GM... Market Briefing! ☕📊

📌 Market Outlook (UTC 0)

🕖 00:00 - 03:00 🔴 Mild red, nothing surprising
🕚 04:00 - 08:00 🟢 Green – Why?
BoJ paused, Fed paused, and PBOC Prime Loan Rate stays at 3.10%—that’s already a form of easing.
Yes, RRP shot up, but the bigger it climbs, the harder it falls.
Powell cut QT from $25B to $5B—keeping some liquidity control since inflation isn’t at 2% yet.
If RRP still couldn’t hold Bitcoin down despite a Dovish Fed, imagine when it drops to zero! When? No idea.
PBOC likely injects liquidity again with no withdrawal. 💸

🕓 09:00 - 11:00 🔴 Red session
🕖 12:00 - 15:00 🟢 Green –
Jobless claims up, Existing home sales down
NAHB & Existing home sales data reflect February—but in March, home sales will rise since housing starts are up. That’s why I expect inflation to increase.

🕙 15:00 - 17:00 🔴 Jane Street’s usual tricks 🤹
Sometimes JS delays by an hour, so I’m giving it a 2-hour red window.
If JS delays, 15:00-16:00 won’t be red—but I can’t predict exactly when they’ll make their move.

🕛 17:00 - 23:00 🟢 China is watching the US closely.

Last night, RRP jumped by $44B, so it should drop now.
📊 Big Picture: This Week is Still Green! ✅

✅ BoJ Pause → No big effect
✅ Fed Pause → Bitcoin went up, but moderately
🤔 What happens when PBOC holds at 3.10%?

🚀 Fed slowing QT by 80% is basically like a 25bps rate cut!
🤣 Not stopping completely, but almost!

📊 RSI: 62 – and yesterday 46, understand? 🔥👀

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source: @hoteliercrypto