Phoenix 珍珠

The transition from bull to bear requires time for testing. What we need is to endure the time, avoid being impatient, patiently wait for the bear bottom, and wait for opportunities #巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

Why do you always seem to 'perfectly' miss every opportunity?

I wonder if you have this feeling: every time you see a certain token or stock surge, you look back at the records and realize you had actually seen it before, but just didn’t take action.

This is not a matter of luck, but a cognitive trap called 'hindsight bias'.

After things happen, everything seems so clear and logical. We unconsciously modify our memories: 'I thought it was good back then.' But in reality, at the moment of decision-making, you are faced with noisy information, uncertain risks, and internal fears.

The most expensive phrase in the market is: 'I knew it all along.'
Indulging in this kind of regret is meaningless; it will only make you act hastily when the next opportunity arises, fearing to miss out again, which could lead to worse outcomes.

The real coping strategy is not to pursue the illusion of 'hitting the mark every time', but to establish a simple decision-making framework:

Write down the reasons: whether buying or selling, write down your main decision basis in one sentence (e.g., 'Breakthrough of key resistance level' or 'Project announces major partnership').

Review the decision, not the outcome: when reflecting afterward, don’t just look at the ups and downs. Ask yourself: was that decision basis a rational analysis or an emotional impulse? If the basis is reasonable, even if the outcome is a loss, it is still a good decision.

Through this process, you will begin to trust your own system rather than being disturbed by the market's hindsight. Real progress starts from accepting 'the inability to seize every opportunity'.
#机会 #加密市场观察