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gaahcordeiro
138 Objave

gaahcordeiro

Markets Analyses on-chain Data Trading, AI, Macro Insights
Odprto trgovanje
Imetnik BTC
Imetnik BTC
Pogost trgovalec
7.5 let
5 Sledite
59 Sledilci
331 Všečkano
Objave
Portfelj
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Bikovski
gaahcordeiro
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MVRV-NUPL Composite Score #bitcoin has hit historic levels of cyclical bottom formation

The last time indicator drops below 1.00 was in November 2022 - #BTC was trading at ~$17k

The indicator remains below the Undervalued region for an average of 9 months, according to historical data.

#MVRV #onchain #BitcoinTops$66K $BTC
gaahcordeiro
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Gold is moving toward support channel ($3,9k–$3,1k) after fully expand the resistance channel ($4,6k–$5,4k)

🔴Short trades in Resistance channel

🟢Long trades in Support channel

As long as price continues to fluctuate within control point channel (~$4.2k) there are no trades.

The current subcycle for #GOLD is expected to continue for quite some time, which is favorable for trading the asset’s full rotation.

#PostonTradFi
#bitcoin fails to establish ~$64k as support 🔻 This range now acts as resistance, opening way for a bearish breakout that would continue the downtrend. If ~$64k continues to act as resistance, the most likely scenario is #BTC price will pull back for another full subcycle, opening up a target in support channel between $56k-$51k. In this case, the key point of subcycle is the control point at around $58,000 and current support channel becomes resistance (an area to increase short hedge positions). #technicalanalyst #TradingSignals $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin fails to establish ~$64k as support 🔻

This range now acts as resistance, opening way for a bearish breakout that would continue the downtrend.

If ~$64k continues to act as resistance, the most likely scenario is #BTC price will pull back for another full subcycle, opening up a target in support channel between $56k-$51k.

In this case, the key point of subcycle is the control point at around $58,000 and current support channel becomes resistance (an area to increase short hedge positions).

#technicalanalyst #TradingSignals $BTC
Network Velocity Z-Score #bitcoin hits 4-year high, signaling high activity Periods of high activity🔴 indicate an active market with coins circulating and changing hands. Periods of low activity🟢 indicate a contraction supply. The market is still in distribution mode, possibly largely driven by realization of ETFs #BTC #ETFvsBTC #ETFs $BTC #BlackRock⁩ {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Network Velocity Z-Score #bitcoin hits 4-year high, signaling high activity

Periods of high activity🔴 indicate an active market with coins circulating and changing hands.

Periods of low activity🟢 indicate a contraction supply.

The market is still in distribution mode, possibly largely driven by realization of ETFs

#BTC #ETFvsBTC #ETFs $BTC #BlackRock⁩
Deviation Puell Multiple Fair Price #bitcoin very close to reaching -50 As the price further deviates from PM Fair Value, miners are operating at low profitability and are under pressure to capitulate. Puell Multiple Fair Price is in range ~$85k #BTC #CYCLE #Onchain $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Deviation Puell Multiple Fair Price #bitcoin very close to reaching -50

As the price further deviates from PM Fair Value, miners are operating at low profitability and are under pressure to capitulate.

Puell Multiple Fair Price is in range ~$85k

#BTC #CYCLE #Onchain $BTC
Strategy acquired +520 #BTC for $35 million at average cost $67,068 In addition, USD reserve increased by +$300 m for $1,4 b Strategy now holds 847,363 BTC and cost basis🟡 around $75,651 #Bitcoin #strategy #Saylor $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Strategy acquired +520 #BTC for $35 million at average cost $67,068

In addition, USD reserve increased by +$300 m for $1,4 b

Strategy now holds 847,363 BTC and cost basis🟡 around $75,651

#Bitcoin #strategy #Saylor $BTC
gaahcordeiro
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#bitcoin at higher band of support channel

If #BTC forms a higher support level around $74k (50% region channel) the price is likely to test control point
#bitcoin Cycle Momentum indicates that the bear market is not over yet #BTC Cycle Momentum has not moved above the neutral zone (0), so the bear market is still underway. The indicator has reached the -30 point range — a historically deep zone for the formation of a cyclical bottom Historically, this range (-30) has formed the main support levels for BTC However, to confirm a trend reversal, the price must form a bullish pattern with the indicator breaking above the Neutral zone. #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin Cycle Momentum indicates that the bear market is not over yet

#BTC Cycle Momentum has not moved above the neutral zone (0), so the bear market is still underway.

The indicator has reached the -30 point range — a historically deep zone for the formation of a cyclical bottom

Historically, this range (-30) has formed the main support levels for BTC

However, to confirm a trend reversal, the price must form a bullish pattern with the indicator breaking above the Neutral zone.

#Onchain #CYCLE $BTC
P/L Supply Ratio Z-Score #bitcoin is moving away from the Capitulation Zone as price hits a new low This indicator is the ratio of supply in profit to supply at loss, where positive/negative extremes coincide with periods when #BTC forms tops/bottoms The indicator has reached a historic low but has not yet recovered above the Neutral Zone (0) since October 10, 2025. Therefore, the indicator needs to move above the neutral zone to confirm bear market reversal. #Realized #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
P/L Supply Ratio Z-Score #bitcoin is moving away from the Capitulation Zone as price hits a new low

This indicator is the ratio of supply in profit to supply at loss, where positive/negative extremes coincide with periods when #BTC forms tops/bottoms

The indicator has reached a historic low but has not yet recovered above the Neutral Zone (0) since October 10, 2025.

Therefore, the indicator needs to move above the neutral zone to confirm bear market reversal.

#Realized #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC
gaahcordeiro
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Miner Capitulation Index reached a new peak above 65 🔴 (capitulation level) in 2026

Historically, when miners have low returns (Puell Multiple > 1.00) and mining costs exceed price #BTC this signaled periods of capitulation and formation of bottom.

#bitcoin #Onchain #miners $BTC
MVRV Fair Price Deviation #bitcoin has not yet reached -50% Historically, this range has marked the formation of cyclical bottom #BTC — when the price falls by about 50% relative to the MVRV fair price Current price projections for reaching this range are around ~$45k #Onchain #MVRV #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
MVRV Fair Price Deviation #bitcoin has not yet reached -50%

Historically, this range has marked the formation of cyclical bottom #BTC — when the price falls by about 50% relative to the MVRV fair price

Current price projections for reaching this range are around ~$45k

#Onchain #MVRV #CYCLE $BTC
gaahcordeiro
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MVRV Fair Price 🔵 #bitcoin at ~$87k

This band confirms a trend reversal when the price crosses below/above it 🔻🔺

If #BTC price exceeds that level, the bear market is reversed.

#Onchain #CYCLE #MVRV $BTC
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Bikovski
gaahcordeiro
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STC - Schaff Trend Cycle #bitcoin above 50

The indicator is expected to reach 95+, confirming the start of a short-term uptrend and opening the door for #BTC to test resistance channel ($71k–$76k)

#Onchain #technicalanalyst $BTC
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