The 4-year Bitcoin cycle just died, and no one noticed.
🪦 $BTC 🪦 Crypto-Twitter exploded, calling October 6 the peak of the cycle. An eighty-four percent crash is coming. Bear market confirmed. We are folding up. Only mathematics says that they are catastrophically wrong. Every indicator that predicted the peaks of 2013, 2017, and 2021 is silent.
The cryptocurrency boom triggered by Trump has ended — #Bloomberg
The year started with optimism but ended with a 10% drop in Bitcoin, resulting in the loss of billions of dollars. The market value of all cryptocurrencies decreased by 1 trillion dollars.
$BTC The cryptocurrency market has already entered a bearish phase. The target is $56 thousand.
The main signal is a sharp decline in demand, analysts note. On-chain indicators showed a trend break as early as the beginning of October 2025. And all the driving forces of the cycle, ETF, elections, BTC DAT, have been exhausted, and along with them, price support has disappeared.
Forecast: • $70,000 — in the next 3–6 months • $56,000 — in a deeper scenario, closer to the second half of 2026
$BTC 84 000 positions opened three days ago, likely during a sharp price drop, are now in a vulnerable position. If price pressure continues, up to 44% of them may face liquidation risk within 48 hours. Attempting to "catch a falling knife" at this moment could expose many positions to serious risk of decline.
According to the theory #Элиотта , waves can be divided into two types — Impulse (or moving) and Corrective (retracement). Impulse waves are price movements that align with the main trend, while Corrective waves move against it. In the chart above, the impulse waves are (1), (3), (5), (a), and (c), and the corrective waves are (2), (4), and (b). Elliott also believed that any impulse wave of the classical model consists of five smaller waves, while a corrective wave consists of three. Thus, the main model 5-3 can be represented as 2 higher-level waves and 34 lower-level.
Elliott waves are a system of repeating patterns discovered by Ralph Nelson Elliott. In total, Elliott identified 13 types of patterns, but the main one is the 5-3 pattern, consisting of 8 waves.
We are moving according to the forecast from December 19
The blue horizontal level acts as a target zone. This may complete the formation of the leading diagonal. I will be monitoring for a reversal there. Positions for short selling should not be closed.