Q3 2025 Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Overview

Bitcoin rose 30% in Q2 2025, currently priced at $108,000, 3% lower than the historical peak of $111,900. The first half saw a 15% increase, lower than last year's 45%, but the bullish sentiment continues.

Driving Factors

ETF Inflows: Institutional funds flowing into ETFs, public companies (such as Satoshi Nakamoto) raising funds to buy Bitcoin, with more funds awaiting SEC approval.

Legislation and Regulation: The 'Genius Act' may pass in Q3, stimulating retail demand. Trump's pro-crypto policies and expectations of interest rate cuts boost confidence.

Macroeconomic Environment: Inflation hedging, increased fiscal spending, and Bitcoin reserve programs driving prices higher.

Supply Scarcity: The halving in April 2024 and reduced circulation due to institutional hoarding.

Price Prediction Basis: $135,000 by the end of Q3.

Optimistic: Breakthrough of $150,000, approaching $180,000.

Pessimistic: Pullback to $95,000 - $100,000.

Risks:

Cyclical sell-offs (18 months post-halving).

Geopolitical and regulatory volatility.

Corporate debt liquidation risks.

Conclusion:

Bitcoin is expected to be between $110,000 - $150,000 in Q3, with ETFs, legislation, and policies as the main driving forces.