[7.18 hedging strategy sharing, capital swaps continue, US stocks fluctuate, can the cryptocurrency market have an independent market? ]
Goldman Sachs analysis has warned the market that the US stock market correction has not ended and the bull market has come to an end. Behind this bearish view, it is probably also affected by the party struggles in the US election, and the market risks have been predicted.
Trump's hot trading is actually a repetition of inflation expectations. Interest rate cuts or inflation first, at present, interest rate cuts come first, so there is no need to be so pessimistic that the bull is gone. After all, the Dow Jones is still rising, the Russell Index is still rising, and the cryptocurrency market may not follow suit.
If following analysts to speculate in stocks can always make money without losses, there will be no poor people in the world.
We must seriously refer to the conclusions of analysts in the general direction, but there will definitely be differences in subtle operations and different asset categories.
The cryptocurrency market is a high-risk asset. Under the current global political and economic landscape, uncertainty is rising and the demand for risk aversion is very strong. Even if the US stock market resumes inflation in the future, Bitcoin is not an ideal asset to resist inflation.
Investing requires rationality, and a little faith is also needed at critical moments. Don't be blindly swept by the market, but you should see the big trend after the small trend.
At the same time, you can do some insurance through forward put bear market spreads to prevent the tail risk of a sharp drop, and generally ignore small callbacks as much as possible.
From the perspective of volatility, there was some collapse in the forward IV of Big Pie in August and September, and it was rumored that the Auntie ETF was listed on July 23. Then the prudent approach can be to deleverage and remove contracts before listing, and only retain spot and forward insurance positions.
The future time after September is still positively bullish, with a target of 10w+.
The short-term target of Auntie is 5600 after September, and the future target is 10w+.
Although the seven sisters of the US stock market have retreated, we believe that the probability of an independent market in the currency circle is still very high. More and more traditional funds will enter Big Pie and Auntie through the ETF channel. The future trend of the two should be that the price continues to rise slowly and the volatility gradually decreases.
Therefore, let's do a covered call strategy together. The next ten years will be the best ten years for Big Pie and Auntie.
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