The truth of the crypto circle: trading volume does not lie, but can fool fools!
When others are still chasing after 'air coins' shouting orders, Aster directly pressed Hyperliquid (10 billion) and Lighter (10.5 billion) to the ground with a 24-hour trading volume of 35.8 billion dollars - a 3.5 times difference is not coincidental, it's the 'wealth code' voted by capital!
Why can Aster blow up the scene? My view: this is not 'false fire', it's 'capital hunting'!
Many people say 'trading volume surging = operators self-directing', but data does not lie:
The trading volume of Hyperliquid and Lighter is the stock game of 'old players cutting each other';
Aster's 35.8 billion is a 'incremental feast' of new funds pouring in crazily—either some institution is secretly accumulating positions, or retail investors collectively sense the 'hundredfold coin' opportunity.
My judgment:
Aster's current heat has an 80% probability of being a signal for 'new forces entering.' After all, the 'trading volume throne' in the crypto space has never been given for free—last time it was this crazy was before Solana's explosive rise.
Technical analysis breakdown: 'Get rich clues' in the 1-hour K-line, can retail investors understand it?
Don't be scared by the four words 'technical analysis,' I'll highlight the key points for you in plain language:
1. Bollinger Bands: Price is stuck at the 'line of life and death,' but the lower band has an 'invisible moat.'
Current price 2.05, lower band 1.95 (strong support). The last 3 times it dropped to 2.02, it was pulled back, indicating the main force is 'secretly protecting the market.'
Conclusion: As long as it doesn't break below 1.95, a rebound could start at any time; if it breaks, hurry up and run, don't hesitate!
2. RSI: Bears 'exhausted,' bulls may counterattack at any time.
RSI has touched 48.8, close to the 'bull-bear dividing line' of 50.
Key signal: Price hits a new low, but RSI does not (bottom divergence)—this indicates that the bears are losing strength, and the bulls are preparing big moves.
3. MACD: Green bars 'shortening,' golden cross about to occur
The DIF and DEA of MACD are still below the 0 axis, but the green bar has shortened from -0.2 to -0.07—bearish strength is waning.
If DIF crosses DEA tomorrow, along with increased trading volume, the market may 'take off' directly.
Future scenario: Two possibilities, will you choose 'sure profit' or 'get rich quickly'?
Scenario 1: Strong rebound (probability 60%)
Trigger conditions: Trading volume continues to expand + stabilizing at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (2.20) + MACD golden cross.
Target price: First target 2.46 (upper band), then challenge the previous high of 3.0.
Action: Buy low at 2.0-2.05, stop loss at 1.94, target 2.4-2.8.
Scenario 2: Stagnant grinding (probability 40%)
Trigger conditions: Brief withdrawal of funds, price 'tossing back and forth' in the range of 1.95-2.20.
Opportunity: The main force may be washing plates and accumulating positions; the longer it grinds, the more explosive it will be in the future.
Action: Wait for MACD golden cross + volume breakout above 2.20 before following up, don’t rush to catch the bottom.
Should we get in now? My 'plain advice':
Aggressive: 2.0-2.05 is the 'golden pit,' set a stop loss below 1.94, and bet on a main rising wave.
Conservative: Wait for MACD golden cross + breakout above 2.20 before acting; although the profits are small, it allows for restful sleep.
Timid: Don't touch it! The crypto space is not a charity, only earn money that you can understand.
Aster's explosive popularity is essentially a reflection of the market's desire for a 'new narrative.' While others are still discussing whether 'Bitcoin will fall,' smart money is already positioning for 'the next Solana.'
Do you think Aster can reach 5 dollars? Leave your 'get rich prediction' in the comments! If you don't know how to judge the timing to enter, you can follow Shen Ce; Shen Ce will remind fans in real-time every day in the village!
