The 4-year Bitcoin cycle just died, and no one noticed.
🪦 $BTC 🪦 Crypto-Twitter exploded, calling October 6 the peak of the cycle. An eighty-four percent crash is coming. Bear market confirmed. We are folding up. Only mathematics says that they are catastrophically wrong. Every indicator that predicted the peaks of 2013, 2017, and 2021 is silent.
$BTC Summarizing the year, Bitcoin opened in 2025 at the mark of 93,500. Right now, we are not far from it. How we will finish this year, we will see. There was a momentary increase of 30%, but global politics and the economy pushed Bitcoin down below the year's opening. Therefore, I cannot say that the deflationary product has disappointed greatly, but it hasn't brought much joy to investors either. Inflation for the year is no less than 10% in various regions, here it is a little less), but for now.
$BTC Allegedly, there is still much unsaid about Bitcoin. America has opened up. The market will show slight activity. The session will end at 13:00 New York time. And then a period of low activity will begin.
Many ask why we publish macroeconomic data and how it relates to Bitcoin. For example, right now, the labor data - unemployment claims. The Fed looks specifically at GDP and the labor market. These indicators are opposite. That is, we had positive GDP data, while unemployment claims decreased. This means the economy is growing. Accordingly, the Fed decides not to raise interest rates and strengthen the dollar. And if the dollar strengthens, risky assets like Bitcoin decrease. Well, that's in a nutshell, so you understand.