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For four consecutive weeks, the third place on the Alcoin V ranking list has changed again and again.

Only the world's richest man Musk ranked first and I ranked second have not changed.

I have really become the second place for a thousand years😍😂😅🤭😁

At 20:30 Beijing time on July 22, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend a regulatory meeting related to the comprehensive review of the capital framework for large banks and deliver opening remarks.

This speech will focus on topics related to bank capital regulation, including the finalization of the Basel Accords, stress tests, capital surcharges for large banks, and leverage requirements.

Due to recent pressure from Trump and Republican lawmakers regarding the Federal Reserve's headquarters renovation cost overruns, he may also emphasize the importance of the Federal Reserve's independence once again. The market is also looking for clues about the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy from his speech, especially in light of the current unstable economic situation and the existence of rate cut expectations; any hints regarding interest rate policy could have a significant impact on global financial markets.

A great father must personally hand over his daughter, whom he has raised for many years, to another man. At the moment he lets go, it feels as if something heavy has been passed on; half of it is an empty sense of loss, and half is the solid reassurance of letting go—his little girl, whom he has protected under his wings, is finally going to explore her own world, but from now on, there is one more person behind her...

Analyzing the bullish factors behind Bitcoin's new highs:

1. Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations: The minutes from the Federal Reserve's June meeting indicate that a majority of participants believe that rate cuts may be appropriate this year, enhancing market expectations for future liquidity easing, which provides a macro catalyst for risk assets like Bitcoin.

2. Trump tax expenditure bill: The "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill signed by Trump will increase the federal deficit, leading U.S. government debt toward unsustainability, raising risks of macro mismanagement, and increasing investors' interest in non-sovereign value storage methods like gold and Bitcoin.

3. Diminishing impact of the tariff war: Although tariffs have impacted the crypto market, recent market performance has been robust, with cryptocurrencies seen as valuable hedging tools, leading investors to prefer Bitcoin, which stimulates its rise.

4. SEC's statement on securities tokenization: The U.S. SEC's recognition of securities tokenization has propelled the blockchain and crypto industry into mainstream financial markets, stimulating the rise of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

5. Demand from crypto custody companies and ETFs: The emergence of crypto custody companies indicates strong investor interest in exposure to crypto assets listed for trading on exchanges. The demand for traditional financial tools like ETFs is reshaping the Bitcoin market landscape, with institutional capital inflows showing structural characteristics and more stable demand.

Is the national team ready to make a move?

Practical Training Camp Session 7
Yesterday, Monday, Day 1
5 consecutive intraday short wins, 0 losses.
Evening ambush to long Ethereum at 2524
Highest 2557, profits have been secured.

Q3 2025 Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Overview

Bitcoin rose 30% in Q2 2025, currently priced at $108,000, 3% lower than the historical peak of $111,900. The first half saw a 15% increase, lower than last year's 45%, but the bullish sentiment continues.

Driving Factors
ETF Inflows: Institutional funds flowing into ETFs, public companies (such as Satoshi Nakamoto) raising funds to buy Bitcoin, with more funds awaiting SEC approval.

Legislation and Regulation: The 'Genius Act' may pass in Q3, stimulating retail demand. Trump's pro-crypto policies and expectations of interest rate cuts boost confidence.

Macroeconomic Environment: Inflation hedging, increased fiscal spending, and Bitcoin reserve programs driving prices higher.

Supply Scarcity: The halving in April 2024 and reduced circulation due to institutional hoarding.

Price Prediction Basis: $135,000 by the end of Q3.

Optimistic: Breakthrough of $150,000, approaching $180,000.

Pessimistic: Pullback to $95,000 - $100,000.

Risks:
Cyclical sell-offs (18 months post-halving).

Geopolitical and regulatory volatility.

Corporate debt liquidation risks.

Conclusion:
Bitcoin is expected to be between $110,000 - $150,000 in Q3, with ETFs, legislation, and policies as the main driving forces.

The market on July 5th was also captured, with both long and short positions being profitable.

ETH long position entered at 2498, reached a maximum of 2607, profit of 4.19%

SOL short position entered at 148.20, reached a minimum of 145.70, profit of 1.61%

Overview of Cryptocurrency-Related Legislation in the United States: Key Provisions and Latest Developments

Cryptocurrency-related legislation in the United States is advancing rapidly. On July 4, the "Big and Beautiful Act" was passed in the House of Representatives. The macro background of fiscal expansion may weaken market trust in the dollar and U.S. Treasury bonds, while tax reduction policies and fiscal stimulus measures create a more lenient macro environment for crypto assets.

At the same time, the "Genius Act" and "Clarity Act" concerning stablecoins and market structure are currently under review in the House of Representatives, with significant progress expected during the "Crypto Week" on July 14.

The chart below details the core content and latest legislative progress of five key bills.

Let's talk about the bullish signals and trading strategies for TRX

Bullish Factors:
In the past month, TRX accumulation has increased, with 98% of holders in profit and social media engagement rising. TRON's daily trading volume has doubled, and network revenue is growing. There has been a net outflow of TRX from exchanges, indicating a stronger holding intent, similar to the pattern in October 2024, followed by a price rebound.

Technical Analysis:
Since May, TRX has fluctuated between $0.24 and $0.2945, with $0.3 being a key resistance level.
$0.24 to $0.28 serves as strong support, with low selling pressure.
The range of $0.29 and $0.295 to $0.3 is a concentrated liquidity area, where prices may be attracted.

Trading Strategy:
Long: Entry: $0.24 to $0.28.
Target: $0.295 to $0.3.
Stop Loss: Below $0.24.

Breakout Long:
After breaking above $0.2945 and retesting $0.3 as support, go long with a target of $0.32 and a stop loss below $0.29.

Short: Short when a bearish reversal occurs between $0.295 and $0.3, targeting $0.28 or $0.24, with a stop loss above $0.3.

Risk: Profit-taking or reversals may occur near $0.3, so it is important to pay attention to market fluctuations and the breakout situation at $0.2945.

Conclusion:
The bullish trend for TRX is evident, with $0.24 to $0.28 serving as strong support. A breakout above $0.2945 could extend the upward momentum, so please operate flexibly in accordance with market conditions.

#TRX

PENGU Surges 68% in a Week: $0.018 Becomes Key Breakthrough

PENGU's price has skyrocketed 68% in the last 7 days, currently at $0.0165, with trend indicators turning bullish, triggering technical bullish signals.

The surge in spot trading volume confirms real demand, with the $0.018 resistance level becoming the focus — there is a cluster of short liquidations in this range ($0.0173-$0.018), and a breakthrough could trigger a chain reaction, pushing the price towards $0.028.

#PENGU

What is a stablecoin?

Currently, stablecoins are entering mainstream payment systems at an astonishing rate. By the end of May 2025, the average daily transaction volume of stablecoins is expected to increase by approximately 52% compared to the same period in 2024. The transaction volume in 2024 is estimated to be about 119% and 200% of that of Visa and Mastercard, respectively.

What is a stablecoin? How does it differ from Bitcoin? Can it replace the international funds clearing system?

In simple terms, a stablecoin is a digital currency anchored to real assets, with its value typically linked to a specific fiat currency, commodity, or other assets.

“Anchored to real assets” is a significant feature of stablecoins. In Hong Kong, there are requirements that stablecoins must be fully anchored to one or more fiat currencies (such as the Hong Kong dollar or US dollar).

The stablecoin USDC (USD Coin), issued by the American company Circle, is a stablecoin that is pegged to the US dollar at a 1:1 ratio, meaning 1 USDC corresponds to 1 US dollar bill.
The key to maintaining the “stability” of stablecoins lies in “trust consensus.”

Stablecoins share commonalities with Bitcoin but also have differences. The commonality is that both are encrypted digital assets based on blockchain technology, and neither is issued by central banks or other official entities.

Stablecoins focus on transactions and are payment tools. Bitcoin focuses on investment and is an investment tool.

For stablecoins to function as payment tools, their value must be stable with minimal fluctuations, ensuring sufficient liquidity, which depends on the quantity of reserve assets held by the issuer.

For Bitcoin, which is heavily focused on investment, price stability would reduce its investment appeal; volatility is what attracts more investors.

More importantly, the developmental directions of the two are different. Stablecoin regulation is moving towards monetary compliance, while Bitcoin regulation is moving towards virtual asset management.

Recently, the United States passed legislation to establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins, and Hong Kong has explicitly included stablecoins within its regulatory scope.

Thank you Binance for the exquisite eighth anniversary merchandise.

Analyze Bitcoin

The current most direct resistance level for BTC is $112,000, where there are a large number of sell orders. The price has formed a bearish divergence across multiple time frames when attempting to break $110,500. If it cannot break through, the support target range below is $106,000 to $107,500.

Trump's "Big and Beautiful" plan may lead to a short-term contraction in U.S. dollar liquidity, potentially causing Bitcoin prices to drop to the $90,000 to $95,000 range. If the impact is limited, Bitcoin may fluctuate around $100,000 but struggle to break through the $112,000 high. It is expected that before Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at the end of August, the market may consolidate or experience a slight decline, but after liquidity is restored in early September, Bitcoin may see an increase.

Although some tokens in the altcoin market have seen slight increases recently, most tokens are still in a downtrend.

It is worth noting that recently, the trading volume of Little Penguin PENGU has remained high, and the coin price has been continuously rising for a week, with a weekly increase of nearly 80%.

In the SOL chain, several quality Meme coins have also appeared in the past two days, among which LuckyCoin, related to Feng Shui, has risen by 814% in the past 24 hours, with a market value of $6.4 million.

#BTC #SOL

The Bitcoin bull market may gradually fade within 2-3 months.

If Bitcoin follows the trend of 2020, the market is likely to peak in October, which is 550 days after the Bitcoin halving in April 2024.

Many market participants have overlooked the halving cycle and predict that the "extended cycle" may last until 2026. These participants are sidelining halving cycle indicators to "chase new narratives," such as the correlation between Bitcoin and the global M2 money supply.

Chasing new Bitcoin indicators is "an emotional behavior." However, some cryptocurrency analysts believe that, given the surge in institutional adoption of Bitcoin, the typical Bitcoin halving cycle is now less reliable, which was not the case in previous cycles.

#BTC

Freshly baked, in less than half a day, 2 contracts, precise strike!

Today's transaction record:

✅
ADA (Short Position)
Entry 0.5967 Lowest 0.579 Profit over 3%

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AVAX (Short Position)
Entry 18.673 Lowest 18.119 Profit over 3%

The launch of the SOL spot ETF, the beginning of the next altcoin season?

The United States is about to approve the first SOL spot ETF, introducing staking rewards for the first time. This groundbreaking product not only seamlessly integrates traditional finance with on-chain yields but also provides a convenient participation channel for institutional investors.

The launch of SOL's ETF has sparked enthusiastic speculation in the market about the next altcoin ETF, with the following cryptocurrencies considered potential candidates:

XRP: With Ripple's ongoing legal victories and its widespread application in cross-border payments, XRP possesses strong ETF potential. Its non-securitized legal status and expansion into Asian and Middle Eastern markets have further attracted the attention of institutional investors.

ADA: Known for its decentralization and academic rigor, Cardano's 'development-first' philosophy is well recognized by regulators. The recent launch of the Midnight privacy airdrop has further strengthened its ecosystem's competitiveness.

LTC: As a veteran of the crypto market, Litecoin's similarity to Bitcoin makes it a safe choice for ETFs. Its long history of stable operation and clear halving cycle provide a low-risk investment option for institutions.

DOGE: Despite its high volatility, Dogecoin has frequently made headlines in mainstream media, thanks to Musk's continued endorsement. If meme coin ETFs become a trend, Dogecoin will undoubtedly be a frontrunner.

PENGU: As an emerging meme coin based on SOL, PENGU has gained attention through social media buzz and early application dynamics. In a fully risked market environment, the possibility of meme coin ETFs cannot be overlooked.

The launch of the SOL spot ETF is not just a victory for a single product but also a signal—altcoins are stepping onto the stage of mainstream finance. It may ignite the enthusiasm of the crypto market since the bull market of 2021. Whether you are an institutional investor or a retail investor, now is the time to prepare for this super cycle that could change the landscape of crypto investment.

#SOL #DOGE #LTC

June Non-Farm Payrolls Exceed Expectations, Fed Rate Cut in July Unlikely

On Thursday, data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. non-farm data was better than expected, with an unexpected decline in the unemployment rate.

In June, the U.S. non-farm employment population recorded 147,000, higher than the expected 110,000, and the previous value was revised from 139,000 to 144,000. The U.S. unemployment rate for June recorded 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3%, and below the previous value of 4.20%.

June's average hourly wage month-on-month rate recorded 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.30%, with the previous value at 0.40%. The average hourly wage year-on-year rate recorded 3.7%, lower than the expected 3.90%, with the previous value revised from 3.90% to 3.8%.

After the data release, the U.S. Dollar Index touched 97, rising 0.39% for the day. Spot gold briefly fell by $19, breaking below $3320 per ounce.

Following the non-farm data release, interest rate futures traders abandoned bets on a Fed rate cut in July, with the market currently estimating an approximately 80% probability of a Fed rate cut in September, down from 98% before the non-farm employment report was released.

US non-farm payroll data will be released tonight, and the US stock market may experience significant fluctuations as a result.

If the employment data released is similar to the weak trend of the earlier ADP report, the US stock market is likely to see a significant sell-off.

JPMorgan has set different scenarios for market reactions:
An increase of 85,000-105,000 may lead to a decline of 0.25%-1.50% in the S&P 500 index.

If it is below 85,000, the S&P 500 index could plummet by 2.00%-3.00%.

The report warns: "In the worst case, the market will face the risk of stagflation (weak economic growth accompanied by high inflation), and at that point, both fiscal and monetary policies may be powerless."

The report specifically points out: "As long as the non-farm data is above 100,000, the stock market will still receive support." Of course, employment data has also exceeded expectations before and may do so again.

JPMorgan predicts:
An increase of 125,000-145,000 may lead to a rise of 0.75%-1.25% in the S&P 500 index.

If it exceeds 145,000, the S&P 500 index's gains may expand to 1.00%-1.50%.