Luise Rabey JZ

According to the latest search results, the price of Bitcoin has indeed experienced significant increases recently. For example, reports indicate that the price of Bitcoin has surpassed the 100,000 USD mark, and analysts predict that by 2025, the price of Bitcoin may reach a cyclical high of 200,000 USD. Moreover, some forecasts even suggest that Bitcoin is expected to soar to 500,000 USD.

However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can change rapidly. The price of Bitcoin reaching 100,000 USD is a significant milestone, but whether it can sustain an upward trend or reach higher price points depends on various factors, including market sentiment, regulatory policies, technological developments, and more. Investors should fully understand market risks when considering investing in Bitcoin and make decisions based on their risk tolerance.

As for whether the price of Bitcoin can reach 100,000 USD, it depends on various factors, including market demand, investor confidence, macroeconomic conditions, and more. Although there are positive predictions, the uncertainty of market prices means that the actual price may differ. Investors should closely monitor market dynamics and consider their individual investment strategies and risk preferences.

#2024withBinance
[2024 回顾](https://www.binance.com/year-in-review/2024-with-binance)

#加密市场调整

Based on market data and technical analysis, considering the market fluctuation around Christmas and after the launch pool, we believe that $BNB is a suitable shorting point around $726, while around $701 is an ideal take-profit point.

Technical Analysis:


• Price Trend: BNB's price has shown some volatility recently, but the overall trend is upward. According to the latest market data, BNB's highest price in the last 24 hours was $718.16, the lowest was $690.18, and the current price is $693.6.

• Moving Average (MA): When the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA, it is generally seen as a buy signal. Currently, BNB's 50-day SMA is $604.17, and the 200-day SMA is $573.48, indicating that BNB's price is above the long-term average in the short term, but caution is warranted for a possible price correction.

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): BNB's 14-day RSI is 62.27, suggesting that market sentiment leans bullish, but it has not yet reached an overbought condition; an RSI value above 70 indicates overbought.

• Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are constructed using the standard deviation of price to determine the price volatility range. Currently, BNB's price is above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands; if the price breaks through the upper or lower band, it may indicate a price reversal.

Trading Strategy:

• Shorting Point: Considering BNB's current price and technical analysis, around $726 is a suitable shorting point. This price is close to BNB's highest price in the last 24 hours; if the price encounters resistance and falls back, it would be a good time to short.

• Take-Profit Point: Around $701 is an ideal take-profit point. This price is close to BNB's lowest price in the last 24 hours; if the price drops to this level, one may consider closing the position to take profit and lock in gains.

• Risk Management: It is very important to set stop-loss and take-profit points when trading. It is recommended to set reasonable stop-loss points based on individual risk tolerance to minimize potential losses.

Market Sentiment: According to the latest market sentiment analysis, BNB's sentiment index is 81, indicating that the market is in a state of extreme greed. In this situation, investors should remain cautious and avoid making impulsive trading decisions due to an overheated market.

#加密ETF申请热潮涌现
Cryptocurrency ETFs have gradually become a hot topic of discussion among investors and financial experts in recent years. As the leader of cryptocurrencies, BTC (Bitcoin) is undoubtedly the most attention-grabbing protagonist in this trend.

Cryptocurrency ETFs provide a convenient way for investors to invest in cryptocurrencies through traditional financial markets without the need to directly hold and store digital assets. The emergence of this investment tool marks a further integration of the cryptocurrency market into the mainstream financial system. With more and more institutional investors seeking to enter this field, the number of applications and approvals for cryptocurrency ETFs has surged.

As the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, BTC occupies a central position in the applications for cryptocurrency ETFs. Many ETF products focus on BTC as the main investment object, not only because of its market position but also due to its relatively stable price and wide acceptance. BTC's leadership makes it a key indicator in the cryptocurrency ETF boom.

The rise of cryptocurrency ETFs has profound implications for the market. First, it provides investors with more investment choices and risk management tools. Second, as more funds flow into the market, the liquidity and price stability of cryptocurrencies may improve. Finally, the popularity of cryptocurrency ETFs could drive regulatory bodies to further regulate the cryptocurrency market.

For investors, this is an era full of opportunities. By investing in cryptocurrency ETFs, they can share in the growth dividends of the cryptocurrency market while reducing the risks of directly investing in cryptocurrencies.

As technology continues to advance and the regulatory environment becomes clearer, we have reason to believe that cryptocurrency ETFs will become an important part of future investments. BTC and other cryptocurrency ETF products will continue to attract more investors, driving the market towards more mature development.

#加密市场调整
#2025加密趋势预测
Galaxy Research's prediction for the cryptocurrency market in 2025 covers multiple areas, and here are the main predictions:

•
$BTC Price Prediction:

• Expected to break $150,000 in the first half of 2025.

• May reach or exceed $185,000 in the fourth quarter.

• $ETH Price Prediction:

• Benefiting from regulatory easing in the DeFi and staking sectors, Ethereum is expected to surpass $5,500 in 2025.

• Ethereum Staking Ratio:

• It is expected that by the end of 2025, Ethereum's staking ratio will exceed 50%.

• Bitcoin Allocation Recommendation:

• At least one top wealth management platform will announce a portfolio recommendation for a Bitcoin allocation of 2% or higher, further driving inflows into Bitcoin ETPs.

• DeFi Application Value Distribution:

• DeFi applications are expected to begin distributing at least $1 billion in value to users and token holders.

• Cryptocurrency Industry Venture Capital:

• In 2025, venture capital in the cryptocurrency industry will exceed $150 billion, a year-on-year growth of over 50%.

• Stablecoin Supply:

• It is expected that by 2025, the supply of stablecoins will double, and more stablecoin projects supported by traditional financial (TradFi) partners will be launched.

#2025加密趋势预测
As 2025 approaches, the development of cryptocurrency and blockchain technology will continue to shape the future of fintech. Here are some predictions for cryptocurrency trends in 2025:

• Maturation of the regulatory environment: By 2025, it is expected that the regulation of cryptocurrencies will be clearer and more mature worldwide. This will provide more stability and confidence for investors and businesses.

• Increase in institutional investors: As regulation becomes clearer, more institutional investors may enter the cryptocurrency market, which will bring greater capital inflows and market maturity.

• Expansion of decentralized finance (DeFi): DeFi platforms will continue to grow, providing more financial services such as lending, trading, and insurance, which will be more decentralized and transparent.

• Progress in cross-chain technology: Cross-chain technology will allow the exchange of assets and information between different blockchain networks, which will promote the interconnection and interoperability of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

• Enhanced privacy protection: As awareness of privacy protection increases, there may be more cryptocurrency projects focusing on providing higher transaction privacy and security.

• Convergence of NFTs and the Metaverse: The combination of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and the Metaverse could lead to new business models and creative expressions.

• Popularization of cryptocurrency payments: As technology advances and user acceptance increases, cryptocurrency may become a more common payment method.

• Innovation in smart contracts: Smart contracts will become more complex and versatile, providing automated solutions for a variety of industries.

These predictions are based on current market trends and technological innovations, but the cryptocurrency market is known for its unpredictability, so actual results may vary.

#2025加密趋势预测
#“圣诞老人行情”再现
#比特币市场波动观察

• $BTC historically performed well during bull market festive periods, but the performance in December 2024 broke this trend.

• Technical Analysis Indicators:

• Golden Cross and Death Cross: A golden cross (the 30-day moving average crosses above the 100-day moving average) is typically seen as a buy signal, while a death cross (the 30-day moving average crosses below the 100-day moving average) is a sell signal. After the golden cross appeared in July 2020, the price surged significantly; another golden cross occurred at the beginning of 2023, indicating a new round of upward trend.

• Trend Confirmation: During a bull market, the price line is above the 30-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average is above the 100-day moving average; during a bear market, the price line is below the 30-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average is below the 100-day moving average. In the second half of 2023, the price line broke through and remained above both moving averages, confirming the upward trend.

• Market Sentiment and Derivatives Data:

• Bitcoin derivatives data remains neutral to bullish, indicating that significant price fluctuations have not substantially affected market sentiment. This market positioning supports the possibility of Bitcoin breaking through $105,000.

• The trading price of Bitcoin futures monthly contracts is 12% higher than the conventional spot market, indicating strong demand for leveraged long (buy) positions.

• Price Prediction:

• Based on Bitcoin's historical patterns, its price peaks and troughs typically occur every four years, providing a basis for predicting future prices using logarithmic regression.

• By mid-2025, Bitcoin may reach between $102,000 and $140,000.

• The cup-and-handle chart pattern and Fibonacci extension provide additional bullish price targets in the range of $100,000 to $105,000.

In summary, after experiencing a correction from historical highs, market sentiment for Bitcoin remains neutral to bullish, and technical indicators and market positioning support the possibility of Bitcoin further rising to $105,000 or even higher prices.

#市场反弹迹象
Exploring Signs of Market Rebound

After a period of adjustment, Bitcoin's price showed some signs of rebound last night. According to the latest market data, the Bitcoin volatility index (BitVol) has decreased, which may indicate that the market's expected volatility is diminishing and investor sentiment is gradually stabilizing. However, this does not mean that the market will be completely calm. Bitcoin's price is still influenced by various factors including global economic conditions, market supply and demand, and investor sentiment.

Investor Response Strategies

Taking btcfdusd as an example, the price encounters resistance around 98,000 at the 52-day line; one can buy in parts, buying low for double returns, and simultaneously open a small short position here for hedging, while setting a take-profit point. Once the take-profit is reached, go long.

In the face of market fluctuations, when signs of a market rebound begin to appear, investors should pay more attention to fundamental analysis and assess Bitcoin's long-term value. At the same time, formulate a reasonable investment plan, and do not blindly follow the trend due to short-term market fluctuations. Diversifying investments, setting stop-loss points, and regularly assessing the investment portfolio are all effective strategies to cope with market volatility.

#加密市场反弹
#本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？
Yesterday's news was striking, MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, has once again increased its holdings by $BTC . This time they purchased 5,262 bitcoins for $561 million, with an average price of $106,662 per bitcoin. From the price trends, this transaction may have been negotiated early last week. Although based on current prices, this investment seems to be at a loss, it is not a significant amount for MicroStrategy (MSTR).

As of now, MicroStrategy has a total of 444,262 bitcoins, with a total expenditure reaching $27.7 billion, and the average cost per bitcoin is $62,257. This move once again demonstrates MicroStrategy's long-term optimism and commitment to investing in bitcoin.

#加密市场盘整
According to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time December 23)

Total net outflow of spot ETFs was 227 million USD. The spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow yesterday was BlackRock ETF IBIT, with a single-day net inflow of 31.6575 million USD, and the total historical net inflow of IBIT currently stands at 3.7361 billion USD.

Total net inflow of spot ETFs was 131 million USD. The spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow yesterday was BlackRock ETF ETHA, with a single-day net inflow of 89.5129 million USD, and the total historical net inflow of ETHA currently stands at 3.432 billion USD.

#币安Alpha公布第5批项目
#币安LaunchpoolBIO
#比特币市场波动观察
#圣诞行情分析
Christmas Strategy:
Bitcoin price preliminarily broke below 95195.00 USD at $BTC and is attempting to stabilize below this level, opening the path towards the next correction target of 90750.00 USD. The negative trend expectation remains valid for the foreseeable future, provided that the price stabilizes below 95195.00 USD and 96555.00 USD.


Strategy Analysis:

Based on the trend of BNBBTC combined with Binance's Launchpool activities, the following strategies can be formulated:

1. Activity-driven short-term rally opportunities:
• Binance's Launchpool typically attracts the market's short-term attention, causing a certain degree of rally at $BNB during the first half of the event.
• The current price increase of BNBBTC may be due to increased demand triggered by the event, but such rallies are often short-lived.

2. Trend reversal opportunities in the middle to later stages of the event:
• When the event reaches halfway (about 3 days later), the rally effect of BNB may gradually fade. Combined with the potential rebound trend of BTC, this moment can be used to position short on BNBBTC.
• Reasons:
• BTC's rebound potential: Continuous trading of Bitcoin below 95195.00 USD opens up space for further correction, but if the decline slows, it may trigger a short-term rebound.
• BNB's return effect: As the enthusiasm for the event diminishes, demand for BNB weakens, and prices may fall back.
3. Strategy implementation:
1. Purchase subscription after the LAUNCHPOOL event using USDT to buy BNB dual currency products
2. Purchase subscription before the event using BNB to sell high USDT or BTC dual currency products
3. Implement certain contract hedging

Risk Warning:

• Volatility before the end of the event: Due to Launchpool still being in progress, BNB's volatility may be high, it is recommended to closely monitor market sentiment and trading volume.
• Uncertainty of BTC: If Bitcoin fails to stabilize below 95195.00 USD, the intensity of the rebound may exceed expectations.
• Short-term counter-trend risk: Short-term trading should be cautious, with strict stop-loss strategies implemented.

Through this 'dual insurance' strategy, more robust returns can be achieved under the dual trends of BTC rebound and BNB enthusiasm waning.

#比特币市场波动观
Volatility Index Declines, Market Sentiment Stabilizes

$BTC, as the leader of the cryptocurrency market, has always been the focus of investors' attention due to its price fluctuations. Today, the Bitcoin market is showing new dynamics, with the decline of the Volatility Index (BitVol) attracting widespread attention from market participants.

Changes in the Volatility Index

The latest data shows that the Bitcoin Volatility Index (BitVol) has fallen to 57.48, with a daily decline of 0.33%. This index is an important indicator of the expected implied volatility of Bitcoin options over the next 30 days, and its downward trend indicates that the market's expectations for future Bitcoin volatility are decreasing. This may signal that the price of Bitcoin will enter a relatively stable period, providing investors with a smoother investment environment.

Market Sentiment and Price Trends

Although the decline in the Volatility Index suggests a decrease in market expectations for volatility, today's Bitcoin price fluctuates between 93,000 and 96,000, seemingly waiting for a market direction choice opportunity after the liquidity depletion around Christmas.

Investors' Response Strategies

For investors, the decline in the Volatility Index may indicate a decrease in market volatility in the short term, but this does not mean that vigilance can be relaxed. The cryptocurrency market is known for its high volatility; therefore, it is recommended that investors remain cautious, continue to pay attention to market dynamics, and formulate flexible investment strategies to cope with potential price fluctuations.


Pivot Point: 95195.00
Market Outlook: If the price continues to close below 95195.00, the next target is 90750.00 and 87055.00.
Alternative Scenario: If the price breaks above 95195.00, the next target is 99200.00 and 100800.00.
Support and Resistance Levels:
• Resistance Levels: 99200.00, 100800.00
• Support Levels: 90750.00, 87055.00

Two Day Report:

#BTC
#加密市场盘整
#市场调整後的机会？
#比特币市场波动观察

Bitcoin ($BTC ):


Pivot Point: 95195.00

Market Outlook: If the price remains below 95195.00, the next targets are 90750.00 and 87055.00.

Alternative Scenario: If the price breaks above 95195.00, the next targets are 99200.00 and 100800.00.

Support and Resistance Levels:

• Resistance Levels: 99200.00, 100800.00

• Support Levels: 90750.00, 87055.00

Cryptocurrency News

According to The Washington Post, since October, the American conservative think tank National Center for Public Policy Research (NCPPR) has submitted shareholder proposals to Microsoft and Amazon, urging them to consider investing in Bitcoin, believing this would protect these companies and their investors from inflation.

The organization stated that more Bitcoin proposals are in the works and also believes that promoting the adoption of Bitcoin aligns with its agenda of “supporting freedom,” as cryptocurrencies are largely free from government control. Microsoft shareholders have voted against the Bitcoin investment proposal, while it remains unknown whether Amazon will adopt this strategy.

#BTC走势
$BTC
Trend Analysis

In the recent cryptocurrency market, the price fluctuations of Bitcoin (BTC) have attracted widespread attention from investors. According to the latest market data, BTC's recent low was around $92,300, while today's low is around $95,200. This volatility provides investors with an opportunity to reassess market trends and formulate investment strategies.

Technical Analysis

From a technical analysis perspective, BTC's price found support near $92,300, likely due to strong buying interest around that price level. However, today's low of $95,200 indicates that market sentiment remains unstable. It is expected that BTC's short-term low may hover around the moving average at $92,600. If the price can stabilize above this moving average, it may attract more buying interest, thereby pushing the price further up. Conversely, if the price falls below this moving average, it may trigger more selling pressure, leading to further price declines.

Market Sentiment and External Factors

In addition to technical analysis, market sentiment and external factors also have a significant impact on BTC's price movements. For example, macroeconomic data, changes in regulatory policies, and market acceptance of cryptocurrencies may all influence investor confidence and trading behavior.

Conclusion

In summary, close attention should be paid to the moving average at $92,600 as a key reference point for short-term trends. Additionally, considering the uncertainty of market sentiment and external factors, investors should remain cautious when making investment decisions and consider risk management strategies.

#比特币市场波动观察
#圣诞行情预测
Recent market fluctuations have been frequent. To optimize capital utilization and seize low-position opportunities, I have developed the following strategy, focusing on BNB and ETH, and using dual-currency wealth management tools to maximize returns. Below is a detailed operation plan and thought sharing.

1. $BNB 's spot buying strategy: Pyramid layout

BNB, as the core asset of the Binance ecosystem, has always been the focus of investors. In the recent price range, we adopt a pyramid funding allocation strategy, placing orders at low prices:

• Order positions:
• Place the first order at 624 USDT.
• Place the second order at 638 USDT.
• Fund allocation:
• According to the pyramid fund ratio, each buying amount is 1.6 times that of the previous one:
• First order (638 USDT): for example, 1000 USDT.
• Second order (624 USDT): 1600 USDT.
• Strategy advantages:
• As the price falls, the proportion of buy funds at low positions increases, diluting overall costs.
• When prices rise, investments can be recovered faster, and some profits can be locked in at high positions.

2. $ETH 's low-price absorption strategy

ETH is an important asset in DeFi and Layer 2 applications, with long-term value. We plan to absorb some funds in batches when ETH prices correct, mainly for future use as scattered assets on DeFi platforms.

• Strategy details:
• According to the current fund allocation, absorb in batches when ETH breaks key support levels (such as 3140 USDT or lower).
• Each buying amount is controlled at 20%-30% of the total investment, serving as flexible funds.


3. Capture BNB's low-position opportunities using dual-currency wealth management

Dual-currency wealth management is an important tool for capturing market fluctuations, especially suitable for locking in low prices in the current uncertain market environment.

• Strategy details:
• Set a low-price subscription order for BNB in dual-currency wealth management:
• If the price is triggered, BNB will be purchased at the target price.
• If not triggered, returns from dual-currency wealth management can still be obtained.
• Target price: for example, set in the price range below 620 USDT.
• Strategy advantages:
• Use the returns from wealth management products to compensate for opportunity costs during market downturns.
• When triggered to buy, directly lock in low positions and gain additional returns.

#加密市场回调
$BNB $ETH $SOL
I am particularly concerned about the price trends of BNB, ETH, and DOL. Below is an analysis of these key assets:

BNB: Recently, BNB experienced price fluctuations from $620 to $693, followed by a pullback after the surge. This price change reflects the market's response to platform-specific developments like the BNB Greenfield initiative. The growth of BNB is also related to the increasing market optimism regarding regulation, especially considering the changes in U.S. cryptocurrency policy under the Trump administration.

ETH: ETH also shows a rebound trend, followed by a rise and subsequent pullback. The price of ETH increased by 45.1% in November, supported by institutional capital inflows, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, and the increased adoption of Layer 2 solutions, which enhance scalability. Both the market cap and trading volume of ETH have decreased, indicating a cautious attitude from the market towards the current price.

Overall, the cryptocurrency market is currently in a correction phase after experiencing a period of increases. The price fluctuations of BNB, ETH, and sOL reflect the market's sensitivity to changes in Federal Reserve policies, the global economic situation, and internal factors within the cryptocurrency market. As 2025 approaches, FBS analysts predict that Bitcoin's momentum will continue, Ethereum's position will further strengthen, and new ETF approvals and the expansion of tokenization initiatives may drive a new wave of institutional and retail participation.

#比特币市场波动观察
#加密市场回调
Capture low point opportunities: $BNB , $ETH and $SOL


Technical analysis and market outlook

In yesterday's market fluctuations, I seized the technical support points of BNB, ETH, and SOL to execute buy operations, with buy orders placed at 650 and 620 dollars for BNB, 3140 dollars for ETH, and 177 dollars for SOL.

1. BNB: Technical logic of the layout at 650 dollars

• Technical analysis:
• 650 dollars is an important support level for BNB, situated at the bottom area of the recent downward channel.
• On the daily chart, BNB's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is approaching the oversold range, indicating a potential rebound in the short term.
• The support near MA100 (100-day moving average) further enhances the stability of the 620 dollar level; unfortunately, the buy order did not get filled.
• Market outlook:
• If market sentiment warms up, the short-term target is 680~700 dollars, and breaking through this area may test the strong resistance at 720 dollars.
• The key support below is at 620 dollars; if it breaks, one must be cautious of a further pullback to 600 dollars.

2. ETH: Analysis of the buy point at 3140 dollars

• Technical analysis:
• ETH has formed strong support at 3140 dollars, coinciding with the Fibonacci retracement level (0.618).
• The trading volume indicates significant capital support in the 3100~3150 dollar range, showing a high level of market recognition for this price.
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) has started forming a golden cross at a low level, potentially driving a subsequent rebound.
• Market outlook:
• In the short term, if ETH can break through the 3250 dollar resistance level, the target will shift to 3400 dollars.
• Strong support remains at 3100 dollars; if it breaks, attention should be paid to the psychological level at 3000 dollars.

3. SOL: Technical basis for buying at 177 dollars

• Technical analysis:
• SOL has formed multiple rebounds in the 177 dollar area, constituting significant support.
• On the daily chart, the lower Bollinger Band indicates that SOL has entered an extremely oversold area, with a high probability of a short-term rebound.
• The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicates institutional funds are entering at the current price level.
• Market outlook:
• If SOL can hold the support level of 177 dollars, the target above looks at the resistance range of 190~200 dollars.
• If the price falls back, attention should be paid to the strong support at 170 dollars.

#比特币市场波动观察 $BTC

Tonight, the Bitcoin market experienced significant adjustments, and this volatility has attracted widespread attention and discussion.

• Market Adjustment and Federal Reserve Policy:

• The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut in its recent policy meeting and hinted that the pace of future rate cuts may slow down. This news had a significant impact on the market, with Bitcoin prices dropping from around $106,000 to below $99,000, before slightly recovering.

• Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's statements also impacted the market. He indicated that the Federal Reserve is not allowed to own Bitcoin, which may further exacerbate market uncertainty.

• Market Volatility and Investor Behavior:

• The substantial drop in Bitcoin led to nearly 300,000 liquidation events, with a total liquidation amount reaching $849 million. This severe market volatility highlights the inherent high risks of Bitcoin and serves as a reminder for investors to remain calm and rational, avoiding blind following or panic selling.

• Market Impact and Future Outlook:

• Despite the recent correction in Bitcoin prices in the short term, the long-term bullish trend has not changed. Internal driving forces in the crypto space, including policy support, increased institutional investment and ETF inflows, government and corporate purchases of Bitcoin, and significant breakthroughs in blockchain technology, are all important factors driving long-term market growth.

• Analysts believe that while rate cuts are generally viewed as favorable for risk assets, the Federal Reserve's indication that the number of rate cuts in 2025 may be lower than previously expected has raised concerns among investors about the future level of monetary policy easing, triggering a selling sentiment in the market.

In summary, the adjustment in the Bitcoin market tonight is the result of multiple factors working together, including changes in Federal Reserve policy, market expectations regarding the policy, and investor behavior. Although the market has been quite volatile in the short term, the fundamentals of the crypto market remain strong in the long term, and the market is expected to continue its growth momentum. Investors should closely monitor market dynamics and adjust investment strategies reasonably to cope with market uncertainties.