王建波

Bitcoin Technical Analysis: The resistance zone remains unbroken, and the short strategy still prevails.

From the observation of the 4-hour technical pattern, Bitcoin's price experienced a deep pullback yesterday, triggering an oversold rebound momentum, with the price once surging to the 92200 level, but failed to effectively break through the core resistance zone of 92000-93000. The previous downward trend has not shown substantial signs of reversal. This resistance zone has been validated multiple times for its strong selling pressure, and the market's momentum for chasing prices is evidently insufficient, indicating a short-term technical pullback demand. If the price cannot hold above 92000, the technical outlook will point towards a retest of the support level at the mid-band of the Bollinger Bands, with bearish momentum still dominating.

From the daily perspective, the upper boundary of the descending channel continues to exert effective pressure, with the 92000-93000 zone forming a strong resistance box. Historically, multiple tests have encountered a surge and subsequent pullback pattern. The current price has dropped near the lower boundary of this box. If there is no significant breakout momentum accompanied by a notable increase in volume, the probability of a pressure-induced pullback will significantly increase, and the technical outlook suggests doubts about the sustainability of the rebound.

In summary, operationally, it is advised to use the 92000-93000 resistance zone as a key defensive level and to implement a short strategy when prices rise. The stop-loss can be reasonably set above the previous historical high to avoid unexpected volatility risks. It's essential to be vigilant about short-term market fluctuations, strictly adhere to risk control disciplines, and wait for technical verification of the breakout direction.
$BTC #王建波

12.3 Morning Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum

In the early morning, I provided everyone with a long-term strategy to short, and I also analyzed the reasons for the recent volatility in the market. I have also shared what to pay attention to in the following market conditions. If you haven't seen it or don't understand it, just refer to the first image.

In the morning market, I'll talk about the technical aspects. On the weekly K-line, the currency price has been under pressure, and after multiple falls to the lower Bollinger band, it has rebounded due to overselling; although the daily line shows that the currency price is above the middle Bollinger band, the overall downward trend has not reached the strong resistance level of 98000 mentioned earlier. Therefore, the bearish environment remains unchanged.

In the short term, the currency price has been rising strongly without significant pullbacks. The price is now near the short position entry point of 91800 I suggested earlier. Moving forward, I still recommend that everyone primarily follow the short-term trend of low buys, with my bearish suggestion positioned near the short-term resistance level above. Everyone can analyze the specifics of the market accordingly.

Trading suggestion:
Bitcoin short at 92800-93300, targeting 90000
Ethereum follows Bitcoin's trend and can set up short positions around 3080, targeting 2900
#加密市场观察 $BTC

One wave, one order to switch holds! Capture market fluctuations, combine market conditions and news to grasp the psychology of the market makers, plan ahead. Although luck plays a significant part, success is concrete achievements!

Friends with 50,000 oil who came in have already switched at least 4 holds with Lao Wang! One order made a profit of over 40,000 oil! Directly recouping the principal! Concrete achievements are here, as long as your hold position is sufficient, then there will be no mistakes! High tolerance for error! The odds of winning are also high! $BTC #王建波 #加密市场观察

Doubling is not a dream, but a common belief of people in the cryptocurrency world! An individual's judgment may be sharp, but only the insights of a group can penetrate the fog. We use technical analysis as a spear and risk management as a shield, paving the way in the jungle of candlestick charts, harvesting profits amidst market fluctuations. A team in sync can anticipate ambushes in a volatile market and also harness the wild surge of trends. Join Lao Wang, and let the power of collaboration become the perpetual motion machine for doubling returns! $BTC #加密市场回调

12.2 Tuesday Morning Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis

In the early morning market, when Lao Wang provided his analysis, the price fluctuated back and forth at a low level for a period of time. During Lao Wang's live broadcast, he guided everyone to make several short-term trades. After Lao Wang finished the broadcast, there was an immediate rebound to recover part of the decline from yesterday's drop of 8000 points. This caused some deviation from the operational suggestions given by Lao Wang in the early morning.

Following this, Lao Wang also shared his views on the market, noting that the overall bearish trend on the weekly chart remains unchanged. It is crucial to pay attention to any policy changes from the U.S. government that may effectively address the current economic issues, as well as statements from the Federal Reserve.

The rebound last week was mainly due to the second point, where expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December heated up, combined with the technical analysis provided by Lao Wang earlier, indicating the timing of the third round of daily-level rebounds. All these factors contributed to the rebound last week.

Now that the Federal Reserve has basically confirmed the rate cut in December, coupled with the lack of action from the U.S. government, the high point of the third round of rebound has also been established. We will continue to maintain a bearish outlook for the subsequent market movements.

In the short term, the early morning market saw a rebound and recovery, and the morning has basically played out. We will continue to short; however, the operational strategy will be relatively conservative, and everyone should analyze the specific market conditions accordingly.

Operational Suggestions:
Short Bitcoin at 87000-87500, targeting 84500
Ethereum follows the trend of Bitcoin, short positions can be arranged around 2830, targeting 2700$BTC #王建波 #加密市场回调

The market is giving again, the live broadcast room offers opportunities for ultra-short-term trading, and short-term profit-taking is so frequent! Recovery is right now, rush in $ETH #王建波

Old Wang's livestream current price order BTC can short lightly at 85300, leaving some room for reloading, to catch a trend, ETH can follow Bitcoin's trend, aiming to short around 2760, looking down at 83500/2700$ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Loss exceeding 100,000, come to the live broadcast room to relieve stress $ETH #加密市场回调

I have been emphasizing to everyone that the market should follow the trend! The weekly trend remains bearish, which is what Lao Wang has been stressing! Even though Lao Wang provided a long position strategy and thoughts last week, he also analyzed the market, pointing out where the rebound's high point is. If anyone is interested, you can check out Lao Wang's previous analysis.

As for Lao Wang's friend, who contacted him last Wednesday, the last order of the evening was a trend-following layout for a swing trade, achieving a gain of 2000 points on BTC! The advantage of having a large position is that you don't have to forcefully catch swings; instead, you can accumulate positions in the short term and layout swings following the trend! Currently, the positions have more than doubled, 5wu has been raised to 5w, and now there is still around 10w in position, gaining 2wu from just one order! Is there anything more profitable than partnering with Lao Wang? $BTC #加密市场回调

Bitcoin fell below the 86000 mark, with risk aversion dominating the market in December, and multiple negative factors exacerbating volatility

On the first day of December, risk aversion in the cryptocurrency market suddenly intensified, with Bitcoin's price momentarily dropping below 86000, experiencing a maximum intraday decline of over 6%, while Ethereum also fell by more than 7% to around 2800. Major tokens like Solana followed suit, and market volatility significantly increased. This drop adds new momentum to the ongoing weeks-long sell-off. Previously, Bitcoin had rebounded from the leverage liquidation crisis of 190 billion dollars in early October to a historic high of 126251 dollars, but is again facing pressure in the short term.

Market dynamics analysis: Risk aversion combined with a negative resonance
Sean McNulty, head of derivatives trading for FalconX in the Asia-Pacific region, pointed out that risk aversion is driving the start of December, with weak capital inflows and a lack of buying pressure exacerbating selling pressure. Structural resistance is expected to persist, with 80000 potentially becoming a key defense line. Additionally, multiple negative events are concentrated and fermenting.

Phong Le, CEO of crypto giant Strategy, admitted that if the company's mNAV (market value to Bitcoin holding ratio) falls below 1, they may resort to a "last resort" sale of Bitcoin. Currently, their mNAV of 56 billion dollars in Bitcoin holdings has dropped to 1.19, and market anxiety is rising;

S&P Global has downgraded the stability assessment of the world's largest stablecoin USDT to the lowest level, warning that a decline in Bitcoin's value could trigger collateral shortfalls, further undermining market confidence.

On the technical front, Bitcoin's daily chart has lost key support levels, with bearish forces dominating short-term trends. Meanwhile, uncertainty at the macro level continues to ferment:

The Fed's interest rate cut expectations are intensifying, with a series of U.S. economic data set to be released next week. The stickiness of inflation and signals of economic growth may reshape the market's bets on the interest rate path, directly affecting the pricing logic of risk assets;

Geopolitical risks are spilling over: against the backdrop of escalating global geopolitical conflicts, the flow of risk-averse funds resonates with volatility in traditional markets, and cryptocurrencies as "risk assets" are facing suppression.

Here we analyze the technical aspects. In the evening, we still need to pay attention to the impact of the US stock market. Everyone can trade long or short in the short term; just make sure to take profits when there is space.

From the current market observation, Bitcoin is under pressure from the middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart. After the previous day’s candlestick closed as a small bearish candle with an upper shadow, there was a sharp drop at the market open during the day. The Bollinger Bands are in a contraction pattern, with short-term moving averages turning downward. The MACD lines show signs of turning after crossing, and the trading volume is shrinking. The KDJ has formed a death cross and is diverging downward. The VR indicator is consolidating around the value of 50, showing an overall pressure situation. The four-hour chart shows that after a high-level fluctuation over the weekend, the real bearish candle has broken below the lower band and the 60-day moving average, currently operating below the lower band. The Bollinger Bands are expanding, short-term moving averages are diverging downward, the MACD lines have broken below the zero axis with an increase in volume, and the KDJ death cross continues, focusing on support near the value of 0. The VR indicator is consolidating around the value of 110. In summary, the market rebound is blocked after encountering the middle band, continuing in a downward channel. In the short term, it is recommended to mainly short on rebounds; if the key support at 85200 is broken, it may further test 83000.

The daily and four-hour trends of Ethereum are in sync with Bitcoin, with short-term support focusing on the line of 2780; if broken, it may test 2680. $ETH #加密市场回调

12.1 Afternoon Bitcoin Ethereum Thought Update

The morning thought had errors, and the market started to crash after approaching the old Wang's morning strategy point, with BTC price dropping 4000 points in the morning, and ETH also declining by 200 points. Overall, the short-term thought from the old Wang in the early morning and the morning strategy both showed significant deviations.

Fortunately, the old Wang's real strategy was spared from disaster, as it wasn't too aggressive in laying out positions. The long positions didn't even wait for the right point before dropping, and subsequently, it timely adjusted to short positions to profit from the trend!

The reason for the decline in coin prices in the morning may be due to sudden news triggering panic in the market, leading to continuous price drops. The old Wang also updated everyone about this in a timely manner.

For the future market, it is recommended that everyone still adopt a short-term approach to follow the trend and lay out positions cautiously. The white strategy first looks for high shorts, depending on how the evening US stock market opens.

Here is the thought for long positions on rebounds, which is currently the old Wang's personal idea. It is expected that there will be a rebound in the evening, but to be cautious, everyone can just observe.

Short-term operation suggestions:
Bitcoin 85000-85500 long, looking up near 88000
Ethereum follows Bitcoin's trend, can lay out long positions around 2750, looking up at 2950$BTC #加密市场反弹

November Trading Summary and December Market Outlook: Accurately Grasping the Waves, Awaiting Macroeconomic Opportunities

The trading in November concluded successfully, with a precise grasp of the wave market, successfully implementing a long-term short strategy (106000 to 80000) and long position layout (83400 to 91000), achieving significant gains. This achievement confirms the core of trading: 'trend judgment and rhythm control', laying a solid foundation for the year's conclusion.

Looking ahead to December, multiple macro factors will become key variables in the market. The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut strengthens, with clear signals of a shift in monetary policy, improving market liquidity expectations, which may provide upward support for risk assets; at the same time, it is necessary to pay attention to the policy dynamics of major countries, as the regulatory attitude of major economies towards the cryptocurrency sector and industry support policies will continue to influence market risk appetite;

Technical signals validate that the current cryptocurrency asset prices are in a critical consolidation range, and it is necessary to combine volume with trend momentum resonance to determine the breakout direction. For everyone, past achievements reset to zero, and it is essential to welcome challenges with a new attitude. It is recommended to focus on fundamental analysis and dynamically adjust strategies.
In the short term, attention still needs to be paid to technical support and resistance levels, responding flexibly to range fluctuations; in the medium to long term, focus on the implementation of macro policies and progress in industrial innovation, seizing trend opportunities.

May everyone proceed steadily in December, capturing market pulses with a professional perspective and reaping ideal returns. $ETH #王建波

The morning market experienced a crash, influenced by sudden bad news, triggering potential extreme panic in the market. Fortunately, the real support did not enter the market in time this morning.

Subsequently, the real support has been laid out to short twice, and now it is also holding long positions for a rebound repair. Later, Lao Wang will provide everyone with the afternoon strategy. $ETH #加密市场观察

White market trend reversal! The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission withdraws XRP, SOL, and Litecoin ETF applications, causing coin prices to plummet! In the short term, just go short in line with the trend! Seize the opportunity to exit first, as sudden news impact is expected to bring positive news for recovery later! $BTC #王建波

12.1 Monday morning Bitcoin and Ethereum analysis

The general idea was discussed with everyone last night, that the market will oscillate and pull back here for a while. After a surge last night, it has been in a correction since early Monday morning, and the market is not moving quickly; the morning correction will also continue.

Here, I won't elaborate too much; I've been repeating the same things. Instead, let's analyze the technical aspects.

On the 4-hour chart, it is very clear that the BTC price is undergoing a consolidation. On the daily chart, the price is under pressure from the middle Bollinger band, oscillating in this area, trying to use time to break through the pressure of the middle band. To put it plainly, it is a horizontal movement replacing an increase! It is expected that some sudden fundamental impact will be needed to achieve an upward breakthrough.

From the technical indicators, the bullish pattern on the moving averages remains unchanged. Although there is a short-term technical correction demand on the daily chart, the moving average system always maintains a clear bullish arrangement, with moving averages of all cycles showing a stepped upward trend, forming a solid support base. The synergy between volume and price is significant, as the orderly expansion of trading volume resonates with trend momentum, further strengthening the sustainability of the upward logic. This correction is not a signal of trend reversal but a necessary energy accumulation process during the bullish-led market—serving as a reasonable verification of the healthy upward trend and demonstrating the firm control of buying power. The short-term correction has not shaken the core upward structure; instead, it provides a more cost-effective entry window for participating in the trend.

Deep technical signals indicate that the market is in a virtuous cycle stage of "oscillation accumulation - upward breakthrough." The gradient support of the moving average system effectively filters out short-term disturbances, and the volume matching verifies the substantial upward momentum. The current adjustment is essentially a self-reinforcement of the bullish pattern, rather than a sign of trend exhaustion. For everyone, positioning long orders near key support levels or using correction opportunities to optimize holding costs will become a key strategy for capturing the subsequent main upward wave.

Operational advice:
Bitcoin 89800-90300 long, targeting 92500.
Ethereum follows Bitcoin's trend; you can position long orders around 2980, targeting 3100$BTC #王建波 .

The November schedule has ended, and the sound of the sprinting horn is getting louder!
Limited-time recruitment has started!!!

Looking back at last month's market battlefield, some followed the rhythm to short-sell accurately, wildly raking in profits and successfully "reaching the shore" to unlock new earnings; while others regretfully missed out, still wandering in the volatile market in confusion. But past gains and losses are merely a prologue; at this moment, the mindset is fully reset, and gains and losses are cleared. The profit race for the second half has already been laid out, and we will sprint towards new goals with all our might, not wasting the remaining time! $ETH #王建波

Trump's Statement Ignites Market Confidence: The Crypto Opportunities Behind the Stock Market and 401k New Highs

Recently, U.S. President Trump spoke out, emphasizing that both the stock market and national retirement accounts (401k plans) have reached historic highs, while inflation, prices, and taxes are on a downward trend. This statement not only injects a boost into the narrative of a 'soft landing' for the U.S. economy but also has profound implications for the crypto market and the macro environment.

Trump's positioning of the stock market and 401k's 'historic new high' marks the highest level of recognition of the health of the U.S. economy. This move directly alleviates market concerns about 'economic recession' and establishes a global 'risk appetite' model. Investor confidence is boosted, which may accelerate the flow of funds into high-risk asset areas, with the crypto market as an emerging asset class expected to capture some of the spillover effects.

The statement regarding 'declining inflation and prices' provides critical political support for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The market has priced in an 86.9% expectation of interest rate cuts, and this statement further solidifies the rationale for a loosening path, reducing policy uncertainty risk. Improved liquidity expectations, combined with an increased risk appetite, may provide a dual benefit for the crypto market.

The current market is experiencing a triple resonance period of worry-free macro environment (interest rate cut expectations), explosive crypto fundamentals (development of the V God ecosystem/Ondo compliance advancement), and political confidence support (Trump's speech). With multiple benefits overlapping, market resistance is gradually being resolved, and the technical conditions for breakthroughs are becoming increasingly mature.

Trump's speech provides a strong political confidence endorsement for BTC to break through resistance levels of 94000 and even 97500. The warming of risk appetite and improved liquidity expectations may push the crypto market out of a volatile pattern and open up a new round of upward space.
$BTC #王建波