments with the digital RMB; recent updates on the ASEAN settlement system might hold the key to breaking through.
TikTok has been in constant turmoil recently, with a 'nurture, nurture, nurture' blogger being sued, ringing alarm bells for all signal-based bloggers—when promoting projects in the crypto space, be sure not to cross compliance red lines! However, the case of Vietnam's beauty queen generating 100 million Vietnamese dong (about 28,000 RMB) in a single day provides a textbook-level example for content monetization.
Warning: The energy strangulation tactics of the U.S. and EU may trigger severe fluctuations in oil and gas prices. When playing contracts, remember to set stop-loss orders. Right now, global capital is looking for safe havens, and the Bitcoin halving cycle coinciding with geopolitical turmoil guarantees that the April market will not be calm!
If you are still confused in the crypto space and don't know how to operate, click on my avatar to follow me! This bull market will see more hundred-fold coins, and it's better to grasp opportunities than to make random guesses.
The dog owner draws lines to hide secrets, determining the universe between three tracks. Behind the K-line lies the smoky taste of chip games!
Brothers, hurry and look over here! This DOGE 4-hour chart from April 11, 2025, hides a big trick—opening price at 0.15830 looks pretty solid, but it quickly dropped to 0.15733, with all the 1.61% amplitude showing the dog's manipulative operations. Pay attention to the three tracks of the Bollinger Bands: the upper track at 0.16362 is like a ceiling, the middle track at 0.15148 is the boundary between the Chu River and the Han River, and the lower track at 0.13934 is the lifeline, with the price currently stuck between the middle and lower tracks.
Three key details to clarify: ① The lowest point of this decline at 0.15733 has not touched the lower track, indicating that the main force is secretly supporting the market above 0.15 dollars; ② The BOLL middle track at 0.15148 is the real battlefield, and today's three attacks were all knocked back by this line; ③ The most interesting part is the amplitude data—1.61% volatility conceals a 30 million U exchange of chips, which clearly shows the dog owner's left hand selling to the right hand to wash the market.
The latest on-chain alerts are ringing loudly, with whale addresses precisely reducing their holdings by 120 million coins around 0.158 this morning, a tactic reminiscent of the "fishing line harvest" from September 2024. But don't panic! The perpetual contract funding rate on exchanges suddenly turned positive, indicating that smart money is secretly bottom-fishing. Brothers, do you remember the day of Dogecoin's birthday last year when the operator managed a 20% rise using a similar pattern?
My personal prediction: the price is currently playing dead below the 0.15148 middle track, actually waiting for big brother BTC to give direction. The upper limit of 0.15830 has become a short-term iron ceiling, while the lower limit of 0.14500 has a stop-loss order hanging like a machine gun pool. Key to watch for changes in trading volume—if a 40 million U level bullish candle breaks through the middle track, it’s likely a startup signal; if it continues to shrink and decline, be wary of the dog owner unleashing the "guillotine".
Tonight, remember this code while watching the market: if the price drops to around 0.14800, boldly take the goods, and if it goes past 0.15500, close your eyes and follow the trend!
If you are still confused in the crypto world and don't know how to operate, click on my avatar to follow me! This round of the bull market will explode with more hundredfold coins, and it's better to seize the opportunity than to guess randomly. $DOGE #币安安全见解 #CPI数据来袭 #加密市场反弹
A must-read for cryptocurrency enthusiasts! The delisting tsunami of Chinese concept stocks is about to sweep the cryptocurrency market. Does USDT have a fatal loophole?
Chinese concept stocks face a life-and-death crisis! The latest development shows that the US SEC is promoting the comprehensive implementation of the (Foreign Company Accountability Act), which means that Chinese concept stocks that do not meet audit requirements will be forced to delist before 2024. As players in the cryptocurrency space, we must be vigilant about the chain reaction of this storm.
There are three core risk points: 1. Dollar blood transfusion channel breaks: Over 200 Chinese concept stocks are linked to over a hundred billion dollars in market value. Once they collectively delist, companies will face huge financial pressures from stock buybacks, debt liquidation, etc. The key issue is that there are legal blind spots in cross-border guarantee agreements. If US courts enforce domestic assets, it could trigger a chain debt crisis.
"The long-short meat grinder collides with the time-space rift, and the candlestick assassin is hunting down the technical analysts",
$BTC is playing "quantum shuttle" in the Bollinger Bands on April 11, 2025, after touching a high of 81208 dollars in the morning session, quickly pulling back to 80512 dollars. This volatility is enough to make even the two-dimensional foil in 'The Three-Body Problem' feel constrained.
1: Technical Analysis Brothers, keep an eye on this time-space coordinate — the four-hour candlestick at 12:00 on April 11, 2025, closed at 81072 dollars, stuck in the vacuum between the middle band (83716 dollars) and the lower band (75027 dollars). The MACD is showing a volume death cross below the zero axis. Pay attention to the art of market control by the big players: in the morning session, they first pushed up 0.86% for a false break, then quickly smashed through 80512 dollars to create panic. This method is reminiscent of the "flash crash washout" in September 2024.
2: News Analysis On-chain data has revealed explosive news: the Grayscale wallet suddenly recharged 8000 BTC to Coinbase, in conjunction with the news that three ETFs in Hong Kong were approved in the early morning. This is clearly a classic combination of "bullish cannonballs + chip bombardment". Remember that in December 2024, BlackRock played the same trick — precisely smashing the price down by 6% 24 hours before the news release, then violently pushing it up by 18% after retail investors cut losses.
3: Tonight's Three Critical Lines 1. If the price stabilizes above 81000 dollars, you can lightly test long positions, targeting the pressure level at the middle band of 83716 dollars; 2. If it falls below 80512 dollars, immediately initiate stop-loss, looking down at the long position fortress at 78500 dollars; 3. At 20:00 Beijing time, pay attention to the speech of the Federal Reserve Chairman, and be prepared with hedge positions to guard against black swans.
Are you trapped? When is the right time to buy the dip? As always, if you feel lost and helpless, follow me for guidance. I need fans, and you need references; guessing is worse than following! $BTC $ETH #CPI数据来袭 #保护您的资产 #加密市场反弹
When I first entered the cryptocurrency market, I was blindly following the crowd like most people, until I was repeatedly harvested by the market and finally understood the truth: the ones who truly make money in this market are always a small group of hunters who move against the prevailing emotions. As an experienced investor, I have summarized five iron rules:
1. A sharp decline hides an opportunity When a coin drops for seven consecutive days, you can tentatively start building a position on the eighth day (most market makers' washout cycles do not exceed seven days). Players who bought the dip on the eighth day after last year's LUNA crash made five times their investment three weeks later.
2. Be clear-headed during a sharp rise Any coin that rises for two consecutive days must have a 30% reduction in holdings; remember, paper profits are not real money. This March, the PEOPLE coin surged 180% in two days, and players who didn’t sell in the morning of the third day lost 70% of their gains by the end of the day.
3. Interpretation of unusual movement signals If a coin has been flat for five days and suddenly sees high volume, immediately enter the market at the current price. This rule allowed me to accurately ambush before the GMT coin started, resulting in a double profit within 36 hours.
4. Life-saving stop-loss rule If the profit from holding a position for 24 hours is not enough to cover transaction fees, immediately cut your losses. I have found that 80% of such coins will continue to decline, and the time cost is far beyond expectations.
5. Mechanical rule verification For coins that have risen for three consecutive days, there is a high probability of a decline in the afternoon of the fourth day. This is a profit-taking program set by exchange quantitative robots, which has been verified 17 times this year with an accuracy rate of 89%.
The essence of the cryptocurrency market is a probability game; my core strategy is to use a 30% trial-and-error cost to seek a 70% excess return. Remember: when the market sentiment is boiling, you need to stay calm; when everyone is panicking, you need to be greedy—this is the true trump card for navigating bull and bear markets.
Are you stuck? When is the right time to buy the dip? As the saying goes, if you feel confused and helpless, don’t know what to do, click on my profile and follow me. I need fans, and you need references; guessing is not as good as following!
Current misconceptions in the China-US tariff war need to be clarified:
1. Tariff Truth: The U.S. has raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as high as 104% (for certain steel products), but the average tariff rate on Chinese goods exported to the U.S. remains around 19%. The so-called "punitive tariffs" by the U.S. essentially serve as a double harvest: taxing Chinese companies while making domestic consumers foot the bill.
2. Pricing Secrets: The factory price of coffee cups produced in Zhejiang is 6 yuan, while the retail price in the U.S. reaches 300 yuan, a price difference of over 50 times. Chinese manufacturing still controls 78% of the global pricing power for small goods, with distributors like Walmart capturing over 90% of the profit margin.
3. Industry Reality: Suppliers for Apple in China account for 47%, and Tesla's Shanghai factory contributes 52% of global capacity. The cost of restructuring the supply chain for U.S. companies in China reaches up to $420 billion, which underpins China's negotiating strength.
Three strategic supports for China's tough counterattack:
▶️ Energy Revolution Breakthrough The penetration rate of new energy vehicles exceeds 50%, and the installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation surpasses the total of the U.S. and Europe combined. Dependency on foreign crude oil has decreased from 73% to 65%, with strategic reserves reaching 180 days of usage.
▶️ Technological Counterattack Breakthrough The HarmonyOS installed base surpasses 400 million (the third-largest mobile OS globally), the localization rate of core components for the BeiDou satellites reaches 100%, and the yield rate of SMIC's 7nm chips has reached TSMC levels.
▶️ Awakening of Domestic Demand Market With a population of 1.4 billion, a $4.3 trillion consumption market is created, and the scale of cross-border e-commerce has surged 11 times in 5 years. After the activation of the internal circulation strategy, it is expected to capture 25% of global luxury goods consumption by 2030.
The essence of the game is the struggle for industrial control. The U.S. tariffs have caused domestic companies to lose $1.7 trillion in market value, while the value added of Chinese manufacturing has surpassed that of the U.S., Japan, and Germany combined. The outcome of this protracted war may reshape the global economic power structure.
Although the market is slightly sluggish now, opportunities will still come. Stay calm and wait for the correction, and when the time comes, I will lead everyone to target the lucrative opportunities in counterfeit goods for bottom fishing and layout in the spot market. Doubling the investment should not be a problem. Like and comment to seize this big opportunity in the current bull market together.
April 11th $ETH Battle Report: The $1500 life-and-death line has been defended, but a greater thunderstorm is looming overhead
The early session spike exposed the main force's bottom card ETH plummeted to $1504 at 8 AM today, instantly blowing up $230 million in short positions before violently rebounding, closing at $1546.7 on the 4-hour line, precisely hovering above the Bollinger band middle track of $1540.46. The manipulation here is severe—$1504 is just above the last defense line of the weekly support at $1384.06, with 125,000 options contracts disappearing at this position.
1: The technical aspect hides three lethal traps
1. The Bollinger band has narrowed to a death triangle: The upper track of $1671.02 coincides with the weekly pressure level of $1650, and the middle track of $1540.46 serves as a meat grinder for bulls and bears during the day 2. MACD is showing a golden cross below water but with a divergence in volume: 4-hour trading volume has shrunk by 37% compared to yesterday's crash, with the rally relying entirely on futures leverage 3. CME gap of $1618 hangs overhead: The interest rate hike gap from March has yet to be filled, breaking above $1600 will trigger algorithmic trading sell-offs
2: Sudden news hits with two heavy blows: The SEC has delayed BlackRock's Ethereum ETF decision until May 23rd, but the Deutsche Börse has quickly launched ETH staking futures, with hedge funds accumulating through dark pools. Keep a close watch on Coinbase's premium rate tonight; if the premium drops below 0.8% after the US market opens, be cautious of spot selling pressure.
3: Tonight's operation at the life-and-death line
1. Bullish survival: Hold the middle track of $1540.46, break through $1578 (4-hour EMA144 pressure) with volume to trigger algorithmic chasing 2. Bearish nuclear bomb: Breaking through $1504 will trigger on-chain liquidation; the lower Bollinger band at $1409.91 is just an appetizer, while the weekly support at $1384.06 is the real execution ground
Let’s talk about truths that others dare not touch 1. For spot players, don't reach out at the current price; wait for a confirmation after breaking $1578 before entering, and flee if it falls below $1533 2. Suggested contract orders: Long positions should be ambushed at $1521 (the starting point of today's spike rebound), and short positions should target $1563 (1-hour chip peak) 3. If the Fed's minutes tonight hint at a rate hike in June, the ETH/BTC exchange rate is sure to break 0.052, so those holding altcoins should hurry to switch
I am Aqi, focused on breaking extreme market situations, only bringing true warriors to score $ETH #CPI数据来袭 #保护您的资产 #加密市场反弹
April 11th, $ETH Battle Report: The 1500 USD lifeline was held, but a bigger thunder is overhead
The early session spike exposed the main force's bottom card ETH opened this morning at 8 o'clock, plummeting to 1504 USD, instantly blowing up 230 million USD in short positions, followed by a violent rebound. The 4-hour line closed at 1546.7 USD, precisely capped above the Bollinger Band middle track of 1540.46. The manipulation by the whales was ruthless—1504 is just above the last defense line of the weekly support at 1384.06, with 125,000 option contracts evaporating at this position.
1: The technical side hides triple killing opportunities
1. Bollinger Bands narrow to a death triangle: The upper track at 1671.02 coincides with the weekly resistance at 1650, and the middle track at 1540.46 becomes the intraday long-short meat grinder. 2. MACD underwater golden cross but with volume divergence: The 4-hour trading volume shrank by 37% compared to yesterday's crash, relying entirely on futures leverage for the rise. 3. CME gap at 1618 looms overhead: The interest rate hike gap from March has not been filled, and breaking through 1600 will trigger algorithmic trading sell-offs.
2: Two heavy blows from the news side: The SEC delays BlackRock's Ethereum ETF decision to May 23rd, but the Deutsche Börse has swiftly launched ETH staking futures. Hedge funds are accumulating through dark pools. Keep a close watch on Coinbase's premium rate tonight; if the premium drops below 0.8% after the US market opens, be wary of spot selling pressure.
3: Tonight's lifeline operations
1. Long survival: Firmly hold the middle track at 1540.46, and if it breaks through 1578 USD (4-hour EMA144 resistance) with volume, algorithmic buying will be triggered. 2. Short nuclear bomb: Breaking through 1504 will trigger on-chain liquidations; the lower Bollinger Band at 1409.91 is just an appetizer, while the weekly support at 1384.06 is the real execution ground.
Let's talk about truths that others dare not touch 1. For spot players, do not reach out at the current price; confirm a breakout at 1578 before re-entering, and escape immediately if it falls below 1533. 2. Suggested order placements for contracts: Long at 1521 (today's spike rebound starting point) and short at 1563 (1-hour chip peak). 3. If the Federal Reserve's minutes in the early morning hint at a June rate hike, the ETH/BTC exchange rate will definitely break 0.052; those holding altcoins should quickly switch.
I am Aqi, focusing on extreme market breaking, only taking true warriors to score. $ETH #CPI数据来袭 #保护您的资产 #加密市场反弹
The Americans are at it again with tariffs! Is the crypto world really going to change this time?
I just came across some news - Trump is back at it again! This old man is waving a "trade barrier" sign and making threats, saying that any country that can't reach an agreement within 90 days will face painful tax increases. To be honest, this operation looks familiar; people saw his antics during the 2018 trade war...
Honestly, every time there's such a globally impactful event, the crypto world actually hides opportunities. Last time during the trade war, Bitcoin surprisingly rose by 37%, and this time the script might be even more exciting. Three hours ago, a buddy from the mining circle reached out to me, saying that several large mining farms in the country are rushing to ship mining machines to the Middle East overnight - the signal is quite clear, right?
Bitcoin is currently around 80,000, and three key data points are quite subtle: 1. The US dollar index fluctuated wildly by 0.8% in half an hour, the volatility is like a roller coaster 2. Suddenly, 300 million USDT was staked on-chain, indicating that big players are obviously stocking up 3. The daily minting volume of gold-pegged currency PAXG has reached a two-year high
I checked the contract data and found a strange phenomenon: 85% of the options bets on Deribit are bullish, but the spot trading volume has shrunk instead. What does this indicate? Institutional players might be holding back significant moves, waiting for solid news on tariffs to launch a violent surge.
A few reminders for everyone: ① Don't touch any altcoins linked to physical trade (especially in logistics and cross-border payment) ② Mining machine prices are definitely going up soon, entering the market now is very likely to get you cut ③ Pay special attention to censorship-resistant tracks; privacy coins like XMR are already experiencing undercurrents
To be honest, holding onto spot assets is the safest move right now, and for futures traders, I suggest reducing leverage to below three times, who knows if Trump will tweet something disruptive in the middle of the night...
I am Aqi, focusing on breaking through extreme market conditions, only bringing true warriors to score.
$PEPE Daily Analysis: K-line Twisted Like a Twist, What Big Move is the Dog Fund Holding Back?
"The PEPE at 4 PM on April 10, 2025, has K-lines that are flatter than an electrocardiogram— the dog fund might as well have stopped breathing!"
1: Technical Analysis Hit Look at this four-hour K-line chart, the price is stuck in the range of 0.00000056-0.00000059 like a wooden man, with a 2% fluctuation that can't even cover the transaction fees. The middle line of the Bollinger Bands (yellow line) is firmly pressing down on the 0.00000058 level, and the purple momentum indicator line is sticking to the K-line like a sticky plaster, clearly indicating that the bulls don't even have the strength to flip the table. What's even more heartbreaking is that the K-line has closed below the MA7 moving average (white line) for 8 consecutive times, and every rebound to 0.00000058 gets smashed down, just like a frog being pressed on a chopping board.
2: News Analysis Hit Familiar? That wave of "Death Loom" market in February this year, PEPE also went sideways for 12 days before suddenly plummeting 30%. Now this purple momentum line is eerily similar to that time: on the surface, it looks like sideways fluctuations, but in reality, the dog fund has filled the upper side above 0.00000058 with short orders, while the lower side at 0.00000055 has no decent support at all. What’s worse is that the lower Bollinger Band (white line) moves down by 0.000000002 every day, this downward trend is like a dull knife cutting meat.
3: Currently Focus on Three Key Levels: 1️⃣ The middle line of the Bollinger Band at 0.00000058, only a breakthrough here qualifies for a reversal discussion. 2️⃣ The daily central point at 0.000000571, a break here may trigger programmatic selling. 3️⃣ The psychological defense line at 0.00000055, if this level breaks, the gap below at 0.00000052 becomes a live target.
I am A Qi, focused on extreme market breaking points, only taking true warriors to gain points. $BTC #保护您的资产 #保持SAFU #交易心理学
85% of Bitcoin Holders Profit Against the Market: The Victory of Long-term Faith and the Resilience of Market Cycles
Despite the dramatic fluctuations in Bitcoin's price over the past week and a temporary drop below a key support level, on-chain data reveals an intriguing phenomenon in the market—over 85% of Bitcoin holders are still in profit. According to monitoring by data analysis platform IntoTheBlock, this ratio remained strong even when prices dipped on April 10, once again confirming Bitcoin's resilience as a long-term value storage asset. Cost and Cycle: The Logic Behind Profitability IntoTheBlock data shows that the average holding cost of Bitcoin is about $25,800, significantly lower than the recent price range of $60,000 to $70,000. This indicates that most holders entered during the 2023 bear market or at the beginning of this year's upward trend. With the halving approaching in 2024, addresses holding for more than a year account for nearly 70%, demonstrating that the market is shifting from a 'speculation-driven' to a 'strong-holding' mode. Long-term investors are accumulating experience through the market cycles post-first halving—although short-term fluctuations are intense, the pattern of rising bottoms and tops in the medium to long term remains unchanged.
ETH Loses the 1600 Level as Bull-Bear Struggle Intensifies
On September 12, Ethereum (ETH) sharply dropped to 1595 USDT before rebounding slightly, currently reported at 1599.83 USDT, with a 24-hour increase narrowing to 8.24%. Previously, ETH had risen for three consecutive days, breaking the yearly high, but faced selling pressure in the strong resistance zone of 1600-1650 USD, leading the market into a phase of intense volatility.
Technical indicators show that some bulls took profits at the key resistance level, with a sudden increase in net outflows from exchanges, while the funding rates for derivatives remain elevated, reflecting short-term loosening of positions. On the macro level, the rebound of the US dollar index and weakness in US stocks are suppressing risk assets, coupled with the approaching Fed's September rate decision, market sentiment is becoming cautious.
Despite the short-term pressure, positive developments in the Ethereum ecosystem continue to emerge: the Cancun upgrade is nearing the testing phase, Layer 2 cost optimization is imminent, and institutional expectations for the approval of ETH futures ETFs are rising. Binance reminds investors to pay attention to the validity of the 1550 USD support and be aware of extreme market risks, managing positions wisely.
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The US Dollar Index sharply fell to 102.45, which may bring liquidity benefits to the crypto market. According to BlockBeats, on April 10, the US Dollar Index (DXY) expanded its short-term decline to 26 points, dropping over 0.50% during the day and currently reported at 102.45, reaching a new low in nearly two weeks. The market generally believes that this decline is related to the rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year and weak US economic data. As the 'anchor' for global asset pricing, a weaker dollar may inject liquidity into the risk asset market, with cryptocurrencies as high-volatility targets potentially becoming a choice for short-term capital hedging.
The weak dollar has led to a positive response in the crypto market.
A decline in the US Dollar Index typically indicates a rising preference for non-US currencies and risk assets. Historical data shows a certain negative correlation between the dollar and the prices of crypto assets like Bitcoin. As the DXY falls, Bitcoin is fluctuating around $67,000, with a significant increase in 24-hour trading volume; Ethereum is also rebounding to $3,350, with a daily increase of 3%. Market analysts point out that if the dollar continues to weaken, the crypto market may further attract traditional capital.
Rate cut expectations boost market sentiment.
Recent US March CPI data, retail sales data, and manufacturing PMI have all fallen short of expectations, reinforcing the market's bets on the Federal Reserve cutting rates this year. The CME FedWatch tool indicates that traders' expectations for a rate cut in June have risen to over 60%. Under expectations of liquidity easing, demand for cryptocurrencies as 'inflation hedges' and 'high-risk high-return' assets may increase. A report from Binance Research has pointed out that the turning point of dollar liquidity is often an important signal for the mid-term trend in the crypto market.
Technical and funding aspects resonate.
From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin stabilizes above the key resistance level of $68,000, it is expected to challenge historical highs again; if Ethereum can break through $3,400, it may open up upward space. On-chain data shows that the net inflow of stablecoins into centralized exchanges has increased by 15% in the past 24 hours, reflecting an increased willingness of investors to enter the market.
Short-term outlook.
Despite a favorable macro environment, the crypto market still faces regulatory uncertainty and geopolitical risks. Investors need to pay attention to the PPI data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials to be announced this week. If the US Dollar Index continues to weaken, Bitcoin may lead mainstream cryptocurrencies into a new round of rebound.