神 策

September 25th Intraday Short Line Simple and Easy, it's another meal

How many days has everyone been short? Are you thinking that a safe bottom has already been established? If you think you can steadily go long, that would really be too naive! If you don't know how to enter the market steadily and want to know the steady points, as well as when to enter, Shence will announce the specific entry points and times in the village. Every time a position is built, it is based on support, and it will never be entered based on market feeling! #狗狗币ETF进展

I am CZ, send money! #BNB创新高

Take off, Air Force brothers #加密市场回调

The most expensive thing in the cryptocurrency world is not ETH, but the retail investors' ‘I thought’—you think bottom fishing is easy money, but to the big players, you are just an ‘automatic teller machine’!
The truth about ETH market: Don't be fooled by the “technical analysis” nonsense!
Now the 1-hour K-line for ETH looks like a documentary of a “vegetable slaughterhouse”: the price is stuck at 4010, the upper 4050 feels like a wall, and the lower 3960 seems to be the floor, but in fact it’s “made of paper”.
My bold statement: This wave of market is not “oscillating,” but a clear attack from the big players to kill the bulls!
Three failed attempts to break 4050, the trading volume shrinks like “a grandmother's needle eye,” and the bulls have exhausted all their energy on “calling orders”; the liquidation data is bloody: 1.6 billion long positions liquidated in 24 hours, while only 20 million in short positions—bulls collectively “kneel,” do you still dare to catch falling knives? U.S. employment data hit hard: unemployment claims lower than expected, Fed rate cut expectations cool down, the dollar rises, and cryptocurrencies directly “suffer collateral damage,” this wave is “when it rains, it pours”!
Three principles for retail investors' survival: Now bottom fishing = giving the big players a year-end bonus!
Don't believe the nonsense that “3960 must hold”!
Yesterday's rebound was an “entrapment for the bulls,” if it breaks below 3960 this time, the next stop is 3890—don’t challenge the big players' scythe with “I thought”!
Leverage players clear their positions immediately!
Low volatility is the most dangerous; a single “spike” can have you liquidated to the point of questioning life. Remember: in the cryptocurrency world, living long is 100 times more important than earning quickly!
Want to bottom fish? Wait for these two signals!
Either ETH breaks above 4050 with significant volume and surpasses the resistance level at 4135 (only then will the big players really push the market up); or the liquidation data reverses (more shorts liquidated than longs), indicating that bears concede defeat, and the market may reverse.
Otherwise: all “bottom fishing” is just offering your head to the big players!
There’s no ‘sure profit’ in the cryptocurrency world, only ‘survive’! If you are itching to trade now, first ask yourself three questions:
Can the big players' knife reach me? Can my principal withstand a single liquidation? In this market, am I the main character or cannon fodder?
Follow Shence, and learn to see through the big players' tricks, live in the cryptocurrency world like a “wise old fox”! #加密市场回调

The rebound market in the afternoon didn't entice anyone to get on board, listening to Shen Ce's rebound short is flawless, you can at least gain a little, don't pay attention to good news, it's just to get you to take over the losses, isn't shorting it appealing? Trading is not about stubbornness, thinking that if it drops, you must bottom fish; the more you try to bottom fish, the more you find there is no bottom. If you don't know how to judge the bottom or the top, you can follow Shen Ce, who will remind fans to pay attention to Shen Ce in real-time every day in the village! #加密市场回调

The Federal Reserve speaks, and the crypto world trembles! Is tonight's all-star bombardment going to make your wallet take off or bury it in the ground? The answer lies within these 2 hours!
Why is tonight a "life and death game"?
The people at the Federal Reserve usually speak like they are squeezing toothpaste, but tonight they are firing in a group—voting committee controls interest rates, permanent voting committee controls US dollar credit, and board members control regulatory life and death. These three together are equivalent to installing three emotional bombs in the crypto market.
The core logic is summed up in one sentence: the US dollar is the "oxygen tank" of the crypto world.
When the US dollar interest rates rise, money runs to banks, and the crypto world is directly lacking oxygen; when the US dollar interest rates drop, money is scattered everywhere, and the crypto world becomes a black hole for capital; when regulation is loose, altcoins can soar; when regulation is tight, even Bitcoin has to tremble.
My view: Don't guess the direction, watch the "signal flares"!
The market now is like a gambler, staring at the Federal Reserve's lips to place bets. But don't forget, the big shots love to speak in a "yin-yang" manner—
Goolsbee saying "inflation is controllable" may be hinting that "interest rate cuts are coming"; Williams talking about "the strong dollar" may be warning that "stablecoins are going to shrink"; Bowman mentioning "regulatory innovation" might be giving the green light to DeFi.
The key is not what they say, but how the market "fills in the gaps".
So tonight, focus on which interpretation of "dovish" and "hawkish" is stronger in the market.
Don't operate blindly! Reduce your position to below 50%, and wait until 22:00 when Bowman finishes talking about regulation, then see how the market picks a side.
(Subtext: Random punches can kill the experienced, steadiness is the way to win)
Final reminder: Don't be a "retail investor gambler"!
Set price alerts (BTC 110000/115000, ETH 3900/4200), put your phone on vibration mode, don't get dizzy from the news; stay away from "insider information", even the big shots don't know how the market will interpret it; most importantly: Don't go all in! The crypto market has no "sure wins", only "survival".
"Is tonight's market the ticket to financial freedom or the tombstone of liquidation? Share your holdings in the comments, and let's witness history together! Forward this to your friends, don't let them miss this 'life and death game'!"
(I am Shen Ce, the analyst who dares to speak the truth in the crypto world. Follow me, and I'll help you dodge the blades and feast on the big meat!)#美SEC和CFTC加密监管合作

This wave of stabilization is the institutions lifting up, the price of the second pancake has already reached the cost price of the institutions, everyone should not use their own bullets to lift the institutions, their bullets are unlimited, while ours are limited and precious. Let the institutions charge first, we will act according to the situation, do not become cannon fodder, cannon fodder is the least valuable! If you don't know how to judge the entry point, you can follow Shen Ce, Shen Ce will publish in real-time every day in the village to remind the concerned fans. Your step forward may be a big step for your wealth to rise! #加密市场回调 $ETH

9.25 Bitcoin 110000 defense battle, is it a continuous decline or a lingering struggle?
Bitcoin started to decline from 2 AM today, ending yesterday's rebound, starting from 113900 and has dropped to around 111600, only a thin line away from the 110000 mark. Why did it drop so much today? Firstly, because U.S. Senate Democrat Elizabeth Warren called for an investigation into the overseas cryptocurrency transactions of the Trump family. Secondly, the U.S. Senate will hold a cryptocurrency tax hearing on October 1. Even though the probability of a 25% rate cut in October has reached 94.1%, the net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF is 241 million dollars, which still hasn't stopped the downward trend. However, Bitcoin is still slightly better than Ethereum, which has already dropped below 4000. At least Bitcoin has maintained the 110000 mark; this is where the strength of the leader is showcased. How will Bitcoin move next? Will it directly break below 110000, or will it launch another attack? My view is: regardless of the technical aspect or market sentiment, breaking below 110000 should also be a matter of time. Shen Ce will arrange in real-time in the village. If you don't know how to step in, you can follow Shen Ce. The market may be simple, but not everyone can seize the opportunity. Stay steady, those who understand are already taking action, how about you? #加密市场回调 $BTC

SOL200 Defense Battle
SOL started to decline from 1 AM on the 19th until after 253, reaching a low of 202.6 by noon today, almost breaking through 200. How will the market trend? My view is that no matter how many favorable factors there are, they are futile in the face of the trend. There is a high probability that it will break tonight. Those who have more need to pay attention. If tonight's closing does not stand above 210, then one must consider whether to go or not. The overall direction is mainly bearish. If you don't know how to time it, you can follow Shen Ce, who will remind fans in real-time in the village every day. #加密市场回调

At noon, Shen Ce said at 4020 that it was highly probable that 4000 could not hold. Once released, it directly plunged to 3961, leading to a total liquidation of 263 million across the network, of which long positions accounted for 255 million. A giant whale at the 4000 position was liquidated, with all of its 9,152 ETH (36.4 million USD) long position completely cleared, resulting in a total loss of 45.3 million USD. In the face of trends, even a giant whale is just a fish on the chopping board. So why can the fans following Shen Ce avoid losses and even profit from this wave of market? Now the second token has returned to 4020, what will happen next? Want to know how Shen Ce is laying out? 关注神策主页 The market is simple, but not everyone can seize the opportunity. Stay steady, those who understand have already taken action, how about you? #加密市场回调

The performance of the market today perfectly aligns with the predictions made by the analytics in the morning. A small rebound just reached my key level near 4140. Many people must have been lured into buying, right? Just now, it dropped to a low of 4005, preparing for a second test of the resistance level at 4000. My view is that it is very likely to not hold, even though there have been so many positive news lately, most people do not believe it anymore. As soon as it breaks below 4000, it will trigger liquidations around the 3800 mark for the long positions. If you are currently stuck and don't know what to do, you can follow the analytics. If you still don't know how to enter the market, come and follow the analytics as well. The analytics will provide real-time reminders for fans in the village every day! $ETH #加密市场回调

In the crypto world, the most dangerous thing is not chasing high prices, but being blown to pieces by 'good news' candy-coated bombs! 0G's recent operation is reminiscent of Pangu Community's 'old wine in a new bottle', but don’t rush to slam the table—first read this article, then decide whether to take on this responsibility.
Recently, the 0G project has been strangely hot: while others release good news to pump the market after listing on exchanges, 0G is different; before the exchange even opens spot trading, it has already thrown out two trump cards, 'collaboration with DAT' and 'listing on a Korean exchange', directly boosting market sentiment. What does this operation resemble? It’s like a merchant hiring people to line up before the store even opens, creating a buzz that’s even hotter than a real fire.
But don’t rush in; we need to peel back the surface and look at the essence:
1. Team and Technology: There are real talents, but don’t deify them.
There are indeed technical big shots like the former Conflux CTO in the core team, and the CEO also has experience in entrepreneurship and financing; raising $325 million is not a small feat. More critically, they shout out the slogan of 'decentralized AI operating system', directly hitting the pain point of data trust in the AI field—this story is beautifully told, but no matter how fast the testnet is, it is still a long way from landing.
2. Control Risk: The pits most easily stepped on by retail investors.
Projects with low circulation and high control are like puppets in the hands of the market makers. 0G is currently using 'early good news' to fill expectations; when the exchange truly opens for trading, the market makers may turn around and dump, leaving retail investors standing guard on the mountaintop. Remember: good news being fully priced in is bad news, especially when the good news comes too early and too deliberately.
Personal opinion:
0G is not a pure scam, but it is definitely not a 'sure-win' good-hearted believer. It is like a double-edged sword: the technical story can attract long-term funds, but the control methods may also leave short-term players with nothing. What retail investors need to do is not to blindly follow the trend, but to ask themselves three questions:
Where are the real users of this project? What is the approximate cost line for the market makers? If the good news falls flat, can you withstand a 30% drop?
The market has not yet finished moving, but opportunities are only left for those who are prepared. Want to know the specific ambush points for 0G? Want to learn how to use technical analysis and news as a double insurance against being cut? Join 'Shence Village', and we’ll teach you step-by-step—this time, refuse to be the chives! #山寨币战略储备

Radical fans have already gotten a taste, and this wave just hit our key position 4140, why I set the key position here, why I am bearish, if you want to know how I precisely hit the point, you can follow Shen Ce, Shen Ce will remind the fans to pay attention in real time in the village every day! #加密市场回调

When Wall Street's regulatory hammer is finally about to ring the bell for the crypto world, will this years-long ‘regulatory fog’ finally welcome the dawn moment?
【Core Event Breakdown】
The two major regulatory giants in the U.S., the SEC and CFTC, will join forces next Monday to hold a "Crypto Regulatory Roundtable," directly inviting leading exchanges like Kraken and Crypto.com, as well as representatives from prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to face-to-face "questioning". More critically, this meeting coincides with Congress's ongoing deliberation of the "Digital Asset Market Structure Act"—if this bill passes, it will essentially delineate the "regulatory territory" for the SEC and CFTC, thoroughly resolving the century-old dilemma of "who should regulate Bitcoin".
【Exclusive Insights】
Short-term volatility warning: The Senate hasn't voted yet + the regulatory meeting is imminent, market sentiment will feel like a roller coaster. Right now, institutions are all watching for the "regulatory certainty" signal flare, any slight movement could trigger a chain reaction. Long-term positive logic: Despite the current turmoil, the establishment of a regulatory framework is actually a major positive. Just like when New York State introduced BitLicense in 2014 and the market panicked, compliant exchanges ended up taking the biggest slice of the pie. If responsibilities are clearly defined this time, the speed of compliant capital entering the market could increase by 3-5 times. Hidden gaming points: Note that compliant exchanges like Crypto.com and Kraken have been invited, while Binance and Coinbase are not on the list—this may suggest that regulators lean towards a "licensed players first" selection mechanism, and smaller exchanges should beware of being marginalized.
Even more excitingly, there are reports that the Senate may suddenly initiate voting procedures next week, and SEC Chairman Gary Gensler abruptly met with the three major stablecoin issuers on the eve of the meeting... the endgame of this chess match may come faster than we imagine. Want to know how to position yourself in advance for the regulatory dividend period? Stay tuned for the next issue revealing "Three Survival Rules for Crypto Assets in the Compliance Era". #永续合约DEX赛道之争

The cruelest truth of the crypto market: You think you are buying the dip, but in reality, you are buying the project team's assets.
【Event Spotlight】
On September 25, the newly launched coin Griffin AI (GAIN) on Binance Alpha staged a magical drama of "launching at the peak, and the peak immediately going to zero" — at 7:27 AM Beijing time, it suddenly started a waterfall-like crash, plummeting 95% of its market value within an hour, hitting a low price of $0.005 (equivalent to wiping out two zeros from the opening price), currently quoted at $0.00758, with a market cap on the BSC chain remaining only $2.58 million, which is even less than a medium-sized Meme coin.
【Data Deep Dive】
But what's even more outrageous is the token economics:
1️⃣ Total supply out of control: Originally set at a total of 1 billion, 235 million were in circulation, but on-chain data shows the actual issuance has soared to 5.29 billion (directly over-issued by 5 times).
2️⃣ Wallet black hole: The largest holding address owns 4.854 billion tokens (91.61% share), and continues to dump into the PancakeSwap V3 liquidity pool (currently paused).
3️⃣ Team goes dark: Facing accusations of token over-issuance and market manipulation, the officials have remained silent and unresponsive.
【Insight from Shen Ce】
This is not investment; it’s outright robbery!
Over-issuance by 5 times = the project team planned to harvest from the beginning, trading air tokens for real money 91% of holdings concentrated = so-called "decentralization" is a joke, prices are entirely controlled by a single address. Binance Alpha's endorsement is even more ironic — the exchange's new business trial has unexpectedly become a breeding ground for scam projects.
【Market Impact】
1️⃣ Trust crisis: Binance Alpha exploded as soon as it launched, leading investors to question the exchange's review mechanism.
2️⃣ Liquidity strangulation: GAIN's crash triggered a flash crash of some dog coins on the BSC chain, spreading panic.
3️⃣ Regulatory warning: If the SEC in the United States sees this kind of operation, they might accelerate the effort to cage the crypto market.
Do you think this is the project team's personal behavior, or a collusion between the exchange and the project team to harvest? Share your judgment in the comments, and the highest liked analysis will be deeply dissected in the next issue!"
(Follow Shen Ce, and let us penetrate the haze of the crypto circle, the next issue will reveal "How to Identify Fund Pools in Advance Using On-Chain Data") #山寨币战略储备