姓赵不宣

🚨4-Year Cycle Simulation Highlights (Not Investment Advice)🚨
⚡️Short-Term Volatility
▫️Q3-Q4 may retest strong support at $68K-$73K (Miner Cost + CME Gap)
▫️Weekly TD9 Sequence is about to be reached
🚀Main Uptrend Logic
✅Dual Cycle Resonance: Halving Effect (May 2024) + Federal Reserve Liquidity (Q4 2024)
✅Whale Cost Anchor: Institutions building positions at $65K-$70K / Mining Machine Iteration Cost at $58K
✅Policy Catalyst: U.S. Crypto Legislation may accelerate
🎯Target Trajectory
▫️Conservative Target for H1 2025 at $114K (1.618 Fibonacci Level)
▫️Trump Cycle Exceeding Expectations Scenario $160K+ (Benchmarking Gold 5% Market Value)
⚠️Risk Warning
▫️Monthly RSI > 90 will trigger epic overbought conditions
▫️Whale Position Concentration has reached levels seen on the eve of the 2021 Bull Market
▫️Black Swan Monitoring: U.S. Treasury Liquidity / Middle East Situation

贝莱德比特币ETF创最长连续周资金净流出纪录，五周累计达27亿美元

据彭博社报道，贝莱德旗下的iShares比特币信托基金（IBIT）自2024年1月面世以来，创下了最长连续周资金净流出纪录，这表明即便比特币价格趋于稳定，机构对比特币的兴趣依然低迷。

数据显示，截至11月28日的五周内，投资者从该ETF中赎回了超过27亿美元资金。随着周四又出现1.13亿美元的赎回，该ETF如今正迈向连续第六周净资金流出。

Glassnode在近期一份报告中指出，这一趋势“标志着此前支撑价格上涨的持续资金流入态势已明显逆转，反映出新资本配置该资产的热情降温”。

2D Special

This is being wildly circulated in all communities this morning.

After looking at the original article from the Southern Metropolis Daily, the woman arrested for fraudulent donations set up a fake website to deceive people into donating.

However, the Hong Kong police responded that such cases have been handed over to the second team of the Wan Chai police district's major crime unit for follow-up, and more arrests for fraudulent donations cannot be ruled out.

According to reports, AMD has stated that it is ready to pay 15% tax to the U.S. government to export MI308 chips to China. A Reuters reporter asked whether China is ready to purchase this chip. In response, Lin Jian stated, 'We have repeatedly expressed our position on the issue of U.S. chips exported to China, and we hope the U.S. side will take practical actions to maintain the stability and smoothness of the global supply chain. For specific situations, it is recommended to inquire with the relevant authorities in China.

Easing relations is beneficial.

In the past 24 hours, Matrixport withdrew 5,805 $BTC from #Binance, worth 468.17 million USD. Boss Wu continues to increase his BTC holdings.

This time we need to look at the 4-hour chart, the bears are going crazy..

Around 93500-94000 it feels like a laser cannon has appeared, and over 2000 BTC big sell orders have been placed around 94000-95500.

The deepest liquidity for the bulls is at 88600, brothers, please pay attention to protecting our living forces.

Below 90500, someone has placed a buy order of 200 million, we can't let this guy get the goods........

The terrifying incident has started spreading in the group, and I think it should be a rumor. Binance, OKX, and Huobi are all frantically recruiting OTC market makers to subsidize losses from illicit money.

Major exchanges are about to close domestic C2C channels 🤔

Using rice to buy coins domestically has already been classified as illegal financial activity, everyone, don't doubt it. The C2C channel is also a form of illegal activity, remember that it applies to all! Stablecoins and their trading, exchanging, and settlement functions.

12.05 Regional Chain Daily Report：

I watched some things before bed and felt like everything would go to zero, but when I woke up, everything took off. Is it true that the things I don't value are actually good things?

1. $BTC has been fluctuating, touched around 94000 before starting to pull back, dipped to around 90800 in the early morning, and has now returned to 92000. It’s Friday; is something going to happen again?

2. $ETH seems to be more resilient than Bitcoin. Yesterday, Bitcoin pulled back first, while Ethereum maintained a high position for a while, only following after it couldn't hold on. It continues to be closely watched;

3. $SOL is seeing more and more "wealth effects" appearing on-chain. Although it's quite localized and has a low market cap, everything is developing in a good direction;

4. @Lighter_xyz will launch spot trading this week, with ETH as the first supported asset;

The pace is getting closer to TGE;

5. Jupiter: The public sale phase of HumidiFi (WET) has sold out, raising a total of 5.57 million dollars in three phases;

The third phase sold out in seconds🈚️;

6. Sui: The first 2x leveraged SUI ETF has been approved by the US SEC and is listed on NASDAQ;

7. The International Monetary Fund warns: the proliferation of stablecoins may weaken central bank control;

8. JPMorgan: Bitcoin prices are declining while electricity prices are high, leading to market pressure from high-cost miners;

9. Gemini launched the "Deep Think" mode to enhance reasoning and code generation capabilities;

10. CZ and Peter Schiff engaged in a debate over the value differences between Bitcoin and tokenized gold;

11. Polymarket: officially launched the MetaMask mobile application;

Polymarket is recruiting new employees for its internal market-making team;

12. QwQiao: The lack of consensus on public chain valuations is a core issue preventing the formation of bullish and bearish logic;

13. Kraken has reached a strategic cooperation with Deutsche Börse to promote institutional crypto trading and tokenization business;

14. The US CFTC supports regulated platforms to open spot digital asset products;

Bitnomial will launch a leveraged spot market;

15. Meta plans to cut its metaverse department budget by up to 30% next year, and Meta's stock price rose by 3.83%;

16. Aave deepened its integration with CoW, launching MEV-resistant Swap services and intention-based flash loan products;

A giant whale deposited $1.18 million $USDC into #HypeerLiquid, opening a long position in $HYPE with 5x leverage, and has placed an order to increase the position.

In the second wallet, the whale holds a long position in $HYPE with 6x leverage, with an unrealized profit of $850,000.

Stand at your own height and see the scenery you should see🌇

Wow, brothers, a shocking news in the crypto circle‼️

It's not a female KOL in Hong Kong scamming donations

Nor is it a kiss at the Dubai conference

According to reports, 10 out of the 12 mnemonic words of Satoshi Nakamoto's genesis wallet have been cracked, and if the remaining two are brute-forced

The 1,100,000 bitcoins he holds may flow into the market, potentially causing a catastrophic sell-off in the crypto world.

This news has instantly ignited discussions in the cryptocurrency community, with related discussions skyrocketing. However, just as everyone is tightening their wallets, let's take a closer look at these 10 cracked mnemonic words, which translate to KFC Crazy Thursday WeChat me 50 yuan

Damn, what kind of mnemonic word cracking is this? It's obviously a new type of scam from KFC Crazy Thursday.

Let's first worry about what to eat! I'll go for a New Orleans Chicken Leg Burger! [Grinning]

It seems that the big players in the black and gray market have reached the stage of cashing out, entering the final phase.

In this round, BTC's maximum drop during the sell-off has gone down by 30%. One must admit that their holdings are indeed very substantial, and clearing them out earlier is also a good thing for the industry.

In recent days, feedback from the community indicates that the off-exchange price of the stablecoin USDT against the Chinese Yuan has dropped to a negative premium.

Currently, 1 USDT = 6.95 Chinese Yuan
But 1 US Dollar = 7.07 Chinese Yuan

A few days ago, the People's Bank of China led dozens of government departments to announce that they would crackdown on cryptocurrency (including stablecoins) related business activities and online speculation, with momentum comparable to the policies during the previous round of May 19, 2022.

Liquidity 4-hour clear chart, currently still more concentrated liquidity below, still around the same point as yesterday near 92000.

This morning, the 50 million sell order at 93000 has been completely filled, and there is someone hanging an 8000+ sell order above at 94400.

The 4-hour TD sentiment has somewhat peaked, be aware of the risk of a pullback.

$HYPE The current short position of $BTC has reached 90 million.

From his historical performance, he is a player who can go both long and short.

This time, we need to go all in and short.