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๐ณ๐ฟ๐๏ธ Economic Debate: New Zealandโs Shadow Committee split over keeping the rate at 2.25% ๐โ๏ธ
The Shadow Committee of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) showed a deep split ahead of the central bankโs July monetary policy meeting, according to reports from Jin10 ๐.
The majority narrowly backed keeping the official cash rate (OCR) at 2.25%, although there was a heated debate about a 25-basis-point increase.
Those supporting the urgent hike cited current inflation pressure, while supporters of a pause pointed to weak demand and unemployment as reasons to exercise macroeconomic caution ๐๐.
Do you think the central bank will prioritize bringing down inflation or protecting jobs?
$BTC
$ZEC
$SOL
#BinanceSquare #NuevaZelanda #Macroeconomia #TasasDeInteres ๐
The Shadow Committee of the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) showed a deep split ahead of the central bankโs July monetary policy meeting, according to reports from Jin10 ๐.
The majority narrowly backed keeping the official cash rate (OCR) at 2.25%, although there was a heated debate about a 25-basis-point increase.
Those supporting the urgent hike cited current inflation pressure, while supporters of a pause pointed to weak demand and unemployment as reasons to exercise macroeconomic caution ๐๐.
Do you think the central bank will prioritize bringing down inflation or protecting jobs?
$BTC
$ZEC
$SOL
#BinanceSquare #NuevaZelanda #Macroeconomia #TasasDeInteres ๐
๐๐ณ๐ฟ Monetary Policy: Westpac expects the RBNZ to keep the interest rate at 2.25% ๐๏ธ๐
The financial firm Westpac projects that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will keep its Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.25% at its monetary policy meeting ๐.
According to Jin10, Westpac said that the rapid drop in oil prices has eased inflationary pressures, giving the central bank more time to assess economic performance before receiving key macroeconomic data after the July meeting ๐๐.
However, they estimate that the RBNZ will maintain a bias toward possible rate hikes toward the end of the year.
$BTC
$ETH
#BinanceSquare #RBNZ #Westpac #TasasDeInteres ๐
The financial firm Westpac projects that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will keep its Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.25% at its monetary policy meeting ๐.
According to Jin10, Westpac said that the rapid drop in oil prices has eased inflationary pressures, giving the central bank more time to assess economic performance before receiving key macroeconomic data after the July meeting ๐๐.
However, they estimate that the RBNZ will maintain a bias toward possible rate hikes toward the end of the year.
$BTC
$ETH
#BinanceSquare #RBNZ #Westpac #TasasDeInteres ๐
๐ MACRO KEY: The market on edge over May's PCE inflation data and the direction of the S&P 500 ๐ฆ
๐
Market analysts agree that the upcoming report on the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) for May will be the crucial factor that dictates the immediate path of the S&P 500 index.
This indicator, established as the preferred inflation metric by the Federal Reserve (Fed), will be officially released on Thursday, June 25, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
Investor expectation and tension are at a peak as this key data comes right after a Fed meeting that adopted a notably hawkish tone.
๐ฏ Critical Points and Fed Projections
2026 Forecast: The Federal Reserve raised its core PCE projection to 3.3% for the end of this year.
Rate Path: These tighter projections have shifted market consensus, raising expectations for up to three interest rate hikes this year.
Traders are looking to confirm whether the underlying figures manage to cool off or if they validate the Fed's tightening monetary policy, which could unleash volatility in both traditional equity markets and the crypto ecosystem
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#BinanceSquare #ReservaFederal #SP500 #Macroeconomia #TasasDeInteres
Market analysts agree that the upcoming report on the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) for May will be the crucial factor that dictates the immediate path of the S&P 500 index.
This indicator, established as the preferred inflation metric by the Federal Reserve (Fed), will be officially released on Thursday, June 25, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
Investor expectation and tension are at a peak as this key data comes right after a Fed meeting that adopted a notably hawkish tone.
๐ฏ Critical Points and Fed Projections
2026 Forecast: The Federal Reserve raised its core PCE projection to 3.3% for the end of this year.
Rate Path: These tighter projections have shifted market consensus, raising expectations for up to three interest rate hikes this year.
Traders are looking to confirm whether the underlying figures manage to cool off or if they validate the Fed's tightening monetary policy, which could unleash volatility in both traditional equity markets and the crypto ecosystem
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#BinanceSquare #ReservaFederal #SP500 #Macroeconomia #TasasDeInteres
#WarshHiresConservativeAdvisersAmidFedOverhaul
๐ The biggest Fed overhaul in decades
Kevin Warsh, the new Fed chair, has brought on board Paul Winfree and Daniel Heil, two conservative figures. Winfree was the author of the chapter on the Fed in the "Project 2025," a plan advocating for the elimination of the dual mandate (employment + inflation) and focusing solely on price control.
๐ง The 3 changes Warsh wants to implement
1. Shrink the Fed's balance sheet (currently at $6.7 trillion) through asset sales โ less liquidity.
2. Eliminate forward guidance ("dot plot"): he wants the market to stop parsing every word from the Fed.
3. Change how inflation is measured to better reflect real pressures.
โก What does this mean for crypto investors?
๐ด Short term: risks
ยท Less liquidity (QT) โ historically bearish for risk assets.
ยท Potential rate hikes: inflation is at 4.2% (highest in 3 years). Markets are pricing in a 50-65% chance of a hike in 2026.
๐ข Long term: opportunities
ยท Warsh is pro-crypto: he invested in 30+ projects ($SOL ,$BTC ) before taking office.
ยท More favorable regulation: stablecoins, asset tokenization, bank licenses.
ยท Less manipulation of long-term expectations.
๐ง Strategy for traders
ยท Reduce leverage until Warsh's stance on rates and balance becomes clearer.
ยท Monitor on-chain signals: Coinbase Premium and exchange flows as thermometers.
ยท Donโt confuse "pro-crypto" with "pro-liquidity": Warsh may be friendly with the industry, but his priority is combating inflation.
In summary: Warsh is designing the biggest Fed reform in decades. Crypto investors should prepare for less liquidity and more uncertainty in the short term, but with the promise of a more favorable regulatory framework in the long run.
Do you think Warsh will manage to push his agenda or will internal resistance hold him back? ๐
#tasasdeinteres #MacroEconomรญa #Warsh
๐ The biggest Fed overhaul in decades
Kevin Warsh, the new Fed chair, has brought on board Paul Winfree and Daniel Heil, two conservative figures. Winfree was the author of the chapter on the Fed in the "Project 2025," a plan advocating for the elimination of the dual mandate (employment + inflation) and focusing solely on price control.
๐ง The 3 changes Warsh wants to implement
1. Shrink the Fed's balance sheet (currently at $6.7 trillion) through asset sales โ less liquidity.
2. Eliminate forward guidance ("dot plot"): he wants the market to stop parsing every word from the Fed.
3. Change how inflation is measured to better reflect real pressures.
โก What does this mean for crypto investors?
๐ด Short term: risks
ยท Less liquidity (QT) โ historically bearish for risk assets.
ยท Potential rate hikes: inflation is at 4.2% (highest in 3 years). Markets are pricing in a 50-65% chance of a hike in 2026.
๐ข Long term: opportunities
ยท Warsh is pro-crypto: he invested in 30+ projects ($SOL ,$BTC ) before taking office.
ยท More favorable regulation: stablecoins, asset tokenization, bank licenses.
ยท Less manipulation of long-term expectations.
๐ง Strategy for traders
ยท Reduce leverage until Warsh's stance on rates and balance becomes clearer.
ยท Monitor on-chain signals: Coinbase Premium and exchange flows as thermometers.
ยท Donโt confuse "pro-crypto" with "pro-liquidity": Warsh may be friendly with the industry, but his priority is combating inflation.
In summary: Warsh is designing the biggest Fed reform in decades. Crypto investors should prepare for less liquidity and more uncertainty in the short term, but with the promise of a more favorable regulatory framework in the long run.
Do you think Warsh will manage to push his agenda or will internal resistance hold him back? ๐
#tasasdeinteres #MacroEconomรญa #Warsh
๐ #cryptocrash : 5 factors explaining today's drop
June 23 The crypto market is taking a hit: $BTC is down -3.56%, $ETH is down **-6.03% and the rest of the altcoins are following the same bearish trend. Why is this happening if the macro news is positive? Here are the 5 key factors.
๐๏ธ 1. The Fed and the fear of interest rates
The Federal Reserve has signaled that it might raise rates this year. Higher rates are negative for speculative assets like cryptocurrencies.
๐ 2. Massive outflows from Bitcoin ETFs
Institutional investors are still dumping. It's been six consecutive weeks of net outflows. Institutional demand remains weak.
๐ 3. SpaceX crashes and drags down the Nasdaq
$SPCX fell over 16% this Monday to $154.60**. In three days, SpaceX has lost over **$600 billion in value. This dragged down the Nasdaq, which fell over 1%.
๐๏ธ 4. Optimism for peace with Iran fades
Positive news about peace negotiations no longer generates the same enthusiasm. The market needs concrete progress.
๐ 5. Sentiment remains in "Extreme Fear"
The Fear and Greed Index is stuck at 23 (Extreme Fear). Volume is low and the recovery momentum is weak.
๐ง Conclusion
The market is caught between macro uncertainty (interest rates) and weak institutional demand (ETF outflows). Peace with Iran is positive, but not enough to counteract the fear of tighter monetary policy.
Do you think the market will find a bottom soon or will the drop continue? ๐
#cryptocrash #Fed #tasasdeinteres #analisis
June 23 The crypto market is taking a hit: $BTC is down -3.56%, $ETH is down **-6.03% and the rest of the altcoins are following the same bearish trend. Why is this happening if the macro news is positive? Here are the 5 key factors.
๐๏ธ 1. The Fed and the fear of interest rates
The Federal Reserve has signaled that it might raise rates this year. Higher rates are negative for speculative assets like cryptocurrencies.
๐ 2. Massive outflows from Bitcoin ETFs
Institutional investors are still dumping. It's been six consecutive weeks of net outflows. Institutional demand remains weak.
๐ 3. SpaceX crashes and drags down the Nasdaq
$SPCX fell over 16% this Monday to $154.60**. In three days, SpaceX has lost over **$600 billion in value. This dragged down the Nasdaq, which fell over 1%.
๐๏ธ 4. Optimism for peace with Iran fades
Positive news about peace negotiations no longer generates the same enthusiasm. The market needs concrete progress.
๐ 5. Sentiment remains in "Extreme Fear"
The Fear and Greed Index is stuck at 23 (Extreme Fear). Volume is low and the recovery momentum is weak.
๐ง Conclusion
The market is caught between macro uncertainty (interest rates) and weak institutional demand (ETF outflows). Peace with Iran is positive, but not enough to counteract the fear of tighter monetary policy.
Do you think the market will find a bottom soon or will the drop continue? ๐
#cryptocrash #Fed #tasasdeinteres #analisis
๐ฎ๐ฉ MACRO ALERT! ๐ฆ INDONESIA GIVES EXPLANATIONS TO INVESTORS AFTER SURPRISING RATE HIKE ๐
Damage control on an international scale!
๐ฅ Indonesia's central bank (Bank Indonesia) held urgent conference calls with investors from Europe and the US after shaking up the market with an unexpected interest rate hike. ๐๐ผ
๐ The essentials at a glance:
Direct Justification: According to Jin10 data, a vice governor of the institution confirmed that the meetings aimed to clarify the macroeconomic reasons behind the surprise adjustment.
๐ Calming the Market: The calls were intended to dispel doubts and maintain confidence among global investment funds in the face of currency volatility. ๐๏ธ๐ธ
#Indonesia #TasasDeInteres #Macroeconomia #BancosCentrales #BinanceSquare
๐ Monitor real-time market impact right here:
$BTC $ETH
Damage control on an international scale!
๐ฅ Indonesia's central bank (Bank Indonesia) held urgent conference calls with investors from Europe and the US after shaking up the market with an unexpected interest rate hike. ๐๐ผ
๐ The essentials at a glance:
Direct Justification: According to Jin10 data, a vice governor of the institution confirmed that the meetings aimed to clarify the macroeconomic reasons behind the surprise adjustment.
๐ Calming the Market: The calls were intended to dispel doubts and maintain confidence among global investment funds in the face of currency volatility. ๐๏ธ๐ธ
#Indonesia #TasasDeInteres #Macroeconomia #BancosCentrales #BinanceSquare
๐ Monitor real-time market impact right here:
$BTC $ETH
๐ฏ๐ต ALERT BOJ! ๐ฆ BANK OF AMERICA SEES A 50% CHANCE OF ANOTHER RATE HIKE IN OCTOBER ๐
Key move in the forex market!
๐ฅ Bank of America strategist, Shusuke Yamada, pointed out that the market is already pricing in a 50% probability of another interest rate hike in Japan for October. ๐๐ด
๐ The essentials at a glance:
Domino Effect: According to data from NS3.AI, this projection arises as a reaction to the rate hike expected to be formally executed by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) next week. ๐๏ธ๐
Yen Boost: Yamada noted that the Japanese currency (JPY) could strengthen significantly if the BOJ issues guidance with a more aggressive (hawkish) monetary policy stance. ๐๐
#BankOfAmerica #TasasDeInteres #Macroeconomia #Japon #BinanceSquare
๐ Monitor the forex and crypto market reactions in real-time here:
$BTC $ETH
Key move in the forex market!
๐ฅ Bank of America strategist, Shusuke Yamada, pointed out that the market is already pricing in a 50% probability of another interest rate hike in Japan for October. ๐๐ด
๐ The essentials at a glance:
Domino Effect: According to data from NS3.AI, this projection arises as a reaction to the rate hike expected to be formally executed by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) next week. ๐๏ธ๐
Yen Boost: Yamada noted that the Japanese currency (JPY) could strengthen significantly if the BOJ issues guidance with a more aggressive (hawkish) monetary policy stance. ๐๐
#BankOfAmerica #TasasDeInteres #Macroeconomia #Japon #BinanceSquare
๐ Monitor the forex and crypto market reactions in real-time here:
$BTC $ETH
๐ #USStockRallyPausesBeforeWarshFed : The calm before the storm
Wall Street halts its rally from last week ($SPY +1.7%, $QQQ +3.1%) as the market holds its breath before the first Federal Reserve meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh. The decision drops tomorrow, June 17.
๐๏ธ Who is Kevin Warsh?
Confirmed on May 13 in a historic vote (54-45), Warsh replaces Jerome Powell. His reputation is more 'hawkish' (aggressive against inflation) and his communication style less predictable. The market is uncertain how he will handle inflation (~4%) and a labor market that remains strong.
๐ฏ Why the pause?
ยท The Fed will keep rates (3.50%-3.75%), but the key factor is the projections for rates ('dot plot').
ยท If Warsh hints at a potential rate hike in 2026, the market will shake.
ยท Investors are already pricing in a 50-65% probability of at least one rate hike this year.
โก Impact on crypto
Scenario Consequence
๐ด Hawkish tone (priority: inflation) Strong dollar โ capital flees from risk โ drop in BTC and altcoins
๐ข Dovish tone (no rush to hike) Weak dollar โ liquidity โ crypto rally
๐ง Strategy for traders
ยท Reduce leverage until we know Warsh's tone.
ยท Wait for the announcement (Wednesday 17) before opening large positions.
ยท Keep an eye on USD/JPY and the volume on Binance as indicators of capital flow.
๐ฎ Conclusion
The market is in 'wait and see' mode. Peace in the Middle East is bullish, but Warsh's Fed is the big unknown. If he confirms no further hikes, we will see a relief rally in crypto. If he opens the door to tightening, get ready for a correction.
Do you think Warsh will be more hawkish than expected or surprise us with a moderate tone? ๐
#Fed #Bitcoin #estrategia #tasasdeinteres
Wall Street halts its rally from last week ($SPY +1.7%, $QQQ +3.1%) as the market holds its breath before the first Federal Reserve meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh. The decision drops tomorrow, June 17.
๐๏ธ Who is Kevin Warsh?
Confirmed on May 13 in a historic vote (54-45), Warsh replaces Jerome Powell. His reputation is more 'hawkish' (aggressive against inflation) and his communication style less predictable. The market is uncertain how he will handle inflation (~4%) and a labor market that remains strong.
๐ฏ Why the pause?
ยท The Fed will keep rates (3.50%-3.75%), but the key factor is the projections for rates ('dot plot').
ยท If Warsh hints at a potential rate hike in 2026, the market will shake.
ยท Investors are already pricing in a 50-65% probability of at least one rate hike this year.
โก Impact on crypto
Scenario Consequence
๐ด Hawkish tone (priority: inflation) Strong dollar โ capital flees from risk โ drop in BTC and altcoins
๐ข Dovish tone (no rush to hike) Weak dollar โ liquidity โ crypto rally
๐ง Strategy for traders
ยท Reduce leverage until we know Warsh's tone.
ยท Wait for the announcement (Wednesday 17) before opening large positions.
ยท Keep an eye on USD/JPY and the volume on Binance as indicators of capital flow.
๐ฎ Conclusion
The market is in 'wait and see' mode. Peace in the Middle East is bullish, but Warsh's Fed is the big unknown. If he confirms no further hikes, we will see a relief rally in crypto. If he opens the door to tightening, get ready for a correction.
Do you think Warsh will be more hawkish than expected or surprise us with a moderate tone? ๐
#Fed #Bitcoin #estrategia #tasasdeinteres
๐จ๐ฆ
LA FED FREEZES RATES: 97% CHANCE OF HOLDING IN JUNE
The U.S. Federal Reserve is keeping the economy under pressure. The CME FedWatch tool confirms a staggering 97% probability that interest rates will stay put in June, leaving only a 3% chance for a surprise cut.
The most shocking:
๐ July under the microscope: Jin10's report shows an 81.9% chance of keeping rates steady in July, but alarms are ringing with a 15.5% probability of another rate hike.
๐ธ Expensive money: The market is digesting that access to capital will remain constrained for longer, cooling Wall Street's expectations.
#Fed #TasasDeInteres #CMEFedWatch #Macroeconomia #Binance
๐๏ธ COMPRESSION PSYCHOLOGY: THE ESCAPE TOWARDS ASYMMETRIC YIELD IS AN INFINITE CYCLE โพ๏ธ
The mind of the big investor gets frustrated when the Fed prolongs financial strangulation, as cash stuck in traditional banks loses purchasing power against inflation. With the spigot of cheap money shutting off, institutional funds are forced to rotate their liquidity into digitally scarce assets in search of real yields. Those who grasp this movement position themselves ahead of the big capital flow.
๐ Hit the charts down below NOW to see where global liquidity is escaping live ๐
$ETH $BTC
The U.S. Federal Reserve is keeping the economy under pressure. The CME FedWatch tool confirms a staggering 97% probability that interest rates will stay put in June, leaving only a 3% chance for a surprise cut.
The most shocking:
๐ July under the microscope: Jin10's report shows an 81.9% chance of keeping rates steady in July, but alarms are ringing with a 15.5% probability of another rate hike.
๐ธ Expensive money: The market is digesting that access to capital will remain constrained for longer, cooling Wall Street's expectations.
#Fed #TasasDeInteres #CMEFedWatch #Macroeconomia #Binance
๐๏ธ COMPRESSION PSYCHOLOGY: THE ESCAPE TOWARDS ASYMMETRIC YIELD IS AN INFINITE CYCLE โพ๏ธ
The mind of the big investor gets frustrated when the Fed prolongs financial strangulation, as cash stuck in traditional banks loses purchasing power against inflation. With the spigot of cheap money shutting off, institutional funds are forced to rotate their liquidity into digitally scarce assets in search of real yields. Those who grasp this movement position themselves ahead of the big capital flow.
๐ Hit the charts down below NOW to see where global liquidity is escaping live ๐
$ETH $BTC
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