“Is $3.05 a trap or a springboard? XRP is quietly testing the 'whale bottom price', missing this pullback may mean waiting another 3 months!”

【One-sentence overview】

While the entire network is focused on the previous high of $3.3, on-chain data shows that the real 'value anchor' is actually hiding at $3.28—where 570 million XRP are stored; as long as the price dares to pull back, the whales are ready to buy. The question now is: are you brave enough to join in?

【Key interval structure】

1. Value anchoring zone: POC 3.278 (566 million trading volume) — the densest trading in the past two weeks, any pullback to this level has a proactive buying rate of >58%.

2. High trading volume buffer: 3.057-3.067 HVN (547 million), 3.047-3.052 HVN (524 million) — short-term bullish strongholds, breaking below accelerates decline.

3. Low trading volume void: 3.354-3.384 LVN (trading < 110 million) — a vacuum area above, once volume breaks above 3.35, it can quickly surge to 3.5.

4. 70% trading coverage: 2.97-3.32 — the current price is at the upper edge of the range, RSI 68, slightly overbought but not yet diverged.

【Momentum validation】

• POC area: UpVol 58.2%, bulls still hold a slight advantage.

• Recent HVN 3.057: UpVol 52.4%, buying momentum is weakening, caution against false breakdowns.

• Above LVN 3.35: DownVol only 38%, indicating sparse shorts, low resistance to breakout.

【Auxiliary indicators】

• Bollinger Bands: Price is close to the upper band (66% level), upper band 3.116 and MA200 3.148 create double pressure.

• Positions: 8h OI decreased by 4.46%, funding rate +0.01%, short-term bulls are retreating to create space for pullbacks.

【Trading strategy】

A. Aggressive pullback long

Entry: 3.040-3.045 (LVN pullback + buy wall 3.0403)

Stop loss: 3.025 (below HVN 3.034 outside -0.5×ATR)

Target: 3.120 (upper band), 3.278 (POC)

Risk-reward ratio: 3.1 (R:R ≈ 1:3.1)

B. Conservative breakout long

Entry: 3.350 (LVN volume breakout, 1h close > 3.35 and UpVol > 60%)

Stop loss: 3.320 (below HVN 3.326 outside)

Target: 3.500 (sell order cap)

Risk-reward ratio: 2.8 (R:R ≈ 1:2.8)

【Risk warning】

• If 1h close falls below 3.025, Strategy A is invalidated, observe.

• Macro bearishness leading to a sharp drop in BTC may cause XRP to slide towards 2.93 (Bollinger Bands lower band).

Like and follow for real-time updates!

Thanks to “Silicon-Based Liquidity” for providing the foundational model!

Use the invitation code to get 20 million tokens: 6uXvHFfr

$XRP #山寨季何时到来？