محمد الهاشمي73
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🔥 'Whales are selling... and the real rise begins after the distribution'
🔻🔻 Long-term Bitcoin holders are selling their assets again.
This increase over 30 days in the distribution/sale of Bitcoin by long-term holders is one of the largest in the last five years, and such increases are typically observed near macro peaks rather than at troughs.
🧠 Secondly: Smart analysis — Is this a real threat?
This increase over 30 days in the distribution/sale of Bitcoin by long-term holders is one of the largest in the last five years, and such increases are typically observed near macro peaks rather than at troughs.
🧠 Secondly: Smart analysis — Is this a real threat?
See original
💣 Comprehensive Technical Analysis Bomb for Bitcoin (BTC) on the Weekly Frame
Professional integration of momentum, trend, and price structure
Origin: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Time frame: Weekly (1W)
Price at the time of analysis: $86,400
Approach: Trend + Momentum + Market Structure
🧠 1. The big picture (Macro Structure)
The long-term trend of Bitcoin is structurally bullish since 2023.
The historical peaks and troughs are still higher than their predecessors.
No long-term structural support has been broken.
Origin: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Time frame: Weekly (1W)
Price at the time of analysis: $86,400
Approach: Trend + Momentum + Market Structure
🧠 1. The big picture (Macro Structure)
The long-term trend of Bitcoin is structurally bullish since 2023.
The historical peaks and troughs are still higher than their predecessors.
No long-term structural support has been broken.
See original
The market has not given the signal yet
(Daily + 4H | Structure + Liquidity + OB + FVG + Timing)
1️⃣ The big picture (Daily Bias)
The overall trend is down within a wide descending channel.
The price is below the main averages → seller control.
Any current rise = corrective unless the daily structure is broken.
Trend judgment: Bearish Bias established.
2️⃣ The medium structure (4H Structure)
A clear break of the accumulation pattern/converging triangle within a downtrend → Bear Flag confirmed.
1️⃣ The big picture (Daily Bias)
The overall trend is down within a wide descending channel.
The price is below the main averages → seller control.
Any current rise = corrective unless the daily structure is broken.
Trend judgment: Bearish Bias established.
2️⃣ The medium structure (4H Structure)
A clear break of the accumulation pattern/converging triangle within a downtrend → Bear Flag confirmed.
See original
Smart Money Perspective: Why Every Rise is a Selling Opportunity?
🧠 Analysis on merging the 4-hour timeframe with the daily timeframe for BTC/USDT
(Daily + 4H | Market Structure + Price Action)
1️⃣ General Framework: The Big Picture Rules Everything (Daily Bias)
🔴 Primary Trend
The market is moving within a broad falling channel (Broad Falling Channel).
The price structure is clear:
Lower Highs
Lower Lows
The current price is positioned in the lower half of the channel
(Daily + 4H | Market Structure + Price Action)
1️⃣ General Framework: The Big Picture Rules Everything (Daily Bias)
🔴 Primary Trend
The market is moving within a broad falling channel (Broad Falling Channel).
The price structure is clear:
Lower Highs
Lower Lows
The current price is positioned in the lower half of the channel
See original
💣 Unified Professional Technical Analysis for BTC/USDT Up to this moment
Date: December 14, 2025
Time frame: Short to Medium Term
Current price: 88,927.64 USDT
Dominant trend: Bearish Control with Tactical Compression
🧠 Executive Intelligence Brief
The BTC/USDT pair is trading in a price compression phase within a clear downward structure after a strong sell-off from the peak of 126,199 USDT to the low of 80,600 USDT.
The price currently stands at a critical decision zone near 88,900 USDT, where the following converge:
Time frame: Short to Medium Term
Current price: 88,927.64 USDT
Dominant trend: Bearish Control with Tactical Compression
🧠 Executive Intelligence Brief
The BTC/USDT pair is trading in a price compression phase within a clear downward structure after a strong sell-off from the peak of 126,199 USDT to the low of 80,600 USDT.
The price currently stands at a critical decision zone near 88,900 USDT, where the following converge:
See original
Bitcoin in Decision Zone: Between Continued Decline and Rebalancing
📊 The Comprehensive Analysis of the Bitcoin and Altcoin Market
BTCUSDT – | Short-Medium Term Framework
1️⃣ Executive Summary
The Bitcoin market is currently undergoing a sensitive price decision phase after failing to maintain above the 92,000$ level.
Recent movements indicate temporary weakness and the likelihood of continued decline unless the Imbalance Zone between 87,600 – 90,200 is defended.
BTCUSDT – | Short-Medium Term Framework
1️⃣ Executive Summary
The Bitcoin market is currently undergoing a sensitive price decision phase after failing to maintain above the 92,000$ level.
Recent movements indicate temporary weakness and the likelihood of continued decline unless the Imbalance Zone between 87,600 – 90,200 is defended.
See original
Memecoin Dominance Declines… and the Market Reorganizes Its Cards
📉 Integrated Analysis: The Collapse of Memecoin Dominance and Its Implications for the Crypto Market Cycle
1️⃣ Executive Summary
The Memecoin Dominance Index shows a sharp decline of nearly 70% from January peaks, having dropped from levels close to 0.109 to a current reading around 0.034.
This decline is not a sign of weakness for the market as a whole, but rather reflects a contraction in risk appetite and the beginning of a Capital Rotation phase from high-speculative assets to higher-quality assets.
1️⃣ Executive Summary
The Memecoin Dominance Index shows a sharp decline of nearly 70% from January peaks, having dropped from levels close to 0.109 to a current reading around 0.034.
This decline is not a sign of weakness for the market as a whole, but rather reflects a contraction in risk appetite and the beginning of a Capital Rotation phase from high-speculative assets to higher-quality assets.
See original
Bitcoin Moves to Corporate Balance Sheets: A Look at Institutional Accumulation and Structural Supply Shortage
📈 Integrated Analysis: Growth of Corporate Holdings in Bitcoin (BTC)
Source: Glassnode | Period: January 2023 – November 2025 (approximately)
1️⃣ Executive Summary
Data indicates a fundamental shift in Bitcoin's position within the financial system, as total corporate holdings, both public and private, increased from 197,000 BTC to 1.08 million BTC, representing a growth of approximately +448% since January 2023.
Source: Glassnode | Period: January 2023 – November 2025 (approximately)
1️⃣ Executive Summary
Data indicates a fundamental shift in Bitcoin's position within the financial system, as total corporate holdings, both public and private, increased from 197,000 BTC to 1.08 million BTC, representing a growth of approximately +448% since January 2023.
See original
👈 Solana at the liquidity crossroads: strong volume support... before the direction decision
Solana (SOL) is currently trading within a market decision area based on high trading volume density (Volume Shelf).
The impulsive selling momentum that followed the downward break has stopped, but the upward trend reversal has not yet been confirmed.
The most likely scenario is a conditional technical rebound, considering the $195 level as a critical testing point.
2️⃣ The market context and technical structure (Market Structure)
The impulsive selling momentum that followed the downward break has stopped, but the upward trend reversal has not yet been confirmed.
The most likely scenario is a conditional technical rebound, considering the $195 level as a critical testing point.
2️⃣ The market context and technical structure (Market Structure)
See original
📈 Analysis of the Cryptocurrency Market Situation
🔎 Executive Overview
The cryptocurrency market is currently undergoing a fear-driven correction, characterized by clear selling pressure, high trading activity, and significant liquidations in the derivatives market, without any signs of a comprehensive structural collapse so far.
Firstly: Macro Market Indicators
Indicator Value Change Professional Reading
The cryptocurrency market is currently undergoing a fear-driven correction, characterized by clear selling pressure, high trading activity, and significant liquidations in the derivatives market, without any signs of a comprehensive structural collapse so far.
Firstly: Macro Market Indicators
Indicator Value Change Professional Reading
See original
Daily Bitcoin Analysis: A Bearish Flag That May Drive the Price Towards 63 Thousand
1️⃣ General Context (Macro Price Context)
Bitcoin experienced a strong and sharp drop from high peaks (around $120,000) down to areas close to $80,000.
This drop formed a clear downward impulse move with high momentum.
After this drop, there was no structural upward reversal, but the price entered a weak and organized retracement.
📌 Contextual Summary
Bitcoin experienced a strong and sharp drop from high peaks (around $120,000) down to areas close to $80,000.
This drop formed a clear downward impulse move with high momentum.
After this drop, there was no structural upward reversal, but the price entered a weak and organized retracement.
📌 Contextual Summary
See original
The area that will change the future of Bitcoin… Above it is historical growth, and below it is a temporary geometric collapse»
The analysis includes the following points:
✔️ Price cycle
✔️ Time cycle
✔️ Angles
✔️ Upside targets
✔️ Downside scenarios
✔️ The pivot point that changes the direction
1️⃣ Define the Master Cycle
The reference bottom of the cycle = 40,000
The reference top = 125,000
This represents a complete price-time cycle according to Gann.
✔️ Price cycle
✔️ Time cycle
✔️ Angles
✔️ Upside targets
✔️ Downside scenarios
✔️ The pivot point that changes the direction
1️⃣ Define the Master Cycle
The reference bottom of the cycle = 40,000
The reference top = 125,000
This represents a complete price-time cycle according to Gann.
See original
Interest Rate Cut with a Hawkish Tone: A Double Shock that Shakes the Markets and Reshapes the Trend in 48 Hours
The interest rate has actually been cut to 3.75% as expected, but the Fed's statement came with a 'hawkish tone'.
And this scenario is exactly the worst short-term setup for the markets:
Interest rate cut = Positive
But
Hawkish tone = Strongly Negative
🎯 First: What does 'Interest rate cut + Hawkish tone' mean?
The interest rate has decreased, yes.
But the Fed clearly stated:
And this scenario is exactly the worst short-term setup for the markets:
Interest rate cut = Positive
But
Hawkish tone = Strongly Negative
🎯 First: What does 'Interest rate cut + Hawkish tone' mean?
The interest rate has decreased, yes.
But the Fed clearly stated:
See original
Model of Major Cycles: Where do 2026 and 2035 fall?
🎯 First: What does the table say?
The table divides time into three recurring phases:
A – Panic Years
These are the years that witness:
Strong collapses
Economic shocks
End of cycles
Violent repricing
One clear example:
1929 Great Depression
1987 Black Monday
2008 financial crisis
2020 Corona (out of the table but realistic)
The table divides time into three recurring phases:
A – Panic Years
These are the years that witness:
Strong collapses
Economic shocks
End of cycles
Violent repricing
One clear example:
1929 Great Depression
1987 Black Monday
2008 financial crisis
2020 Corona (out of the table but realistic)
See original
"150 billion dollars enter crypto in one day… The beginning of the explosion?"
This news is very important and considered a strong signal of smart money entering the market.
Here’s the meaning in a simple yet professional way:
🚨 What does adding 150 billion dollars to the market value of cryptocurrencies mean?
🔥 1) Huge liquidity entering = Entry of institutions and major investors
Adding 150 billion dollars in one day means that large entities (funds - institutions - whales) have clearly injected money into cryptocurrencies.
Here’s the meaning in a simple yet professional way:
🚨 What does adding 150 billion dollars to the market value of cryptocurrencies mean?
🔥 1) Huge liquidity entering = Entry of institutions and major investors
Adding 150 billion dollars in one day means that large entities (funds - institutions - whales) have clearly injected money into cryptocurrencies.
See original
Decision point: Bitcoin between the peak of 95K and the bottom of 89K"
1️⃣ General trend – the big picture
🔻 The main trend has still been downward since the end of September
Low peaks
Low bottoms
A clear downward trend drawn on the peaks
Every upward attempt has been corrective and not a sustainable upward trend
Therefore: the market is moving within a correction inside a downward trend and not a real upward trend.
2️⃣ The currently dominant price pattern
🔻 The main trend has still been downward since the end of September
Low peaks
Low bottoms
A clear downward trend drawn on the peaks
Every upward attempt has been corrective and not a sustainable upward trend
Therefore: the market is moving within a correction inside a downward trend and not a real upward trend.
2️⃣ The currently dominant price pattern
See original
The ultimate vision for Bitcoin: A crossroads between 82K and 150K
🔵 🎯 Firstly: The general outlook for Bitcoin (2023 → 2026)
Bitcoin is moving within a major upward channel that started at the beginning of 2023.
It will continue until 2026 as long as the price does not break the channel limits.
💡 The main message:
The overall trend is a long-term upward trend, and there is no collapse… just a correction within an upward trend.
🔴 📌 Secondly: Where is the price standing now?
The current price is around 90000USDT
Bitcoin is moving within a major upward channel that started at the beginning of 2023.
It will continue until 2026 as long as the price does not break the channel limits.
💡 The main message:
The overall trend is a long-term upward trend, and there is no collapse… just a correction within an upward trend.
🔴 📌 Secondly: Where is the price standing now?
The current price is around 90000USDT
See original
⚡️ Professional analysis SOL/USDT
1. General market view (Master Market View)
SOL is currently trading at 132.36 USDT within a structured descending channel that has extended since the peak of Q2 2025.
The price is moving between clear liquidity attraction zones; however, a noticeable decline in the strength of sellers has begun to appear, indicating that we are approaching a periodic reversal point, but not a final one yet.
Summary of the vision:
> The market is still bearish in structure, but it has entered a phase of 'smart accumulation' under everyone's radar.
SOL is currently trading at 132.36 USDT within a structured descending channel that has extended since the peak of Q2 2025.
The price is moving between clear liquidity attraction zones; however, a noticeable decline in the strength of sellers has begun to appear, indicating that we are approaching a periodic reversal point, but not a final one yet.
Summary of the vision:
> The market is still bearish in structure, but it has entered a phase of 'smart accumulation' under everyone's radar.
See original
Deep professional analysis of the image related to Bitcoin
Double Top model on the weekly timeframe
The image compares between:
🔹 2022
A double top has formed
then a violent collapse from 69k to 15k
and the break was due to the fall of the horizontal gray support area
🔹 2025 (the current expected scenario)
Bitcoin formed a new double top between 110k – 120k
and broke the sloping support line
and now it approaches strong horizontal support (area 88k – 90k)
The image compares between:
🔹 2022
A double top has formed
then a violent collapse from 69k to 15k
and the break was due to the fall of the horizontal gray support area
🔹 2025 (the current expected scenario)
Bitcoin formed a new double top between 110k – 120k
and broke the sloping support line
and now it approaches strong horizontal support (area 88k – 90k)
See original
Institutional Technical Report – Bitcoin / USDT (BTCUSDT)
🎯 Executive Summary – Current Market Status
Bitcoin is currently trading at $89,150, a slight decrease of -0.20% amid volatile price action (ATR ≈ $3,394).
The market is in a consolidation phase after a historic rally that reached $108,922, and is moving within a tight range between $85,000 and $92,000.
Key Points:
✅ The price is above the long-term averages → the main upward trend is still intact
Bitcoin is currently trading at $89,150, a slight decrease of -0.20% amid volatile price action (ATR ≈ $3,394).
The market is in a consolidation phase after a historic rally that reached $108,922, and is moving within a tight range between $85,000 and $92,000.
Key Points:
✅ The price is above the long-term averages → the main upward trend is still intact
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USNonFarmPayrollReport
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🚨 US JOBS REPORT JUST DROPPED — AND IT’S A SHOCKER 🚨
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
🇺🇸 Delayed Data FINALLY Hits… and it’s ugly
⚠️ DOUBLE RELEASE BOMBSHELL
📉 October NFP: -105K (major collapse)
📈 November NFP: +64K (beats est. 50K — but barely)
Behind the scenes?
💣 Government jobs CRATERED — -162K federal cuts from the shutdown fallout.
Unemployment jumps to 4.6% — a 4-year HIGH 🚨
Cooling isn’t coming… it’s already here.
🔍 What this really means
• Private sector survived, but momentum is clearly weakening
• 💸 Wage growth is slowing → inflation pressure fading
• 🏦 Fed ALERT: Employment now at risk → rate cuts back on the table (2026 narrative strengthens)
📊 Market Reaction
💵 USD slips on dovish expectations
📉 Equities hesitant — uncertainty rising
💥 Crypto watching closely…
Weaker jobs = stronger “easy money” storyline 👀
📈 BTC & ETH could benefit as liquidity expectations build for a bullish 2026 runway
⚡ Bottom line:
Cracks in the labor market are real…
But resilience remains.
🔥 Is this the signal before the Fed pivots?
Eyes on the data. Stay sharp.
#USNFP #MacroShock #CryptoMacro #AmeerGro
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