$SOL 76. From 79 down to 73.39, then back up. Down 0.7% over 7 days, funding rate 0.004% neutral. Someone is taking the bid at 73.
Candlestick breakdown (4h)
78→77.18, 300k volume spike then rolled over.
77→76.41, 330k volume fell through 77.
76→75.32, 150k volume drifted lower.
75→74.61, 230k volume smashed down to 74.29.
74.86→74.77, 450k mega-volume sold off to 73.39 (this round’s low), 4x average volume. Close pulled back to 74.77 with strong absorption.
74.78→75.2, 200k volume bounced back to 75.
74.5-75.5 tight range with reduced volume, 80k-120k.
Recently 75.53→75.96, 260k volume expanded as it broke above 76 and held steady.
Technical indicators
4h: EMA9=75.53, EMA21=75.86. Price is above EMA21; golden cross to be confirmed.
Daily: EMA9=76.33, EMA21=75.86, EMA50=75.73. Three lines are sticking together.
RSI: 4h=58, daily=50. Neutral.
MACD: daily 0.071 / signal 0.561 / histogram -0.489. Bears are leading, but the histogram is narrowing from -0.54, bearish momentum weakening.
Support & resistance
75.86 (EMA21) → 75.73 (EMA50) → 73.39 (this round’s low)
76.57 → 77.95 → 79.04 (prior highs where trapped)
Fund flows
24h volume 2.36B, net inflow 92.5M. Open positions: 8.97M SOL. Fear index 28.
Whales & news
In May, a whale withdrew 6.27M SOL from Binance ($446M), the largest single transaction so far this year. On-chain large holders accumulated between 73-75. Solana released updates for Agave and Firedancer in July.
Nini’s plan
Current price 76
Bias: slightly bullish
Wait for confirmation. Don’t chase.
Long: Pull back to 75.5-75.8 to stabilize, enter after a bullish close on the 4h. Stop loss 74.2, target 78, risk-reward 2.8:1. If it breaks and holds above 76.57, trail and chase to 77; stop out at 75.5.
Short: On a rebound, enter on stalled upside with volume expansion around 77.9-78. Stop loss 80, target 75.8, risk-reward 2.4:1.
My take: The three EMA lines are sticking together, and there’s whale support at the bottom. 73 is a “strong bottom”; hold it and grind higher. Slightly bullish—wait for a pullback.
Near the end of the shakeout—be patient and wait.
#SOL #Solana #公链 #Firedancer