台风季
公众号：VisualFuture, 数据分析与工具制作博主，致力于资金流动分析与可视化图表呈现，洞察市场机会与风险，助力交易决策。紧跟市场变化，发掘潜力趋势，有效规避风险。
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Key Interpretation of Contract Data
Current open interest, the current contract open interest for this trading pair in the market, measured in USD rather than the quantity of the cryptocurrency, for convenience and uniformity. 1M represents a contract open interest of one million USD. How to form a contract open interest of one million USD? Just find two people to bet against each other; one is bullish and opens a position of one million USD, and the other is bearish and opens a position of one million USD. This way, the open interest increases by one million USD, not two million USD. These two are counter parties. The winners take the other party's money (mutual extraction of each other's funds). If the price rises by one percent, the long position gains 1% (can close at 101w), while the short position loses 1% (closing requires buying at 101w), and the contract open interest remains unchanged. Because one position has an actual value of 101 (earning 1w), while the other is 99 (losing 1w), averaging gives 100. Open interest does not change because of price increases unless new betting capital is introduced. Closing a position will lead to a decrease in open interest.
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How to Quickly Put Money into Someone Else's Pocket
First, throw out the keywords: spot, contract, leverage, opening position, closing position, position, liquidation price, liquidation, margin, cross margin, isolated margin. Then explain each one by one. By the end, you should understand a graceful way to put money into someone else's pocket.
Going long: bullish, buying; closing long: end of bullish, selling.
Shorting: bearish, selling; closing short: end of bearish, buying.
Spot: buy if bullish, sell if not bullish. The risk is price volatility. Spot cannot short.
Trading: for every buy, there must be a sell; for every sell, there must be a buy; only buying or only selling without the other side is an unfinished trade.
Going long: bullish, buying; closing long: end of bullish, selling.
Shorting: bearish, selling; closing short: end of bearish, buying.
Spot: buy if bullish, sell if not bullish. The risk is price volatility. Spot cannot short.
Trading: for every buy, there must be a sell; for every sell, there must be a buy; only buying or only selling without the other side is an unfinished trade.
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Now on the list, the speed of the pull is really fast, the transaction amount has increased from around one million to 20-30 million, an increase of over 50%. After a few hours, it has gone down again.
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$AIA , it has that myx flavor, starting to increase volume at 8:30. I directly chased at 1.05, if it's really heaven, it will definitely not be a loss.
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$EVAA , quite smooth, following the overall market trend downwards, completing a triple top.
$EVAA, the area around 9 is truly a key position; after breaking through 8.8, it hasn't dropped.
I think it can be seen as a triple top; if it breaks 14, stop loss, enter short at 12-13. Take profit around 7, ideally speaking.
{future}(EVAAUSDT)
Let AI analyze it, saving me the effort; the AI's strategy is still very conservative. Just take a look.
[Market Status]: High-level volatility leaning towards bullish
[Main Player Behavior]: Short-term replenishment after profit taking
[Signal Summary]: A false short rebound signal occurring during high-level volatility, but the overall decline in positions shows caution from the main players
[Signal Strength]: 65 points
[Risk Level]: High
## Strategy Suggestions
**Short-term Long Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 11.00-11.50
- Stop Loss: 10.30
- Target: 13.00-13.50
- Holding Period: 1-3 days
**Medium-term Short Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 13.00-13.50
- Stop Loss: 14.00
- Target: 9.50-10.00
- Holding Period: 3-7 days
**Risk Alerts**:
1. Currently at historical highs, with extreme volatility
2. Declining positions indicate insufficient confidence from the main players
3. It is recommended to operate with a light position and strict stop loss
**Key Observation Points**:
- Can it effectively break through the previous high of 13.50
- Will the position size increase again to confirm the trend
- Can trading volume continue to expand to support the rise
I think it can be seen as a triple top; if it breaks 14, stop loss, enter short at 12-13. Take profit around 7, ideally speaking.
{future}(EVAAUSDT)
Let AI analyze it, saving me the effort; the AI's strategy is still very conservative. Just take a look.
[Market Status]: High-level volatility leaning towards bullish
[Main Player Behavior]: Short-term replenishment after profit taking
[Signal Summary]: A false short rebound signal occurring during high-level volatility, but the overall decline in positions shows caution from the main players
[Signal Strength]: 65 points
[Risk Level]: High
## Strategy Suggestions
**Short-term Long Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 11.00-11.50
- Stop Loss: 10.30
- Target: 13.00-13.50
- Holding Period: 1-3 days
**Medium-term Short Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 13.00-13.50
- Stop Loss: 14.00
- Target: 9.50-10.00
- Holding Period: 3-7 days
**Risk Alerts**:
1. Currently at historical highs, with extreme volatility
2. Declining positions indicate insufficient confidence from the main players
3. It is recommended to operate with a light position and strict stop loss
**Key Observation Points**:
- Can it effectively break through the previous high of 13.50
- Will the position size increase again to confirm the trend
- Can trading volume continue to expand to support the rise
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$EVAA, the area around 9 is truly a key position; after breaking through 8.8, it hasn't dropped.
I think it can be seen as a triple top; if it breaks 14, stop loss, enter short at 12-13. Take profit around 7, ideally speaking.
Let AI analyze it, saving me the effort; the AI's strategy is still very conservative. Just take a look.
[Market Status]: High-level volatility leaning towards bullish
[Main Player Behavior]: Short-term replenishment after profit taking
[Signal Summary]: A false short rebound signal occurring during high-level volatility, but the overall decline in positions shows caution from the main players
[Signal Strength]: 65 points
[Risk Level]: High
## Strategy Suggestions
**Short-term Long Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 11.00-11.50
- Stop Loss: 10.30
- Target: 13.00-13.50
- Holding Period: 1-3 days
**Medium-term Short Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 13.00-13.50
- Stop Loss: 14.00
- Target: 9.50-10.00
- Holding Period: 3-7 days
**Risk Alerts**:
1. Currently at historical highs, with extreme volatility
2. Declining positions indicate insufficient confidence from the main players
3. It is recommended to operate with a light position and strict stop loss
**Key Observation Points**:
- Can it effectively break through the previous high of 13.50
- Will the position size increase again to confirm the trend
- Can trading volume continue to expand to support the rise
I think it can be seen as a triple top; if it breaks 14, stop loss, enter short at 12-13. Take profit around 7, ideally speaking.
Let AI analyze it, saving me the effort; the AI's strategy is still very conservative. Just take a look.
[Market Status]: High-level volatility leaning towards bullish
[Main Player Behavior]: Short-term replenishment after profit taking
[Signal Summary]: A false short rebound signal occurring during high-level volatility, but the overall decline in positions shows caution from the main players
[Signal Strength]: 65 points
[Risk Level]: High
## Strategy Suggestions
**Short-term Long Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 11.00-11.50
- Stop Loss: 10.30
- Target: 13.00-13.50
- Holding Period: 1-3 days
**Medium-term Short Strategy**:
- Entry Range: 13.00-13.50
- Stop Loss: 14.00
- Target: 9.50-10.00
- Holding Period: 3-7 days
**Risk Alerts**:
1. Currently at historical highs, with extreme volatility
2. Declining positions indicate insufficient confidence from the main players
3. It is recommended to operate with a light position and strict stop loss
**Key Observation Points**:
- Can it effectively break through the previous high of 13.50
- Will the position size increase again to confirm the trend
- Can trading volume continue to expand to support the rise
$EVAA One night in the range oscillation, during which there were no large short positions entering or long positions exiting. The trend is likely to continue. Around 7.7, consider entering a long position with a light position and a stop loss of 3-5%. The initial take profit can be around 8.5-9.
For a breakout, currently, there is no stable close above 8.8 on the candlestick; if it stabilizes above 8.8, enter with a light position and set the stop loss a bit above the middle of the oscillation range, around 8.4-8.5.
If the hourly candlestick closes below the 7 21ema multiple times, then further observation is needed. The trend may pull back.
For a breakout, currently, there is no stable close above 8.8 on the candlestick; if it stabilizes above 8.8, enter with a light position and set the stop loss a bit above the middle of the oscillation range, around 8.4-8.5.
If the hourly candlestick closes below the 7 21ema multiple times, then further observation is needed. The trend may pull back.
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$C , I opened too many C, and I lost and re-entered a few days ago.
The price has currently returned to the hourly average line, and the position size is slowly increasing.
The price has currently returned to the hourly average line, and the position size is slowly increasing.
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$EVAA , lucky this position just rebounded.
$EVAA One night in the range oscillation, during which there were no large short positions entering or long positions exiting. The trend is likely to continue. Around 7.7, consider entering a long position with a light position and a stop loss of 3-5%. The initial take profit can be around 8.5-9.
For a breakout, currently, there is no stable close above 8.8 on the candlestick; if it stabilizes above 8.8, enter with a light position and set the stop loss a bit above the middle of the oscillation range, around 8.4-8.5.
If the hourly candlestick closes below the 7 21ema multiple times, then further observation is needed. The trend may pull back.
For a breakout, currently, there is no stable close above 8.8 on the candlestick; if it stabilizes above 8.8, enter with a light position and set the stop loss a bit above the middle of the oscillation range, around 8.4-8.5.
If the hourly candlestick closes below the 7 21ema multiple times, then further observation is needed. The trend may pull back.
See original
$EVAA One night in the range oscillation, during which there were no large short positions entering or long positions exiting. The trend is likely to continue. Around 7.7, consider entering a long position with a light position and a stop loss of 3-5%. The initial take profit can be around 8.5-9.
For a breakout, currently, there is no stable close above 8.8 on the candlestick; if it stabilizes above 8.8, enter with a light position and set the stop loss a bit above the middle of the oscillation range, around 8.4-8.5.
If the hourly candlestick closes below the 7 21ema multiple times, then further observation is needed. The trend may pull back.
For a breakout, currently, there is no stable close above 8.8 on the candlestick; if it stabilizes above 8.8, enter with a light position and set the stop loss a bit above the middle of the oscillation range, around 8.4-8.5.
If the hourly candlestick closes below the 7 21ema multiple times, then further observation is needed. The trend may pull back.
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$BAS can take profits now. I have bought and sold, you can keep some base position (10-20%).
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$BAS, at that time it was a bit oversold (the position wasn't very good), there was a bit of a rebound, for this kind of loss, you can replenish the position, and set the stop loss a little higher at 0.117-0.12. If the decline accelerates to 0.77, I estimate it will just be a matter of a needle.
$BAS Head and shoulders formation, a short position can be taken with a profit-loss ratio of 2:1.
Stop loss at the opening price on the four-hour chart, take profit below 0.77.
Stop loss at the opening price on the four-hour chart, take profit below 0.77.
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$BAS Head and shoulders formation, a short position can be taken with a profit-loss ratio of 2:1.
Stop loss at the opening price on the four-hour chart, take profit below 0.77.
Stop loss at the opening price on the four-hour chart, take profit below 0.77.
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$TA gradually moving out of the arc bottom, has not broken the 21 and 30 EMA moving average, so there is not much problem, and the position volume is still there. The next target is around 0.7. Let's see if we can get in around 0.58, and I will set the stop-loss at 0.53. If you want to buy at the current price, do it with a light position, a loss will not be a big deal.
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$ZEREBRO, 0.045 can partially take profit, those with heavy positions can take a significant profit now. Next, look at 0.05
$ZEREBRO, add a little to the light position after confirming the breakthrough of the trend resistance line.
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$ZEREBRO, add a little to the light position after confirming the breakthrough of the trend resistance line.
$ZEREBRO Convergence, after pulling it up, the volume has been consistently decreasing, possibly breaking through the resistance line, and initiating a new wave. The stop loss can be set at 0.037.
{future}(ZEREBROUSDT)
{future}(ZEREBROUSDT)
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$ZEREBRO Convergence, after pulling it up, the volume has been consistently decreasing, possibly breaking through the resistance line, and initiating a new wave. The stop loss can be set at 0.037.
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$ALPINE , dropped 70-80% yesterday afternoon, rebounded to a maximum of 2.3 by night (of course the goal is still to sell), and since late at night it has continued to decline and reduce holdings, the main force has already run, do not go long to bet on a rebound, it is highly likely that it will continue to decline.
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Although this new coin $HEMI has already doubled in value, it has not been released yet. The contract positions are strange, and the number of coins opened has not synchronized with the increase. The position value is brought about by the price increase, and I estimate there will be an increase in holdings before a further rise. However, my approach is not to go long, but rather to wait for the release to start building a short position. The current market value is over 40 million, which is not high, and there are many short positions, which is obviously strange. If it reduces holdings at a high position like TA, then it would be easy to judge. Personally, I subjectively believe that HEMI is not at its peak yet, so I will cautiously short it.
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$SAHARA recently increased by 30% in the last four hours, not much was pulled, starting to increase volume, and losses are manageable.
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$XCN has just launched, unsure if it can develop. Just set a narrow stop loss and let it be.
This was also the case with qtum in the afternoon, but it only pulled up by a few points.
This was also the case with qtum in the afternoon, but it only pulled up by a few points.
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