MihaiDaniel
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Focus on financial education , trader , Marketoshi Romania 🇷🇴 web3 founder ,twitter @mihaidanielweb3
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Crypto Total Market Cap excluding BTC, ETH and Top 10 (on TradingView it is CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3).
If the Cup & Handle pattern on Weekly and Monthly is confirmed and the target reaches $1.99 trillion, from ~$830 trillion now, we are talking about an increase of approximately 2.4x of the entire non-BTC/ETH/Top10 segment.
⸻
⚙️ Working hypothesis
Let's rely on the following simplified distribution of the capital that would enter:
• 90% to projects in the TOP 200
• 10% to projects outside the TOP 200 (low caps, shitcoins, etc)
⸻
🔍 What does it mean for the TOP 200?
1. Total estimated inflow to TOP 200:
• 90% of new $1.16 trillion = ~$1.044 trillion
• So, the capital in TOP 200 would increase from ~$830 trillion to $1.874 trillion
2. Average capitalization growth for TOP 200:
• (1.874B / 830B) = ~2.26x on average
⸻
📈 Realistic Xs for TOP 200 coins
On average, we could see a 2.2x – 2.5x growth from capital infusion alone, but we need to take into account:
⚡ Additional effects:
• Positive reflexivity: Growth attracts more attention and retail capital, so it amplifies.
• Low-liquidity tokens: Good projects with low circulating supply (e.g. AEVO, RAY, JOE, etc.) can grow 5–10x even if the market average is only 2.5x.
• Narrative-based pumps: If a sub-sector (AI, RWAs, L2s, memes, etc.) becomes “hot”, projects in it can generate 10–30x.
⸻
🔥 Examples of similar bull market behavior:
• In 2021, when TOTAL3 grew from 100B to 1,200B (12x), we saw:
• SOLANA – 20x
• MATIC – 40x
• AXS – 100x
• FTM, RUNE, SAND, GALA – all made between 10x and 100x
⸻
🧠 Conclusion
• If the Cup & Handle pattern is validated, and TOTAL3 reaches ~$1.99 trillion, it is reasonable to see 2–3x average growth for projects in the TOP 200.
• Speculative, undervalued or strong narrative projects can go 5x–20x+, even within the TOP 200.
• The distribution will be uneven: coins with hype, utility or “cult following” will capture disproportionately more capital.
If the Cup & Handle pattern on Weekly and Monthly is confirmed and the target reaches $1.99 trillion, from ~$830 trillion now, we are talking about an increase of approximately 2.4x of the entire non-BTC/ETH/Top10 segment.
⸻
⚙️ Working hypothesis
Let's rely on the following simplified distribution of the capital that would enter:
• 90% to projects in the TOP 200
• 10% to projects outside the TOP 200 (low caps, shitcoins, etc)
⸻
🔍 What does it mean for the TOP 200?
1. Total estimated inflow to TOP 200:
• 90% of new $1.16 trillion = ~$1.044 trillion
• So, the capital in TOP 200 would increase from ~$830 trillion to $1.874 trillion
2. Average capitalization growth for TOP 200:
• (1.874B / 830B) = ~2.26x on average
⸻
📈 Realistic Xs for TOP 200 coins
On average, we could see a 2.2x – 2.5x growth from capital infusion alone, but we need to take into account:
⚡ Additional effects:
• Positive reflexivity: Growth attracts more attention and retail capital, so it amplifies.
• Low-liquidity tokens: Good projects with low circulating supply (e.g. AEVO, RAY, JOE, etc.) can grow 5–10x even if the market average is only 2.5x.
• Narrative-based pumps: If a sub-sector (AI, RWAs, L2s, memes, etc.) becomes “hot”, projects in it can generate 10–30x.
⸻
🔥 Examples of similar bull market behavior:
• In 2021, when TOTAL3 grew from 100B to 1,200B (12x), we saw:
• SOLANA – 20x
• MATIC – 40x
• AXS – 100x
• FTM, RUNE, SAND, GALA – all made between 10x and 100x
⸻
🧠 Conclusion
• If the Cup & Handle pattern is validated, and TOTAL3 reaches ~$1.99 trillion, it is reasonable to see 2–3x average growth for projects in the TOP 200.
• Speculative, undervalued or strong narrative projects can go 5x–20x+, even within the TOP 200.
• The distribution will be uneven: coins with hype, utility or “cult following” will capture disproportionately more capital.
Bitcoin on July 1, 2025 – Macro Context and Differences from the Past
• Today, BTC is consolidating in the $106,500–$107,500 area, after a range-bound and low volatility start to the summer. The structure remains bullish on the weekly, but volumes have diminished, and retail sentiment is optimistic, institutional investors are cautious.
• If we look at July 1 in the last 5 years:
– In 2020, BTC was at ~$9,000, post-Covid recovery and before the major bull run.
– In 2021, BTC was seriously correcting to ~$34,000, after the ATH, but a strong bounce to $69,000 followed in November.
– In 2022, bear market below $20,000, after the Terra/3AC crash.
– In 2023, rally to $30,000, but followed by correction in the summer and bullrun resumption in the fall.
– In 2024, pre-halving optimism, over $63,000 and record inflows into spot ETFs.
• What’s different macro now:
– Bitcoin spot ETFs bring huge liquidity, regulate volatility and give institutional “weight” to the market.
– Interest rates and inflation are at levels never seen in a bull cycle; “cheap money” is gone, so every impulse also has macro brakes.
– Geopolitics is much more tense (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East), and Bitcoin is increasingly becoming a hedge against instability, not just a tech growth asset.
– Regulations are much clearer in Europe (MiCA) and somewhat more permissive in the US (via ETFs).
– Distribution is more mature: more holders, more smart money, less retail FOMO than in past cycles.
• Conclusion: We are in a new phase – Bitcoin has an intact cyclical pattern, but volatility is institutionally subdued, and the bull run may be more fragmented, not parabolic as in the past. The technical structure still favors a new top in the next 12 months, but patience and risk management matter more than ever.
• Today, BTC is consolidating in the $106,500–$107,500 area, after a range-bound and low volatility start to the summer. The structure remains bullish on the weekly, but volumes have diminished, and retail sentiment is optimistic, institutional investors are cautious.
• If we look at July 1 in the last 5 years:
– In 2020, BTC was at ~$9,000, post-Covid recovery and before the major bull run.
– In 2021, BTC was seriously correcting to ~$34,000, after the ATH, but a strong bounce to $69,000 followed in November.
– In 2022, bear market below $20,000, after the Terra/3AC crash.
– In 2023, rally to $30,000, but followed by correction in the summer and bullrun resumption in the fall.
– In 2024, pre-halving optimism, over $63,000 and record inflows into spot ETFs.
• What’s different macro now:
– Bitcoin spot ETFs bring huge liquidity, regulate volatility and give institutional “weight” to the market.
– Interest rates and inflation are at levels never seen in a bull cycle; “cheap money” is gone, so every impulse also has macro brakes.
– Geopolitics is much more tense (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East), and Bitcoin is increasingly becoming a hedge against instability, not just a tech growth asset.
– Regulations are much clearer in Europe (MiCA) and somewhat more permissive in the US (via ETFs).
– Distribution is more mature: more holders, more smart money, less retail FOMO than in past cycles.
• Conclusion: We are in a new phase – Bitcoin has an intact cyclical pattern, but volatility is institutionally subdued, and the bull run may be more fragmented, not parabolic as in the past. The technical structure still favors a new top in the next 12 months, but patience and risk management matter more than ever.
🚗💎 Web3 is not just DeFi. It’s real. It’s luxury. It’s happening now.
You don’t need to imagine what crypto-powered commerce looks like anymore.
We’re already listing:
• The cheapest Rolls-Royce Spectre in Europe – with just 2,000 km.
• An iconic Rolls-Royce Wraith.
• A McLaren 650S Spider that you can buy with BTC, ETH or USDC.
• A stunning Lamborghini Urus – ready for summer.
All real assets. All purchasable with crypto. All verified.
🔥 Powered by Binance Pay.
Curated for true believers of the Web3 era.
Want to know more?
👉 Just search “Marketoshi” – and see the future.
⸻
#LuxuryCars #Web3Assets #CryptoIsReal #Marketoshi #BinancePay #RollsRoyce #McLaren #Lamborghini #Spectre #Web3Luxury
You don’t need to imagine what crypto-powered commerce looks like anymore.
We’re already listing:
• The cheapest Rolls-Royce Spectre in Europe – with just 2,000 km.
• An iconic Rolls-Royce Wraith.
• A McLaren 650S Spider that you can buy with BTC, ETH or USDC.
• A stunning Lamborghini Urus – ready for summer.
All real assets. All purchasable with crypto. All verified.
🔥 Powered by Binance Pay.
Curated for true believers of the Web3 era.
Want to know more?
👉 Just search “Marketoshi” – and see the future.
⸻
#LuxuryCars #Web3Assets #CryptoIsReal #Marketoshi #BinancePay #RollsRoyce #McLaren #Lamborghini #Spectre #Web3Luxury
Good morning ☕️
Strictly on halving theory and history:
•The next 6–9 months should be the “best months for the BTC bull market,” with a high probability of new ATHs, possibly between 126,000–250,000 USD.
•After the top, a typical bear market follows (market declines)
•Ideal strategy: exit gradually during periods of extreme FOMO, don’t wait for a massive correction to come.
Strictly on halving theory and history:
•The next 6–9 months should be the “best months for the BTC bull market,” with a high probability of new ATHs, possibly between 126,000–250,000 USD.
•After the top, a typical bear market follows (market declines)
•Ideal strategy: exit gradually during periods of extreme FOMO, don’t wait for a massive correction to come.
Fiat is the past
Richard Teng
--
Touched down in Bhutan 🇧🇹
Zero fiat. Just me, my phone, and #BinancePay.
Let’s see how far crypto can really take you.
Zero fiat. Just me, my phone, and #BinancePay.
Let’s see how far crypto can really take you.
🔹 FED: Staying put, but the wind is blowing cold
The week was dominated by an apparently neutral decision from the Fed – interest rates remained unchanged at 4.25–4.50%, but Powell highlighted persistent risks from service inflation and Trump’s tariffs.
👉 Translation: interest rate cuts are not coming anytime soon. Markets will have to breathe on their own for a while.
⸻
🔹 INFLATION: Falling, but not enough
• Core CPI: still at +0.2% monthly – too much for the Fed to sleep soundly.
• Global inflation: UK and Europe more relaxed, China almost in deflation.
💡 Inflation is falling, but fiscal and political risk is rising. The result? A dangerous cocktail for risk assets.
⸻
🔹 S&P 500: Technology keeps markets alive
The index is moving sideways, between 5,300–5,400, with a fragile feeling.
⚠️ Rising wedge forming. If AI stops pumping, the correction could be abrupt.
📌 Watch out for next season’s earnings – it could change everything.
⸻
🔹 BITCOIN: 108k zone – between breakout and fakeout
Bitcoin has consolidated between 105,000 and 108,000 USD, but:
• RSI on daily weakens
• MACD loses momentum
• Volumes are decreasing
At the same time, we see accumulation in spot orders, and ETFs have no big outflows.
📍 Possible final push to 113,000 USD to liquidate shorts. But if it fails… 98,000 USD is in the cards quickly.
⸻
🔹 ETHEREUM: Playing defensively. But interesting.
ETH has returned to 2,427 USD and is reacting very well to the 2,375–2,400 support.
✅ Bull flag on 1D
✅ Positive divergence on MACD
📈 If BTC holds above 105k, ETH can be a "lead indicator" on the next climb to 2,600–2,700.
⸻
🔥 GEOPOLITICS: Fear comes from the East
Israel-Iran tensions are still simmering below the surface.
• Gold is reacting.
• Oil is holding high (~$76).
• BTC has sometimes become a "volatile hedge", but not consistently.
🎯 An open conflict could produce huge volatility spikes - up or down.
The week was dominated by an apparently neutral decision from the Fed – interest rates remained unchanged at 4.25–4.50%, but Powell highlighted persistent risks from service inflation and Trump’s tariffs.
👉 Translation: interest rate cuts are not coming anytime soon. Markets will have to breathe on their own for a while.
⸻
🔹 INFLATION: Falling, but not enough
• Core CPI: still at +0.2% monthly – too much for the Fed to sleep soundly.
• Global inflation: UK and Europe more relaxed, China almost in deflation.
💡 Inflation is falling, but fiscal and political risk is rising. The result? A dangerous cocktail for risk assets.
⸻
🔹 S&P 500: Technology keeps markets alive
The index is moving sideways, between 5,300–5,400, with a fragile feeling.
⚠️ Rising wedge forming. If AI stops pumping, the correction could be abrupt.
📌 Watch out for next season’s earnings – it could change everything.
⸻
🔹 BITCOIN: 108k zone – between breakout and fakeout
Bitcoin has consolidated between 105,000 and 108,000 USD, but:
• RSI on daily weakens
• MACD loses momentum
• Volumes are decreasing
At the same time, we see accumulation in spot orders, and ETFs have no big outflows.
📍 Possible final push to 113,000 USD to liquidate shorts. But if it fails… 98,000 USD is in the cards quickly.
⸻
🔹 ETHEREUM: Playing defensively. But interesting.
ETH has returned to 2,427 USD and is reacting very well to the 2,375–2,400 support.
✅ Bull flag on 1D
✅ Positive divergence on MACD
📈 If BTC holds above 105k, ETH can be a "lead indicator" on the next climb to 2,600–2,700.
⸻
🔥 GEOPOLITICS: Fear comes from the East
Israel-Iran tensions are still simmering below the surface.
• Gold is reacting.
• Oil is holding high (~$76).
• BTC has sometimes become a "volatile hedge", but not consistently.
🎯 An open conflict could produce huge volatility spikes - up or down.
🧵 BIG NEWS: Fiserv (the giant behind 10,000 banks) just launched its own stablecoin!
What does this mean for you? 🤔
A stablecoin = a digital currency that keeps the same value (like the dollar). Think of it as “digital cash”.
Why is it important?
• Your local bank can use digital currencies NOW
• Stores can accept crypto payments without hassle
• 1.6 BILLION accounts can have instant access
The difference from other cryptos:
❌ No new apps required
❌ No complicated learning
✅ Works in your regular bank’s app
The result: Crypto becomes as easy as Zelle or a regular bank transfer.
The competition is heating up: Mastercard, Worldpay, now Fiserv - all want to make crypto mainstream.
💡 For beginners: This is the moment when crypto is no longer “for experts” - it becomes for everyone.
#Crypto #Stablecoin #FinTech #Education
What does this mean for you? 🤔
A stablecoin = a digital currency that keeps the same value (like the dollar). Think of it as “digital cash”.
Why is it important?
• Your local bank can use digital currencies NOW
• Stores can accept crypto payments without hassle
• 1.6 BILLION accounts can have instant access
The difference from other cryptos:
❌ No new apps required
❌ No complicated learning
✅ Works in your regular bank’s app
The result: Crypto becomes as easy as Zelle or a regular bank transfer.
The competition is heating up: Mastercard, Worldpay, now Fiserv - all want to make crypto mainstream.
💡 For beginners: This is the moment when crypto is no longer “for experts” - it becomes for everyone.
#Crypto #Stablecoin #FinTech #Education
There are several factors that have contributed to the rise in the price of Bitcoin (and the crypto market in general) in recent days, including today:
* Easing geopolitical tensions: A ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, announced on June 24, has reduced fears of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. This has increased investors’ risk appetite, causing them to move their capital back into riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies.
* Continued inflows into Bitcoin Spot ETFs: US-based Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen significant capital inflows recently. This increased demand for regulated exposure to Bitcoin is boosting investor confidence in the market. On June 27, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $501 million.
* Short Liquidation: A large amount of short positions (bets on the price falling) were liquidated, which led to a "short squeeze" and amplified the rise in Bitcoin's price.
* Positive performance of traditional markets: The record rise in the S&P 500 index fueled optimism for Bitcoin, suggesting a growing correlation between the two markets.
Technically, Bitcoin has shown strong resistance and signs of a continuation of the upward trend, with analysts anticipating new all-time highs. A reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve in September is also expected, which could further stimulate the crypto market.
In short, a combination of favorable macroeconomic factors, strong inflows from institutional investors and optimal technical indicators have contributed to pumping up the price of Bitcoin.
* Easing geopolitical tensions: A ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, announced on June 24, has reduced fears of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. This has increased investors’ risk appetite, causing them to move their capital back into riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies.
* Continued inflows into Bitcoin Spot ETFs: US-based Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen significant capital inflows recently. This increased demand for regulated exposure to Bitcoin is boosting investor confidence in the market. On June 27, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $501 million.
* Short Liquidation: A large amount of short positions (bets on the price falling) were liquidated, which led to a "short squeeze" and amplified the rise in Bitcoin's price.
* Positive performance of traditional markets: The record rise in the S&P 500 index fueled optimism for Bitcoin, suggesting a growing correlation between the two markets.
Technically, Bitcoin has shown strong resistance and signs of a continuation of the upward trend, with analysts anticipating new all-time highs. A reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve in September is also expected, which could further stimulate the crypto market.
In short, a combination of favorable macroeconomic factors, strong inflows from institutional investors and optimal technical indicators have contributed to pumping up the price of Bitcoin.
The war is on and Bitcoin testing the crucial 100k support, before Monday markets could be very volatile and vulnerable! Be careful on altcoins! The deep is not deep enough yet !
Artificial intelligence, if you haven't already started learning about it, is like the beginnings of blockchain & crypto, you'll miss the train! We are already at the stage where AI is far too smart for the average person, very soon the technology will be much more advanced and I believe we will enter the era where human evolution will be entirely dominated by this artificial intelligence!
Bitcoin has a key support area of $103,000, if that support breaks technically we can return to $97,000, a 13% correction would mean and would be a trivial correction after a significant increase.
Although there are short-term caution signals, the long-term structure remains solid
Although there are short-term caution signals, the long-term structure remains solid
The Bitcoin effect is undeniable, Norwegian Block Exchange announced that they will store Bitcoin in their treasury, what happened to the company's NBX stock shortly after the announcement? Pump of 138%.
Good morning!
Analyzing the BTC/USDT chart on the 4-hour and 1-day time frames, a bear flag pattern is forming, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend. On the 4-hour chart, after a sharp decline, the price entered a consolidation phase in an ascending channel, typical of this type of pattern. Confirmation of this pattern could lead to a test of the support level around $98,000. 
On the daily chart, the overall structure remains bullish, with the price holding above key moving averages (20D, 50D, 200D). However, a close below the $104,000 support level could signal a change in market sentiment in the short term.
In conclusion, while there are cautionary signals in the short term, the long-term structure of the Bitcoin market remains solid, supported by fundamental and technical factors.
Analyzing the BTC/USDT chart on the 4-hour and 1-day time frames, a bear flag pattern is forming, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend. On the 4-hour chart, after a sharp decline, the price entered a consolidation phase in an ascending channel, typical of this type of pattern. Confirmation of this pattern could lead to a test of the support level around $98,000. 
On the daily chart, the overall structure remains bullish, with the price holding above key moving averages (20D, 50D, 200D). However, a close below the $104,000 support level could signal a change in market sentiment in the short term.
In conclusion, while there are cautionary signals in the short term, the long-term structure of the Bitcoin market remains solid, supported by fundamental and technical factors.
Market analysis points to Bitcoin price consolidation around $104,000–105,000, after a pullback from the all-time high of over $111,000 reached in May. This move is attributed to a combination of factors, including former President Trump’s recent statements on trade tariffs and a slight reduction in inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.
Technically, Bitcoin is facing resistance in the $105,000–106,000 area, and a daily close above this level could pave the way to $108,000. Otherwise, a rejection could lead to a decline towards the psychological support of $100,000.
Regarding the medium-term outlook, analysts remain bullish, anticipating a possible rise in Bitcoin price towards $120,000, supported by continued accumulation from institutional investors and large wallets.
Technically, Bitcoin is facing resistance in the $105,000–106,000 area, and a daily close above this level could pave the way to $108,000. Otherwise, a rejection could lead to a decline towards the psychological support of $100,000.
Regarding the medium-term outlook, analysts remain bullish, anticipating a possible rise in Bitcoin price towards $120,000, supported by continued accumulation from institutional investors and large wallets.
🧭 Technical Summary: BTC/USDT
Based on the TradingView 4h, 1d, 3d and 1w chart, Bitcoin is trading around $109,689, after reaching an all-time high of $112,000 on May 21.
🔹 4h & 1d
On the 4h chart, a consolidation is observed between $107,000 and $110,000, indicating a possible accumulation before a significant move.
On the 1d chart, the upward trend is maintained, with important supports at $107,000 and $105,000.
🔹 3d & 1w
On the 3d chart, a continuation of the upward trend is highlighted, with a possible target at $115,000, according to Polymarket predictions.
On the 1w chart, resistance levels are between $109,588 and $110,000, according to Fibonacci extensions.DL NewsMedium
🔥 Liquidation Map – CoinGlass
According to the liquidation map on CoinGlass, there are significant liquidation levels around $105,000 and $110,000. These levels can act as support and resistance areas, influencing market volatility.
🔍 On-Chain Data – Arkham
On Arkham Intelligence, there is increased whale activity, with significant transfers to exchanges, indicating possible selling pressure. There is also an increase in active addresses, suggesting increased investor interest.
📰 Relevant News
Pakistan has allocated 2,000 MW for data centers and Bitcoin mining, highlighting growing institutional adoption.
Texas has approved the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, solidifying the cryptocurrency’s position as a state asset.
JPMorgan now allows clients to purchase Bitcoin, marking a significant shift in traditional financial institutions’ stance on cryptocurrencies.
📈 Conclusion
The Bitcoin market is showing positive sentiment, supported by technical and fundamental factors. However, it is essential to monitor liquidation levels and on-chain activity to anticipate possible corrections or trend continuations.
Based on the TradingView 4h, 1d, 3d and 1w chart, Bitcoin is trading around $109,689, after reaching an all-time high of $112,000 on May 21.
🔹 4h & 1d
On the 4h chart, a consolidation is observed between $107,000 and $110,000, indicating a possible accumulation before a significant move.
On the 1d chart, the upward trend is maintained, with important supports at $107,000 and $105,000.
🔹 3d & 1w
On the 3d chart, a continuation of the upward trend is highlighted, with a possible target at $115,000, according to Polymarket predictions.
On the 1w chart, resistance levels are between $109,588 and $110,000, according to Fibonacci extensions.DL NewsMedium
🔥 Liquidation Map – CoinGlass
According to the liquidation map on CoinGlass, there are significant liquidation levels around $105,000 and $110,000. These levels can act as support and resistance areas, influencing market volatility.
🔍 On-Chain Data – Arkham
On Arkham Intelligence, there is increased whale activity, with significant transfers to exchanges, indicating possible selling pressure. There is also an increase in active addresses, suggesting increased investor interest.
📰 Relevant News
Pakistan has allocated 2,000 MW for data centers and Bitcoin mining, highlighting growing institutional adoption.
Texas has approved the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, solidifying the cryptocurrency’s position as a state asset.
JPMorgan now allows clients to purchase Bitcoin, marking a significant shift in traditional financial institutions’ stance on cryptocurrencies.
📈 Conclusion
The Bitcoin market is showing positive sentiment, supported by technical and fundamental factors. However, it is essential to monitor liquidation levels and on-chain activity to anticipate possible corrections or trend continuations.
📷
Over the past 30 hours, Bitcoin (BTC) has seen significant volatility, driven by technical and macroeconomic factors. As of May 21, 2025, at 16:55 (Romania time), the price of BTC is hovering around $107,038, marking an increase of approximately 2.5% compared to the previous day.
📈 Recent BTC Price Evolution
May 20, 2025: BTC reached a high of $107,270, followed by a correction to $104,199.
May 21, 2025: The price fluctuated between $106,136 and $107,855, indicating increased volatility. (StatMuse)
This rapid upward movement followed by a sharp correction suggests a possible "fake breakout" or temporary market manipulation.
📰 Macroeconomic Factors and Relevant News
Moody's Downgrades US Credit Rating: On May 17, Moody's downgraded the US credit rating, which created uncertainty in financial markets and influenced BTC volatility.
Crypto Legislation in the US Congress: On May 19, the US Senate discussed the GENIUS Act bill, aimed at regulating stablecoins. This potential regulation has sparked mixed reactions among investors.
Optimistic Forecasts: Analyst Kevin Svenson predicted that BTC could reach $115,000, but stressed that maintaining this trend depends on the performance of the stock market. (The Daily Hodl)
🔍 Technical Analysis and Data from Coinglass
Open Interest: Data from Coinglass shows a record open interest of $74.24 billion, indicating intense activity in the derivatives market.
Liquidation Heatmap: The liquidation heatmap shows areas of risk around $107,800, with estimated exposures of over $83.83 million, suggesting potential selling pressure in the event of a correction.
🧭 Conclusion
BTC’s recent movements reflect a market sensitive to macroeconomic factors and news events. It is essential for traders to closely monitor key support and resistance levels and exercise caution during periods of heightened volatility. (YCharts)
Over the past 30 hours, Bitcoin (BTC) has seen significant volatility, driven by technical and macroeconomic factors. As of May 21, 2025, at 16:55 (Romania time), the price of BTC is hovering around $107,038, marking an increase of approximately 2.5% compared to the previous day.
📈 Recent BTC Price Evolution
May 20, 2025: BTC reached a high of $107,270, followed by a correction to $104,199.
May 21, 2025: The price fluctuated between $106,136 and $107,855, indicating increased volatility. (StatMuse)
This rapid upward movement followed by a sharp correction suggests a possible "fake breakout" or temporary market manipulation.
📰 Macroeconomic Factors and Relevant News
Moody's Downgrades US Credit Rating: On May 17, Moody's downgraded the US credit rating, which created uncertainty in financial markets and influenced BTC volatility.
Crypto Legislation in the US Congress: On May 19, the US Senate discussed the GENIUS Act bill, aimed at regulating stablecoins. This potential regulation has sparked mixed reactions among investors.
Optimistic Forecasts: Analyst Kevin Svenson predicted that BTC could reach $115,000, but stressed that maintaining this trend depends on the performance of the stock market. (The Daily Hodl)
🔍 Technical Analysis and Data from Coinglass
Open Interest: Data from Coinglass shows a record open interest of $74.24 billion, indicating intense activity in the derivatives market.
Liquidation Heatmap: The liquidation heatmap shows areas of risk around $107,800, with estimated exposures of over $83.83 million, suggesting potential selling pressure in the event of a correction.
🧭 Conclusion
BTC’s recent movements reflect a market sensitive to macroeconomic factors and news events. It is essential for traders to closely monitor key support and resistance levels and exercise caution during periods of heightened volatility. (YCharts)
📉 Bitcoin Price Evolution (May 18–19, 2025)
•May 18, 6:00 AM (Romania time): Bitcoin was trading around $103,000.
•May 18, 6:00 PM: The price reached a high of $106,540, marking an increase of about 3.4% in a short period.
•May 19, 8:00 AM: Bitcoin returned to the level of $102,992, indicating a decrease of about 3.3% from the previous high.
This rapid upward movement followed by a sharp correction suggests a possible “fake breakout” or temporary market manipulation.
⸻
📰 Relevant News and Events
1. JPMorgan’s bullish forecast
On May 18, JPMorgan issued a bullish forecast, estimating that Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by the end of 2025, citing factors such as institutional adoption and reduced selling pressure from miners.
2. Market manipulation through fake posts
A notable incident occurred when a hacker took control of the official SEC X account (formerly Twitter) and falsely posted that Bitcoin ETFs had been approved. This post led to a temporary increase in the price of Bitcoin by $1,000, followed by a drop of $2,000 after the information was debunked.
3. “Sunday Scam Pump” reported by Crypto Rover
On May 18, Crypto Rover warned of a possible “Sunday Scam Pump,” indicating an artificial increase in the price of Bitcoin, followed by a rapid correction. This move has been attributed to coordinated groups attempting to manipulate the market for short-term gains.
⸻
🔍 Technical Analysis
•RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator reached high values during the rally, suggesting an overbought condition, followed by a rapid decline.
•MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Signaled a bullish trend during the rally, but began to reverse with the price correction.
•Trading Volume: Volume increased significantly during the rally, but quickly decreased after the correction, indicating a possible lack of support for the upward move.
⸻
🧭 Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price movement over the past 30 hours appears to have been influenced by a combination of bullish news and market manipulation.
•May 18, 6:00 AM (Romania time): Bitcoin was trading around $103,000.
•May 18, 6:00 PM: The price reached a high of $106,540, marking an increase of about 3.4% in a short period.
•May 19, 8:00 AM: Bitcoin returned to the level of $102,992, indicating a decrease of about 3.3% from the previous high.
This rapid upward movement followed by a sharp correction suggests a possible “fake breakout” or temporary market manipulation.
⸻
📰 Relevant News and Events
1. JPMorgan’s bullish forecast
On May 18, JPMorgan issued a bullish forecast, estimating that Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by the end of 2025, citing factors such as institutional adoption and reduced selling pressure from miners.
2. Market manipulation through fake posts
A notable incident occurred when a hacker took control of the official SEC X account (formerly Twitter) and falsely posted that Bitcoin ETFs had been approved. This post led to a temporary increase in the price of Bitcoin by $1,000, followed by a drop of $2,000 after the information was debunked.
3. “Sunday Scam Pump” reported by Crypto Rover
On May 18, Crypto Rover warned of a possible “Sunday Scam Pump,” indicating an artificial increase in the price of Bitcoin, followed by a rapid correction. This move has been attributed to coordinated groups attempting to manipulate the market for short-term gains.
⸻
🔍 Technical Analysis
•RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator reached high values during the rally, suggesting an overbought condition, followed by a rapid decline.
•MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Signaled a bullish trend during the rally, but began to reverse with the price correction.
•Trading Volume: Volume increased significantly during the rally, but quickly decreased after the correction, indicating a possible lack of support for the upward move.
⸻
🧭 Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price movement over the past 30 hours appears to have been influenced by a combination of bullish news and market manipulation.
Bitcoin on the verge of a new impulse? Technical analysis for the end of the week
Bitcoin is in a delicate balance at the end of this week, trading in the area of 103,000 - 105,000 USD, after a period of consolidation. The chart on large timeframes (1D, 3D and 1W) suggests that the market still maintains a bullish structure, but the final decision will depend on the price behavior in front of important resistances.
Three positive technical signals:
1. The price is holding above the MA50 and MA200 - a clear indication that the uptrend is still active.
2. The RSI is neutral (not overbought) - which leaves room for a potential continuation of the trend.
3. The MACD recently issued a bullish signal, supporting the prospect of a breakout.
Key Areas to Watch:
•Strong Support: $100,000
•Critical Resistance: $105,000
•Potential Target: $110,000 if momentum is confirmed with volume
The macro context remains Bullish – with increasing institutional interest and a bullish long-term outlook. However, some analysts are warning that a clear rejection from $110,000 could signal the formation of a “double top”, similar to the one in 2021.
⸻
Conclusion
Bitcoin seems to be preparing for a new wave of growth, but confirmation will only come from a clear break above $105,000 with strong volume. Otherwise, a prolonged consolidation or a minor correction remain possible scenarios. Until then, we remain in strategic reaccumulation territory.
Bitcoin is in a delicate balance at the end of this week, trading in the area of 103,000 - 105,000 USD, after a period of consolidation. The chart on large timeframes (1D, 3D and 1W) suggests that the market still maintains a bullish structure, but the final decision will depend on the price behavior in front of important resistances.
Three positive technical signals:
1. The price is holding above the MA50 and MA200 - a clear indication that the uptrend is still active.
2. The RSI is neutral (not overbought) - which leaves room for a potential continuation of the trend.
3. The MACD recently issued a bullish signal, supporting the prospect of a breakout.
Key Areas to Watch:
•Strong Support: $100,000
•Critical Resistance: $105,000
•Potential Target: $110,000 if momentum is confirmed with volume
The macro context remains Bullish – with increasing institutional interest and a bullish long-term outlook. However, some analysts are warning that a clear rejection from $110,000 could signal the formation of a “double top”, similar to the one in 2021.
⸻
Conclusion
Bitcoin seems to be preparing for a new wave of growth, but confirmation will only come from a clear break above $105,000 with strong volume. Otherwise, a prolonged consolidation or a minor correction remain possible scenarios. Until then, we remain in strategic reaccumulation territory.
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Bitcoin has passed the first corrective test, which is a good thing, now it can probably follow a new wave towards 105,000.$ if it breaks through this area (where there is strong resistance) we could see 109,000.$ soon.
As long as we don't drop aggressively towards 100,000.$ we are safe.
As long as we don't drop aggressively towards 100,000.$ we are safe.
Hello!
The crypto market can offer exciting growth opportunities, but it is also important to be realistic. When you see a significant return on your investments, consider taking some of the profit.
Why is this important?
* Protect your gains: Markets can be unpredictable, and a profit today could diminish tomorrow.
* Reduce risk: By withdrawing some of your profit, you recover all or part of your initial investment, reducing your exposure to losses.
* Provide flexibility: Having capital available, you can take advantage of other opportunities that may arise.
You don’t have to sell everything! But set realistic goals and don’t get carried away by FOMO (fear of missing out). A profit taken is a sure profit.
Invest smartly and prudently!
The crypto market can offer exciting growth opportunities, but it is also important to be realistic. When you see a significant return on your investments, consider taking some of the profit.
Why is this important?
* Protect your gains: Markets can be unpredictable, and a profit today could diminish tomorrow.
* Reduce risk: By withdrawing some of your profit, you recover all or part of your initial investment, reducing your exposure to losses.
* Provide flexibility: Having capital available, you can take advantage of other opportunities that may arise.
You don’t have to sell everything! But set realistic goals and don’t get carried away by FOMO (fear of missing out). A profit taken is a sure profit.
Invest smartly and prudently!
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