#币安Alpha公布第5批项目

#币安LaunchpoolBIO

#比特币市场波动观察

#圣诞行情分析

Christmas Strategy:

Bitcoin price preliminarily broke below 95195.00 USD at $BTC and is attempting to stabilize below this level, opening the path towards the next correction target of 90750.00 USD. The negative trend expectation remains valid for the foreseeable future, provided that the price stabilizes below 95195.00 USD and 96555.00 USD.

Strategy Analysis:

Based on the trend of BNBBTC combined with Binance's Launchpool activities, the following strategies can be formulated:

1. Activity-driven short-term rally opportunities:

• Binance's Launchpool typically attracts the market's short-term attention, causing a certain degree of rally at $BNB during the first half of the event.

• The current price increase of BNBBTC may be due to increased demand triggered by the event, but such rallies are often short-lived.

2. Trend reversal opportunities in the middle to later stages of the event:

• When the event reaches halfway (about 3 days later), the rally effect of BNB may gradually fade. Combined with the potential rebound trend of BTC, this moment can be used to position short on BNBBTC.

• Reasons:

• BTC's rebound potential: Continuous trading of Bitcoin below 95195.00 USD opens up space for further correction, but if the decline slows, it may trigger a short-term rebound.

• BNB's return effect: As the enthusiasm for the event diminishes, demand for BNB weakens, and prices may fall back.

3. Strategy implementation:

1. Purchase subscription after the LAUNCHPOOL event using USDT to buy BNB dual currency products

2. Purchase subscription before the event using BNB to sell high USDT or BTC dual currency products

3. Implement certain contract hedging

Risk Warning:

• Volatility before the end of the event: Due to Launchpool still being in progress, BNB's volatility may be high, it is recommended to closely monitor market sentiment and trading volume.

• Uncertainty of BTC: If Bitcoin fails to stabilize below 95195.00 USD, the intensity of the rebound may exceed expectations.

• Short-term counter-trend risk: Short-term trading should be cautious, with strict stop-loss strategies implemented.

Through this 'dual insurance' strategy, more robust returns can be achieved under the dual trends of BTC rebound and BNB enthusiasm waning.