Crypto Web3 Today

BREAKING:

🇺🇸 Trump confirms he is “seriously” considering sending $2,000 tariff dividend checks to Americans.

This would be a massive game-changer for 2026! 🇺🇸 Trump’s 'Tariff Dividend' plan is gaining serious momentum, but it’s currently facing a double hurdle: a looming Supreme Court decision on tariff legality and the need for Congressional approval for the $600B funding. If it clears, mid-2026 could see the biggest stimulus yet. Fingers crossed for those checks! 💸🏛️

$ACA
$BERA
$XRP

China doubles down against crypto and RWA.

China’s central bank, together with ten regulatory bodies, released a new notice targeting risks linked to cryptocurrencies and real-world asset tokenization. The message reinforces Beijing’s hardline stance toward the entire crypto sector.

🟠 Cryptocurrencies have no legal status and all related transactions are classified as illegal financial activity
🟠 Issuing yuan-pegged stablecoins is prohibited without explicit approval, both domestically and offshore
🟠 RWA tokenization within China is deemed illegal, with rare regulator-approved exceptions
🟠 Crackdowns on mining, fraud, and crypto-related money laundering are being intensified
🟠 Chinese residents’ involvement in overseas crypto activity is now under tighter scrutiny.

$BTC
$ETH $

Every crypto crash feels unique.

None of them are.

🗓️ 2014:

→ Bitcoin “died” after Mt. Gox.
→ Down 85%.
→ Two years of silence.
→ Then a new cycle.

🗓️ 2018:

→ ICOs wiped out.
→ Altcoins erased.
→ 80–90% drawdowns.
→ Only real networks survived.

🗓️ 2020:

→ 50% crash in two days.
→ Pure panic.
→ Fastest recovery in history.

🗓️ 2022:

→ Leverage + fraud.
→ Trust collapsed.
→ FTX ended the cycle.

⌛ 2026:

Same movie. Bigger screen.

Excess leverage.
Thin liquidity.
Forced selling.
Confidence breaks before structure does.

Crypto has never bottomed on hope.
It bottoms on exhaustion.

And every time it’s declared dead,
it quietly resets.

History doesn’t say when it turns.

It says this isn’t the end.

$NEXO
$BARD
$DCR

Federal Tightening Shakes Markets… and the Pressure Continues.

Markets entered a clear period of pressure following rising expectations of a tighter monetary policy, especially with talk of Kevin Warsh's nomination to head the Federal Reserve, which the market interpreted as a sign of higher interest rates for a longer period.

🔻 Gold
Gold remains under pressure for the second week. With rising bond yields and a strong dollar, any current rally is considered a technical rebound rather than a trend reversal. The upward momentum is postponed until monetary conditions change.

₿ Bitcoin
Bitcoin is experiencing its worst week in a long time, with a clear outflow of liquidity from high-risk assets. Volatility is high, and breaking support levels could open the door to further selling.

📉 Stocks and the Tech Sector
Markets, especially growth and artificial intelligence stocks, are entering a deeper correction due to the repricing of the higher interest rate scenario for a longer period.

💵 The Dollar
Remains the primary beneficiary and is supported as long as the Federal Reserve leans towards tightening.

⚠️ Summary
The market is currently in a phase of pressure, tightening, and defensive liquidity; it's not a comfortable upward environment.

The focus should be on risk management and quick trading rather than chasing peaks.

$BTC
$ETH
$XAU

#GOLD

#XAUUSD is still holding retracement pattern and holding the consolidation area

-Currently I'm waiting for Trade with the Rangebound 1st POI 4800-4780 [ target 4880]

-Secondly if H1 or H4 candle closes above 4900 - upper green zone then Straight Buy and set target 4970 & 5000 in extension.

⚠️ Keep in mind any Candle close below lower Zone 4780 no more Buys.

$XAU

Bitcoin is currently down -45% from its $126k peak. 📉

While it feels heavy, let’s look at the Max Drawdown history of previous cycles. Notice the trend of diminishing severity as the market matures:

2011: -93% (The Wild West)
2014: -86% (The Mt. Gox Era)
2018: -84% (The ICO Bust)
2022: -77% (The Leverage Flush)
2026 (Now): -45% ...so far.

Though I don't think it has a big probability, if we follow the historical trend of shallower bottoms, a -70% drop would be the maturation target.

The big question: Is $67k the local bottom, or are we just warming up for a deeper winter?

$BTC

#Silver

Today's US session saw support at 71.5, and resistance at 75. A break above this level would target 77.8 and 81.

On the daily chart, 64 is considered the low point of the consolidation, while the middle Bollinger Band and the 10-day moving average below 92 are seen as the high point. The market is expected to consolidate within this range. After the settlement period, a short squeeze is anticipated in March, as COMEX inventories continue to decline, resulting in high demand and low supply. This situation is unlikely to improve, and high prices are expected to resurface.

#XAGUSD

$XAG

🚨 HERE'S THE EXACT REASON $BTC IS DUMPING EVERY SINGLE DAY.

This is not retail.
This is not sentiment.

If you still think $BTC trades like simple supply and demand, you MUST read this.

Because that market is gone.

Let me explain this in simple words.

BTC price isn't set onchain anymore.
It's set in derivatives.

Now connect the dots.

BTC was built on 21M and no rehypothecation.
But Wall Street added perps, options, ETFs, lending, wrapped BTC, and swaps.

And it's the same structure break that already happened to:
Gold, Silver, Oil, Stocks

So "paper BTC" became huge.

That one fact explains a lot.

Once paper supply overwhelms real supply, price stops reacting to demand.
It reacts to positioning, hedging, and liquidations.

So the play becomes simple.

- They sell into pumps.
- They force liquidations.
- They cover lower.
- They repeat.

This isn't a free market.
It's a fractional reserve price system wearing a BTC mask.

$BTC

🚨CRYPTO BLEEDS $20 BILLION A DAY IN 2026

Since Jan 1, the total crypto market cap has plunged from $2.97T to $2.25T, about $720B wiped out in just over 5 weeks, or roughly $20B per day as selling pressure stays relentless.

Zooming out since the Jan 14 peak, crypto has lost $1T, averaging nearly $44B per day, as calculated by Finbold.

$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

Market volatility is soaring under the surface:

The average S&P 500 stock volatility is now 7 TIMES higher than the volatility of the entire index.

The ratio between the average stock and the S&P 500's volatility has more than DOUBLED over the last 2 weeks.

Since 2022, there have been just 2 occurrences where single stock volatility was as elevated as it is now, in December 2024 and October 2025.

Volatility is rapidly returning.

$DCR
$QNT
$ENSO

ETH/USDT

↗️ The price of ETH has successfully held above the $1,800 level. Now, in order to form a true upward movement, the price needs to retest this level. If the price shows a good reaction to this level, then we will see growth to liquidity levels above $2,150.

$ETH

BREAKING: US stock market futures erase losses of over -1% and turn positive on the day.

Futures flipping from solid losses to gains signals aggressive repositioning and fragile sentiment. Moves like this often reflect headline-driven flows traders will look for confirmation after the open to see if momentum sticks.

$TSLA
$XAU
$XAG

🚀 BRIAN ARMSTRONG: CRYPTO AND AI ARE JUST GETTING STARTED

After Shaun Maguire ; Partner at Sequoia Capital and an active investor in AI and frontier technologies ; tweeted “I love crypto,” Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong responded: “Crypto and AI are just getting started.”

Maguire has been closely involved in backing next-generation AI companies, reinforcing the view from both VC and crypto leaders that these technologies remain early in their adoption curve.

$DCR
$ZAMA
$PARTI

🚨New: Crypto markets saw $2.6B in liquidations over the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin falling below $60K, Solana sliding to $67, its lowest since December 2023, and Ethereum dropping under $1,800.

The sharp selloff triggered widespread forced liquidations across major exchanges, adding to downside pressure as prices moved rapidly through key support levels.

While multiple theories have circulated about the trigger behind the decline, no confirmed explanation has emerged so far.

Market sentiment has also deteriorated sharply, with the CMC Fear and Greed Index falling to 5/100, its lowest level on record, reflecting extreme fear.

$ETH
$SOL
$BTC

💰 SOL/USDT

↗️ The price of SOL has reached its previous low of $80.59 and is attempting to stay above it. If the price holds this level on major timeframes, it may then begin to recover with the aim of reaching the key level of $100.

$SOL

🚨 HERE’S WHY BITCOIN IS NONSTOP DUMPING RIGHT NOW

If you still think $BTC trades like a supply-and-demand asset, you MUST read this carefully.

Because that market no longer exists

What you’re watching right now is not normal price action.

It’s not “weak hands.”
It’s not sentiment.
And it’s definitely not retail selling.

Most people are completely unaware what’s happening.

And by the time it becomes obvious, the damage is already done.

This move didn’t start today.
It’s been building quietly under the surface for months.

And now it’s accelerating.

Here’s the truth:

The moment supply can be synthetically created, scarcity is gone.

And when scarcity is gone, price stops being discovered on-chain and starts being set in derivatives.

That is exactly what happened to Bitcoin.

And it’s the same structural break that already happened to:
→ Gold
→ Silver
→ Oil
→ Equities

Once derivatives took over.

The original Bitcoin thesis is broken.

Bitcoin’s valuation was built on two ideas:
→ A hard cap of 21 million
→ No rehypothecation

That framework died the moment Wall Street layered this on top of the chain:
→ Cash-settled futures
→ Perpetual swaps
→ Options
→ ETFs
→ Prime broker lending
→ Wrapped BTC
→ Total return swaps

From that point forward Bitcoin supply became theoretically INFINITE.

Not on-chain.
But in price discovery, which is what actually matters.

Synthetic Float Ratio (SFR).

The metric that explains everything.

Once synthetic supply overwhelms real supply, price no longer responds to demand.

It responds to positioning, hedging, and liquidation flows.

Wall Street can now trade against Bitcoin.

They’re not guessing direction.

They’re doing what they do in every derivatives-dominated market:
1⃣ Create unlimited paper BTC
2⃣ Short into rallies
3⃣ Force liquidations
4⃣ Cover lower
5⃣ Repeat

This isn’t “betting.”

It’s inventory manufacturing.

One real BTC can now simultaneously back:
→ An ETF share
→ A futures contract
→ A perpetual swap
→ An options delta

🚨 BREAKING

🇺🇸 WHITE HOUSE JUST OFFICIALLY REJECTED THE CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE BILL.

THE BILL WAS DESIGNED TO REDUCE MARKET MANIPULATION IN CRYPTO.

THIS DOESN’T LOOK GOOD FOR BITCOIN...

the white house rejection is a major pivot that could increase market volatility in the short term because regulatory clarity is what investors crave most this decision shows that the path to crypto adoption still faces significant political hurdles but experienced traders know that uncertainty often creates the best strategic entries for those who stay calm and focused on the long term vision of bitcoin.

The impact on $BTC price will likely be psychological and short-term. The market has already priced in high regulatory uncertainty in the U.S. The main drivers now are macro (Fed rates, liquidity) and institutional flows (ETFs). This rejection is a blow to the narrative of imminent regulation, but not to the network's fundamental value.

$BTC
$ETH

🇺🇸 BREAKING: TODAY THE U.S. TREASURY STEPS UP DEBT REPURCHASES.

The U.S. Treasury has completed an additional $4B buyback of its outstanding debt. This action injects liquidity into the system, freeing up capital that can circulate back into financial markets.

If sustained, this could mark the early stages of broader liquidity support ; potentially setting the groundwork for a return to quantitative easing.

$4B sounds big, but in context it’s small relative to Treasury issuance. Buybacks help with market functioning, not stimulus. Calling this early QE feels premature unless balance sheet expansion actually follows.

$C98
$PARTI
$CHESS

This is absolutely insane:

On October 6th, crypto markets hit a record high market cap of $4.3 trillion.

Today, the crypto market is worth just $2.3 trillion, losing -$2 TRILLION worth of market cap in 4 months.

In other words, ~46% of crypto's entire value has been wiped out since October 6th.

Bear markets arrive when markets least expect it.

What’s “insane” isn’t the drawdown — it’s how many people forgot this is the normal operating cycle of a hyper-liquid, leverage-heavy market.
Trillions didn’t vanish overnight; they were repriced.
Volatility isn’t a bug in crypto — it’s the cost of discovering what’s real, what’s hype, and who was just riding momentum.

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP

Analysis: BTC 1 week.

Bitcoin – Weekly Timeframe ✔️

Historically, every time Bitcoin experienced a heavy drop and the RSI dipped below 30, after a short consolidation phase, the market eventually shifted back into an uptrend.

Right now, we’re once again approaching that critical RSI zone, the same area that has marked long-term bottoms multiple times in the past.

Do we see the same cycle repeat once again… or is this time different?

What’s your take?

👍Yes, history repeats – bullish ahead
❤️ No, this time the cycle breaks.

$BTC