山寨季何时到来？

The market is clearly "lacking money" now, and liquidity is very poor. There aren't many people who want to sell their coins, but the prices just can't rise, which shows that no one really wants to buy. You can see that even stablecoins like USDT have started to show negative premiums, indicating that market funds are continuously flowing out - even though Bitcoin and altcoins have fallen, the price of U hasn't rebounded, showing that people don't even have the intention to buy the dip. If funds aren't entering the market, it means that if a big player wants to cash out, there will be no one to take over, and prices could very well drop sharply.

The current market atmosphere is filled with confusion, and many people don't know what to buy. Even if one tries to invest in altcoins, it’s hard to see a 20% gain only for it to quickly fall back to square one. Repeated "false breakouts" have worn down everyone's confidence, and money has been wasted. Therefore, this market isn't suitable for frequent short-term trading, let alone heavily investing in altcoins; leveraged contracts are also not recommended. The truly prudent approach is to invest small amounts multiple times, gradually building a position, and waiting for the market to warm up.

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What’s the situation with this coin $SOLV
Other altcoins are plummeting, but this one is holding strong and not dropping.

However, now that I've got my eye on it, it's probably in trouble.

Feels like a crash is not far away, hahaha 😂😂😂

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

Now everyone is shouting that the altcoin season has arrived, which reminds me of the bull market in 2021. When it peaked in November, I asked an experienced friend if it was the end, and he said not yet, because those old coins like EOS hadn't broken through their high points from the first half of the year; according to the pattern from 2017, there should be a big surge. As a result, the high points of those old coins in the first half of 2021 became permanent highs, and now many altcoins' opening prices might just be their historical highs. It's not that there won't be altcoin trends later, but choosing the right coins is more important than anything else.

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It seems that the ETF for altcoins is about to arrive, which is likely to spur a wave of altcoin activity. I just looked at Bloomberg's analysis of the approval probabilities for various altcoin ETFs, and it feels like LTC and SOL are almost guaranteed to pass, while Dogecoin might still have a chance. As for HBAR, DOT, SUI, and TRX, that's pure nonsense; both market consensus and industry recognition are far off. You see, LTC and SOL have been consolidating recently, so they might be gearing up for a big move.

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

As the June market gradually unfolds, the Bitcoin market is likely to go through several key phases. Below are my personal observations, just for reference.

First turning point: June 14th (this day happens to be Trump's birthday)

On this day, Bitcoin might first surge, and the trading volume will likely increase, making the upward trend look vigorous. However, it is important to note that this surge may be a 'false alarm,' and it could quickly drop right after. Especially for those popular MEME coins, the decline may be even greater, with the impact period likely lasting from June 14th to 19th.

Second phase: June 19th—20th

Market sentiment gradually stabilizes, and Bitcoin may oscillate in a low range. One scenario is maintaining a sideways consolidation, while another is attempting to rebound after hitting the bottom, acting as a transitional phase for the market.

Third phase: After June 21st

The Bitcoin market is very likely to enter a high volatility state, making it difficult to predict the direction of rise or fall. At this time, the news could be quite complex, whether it’s institutional actions or policy statements, all will stir the market's sensitive nerves.

This is my first time 'predicting' the market, so just take it as a bit of fun, don’t take it too seriously~

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Alas, Alpha is getting more and more competitive. After so many rounds, the threshold is only getting higher, now it has risen to 247 points.

Looking at the score data from June 12, among 230,000 people, nearly 208,000 have scores ≥15 points, accounting for 89%.

Calculating with 2 points left in hand, (2+15)×15=255 points, just enough to meet the threshold, which is also enough to buy a serving of pig's feet rice.

In the future, the threshold for Alpha might rise to 300 points.

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

#币安Alpha上新 Many people say airdrops are scams, but the industry has cycles. Looking back at the four-year airdrop craze, this industry is far from over:

alpha: CEX airdrop backed by Binance, earning over 20,000 in the first two months. Recently there has been FUD, but maintaining daily trading volume to stay involved, waiting for a chance to profit or another market explosion.

camp: Blockchain gaming project, similar to last year's movement model, low cost but many tasks, filtering out lazy script users, exchanging time for profit, I am deeply involved.

0g: Top-tier innovative project, has the potential of last year's L2. Dune data shows few participants, high financing and expectations, the current competition is an illusion, I recommend getting in.

infinex: Decentralized contract platform, similar to Gmx, high financing, zero loss during testnet phase with trading, comparable to AEVO which has shown results before, I participate with multiple accounts.

fogochain: Modular testnet, no need to spend money on hard trading, reliable background financing, I am deeply involved and optimistic about the prospects.

Key points to avoid scams:
1. Choose projects: Pick those endorsed by institutions and with open-source code, avoid those with no background hype.
2. Control costs: Do not pay high Gas fees or deposits, participate with zero/low cost, refuse mandatory coin purchases.
3. Diversify: Use multiple accounts but interact precisely according to rules, avoid bulk actions that may trigger risk control.
4. Beware of tricks: Be cautious of “guaranteed airdrop” hype, do not disclose private keys, keep core assets off the testnet.
5. Follow the official: Keep an eye on the project's Discord/Twitter, avoid unexpected rule changes.
6. Understand stop-loss: If you notice a sharp drop in TVL or a quiet community, decisively stop and don’t stubbornly hold on.

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#以色列伊朗冲突
Market declines caused by such localized conflicts usually do not last long; the market typically digests them within a day or two, and sentiments stabilize accordingly. Ultimately, these sudden events, which are still within a controllable range, will not lead to significant market drops. Instead, they provide an opportunity for 'discounted buying' of quality assets. At this time, don't rush to cut losses, and certainly don't panic; staying calm is the right approach, and it can even be said that this is a rare chance to get in.

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

$ETH

The monthly line trend of Ether is actually quite pleasing to the eye, not as bad as imagined. If you're trading at the monthly level, this trend gives a reassuring feeling.

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

After looking at the market trends of altcoins, it turns out that the market has quietly shifted from speculating on concepts and competing for popularity to a more pragmatic approach — value coins are gradually gaining the upper hand. In contrast, some newly launched PPT projects are underwhelming, with one worse than the other; the hype comes and goes, prices rise and fall, and they simply cannot stabilize.

On the other hand, some projects with real income and clear use cases, such as $AAVE , $PENDLE , $MKR , Hype, Syrup, Cake, etc., although they haven't experienced wild fluctuations, have shown a steady overall trend in recent months, with some even slowly rising. They are like the 'blue-chip stocks' in the crypto world, relying on solid value support rather than hype.
I am increasingly convinced that these earnest projects, which have income and real application scenarios, will go further than those Layer 1 (L1) tokens that are just being speculated on. After all, L1 has been hot for several years, and its valuations are overly inflated; the bubble has to be squeezed eventually. The upcoming market is probably about 'what are you still fantasizing about, it's time to return to reality.'


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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

Right now, the entire blockchain industry seems to be stagnant, like it's caught in a deadlock: project teams issue tokens, get listed on Binance, speculate on valuations, and then repeatedly cut investors out. This routine plays out over and over, making it really difficult for the industry to progress.

I think that for blockchain to develop healthily, it may need to undergo a major cleansing. But this shouldn’t be done in a simple and brutal way; rather, it should involve a lightweight and targeted regulatory framework. The blockchain itself is publicly transparent, making it easier to regulate than traditional industries, and regulation doesn’t need to cover everything; focusing on a few key aspects is sufficient, such as the background of the project team, the financing process, and whether smart contracts are compliant—these are enough.

Currently, some project operations are really hard to watch, for example, many DeFi projects that are clearly providing financial services but insist on calling themselves "network protocols" or "commodity services" to avoid being targeted by the SEC. Some even create their own chains, essentially just rebranding to engage in finance, which is no different from fraud. Additionally, some projects' so-called "financing" is as simple as posting on social media claiming someone invested, and that’s it.

Fundamentally, "decentralization" should not be a shield for fraud; any technology should improve lives and not become a tool for a few people to exploit the masses. In contrast, RWA and CeDeFi look promising, attempting to combine traditional finance with blockchain, which is both innovative and more reliable. But the problem is that achieving compliance has high barriers and costs.

In the short term, the market may still be in a sluggish bear market, but in the long run, there is hope for the industry to return to a healthy development track.

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When mainstream rises, altcoins rise slightly; when mainstream falls, altcoins are directly halved. Where is the altcoin market? It's all just wash trading tactics.
07607714762
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In late May, we shorted around 111,600, and in mid-June, we continued to short around 110,000. I've mentioned the double top pattern many times, but some people just don't believe it and insist on seeing it rise to 120,000-150,000. Just from the medium to long term, we've made profits of 11,100/7,000 points, not to mention short-term trades.

Breaking below 109,000 prompted more shorts, and the next day provided short entry points around 107,400/108,300. Being able to open a position is a skill, but being able to hold it is what makes a true winner. Many people did short, but I guess they cried and stopped out; don't disbelieve it, I might be talking about you...

No more to say, now regardless of mainstream or altcoins, it's time to short on rebounds...

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Major news! According to reliable sources, the Federal Reserve is very likely to cut interest rates next quarter! If this comes true, it will be like opening the floodgates, with massive amounts of capital about to flow into the market. At that time, the altcoin doubling trend will officially begin! The current market is hot, making it an excellent opportunity for short-term positioning. Everyone should quickly aim for mainstream coins and hot coins, looking for chances to sneak in. Many altcoins have already released significant bullish signals; it’s not too late to get involved now. Don’t wait until a big bullish candle appears to react, as you might miss the best entry point and likely end up chasing high prices. Don’t hesitate, seize this wave of benefits, and take action quickly!

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Last week's hot US stock SBET is a company that imitates MicroStrategy by financing and hoarding ETH. After announcing its intention to purchase ETH, its stock price soared, multiplying several times. But now, most of the gains have almost fallen back, and after-hours trading saw a plunge of 70%. Its stock price once reached 124, but after-hours it dropped to 10. If they had announced buying BTC instead, it probably wouldn't have fallen so badly 😂😂😂

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

When BTC first broke 110,000, ETH stood at 2,600;
The second time it broke 110,000, ETH fell to 2,500;
The third time it broke 110,000, ETH returned to 2,600;
The fourth time it broke 110,000, ETH rose to 2,700;
The fifth time it broke 110,000, ETH climbed to 2,800.

ETH is really holding back and pushing upward, everyone stop criticizing!
Leave some goodwill, give Ethereum more time —
You never know when it might throw out a big bullish candle that will leave people stunned!

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

Daily Indicator Analysis in the Crypto Market
Ahr999 Index: 1.02963850 (0.45~1.2 is the dollar-cost averaging range, above 1.2 is considered a risk zone. The true value bottom is actually around 0.25, at which point it is highly likely that it has dropped to the bottom; at other times, just use it as a reference)

Fear and Greed Index: 54 (Getting close to 100 indicates high risk, below 10 it is worth considering a bottom-buy. Below 10 indicates that the market is very fearful, providing an opportunity to enter; otherwise, it's mainly for reference)

Jiang Zhuoer's 60-day cumulative increase: 24.41% (Over 80% indicates a short-term bubble zone; this indicator is quite accurate in the short to mid-term. True value lies around -70% and +70%, representing the market being over-sold and over-bought in a short time respectively; at other times, just use it as a reference)

Altcoin Season Index: 16 (Below 25 indicates a low-value zone, above 75 is a bubble zone; mainly used to determine when Bitcoin will shift to altcoin trends, at other times it's more for reference)

Binance Perpetual Contract Real-time Funding Rate: -0.0038% (Generally, only 0.1000% and -0.1000% are useful for assessing short-term market over-bought and over-sold conditions; use this number for reference now)

Binance BTC Quarterly Contract Premium: 1.686% (Only when the premium drops below -10% does it have significant effect, allowing for judgment on whether the market is extremely over-sold; use this number mainly for reference)

Bitcoin Market Cap Proportion: 63.33% (Getting close to 40% is a top signal; just use it as a reference normally)

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

Looking back at the batch of altcoins I picked for everyone in early April, two months have passed in the blink of an eye. MKR, AAVE, CRV, LINK, and SUI are basically the most stable coins. You can check the K-line charts yourself; each one is quite resilient. Moreover, the selection of these coins wasn’t random; each has its own rationale:

MKR, as the leader in the RWA track, some say ONDO is the leader, but I didn’t select it—ONDO has too large a market cap, making it hard to rise. Looking back, choosing MKR was the right decision; its performance has indeed been strong.
AAVE is the leader in DeFi lending; I’ve said before that lending is a necessity in a bull market. People are reluctant to sell their coins, so they use them as collateral to borrow USDT, and this demand is evident.
CRV mainly focuses on trading the U.S. stablecoin bill, and its performance hasn’t disappointed.
LINK has moved quite steadily; after all, the oracle leader has a significant market cap, and it mostly follows the broader market trends.
SUI, no need to say more, is the leader of the new public chain and is still strongly controlled by whales, showing very aggressive performance.

In any case, every coin I suggested for you to invest in has logical support; I would never let you buy randomly—recommending random coins in this market is just a scam, and you all know this in your hearts.

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

Add a picture 😂

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

Strength is not just talk; those with strength do not need to speak for themselves, their fans speak for them!!!
$ETH

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#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？