drottningu_

🌞 GM... Quick Briefing!

📊 Outlook (UTC)

🟩 00:00-06:00 – Green ✅
PBoC talks big on stimulus, but they'll drip-feed it.
JPY heading for 160/$ no matter what BoJ says.
02:00-04:00 slight dip as Asia markets open—normal.
🟥 07:00-09:00 – Red ❌
China’s surprise move at market close—Bitcoin lagging.
🟩 09:00-11:00 – Green ✅
China always finds a way to get US liquidity
🟩12:00-15:00 – Green ✅
PCE down = Bitcoin up! 🚀
Fed closer to rate cuts—spending matters more than income.
🟥 15:00-17:00 – Red ❌
Wintermute shorting.
🟨 18:00-00:00 – Wicky ⚡

RRP likely up, wiping out gains, but BTC could still close green.
📉 GDP up, but magic? Nope.

Jobless claims, weak spending, PMI down, confidence at 92… yet GDP up? 🤡
Gov spending is driving it, not the people.
Houses selling, M2 supply up—CPI will follow!

🎯 Today: PCE Report! 🔥

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🌞 GM... Briefing time!

📊 Outlook (UTC)

Today, we’re testing if PBoC is lagging by 2 hours ⏳
🟢 00:00-06:00 – Green ✅
Chinese industrial profits up 📈
PBoC still injecting liquidity 💸 01:00-03:00 due to Asia market opening—pretty normal.
🔴 07:00-09:00 – Small Red ❌
Lagging effect + Asia market closing 🏦
Some Korean whale shorting 😡
🟢 09:00-11:00 – Green ✅
PBoC impact kicks in after market closes.
🔴 11:00-12:00 – Red ❌
🟢 12:00-15:00 – Green ✅
Jobless claims up 📊
GDP also up? 🤨 That’s weird… How can the economy grow while people struggle? 🤣
Higher GDP → higher inflation 📈🔥
🔴 16:00-18:00 – Red ❌
Pending home sales up 🏡
Wintermute shorting 😈
🔴 19:00-00:00 – Red ❌

US RRP up (but I’m not fully convinced) 🤔
RRP already rose on Friday, so it shouldn’t go up again… but 3 days before month-end, I’m forcing the prediction! 😅

📅 When will we see full green? Next week! 🚀
Why? RRP will crash, and DXY will tank.

📉 Bitcoin today: Expect a lot of wicks!
📊 Market Insight
✅ Prediction: Small red, but not deep—Correct!
❌ Prediction: Durable Goods Orders drop—Wrong!

🔍 Think about it:
Where’s the money coming from?

Retail sales down, PMI down, Consumer confidence down—so who’s spending on Durable Goods? 🧐
Answer: Not the people, but the government! (Defence spending! 🛡️⚔️)

Next week’s Durable Goods report (excluding defence) will show:
Defence spending up 📈
Everything else down 📉
War coming? 🧐 Big investors might long Lockheed Martin soon!
📢 Kashkari is hawkish as usual 🦅 No surprise there.
RRP up to $241B 💰
Bitcoin still at $86K? That’s insanely strong! 💪

📆 Today’s Key Events
📊 Jobless Claims
📈 GDP Report
🏡 Pending Home Sales

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🌞 GM... Briefing time!

📊 Outlook (UTC)
🟢 00:00-08:00 – Green ✅
US RRP up, sucking liquidity 💸 but looks like month-end balancing has started early.
Could this be leading to zero liquidity? No clue 🤷‍♂️, but maybe it aligns with QT slowing in April, boosting money supply instead of cutting rates.
Based on that, PBoC should inject more than it withdraws.
Remember their ¥450B MLF injection promise? Yeah… another trick? 😅 But I’m still optimistic!
🔴 09:00-11:00 – Red ❌ (Asia markets close)
🟢 12:00-15:00 – Green ✅
Durable Goods Orders down 📉
Think about it: Retail sales down, PMI crashed, consumer confidence shattered, and now tariffs? Tough times for Americans!💀
Durable Goods Orders down → DXY drops → Bitcoin should react!
🔴 16:00-18:00 – Red ❌ (Jane Street’s mischief 😈)
🔴 19:00-00:00 – Red ❌

US RRP up 💰, Kashkari hawkish → Not looking good.

I could be wrong if RRP drops or Kashkari turns dovish 🤷‍♂️
📉 Market Weirdness
House prices rising 📈
New home sales up 🏡💰

But consumer confidence at a 12-year LOW 🤯 What’s going on?

The rich get richer, the poor get poorer.

Who’s buying houses at sky-high interest rates? 🤔 Some invisible hands at play! RSI: 63
💡 House Prices Are a Trap!
Prices aren’t rising because of demand, they’re rising because of supply flooding the market (highest in 18 years!).
Given good theory confirmed? The more they build, the more expensive it gets!
Why? Because inflation is engineered from real estate! 🏗️💰

Now that house prices are up, the 100bps rate cut forecast is triggered.

Forget the 2% inflation target—3% is the new normal. Deflation? Dream on!

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🌞 GM... Been spot on for days now! 😅 Even I’m surprised.

📊 Outlook (UTC 0)
🟥00:00-03:00 - Usual slow red as Asia markets open
🟩04:00-08:00 BoJ policy meeting → Weaker Yen 📉
Friday: US RRP up, PBoC withdrew big on Monday
Last night: US RRP dropped, PBoC injecting $450B today 💰 ➝ BTC should go green ✅
Also, Core CPI BoJ incoming
🟥09:00-11:00 Asia markets close
🟩12:00-15:00 House Price Index 📈 & New Home Sales 📈 up
Consumer Confidence still weak despite a small rise → just hype, not real optimism 😶
🟥15:00-17:00 JS shorting 🔽
🟩18:00-00:00 RRP plummeted, PBoC saw it coming and announced ¥450B stimulus 🚀

💡 RRP is the key to BTC’s daily moves—it’s all about where the money flows! 💸 No liquidity, no action.

📉 PMI fell below 50 → Last month’s factory spending didn’t boost the economy, still sluggish (see Retail Sales).
PMI down, but DXY up → Bitcoin also up? That’s a weird mix 🤨
RSI: 64 (getting warm!)

💰 Why is DXY rising?
Not because the economy is booming, but inflation hedge mode is ON 🚨.

Oil prices jumped after Trump slapped extra tariffs on Venezuela ⛽

Countries doing business with Venezuela get hit too—brutal move! 🧐
Obey or get sanctioned... Democracy, huh? 🤷

📆 Today’s Key Events:
🏠 House Price Index
📊 CB Consumer Confidence
🏡 New Home Sales

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🌅 GM... Briefing!

📊 Outlook (UTC)

00:00-03:00 🔴 Slow dip, nothing unusual
04:00-08:00 🟢 Jibun PMI Japan up ➝ Weaker Yen, bigger PBoC injection than withdrawal
09:00-11:00 🔴 Red zone
12:00-15:00 🟢 PMI drops, market reacts positively
15:00-17:00 🔴 Red again
18:00-00:00 🟢 Fed Bar & Bostic sounding dovish + RRP dropping after 3 straight rises hitting $200B

📉 Bitcoin Outlook
BTC closed 2 straight green weekly candles, but this week might see a chill red correction due to RRP rising at the end of the month.
Mon-Tue: Green ✅
Wed-Thu: Red ❌
Fri: Doji 🤔

💡 Let’s see if it plays out!
Last Friday was Doji, Saturday was chill, and Sunday had an early pump (been on point so far, but hey, we could be wrong too 🤷).

🚀 Sunday’s early move started yesterday evening after China announced a super long-term debt. Markets took it seriously, hoping for a PBoC injection today.
📌 RSI: 58 (not too hot, not too cold)

📆 Today’s Key Event
Purchasing Manufacturing Index – We’ll break it down at 15:00 UTC.

⚠️ BTC correction is normal this week, but early April could be super volatile!

😷 Sorry for fewer posts lately, lots of people sick in my area, including me. Stay safe, everyone! 💙

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GM... Market Briefing! ☕📊

📌 Market Outlook (UTC 0)
🕖 00:00 - 03:00 🔴 Mild red, nothing surprising
🕚 04:00 - 08:00 🟢 Green – Why?
BoJ paused, Fed paused, and PBOC Prime Loan Rate stays at 3.10%—that’s already a form of easing.
Yes, RRP shot up, but the bigger it climbs, the harder it falls.
Powell cut QT from $25B to $5B—keeping some liquidity control since inflation isn’t at 2% yet.
If RRP still couldn’t hold Bitcoin down despite a Dovish Fed, imagine when it drops to zero! When? No idea.
PBOC likely injects liquidity again with no withdrawal. 💸
🕓 09:00 - 11:00 🔴 Red session
🕖 12:00 - 15:00 🟢 Green –
Jobless claims up, Existing home sales down
NAHB & Existing home sales data reflect February—but in March, home sales will rise since housing starts are up. That’s why I expect inflation to increase.
🕙 15:00 - 17:00 🔴 Jane Street’s usual tricks 🤹
Sometimes JS delays by an hour, so I’m giving it a 2-hour red window.
If JS delays, 15:00-16:00 won’t be red—but I can’t predict exactly when they’ll make their move.
🕛 17:00 - 23:00 🟢 China is watching the US closely.

Last night, RRP jumped by $44B, so it should drop now.
📊 Big Picture: This Week is Still Green! ✅
✅ BoJ Pause → No big effect
✅ Fed Pause → Bitcoin went up, but moderately
🤔 What happens when PBOC holds at 3.10%?
🚀 Fed slowing QT by 80% is basically like a 25bps rate cut!
🤣 Not stopping completely, but almost!

📊 RSI: 62 – and yesterday 46, understand? 🔥👀

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GM... Market Briefing! ☕📊

📌 Outlook (UTC 0)
🕖 00:00 - 03:00 😌 Chill, no big moves
🕚 04:00 - 08:00 🟢 Green – Got it wrong yesterday 🤦‍♂️. Didn’t factor in rising tensions in the Middle East. PBOC injected liquidity, but candles still turned red. Now I’m flipping my view: US RRP up = PBOC injects. Also, BoJ paused—adds to the mix.
🕓 09:00 - 11:00 🔴 Red session
🕖 12:00 - 15:00 🔴 Quiet red, waiting for FOMC 😴
🕙 15:00 - 17:00 🔴 Red
🕛 17:00 - 23:00 🟢 FOMC pauses, dovish tone

📊 Market Context & Bitcoin Moves
🏠 Housing starts up + DXY up + RRP up = Full red body 📉
⚡ But Bitcoin still managed to form a wick—a sign liquidity is still there.

🕰️ Today’s Events:
-BoJ interest rate decision (morning)
-FOMC (late night)
-PBOC Prime Loan Rate (tomorrow morning)

🔥 All lined up—China always moves last.

📉 RRP pumping hard now means it will dump hard later = Bitcoin can still make moves. 📊 RSI: 44

🚨 Trump-Putin talks cooled down oil prices from the Middle East crisis—but Russia came out on top in the negotiations. 🇷🇺💰
🔥 FOMC Will Be Interesting!

❌ No WW3
❌ No Great Depression
❌ No Recession
✅ Inflation bull run incoming! Could hit double digits—be ready. 🚀

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GM... Market Briefing! ☕📊

📌 Outlook (UTC 0)
🕖 00:00 - 03:00 🔴 Chill, slight red
🕚 04:00 - 08:00 🟢 Green – On Friday, RRP went up, so I predicted China’s RRP would drop. Instead, PBOC injected half a trillion without withdrawing. 🤯 Could they have known in advance that US RRP would drop below $100B on Monday night? That’s why I expect this session to stay green. Still testing this theory—PBOC seems to predict US RRP movements.
🕓 09:00 - 11:00 🔴 Red again
🕖 12:00 - 15:00 🟢 Green – Housing Starts up, but DXY drops. NAHB’s decline yesterday was the key to DXY’s crash despite weak retail sales. US recognising Crimea & Russian-occupied Ukraine ensures oil prices will drop—Russia is the world’s 3rd largest oil exporter. 🛢️📉
🕙 15:00 - 17:00 🔴 Jane Street doing their thing 😏
🕛 17:00 - 00:00 🟢 Green again, RRP dropping further 💸

🚨 Be careful with longs! No idea what Trump might say. 🏛️👀
📊 Indicators & Bitcoin Outlook
✅ MACD flipped positive
✅ RSI neutral (50), looking upwards
✅ Bitcoin closed green – Retail sales up, DXY down as predicted
✅ NAHB drop = Money still stuck in housing supply
✅ RRP below $100B = Liquidity pulled from there → Bitcoin pumped to $84.5K+ 🚀

Nice setup! Let's see how it plays out. 🔥

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GM... Market Briefing! ☕📊

🧭Outlook (UTC)
🟥 00:00 - 08:00 (UTC 0) Red
I’m testing a theory: since RRP went up on Friday, PBOC might drain more liquidity today. But honestly, I’m not too sure. 🤔 This morning, China drops key data—house prices & retail sales. Maybe the market didn’t front-run on Sunday because of the Friday RRP spike, shifting it to Monday instead. China plays its cards close, so no early moves on Sunday. Just a theory—I’m still figuring this out! If this period ends green, it means the market values China’s Retail Sales & House Prices more than PBOC’s liquidity moves. Let’s see!
🟩09:00 - 15:00 (UTC 0) 🟢 Green
US Retail Sales up = More liquidity in the market.
🟥15:00 - 17:00 (UTC 0) 🔴 Red
🟩17:00 - 00:00 (UTC 0) 🟢 Green

RRP down = More money flowing in.
Weekly Outlook;
📈 Weekly closed green → My prediction? Bitcoin stays bullish this week! 🟢 RSI at 42.
📅 Saturday closed green ✅
📅 Sunday closed red ❌
📅 Weekly closed green ✅

Retail Sales Report Incoming tonight🔥
📊 Pattern: 2x up, 1x down → Market still holding steady.
I’m still figuring out why the market didn’t make an early move this week.

Micro moves are a headache, aren’t they? 😆 But that’s what makes it fun! 🚀

Im sorry, no weekly Bitcoin trend movements video this week, i was ill. need to rest for a while, so i cant edit the video yet🙏
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GM... Market Briefing ☕📊

It’s Saturday, so things should be chill. But I’m testing a theory today.

📊 RRP jumped $13B last night, so here’s my market guess:

🟥00:00-08:00 UTC → Red candles
🟨11:00-16:00 UTC → The red turns into wicks 🕯️
🟩17:00-00:00 UTC → Market slows down, forms a doji 🟰

Let’s see if this plays out. If it’s correct, Monday morning should start red.

💰 Debt Ceiling Approved
Good news, but it won’t pump the market yet—weekend means no action. If we close green before 08:00 UTC today, that’s likely from institutions front-running yesterday. Check for asset managers buying later as proof.

📈 Unmich Consumer Sentiment Rocketed 🚀
1-year inflation expectations jumped from 4.3% → 4.9%
5-year outlook climbed from 3.4% → 3.9%

Translation? Inflation isn’t going down—it’s heating up.

💎 Bitcoin Hit $85.3K… Then Trump Spoke 🤦‍♂️
Market stopped right as he opened his mouth. His words hurt Bitcoin’s feelings again. Be careful—his statements can shake the market. RSI at 48.

🇨🇳 China’s Stimulus? Still a Tease
M1 money supply barely moved (+0.1%), meaning their big bazooka stimulus is still just talk. Even after announcing RRR cuts, they’re not seriously injecting liquidity yet.

📅 No major data today—just a slow Saturday. 😴

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GM... Market Briefing ☕📊

Market Outlook (UTC)
00:00-03:00 → Slow start, just warming up. 😴
04:00-08:00 → Green ✅ Still struggling to read China’s RRP moves, learning as I go. US RRP dropped last night—sign Fed is easing up. PBOC announced an RRR cut and new policy frameworks yesterday, so they should be injecting liquidity without withdrawing.
09:00-11:00 → Red ❌
12:00-15:00 → Green ✅ Unmich sentiment up + debt ceiling deal approved. Schumer folded. 🏛️
16:00-19:00 → Red ❌ Jane Street’s classic 10 PM algo shorting is back.
20:00-03:00 → Green ✅ RRP dropping.

📊 Yesterday’s PPI Prediction Was Spot On

DXY should’ve dropped, Bitcoin should’ve pumped—proof? Gold hit $3000. But obviously, I can’t predict what comes out of Trump’s mouth. The man didn’t rise to power by being loved—he got there by making people afraid. But fear tactics don’t last forever. Eventually, he’ll have to shift the narrative with stimulus.

Gold rising signals that approval is near.
Once passed, Trump’s tariff drama loses its sting.
$4T incoming—Peter Schiff’s right, inflation will spike.

🚀 76K was likely the Bitcoin bottom.

PPI dropped, but DXY rose at the time of release. That means DXY’s move wasn’t driven by PPI—it’s temporary. Every time Trump speaks, markets wobble. How long can he keep this up?

Expect noise, but don’t fall for the US government shutdown fear.
Worst case? A 3-day shutdown over the weekend, back to normal by Monday.
Same old routine, happens every year. 🙄

🔴Watch our weekly analysis here=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 MARCH
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GM... Market Briefing ☕📈

Market Outlook (UTC)

🟨00:00-03:00 → start, markets opening. 💤
🟩04:00-08:00 → Foreign bond buying & investment in Japan dropping. PBOC injecting liquidity. Still figuring out how to predict PBOC’s moves—so far, as long as they withdraw more than they inject, Yuan won’t inflate. If I predict green but PBOC drains liquidity, it’ll just turn into a wick.
🟥09:00-11:00 → Koreans shorting as usual.
🟩12:00-15:00 → PPI down → PCE likely down → Fed may consider rate cuts. Even if they don’t cut, BTC can still rise because the government needs money.
🟥15:00-17:00 → slam from Jane Street's algo traders.
🟩18:00-00:00 → RRP dropping. Yesterday’s drop was only $5M, but it should go lower before FOMC.

📊 Market Recap
BTC dumped and pumped, closing above 83K. Inflation cooling down makes the Fed look like geniuses for holding rates—but in reality, inflation dropped because millions lost their jobs. Instead of creating jobs, the Fed is killing them.📉 RSI: 44

Inflation YoY is down in Q1. If the Fed cuts rates next week, March inflation will be even higher.
Even without a cut, March inflation is expected to be higher than February.

If the Fed holds rates, they’ll sacrifice RRP to keep market liquidity.
If the Fed cuts rates, RRP won’t hit zero yet.
If RRP does hit zero, BTC goes back to 100K+. Sounds like a win, no? 🚀

📉 PPI dropping → PCE dropping too.
Why? Demand is weak. More layoffs, more homelessness, retail sales down. Even Jamie Dimon raised recession odds from 30% to 40%.

🚨 If PPI goes up, DXY won’t rise—because that kind of PPI increase is fake.

Watch our weekly analysis=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 MARCH
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GM, Market Briefing☕

Market Outlook (UTC) ⏳
🟨00:00-03:00 → Usual slow market, nothing special
🟩04:00-08:00 → Japan’s PPI down , sign that inflation is eating away purchasing power.
🟥09:00-11:00 → Korean traders likely shorting the market.
🟩12:00-15:00 → inflation cooling down → no need for Fed hawkish stance → focus shifts to core inflation.
🟥15:00-17:00 → market makers (MM) in action.
🟩18:00-00:00 → RRP has been stuck for 3 days, only adding $1M – a sign of big moves ahead.

🚨 Remember: This is for understanding how data affects Bitcoin, NOT for gambling on futures. Don't get rekt!

JOLTS (job openings) increased, yet Bitcoin is also up. Why? If USD liquidity was truly tightening, BTC should be down. Could be a sign the market sees job openings as inflated.

In the past, some companies were surveyed twice, which is why Yellen loved JOLTS – easy to manipulate! RSI: 42

The Money Never Lies 💰
Rumors that Trump is softening on tariffs, but the 25% rate is still in place. Want to know which news is real and which is fake? Watch Bitcoin. BTC pumped right after reports that Trump is reconsidering the steel tariff on Canada.

Trump’s confidence is crumbling. His visits to Saudi Arabia and China suggest he’s on a liquidity hunt – looking for fresh money. Now, there’s buzz that Canada, the 4th largest holder of USTs, might dump them, shaking up the US bond market.

China is selling. Japan is selling. Now Canada is threatening to sell. The DXY’s strength relies on US debt. This might all be part of a grand plan to force the Fed to surrender. And CPI release tonight.

🛑Watch this week analysis here=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 MARCH
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$BTC BITCOIN REPORT-TECHNICAL EDITION📊🔥

Smart Metrics (7 Days)
👥 Smart Followers: 1062 (±1)
💬 Smart Mentions: 77 (+7)

Market Overview
🔹 BTC Price: $76,969 (-5.48% in 24H)
🔹 Trading Volume: $49.98B (-0.27% weekly)
🔹 Price Range (7 Days): $77,494 - $83,690
🔹 Trend: Bearish (Below 20-day SMA: $89,196 & 200-day SMA: $83,365)
🔹 Sentiment: Extreme Fear (Fear & Greed Index: 24)

Candlestick Patterns
📅 March 9 – Doji Pattern (Medium Reliability)
Open: $80K | High: $82K | Low: $76K | Close: $78K
Indecision in the market, possible short-term pause or slight recovery.

📅 March 10 – Belt Hold Pattern (High Reliability)
Open: $78.5K | High: $79K | Low: $75K | Close: $76.5K
Strong selling pressure, confirming bearish sentiment. Expect further decline.

Support & Resistance
📉 Support Levels: $70,601 (Key), $73,562 (Next)
📈 Resistance Levels: $78,393 (Testing)

🔹 Fibonacci Levels:
50% Retracement: $79,003 (Bullish entry point)
61.8% Retracement: $71,975 (Bearish level)

A break above $78,393 could push BTC to $100K, while a drop below $70,601 may lead to further decline.

Key Indicators 📊
📉 RSI: 32.6 (Oversold)
💰 MFI: 19.1 (Oversold)
📉 MACD: Bearish
📉 ADX: 35.2 (Strong downtrend)
📉 Stochastic Oscillator: 17.7 (Oversold)
🔺 Bullish Divergences in RSI & MACD (Potential reversal)

Trading Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: Break above $78,393 = potential rally 📈
❌ Bearish Scenario: Drop below $70,602 = risk of panic selling 📉
⚠ Caution: Market is in extreme fear—watch volume for confirmation.

Final Takeaway: Bearish for now, but signs of a possible reversal soon. Stay alert! 👀🚀

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GM... Market Briefing 🌍📊

Market Outlook (UTC+0) 🕰️
🟩00:00 - 08:00 Japan's GDP is up, meaning inflation is rising. No worries—08:00 - 10:00 wobbles are normal due to PBOC.
🟥08:00 - 11:00 Market closing hours.
🟩12:00 - 15:00 JOLTS data incoming.
🟥15:00 - 17:00 Jane Street moves in.
🟩17:00 - 23:00 RRP is down. A bit of red during 04:00 - 06:00 is normal due to market closure.

Now I see where I went wrong 🤦‍♂️—my mindset was still stuck in the Biden era. Back then, the data was "beautified" to mask the recession. NFP was dominated by part-time jobs, while JOLTS and ADP always looked strong. So, I got used to inverting the data, and my analysis worked out just fine.📉 RSI 25

Then came Trump, and suddenly, all the data looked terrible. I thought, "No need to invert anymore; the real data should be enough." But then I came across the CB Employment Index, which showed exactly where I messed up.

The CB Employment Index was revised down 😳—yes, REVISED DOWN. I was too slow to process that. And the worst part? I actually wrote about it myself.

Trump wants rate cuts, but Powell isn’t having it. I thought the actual data was bad enough to justify it. But Trump dramatized it further to make it look even worse 🙃🙃. So, where’s the limit? How long will this go on?

Yves Has Given the Signal 🚀
Yves already warned us back on 24th Feb. Some followers even reminded me, but I ignored them because I was too focused on US M2.
Now, Yves says this is a buying signal—so let's put it to the test.
Trump’s bottom level = SPX -10%

🔴Watch our weekly analysis here=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 MARCH
🧭Follow for more consistenly daily Market Briefing (HOURLY TIMEFRAMES)
🛑Actually its paid content from Twitter Subscription, but i leak here for FREE!!

$BTC $ETH $SOL #BBVABitcoinGreenlight #WhaleAccumulation #MarketPullback #Macro
Source: @hoteliercrypto

GM... Market Briefing 🌍📊

Market Outlook (UTC+0) 🕰️
🟩00:00 - 08:00 Japan's GDP is up, meaning inflation is rising. No worries—08:00 - 10:00 wobbles are normal due to PBOC.
🟥08:00 - 11:00 Market closing hours.
🟩12:00 - 15:00 JOLTS data incoming.
🟥15:00 - 17:00 Jane Street moves in.
🟩17:00 - 23:00 RRP is down. A bit of red during 04:00 - 06:00 is normal due to market closure.

Now I see where I went wrong 🤦‍♂️—my mindset was still stuck in the Biden era. Back then, the data was "beautified" to mask the recession. NFP was dominated by part-time jobs, while JOLTS and ADP always looked strong. So, I got used to inverting the data, and my analysis worked out just fine.📉 RSI 25

Then came Trump, and suddenly, all the data looked terrible. I thought, "No need to invert anymore; the real data should be enough." But then I came across the CB Employment Index, which showed exactly where I messed up.

The CB Employment Index was revised down 😳—yes, REVISED DOWN. I was too slow to process that. And the worst part? I actually wrote about it myself.

Trump wants rate cuts, but Powell isn’t having it. I thought the actual data was bad enough to justify it. But Trump dramatized it further to make it look even worse 🙃🙃. So, where’s the limit? How long will this go on?

Yves Has Given the Signal 🚀
Yves already warned us back on 24th Feb. Some followers even reminded me, but I ignored them because I was too focused on US M2.
Now, Yves says this is a buying signal—so let's put it to the test.
Trump’s bottom level = SPX -10%

🔴Watch our weekly analysis here=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 MARCH
🧭Follow for more consistenly daily Market Briefing (HOURLY TIMEFRAMES)
🛑Actually its paid content from Twitter Subscription, but i leak here for FREE!!

$BTC $ETH $RARE #WhaleAccumulation #StablecoinGoldRush #MarketPullback #Macro
Source: @hoteliercrypto

🟩Macro Trumps Micro - Goldman Tech Trader Sees More "Weather The Storm" Than Panic-Sell🟩
Authored by Peter Callahan, Goldman Sachs TMT Sector Specialist

🟥The market had a rough week, with tech stocks struggling and the Nasdaq dropping over 3% for two weeks straight—something we haven’t seen since 2022. Despite a late-week bounce, investor sentiment remains cautious, especially in the tech sector, where hedge funds saw major losses. On top of that, new tariffs could put pressure on companies, but investors seem to be selectively ignoring them depending on whether they like a stock or not. Goldman Sachs has adjusted its US economic forecast due to these tariffs, lowering its GDP growth prediction for 2025 from 2.2% to 1.7% and slightly raising recession odds to 20%. However, policymakers still have room to adjust if things get worse.

🟥Even with all this uncertainty, there’s no mass panic—just a "weather the storm" mindset. The Federal Reserve’s stable interest rates and continued growth in AI-related industries are helping keep investors hopeful. Stocks like Apple and IBM are holding up well, while others like Tesla and CrowdStrike are struggling. Some believe the second half of 2024 could bring a market rebound with new product launches (iPhones, AI apps, cloud services, etc.), but for now, the market is waiting for more economic data (inflation, jobs reports) and government policy updates to decide its next move.

🧧Watch our weekly analysis here=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 MARCH
🧭Follow for more consistenly daily Market Briefing (HOURLY TIMEFRAMES)
🛑Actually its paid content from Twitter Subscription, but i leak here for FREE!!
$BTC $ETH $PEPE #MarketPullback #CryptoMarketWatch #TARIFF #Macro
source: @zerohedge

GM... Market Briefing ☕📊

Weekend Still got a briefing. Only crypto bros do market briefings while everyone else is on holiday! 😎

Saturday’s looking slow... Even the slow pace forms a hammer 🛠️. The US Congress is set to approve an extra $2.5T budget with no spending cuts. Doesn't matter what the program is—that's the government’s problem. The real question is: Will it increase the money supply? 💸

Saturday? Chill vibes. Sunday? Sneaky moves. RSI at 40. 📈

Market Outlook (UTC) 🌍
🔹 00:00 - 08:00 → Steady green, nothing wild. If China’s CPI goes up, Bitcoin might turn green too. Even if CPI drops, if Core CPI rises, inflation still goes up. 🔥
🔹 09:00 - 16:00 → Market stays relaxed. 💤
🔹 17:00 - 00:00 → Sneaky green—Japan data incoming. 🇯🇵📊

Meanwhile, Europe is splashing a massive $800B on defence spending. 💰💥
Is that a stimulus? ✅ Yes.
“But it’s not for the people!” you say? 🤨

Doesn’t matter—any large-scale program funded by a stagnant economy is still a stimulus. And that means... inflation incoming. 📈🔥

Look at the rising yields and stock market pumping—when stocks go up despite a weak economy, that’s central bank magic at work. Stocks + yields = inflation hedge. 🏦📊

Bitcoin? ⏳ Just waiting for the US stimulus to drop. 💣
Listen to the unspoken words—the program itself doesn’t matter. What matters is: where’s the money coming from? 🧐💸

$BTC $ETH $DOGE #MarketPullback #JobsReportShock #Trump’sExecutiveOrder #Macro
source: @hoteliercrypto

GM… Late Market Briefing ⏳☕

❌ NFP
❌ TRUMP
❌ WHITE HOUSE SUMMIT
❌ RRP
❌ POWELL
✅ BTC SCAM

💀 SAD WEEKEND.

Saturday’s Market = Chill no data😌

No time-based movements today—just a slow, uneventful Saturday.

NFP barely moved—a tiny increase but no drop, leaving the Fed waiting for CPI data next week.

The Fed knows Trump is manipulating NFP with Doge memes and tariff tricks 🤡, which is causing job losses. But they still think they can hold the line.

RRP? My hopes for it dropping to zero (as Antoni predicted) were crushed. Instead, RRP actually went up. If even Ph.D. economists can’t predict it, how am I supposed to as a hotelier? 😂

But I still believe RRP will hit zero before FOMC—maybe that’s the Fed’s bargaining chip against Trump. Instead of cutting rates, they zero out RRP to keep liquidity flowing for the government.

Saturday = Chill Mode 😌
No big moves, but there should be some BTC liquidity trickling down into alts.

$BTC $ETH $XRP #JobsReportShock #WhiteHouseCryptoSummit #MarketPullback #Macro
Source: @hoteliercrypto