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用AI挑出每天最有潜力的币种 🔍
每日更新：热点追踪｜走势逻辑｜复盘总结
长期专注：BTC / ETH / /SOL潜力板块轮动
和你一起，把波动变成收益。💪
风险提示：加密市场波动极大，我所有的策略建议都只是基于当时数据做出的判断，你只能作为参考，本金是你自己的，市场行情天天有，本金不一定天天有。不能盲目跟单。
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Good morning, friends! Here’s a debt clearance talisman for you. Wishing everyone good fortune and a debt-free life! Believe in the power of words, and feel free to type in the comments: Good fortune, debt-free!\n$BNB #代币化热潮
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I provide 2-3 potential cryptocurrency recommendations every day, along with trading strategies for both long and short positions. The next day, I will conduct backtesting and review. I will also provide multi-dimensional trend analysis for the other mainstream indicators $BTC $ETH over the next 24 hours. You can go directly to my homepage to watch.
The AI model I've trained can quickly and accurately analyze all real-time data of all cryptocurrencies on centralized exchanges from multiple dimensions, serving as a reference for predicting future trends. While it cannot guarantee 100% accuracy, the overall win rate after two months of testing has been quite high. AI is a new thing and a trend of the times; we cannot rely completely on AI, but we also cannot reject it. We should not have biases against new things. It can be considered a super-strong auxiliary tool. After all, the speed and efficiency of AI are unmatched by the human brain. Once the data comes out, you can make judgments based on your own experience and skills, which can significantly increase the win rate. After all, not everyone is a professional trader, and many friends who have been trading for a long time may not be very clear about many technical indicators, often trading based on intuition. AI analysis can save you a lot of time and effort.
Specific analysis dimensions:
Technical aspects: EMA/SMA, MACD, RSI, Bollinger, ATR, VWAP, Volume Profile are the core.
On-chain aspects: active addresses, net inflow to exchanges, ETH locked, whale holdings, DeFi TVL.
Derivatives aspects: funding rates, open interest, implied volatility, maximum pain, basis.
Capital flow: exchange reserves, net inflow/outflow, large order transactions, cross-chain bridge flows.
Structural aspects: buy/sell walls, depth charts, liquidity pool depth.
Macroeconomic aspects: interest rates, US dollar index, regulations, network upgrades, competitive chain dynamics.
Combining these indicators into a six-dimensional matrix of “Technical + On-chain + Derivative + Capital Flow + Structure + Macroeconomic” for in-depth analysis of short-term trading strategies.
If friends have anything they need me to analyze, they can also post in the comments, and I can provide analysis.
#内容挖矿 #BinanceSquareFamily
The AI model I've trained can quickly and accurately analyze all real-time data of all cryptocurrencies on centralized exchanges from multiple dimensions, serving as a reference for predicting future trends. While it cannot guarantee 100% accuracy, the overall win rate after two months of testing has been quite high. AI is a new thing and a trend of the times; we cannot rely completely on AI, but we also cannot reject it. We should not have biases against new things. It can be considered a super-strong auxiliary tool. After all, the speed and efficiency of AI are unmatched by the human brain. Once the data comes out, you can make judgments based on your own experience and skills, which can significantly increase the win rate. After all, not everyone is a professional trader, and many friends who have been trading for a long time may not be very clear about many technical indicators, often trading based on intuition. AI analysis can save you a lot of time and effort.
Specific analysis dimensions:
Technical aspects: EMA/SMA, MACD, RSI, Bollinger, ATR, VWAP, Volume Profile are the core.
On-chain aspects: active addresses, net inflow to exchanges, ETH locked, whale holdings, DeFi TVL.
Derivatives aspects: funding rates, open interest, implied volatility, maximum pain, basis.
Capital flow: exchange reserves, net inflow/outflow, large order transactions, cross-chain bridge flows.
Structural aspects: buy/sell walls, depth charts, liquidity pool depth.
Macroeconomic aspects: interest rates, US dollar index, regulations, network upgrades, competitive chain dynamics.
Combining these indicators into a six-dimensional matrix of “Technical + On-chain + Derivative + Capital Flow + Structure + Macroeconomic” for in-depth analysis of short-term trading strategies.
If friends have anything they need me to analyze, they can also post in the comments, and I can provide analysis.
#内容挖矿 #BinanceSquareFamily
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Short Selling High Valuation New Project Series Strategy Reference
Recommendation 2: TRADOOR
Project Overview:
Positioning: AI-driven RWA tokenization platform Launch Date: December 3, 2025 (Gate.io) Freshly Launched Current Price: $1.44 (as of December 3, 2025 UTC)
Short Selling Logic:
1. Typical High FDV Low Circulation Model:
Funding $3.2M, Launch FDV $85.48M, Funding Amount/FDV Ratio Reaches 26.5 Times High Valuation Multiples Generally Indicate Early Investors Have Already Obtained Huge Paper Gains, Leading to Significant Selling Pressure
2. Large-Scale Distribution on Launch Day:
Holding Volume Plummeted -21.56% in 24 Hours, Highest Anomaly Signal Among All Monitored Currencies: Such a Severe Decline in OI on Launch Day Indicates That Internal Holdings Were Pre-Arranged and Quickly Exited
3. Technical Breakdown at Opening:
Price Action: Opened at $1.50 Immediately Retraced to $1.44, Refusal to Bounce EMA Pressure: Price Stuck Between EMA12 $1.435/EMA26 $1.440, Weak Breakthrough Funding Rate: Positive 0.005 (Longs Paying), But OI Plummeting Indicates Main Force is Short Hedging
4. Fundamental Doubts:
RWA Sector Crowded, Lacking Obvious Differentiation Just Launched with No User Data/TVL Verification Gate Single Exchange Liquidity Risk High
Contract Availability: Gate.io Perpetual Contract
Recommended Strategy:
Entry: Short Below $1.40 (Waiting for Rebound) Stop Loss: $1.55 (+11%) Target: $1.10 (-24%), Aggressively Looking at $0.90 (-38%) Win Rate Assessment: 75% (Launch Immediately Drops Mode Historical Win Rate Highest) $TRADOOR #加密市场观察
Recommendation 2: TRADOOR
Project Overview:
Positioning: AI-driven RWA tokenization platform Launch Date: December 3, 2025 (Gate.io) Freshly Launched Current Price: $1.44 (as of December 3, 2025 UTC)
Short Selling Logic:
1. Typical High FDV Low Circulation Model:
Funding $3.2M, Launch FDV $85.48M, Funding Amount/FDV Ratio Reaches 26.5 Times High Valuation Multiples Generally Indicate Early Investors Have Already Obtained Huge Paper Gains, Leading to Significant Selling Pressure
2. Large-Scale Distribution on Launch Day:
Holding Volume Plummeted -21.56% in 24 Hours, Highest Anomaly Signal Among All Monitored Currencies: Such a Severe Decline in OI on Launch Day Indicates That Internal Holdings Were Pre-Arranged and Quickly Exited
3. Technical Breakdown at Opening:
Price Action: Opened at $1.50 Immediately Retraced to $1.44, Refusal to Bounce EMA Pressure: Price Stuck Between EMA12 $1.435/EMA26 $1.440, Weak Breakthrough Funding Rate: Positive 0.005 (Longs Paying), But OI Plummeting Indicates Main Force is Short Hedging
4. Fundamental Doubts:
RWA Sector Crowded, Lacking Obvious Differentiation Just Launched with No User Data/TVL Verification Gate Single Exchange Liquidity Risk High
Contract Availability: Gate.io Perpetual Contract
Recommended Strategy:
Entry: Short Below $1.40 (Waiting for Rebound) Stop Loss: $1.55 (+11%) Target: $1.10 (-24%), Aggressively Looking at $0.90 (-38%) Win Rate Assessment: 75% (Launch Immediately Drops Mode Historical Win Rate Highest) $TRADOOR #加密市场观察
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Short Selling High Valuation New Projects Strategy Reference
Recommendation 1: MON (Monad)
Project Overview:
Positioning: VC-backed Layer 1 blockchain (supported by top institutions like Paradigm)
Launch Date: November 24, 2024 (Bitget/Bybit)
Current Price: $0.02899 (as of December 3, 2025 UTC)
Short Selling Logic:
1. Valuation Bubble:
Total Financing $431.5M, estimated launch FDV $1B+ has dropped 70% from peak $0.10 to $0.029, but still far higher than actual value
2. Extremely Concentrated Chips and Ongoing Distribution:
24-hour trading volume plummeted -13.22%, indicating that large holders are accelerating their exit
Funding Rate 0.005-0.01 (longs pay shorts), excessive leverage on longs vulnerable to liquidation
3. Fundamental Collapse:
Community Backlash: Only 3% airdropped to the community vs 25% to the team, labeled "scam testnet users"
User Exodus: 70% of airdrop recipients immediately sell off and turn to other projects
Product Gaps: No substantial applications on the mainnet, KOLs criticize "engagement without returns"
4. Technical Bear Market Confirmation:
1-day Line: ADX 52.3 strong downtrend, price below BB midline $0.0264
MACD: histogram -0.00020 (4-hour bear divergence)
Support Level: Has broken below critical level $0.030, next target $0.025
Contract Availability: Bitget, Bybit perpetual contracts are open
Recommended Strategy:
Entry: $0.029-0.032 range for phased shorting
Stop Loss: $0.036 (+24%)
Target: $0.020 (-31%), aggressive view $0.015 (-48%)
Win Rate Assessment: 70%$MON #加密市场观察
Recommendation 1: MON (Monad)
Project Overview:
Positioning: VC-backed Layer 1 blockchain (supported by top institutions like Paradigm)
Launch Date: November 24, 2024 (Bitget/Bybit)
Current Price: $0.02899 (as of December 3, 2025 UTC)
Short Selling Logic:
1. Valuation Bubble:
Total Financing $431.5M, estimated launch FDV $1B+ has dropped 70% from peak $0.10 to $0.029, but still far higher than actual value
2. Extremely Concentrated Chips and Ongoing Distribution:
24-hour trading volume plummeted -13.22%, indicating that large holders are accelerating their exit
Funding Rate 0.005-0.01 (longs pay shorts), excessive leverage on longs vulnerable to liquidation
3. Fundamental Collapse:
Community Backlash: Only 3% airdropped to the community vs 25% to the team, labeled "scam testnet users"
User Exodus: 70% of airdrop recipients immediately sell off and turn to other projects
Product Gaps: No substantial applications on the mainnet, KOLs criticize "engagement without returns"
4. Technical Bear Market Confirmation:
1-day Line: ADX 52.3 strong downtrend, price below BB midline $0.0264
MACD: histogram -0.00020 (4-hour bear divergence)
Support Level: Has broken below critical level $0.030, next target $0.025
Contract Availability: Bitget, Bybit perpetual contracts are open
Recommended Strategy:
Entry: $0.029-0.032 range for phased shorting
Stop Loss: $0.036 (+24%)
Target: $0.020 (-31%), aggressive view $0.015 (-48%)
Win Rate Assessment: 70%$MON #加密市场观察
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Ethereum Foundation's latest funded projects and how they affect the decentralization development of the Ethereum protocol
Ethereum Foundation 2024-2025 funding review 🧵
Recently, I sorted out the EF's funding trends and found that they are indeed putting real effort into decentralization. In simple terms: the money was well spent, all directed to the crucial areas.
Let’s talk about the numbers
2024 Academic Funding: 1.78 million dollars, 41 projects
ZK Special: 900 thousand dollars, 25 selected
ESP Q1 continuous investment in core clients
An additional 14.35 million dollars in Q3
Overall, the money mainly flowed into these areas: clients, consensus security, network layer, formal verification, ZK infrastructure
Client diversity
This is the most intuitive. Lodestar (written in TS), Lighthouse, and Erigon are continuously receiving funding and specifically funded research on 'how to promote client diversity' (the KTH project).
Recently, I sorted out the EF's funding trends and found that they are indeed putting real effort into decentralization. In simple terms: the money was well spent, all directed to the crucial areas.
Let’s talk about the numbers
2024 Academic Funding: 1.78 million dollars, 41 projects
ZK Special: 900 thousand dollars, 25 selected
ESP Q1 continuous investment in core clients
An additional 14.35 million dollars in Q3
Overall, the money mainly flowed into these areas: clients, consensus security, network layer, formal verification, ZK infrastructure
Client diversity
This is the most intuitive. Lodestar (written in TS), Lighthouse, and Erigon are continuously receiving funding and specifically funded research on 'how to promote client diversity' (the KTH project).
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Evening Potential Token Recommendation Reference Strategy
DOGE (Dogecoin) - Long Position Pullback Stabilization Strategy (Rating: 8.8/10)
Current Price: $0.328 (24H +8.5% pullback -2.1%, MC $48B, good liquidity)
Long Position Logic Validation: Short-term pullback to 4H middle track, oversold recovery + support test completed, rebound probability 72%
Technical Indicator Core: 1H: RSI 42.8 (neutral slightly oversold) | MACD Histogram +0.0002 (turning positive) | Lower track 0.322 support 4H: RSI 48.5 (balanced) | Middle track 0.325 key support | Pullback to 50% position of Bollinger Bands Daily: RSI 55.2 (healthy) | Upward trend not broken
Derivative Advantages: OI 2.8B (+1.5%) | Funding Rate -0.008% (shorts pay) | Upper 0.345 shorts liquidation 2.2M
Long Entry Conditions (3/5 met, probability 75%): • Price > 0.325 (4H middle track stabilizing) + > 0.322 (1H lower track) • RSI: 1H > 45 + 4H > 50 (repair confirmation) • MACD: 1H > 0.0004 + 4H turning positive • Volume > average 25% + CMF > 0.03 (buying pressure return)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 0.325-0.328 | Leverage: 3x | Stop Loss: 0.318 (-2.4%) | Target: 0.350 (+6.7%) | R/R: 2.79:1$DOGE #加密市场观察
DOGE (Dogecoin) - Long Position Pullback Stabilization Strategy (Rating: 8.8/10)
Current Price: $0.328 (24H +8.5% pullback -2.1%, MC $48B, good liquidity)
Long Position Logic Validation: Short-term pullback to 4H middle track, oversold recovery + support test completed, rebound probability 72%
Technical Indicator Core: 1H: RSI 42.8 (neutral slightly oversold) | MACD Histogram +0.0002 (turning positive) | Lower track 0.322 support 4H: RSI 48.5 (balanced) | Middle track 0.325 key support | Pullback to 50% position of Bollinger Bands Daily: RSI 55.2 (healthy) | Upward trend not broken
Derivative Advantages: OI 2.8B (+1.5%) | Funding Rate -0.008% (shorts pay) | Upper 0.345 shorts liquidation 2.2M
Long Entry Conditions (3/5 met, probability 75%): • Price > 0.325 (4H middle track stabilizing) + > 0.322 (1H lower track) • RSI: 1H > 45 + 4H > 50 (repair confirmation) • MACD: 1H > 0.0004 + 4H turning positive • Volume > average 25% + CMF > 0.03 (buying pressure return)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 0.325-0.328 | Leverage: 3x | Stop Loss: 0.318 (-2.4%) | Target: 0.350 (+6.7%) | R/R: 2.79:1$DOGE #加密市场观察
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Today’s Potential Token Recommendation Reference Strategy
XRP (Ripple) - Short Overbought Pullback Setup (Rating: 9.1/10)
Current Price: $2.30 (24H +5.2% but RSI overbought, MC $133B, excellent depth)
Short Logic Verification: Continuous 5-day rise accumulative +45%, technical indicators severely overbought, pullback probability as high as 75%
Technical Indicators Core: 1H: RSI 78.5 (severely overbought) | MACD Histogram +0.008 (divergence) | Upper Band 2.35 Top 4H: RSI 72.3 (overbought) | Price far from Middle Band 2.15 | Pullback Space 6.5% Daily: RSI 68.9 (overbought edge) | Bollinger Band Width expanded to extreme
Derivatives Advantage: OI 4.2B (+2.1%) | Funding Rate +0.025% (high cost for bulls) | Lower 2.15 bulls liquidated 3.5M
Short Entry Conditions (4/5 met, probability 78%): • Price < 2.28 (1H upper band pullback) + RSI > 75 (overbought confirmation) • MACD Histogram divergence narrowing < 0.006 • Volume shrinks < average 20% (momentum exhaustion) • Positive funding rate sustained > 0.02% (bull squeeze)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 2.28-2.30 | Leverage: 4x | Stop Loss: 2.38 (+3.5%) | Target: 2.15 (-6.5%) | R/R: 1.86:1$XRP #加密市场观察
XRP (Ripple) - Short Overbought Pullback Setup (Rating: 9.1/10)
Current Price: $2.30 (24H +5.2% but RSI overbought, MC $133B, excellent depth)
Short Logic Verification: Continuous 5-day rise accumulative +45%, technical indicators severely overbought, pullback probability as high as 75%
Technical Indicators Core: 1H: RSI 78.5 (severely overbought) | MACD Histogram +0.008 (divergence) | Upper Band 2.35 Top 4H: RSI 72.3 (overbought) | Price far from Middle Band 2.15 | Pullback Space 6.5% Daily: RSI 68.9 (overbought edge) | Bollinger Band Width expanded to extreme
Derivatives Advantage: OI 4.2B (+2.1%) | Funding Rate +0.025% (high cost for bulls) | Lower 2.15 bulls liquidated 3.5M
Short Entry Conditions (4/5 met, probability 78%): • Price < 2.28 (1H upper band pullback) + RSI > 75 (overbought confirmation) • MACD Histogram divergence narrowing < 0.006 • Volume shrinks < average 20% (momentum exhaustion) • Positive funding rate sustained > 0.02% (bull squeeze)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 2.28-2.30 | Leverage: 4x | Stop Loss: 2.38 (+3.5%) | Target: 2.15 (-6.5%) | R/R: 1.86:1$XRP #加密市场观察
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I earned 6.68 USDC through content mining last week. Thanks to the supportive brothers. Your support is my motivation to update. All recommended plans are based on the data at that time, and you can only use them as a reference. After all, in this market, many times, when Trump opens his mouth, no technical indicators are of any use. $ZEC
From Write to Earn
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ETH Short-term Strategy Forecast Reference
Current Price $3,051
Resistance: 3,100 / 3,120 / 3,200
Support: 3,000 / 2,950 / 2,900
Fusaka upgrade activates tonight (05:49 Beijing Time)!
Probability: Upgrade rebound 60%｜Fluctuation 25%｜Pullback 15%
Strategy:
1️⃣ Announcement Long: 3,040-3,060 entry, target 3,100→3,120, invalid at 3,000
2️⃣ Breakout Long: 1H close above 3,100 retest to go long, look for 3,120→3,200, stop loss at 3,070
3️⃣ Breakdown Short: volume breaks 3,000, chase short, look for 2,950→2,900, stop loss at 3,030$ETH
Current Price $3,051
Resistance: 3,100 / 3,120 / 3,200
Support: 3,000 / 2,950 / 2,900
Fusaka upgrade activates tonight (05:49 Beijing Time)!
Probability: Upgrade rebound 60%｜Fluctuation 25%｜Pullback 15%
Strategy:
1️⃣ Announcement Long: 3,040-3,060 entry, target 3,100→3,120, invalid at 3,000
2️⃣ Breakout Long: 1H close above 3,100 retest to go long, look for 3,120→3,200, stop loss at 3,070
3️⃣ Breakdown Short: volume breaks 3,000, chase short, look for 2,950→2,900, stop loss at 3,030$ETH
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Latest in-depth insights on six dimensions of ETH for the next 48 hours market trend reference (Fusaka upgrade activation imminent)
1. Macroeconomic: Upgrade announcement dominates, market warms up.
Fusaka upgrade will be officially activated tonight (12-03) at 21:49 UTC (Beijing time next day 05:49). The PeerDAS technology reduces L2 data costs by 40-60%, enhancing the overall scalability of Ethereum. This is a significant milestone following the Dencun upgrade, expected to stimulate the DeFi and NFT ecosystems. The market has priced this in advance, with ETH up 8.97% in 24 hours (bouncing back +9% from the low point of $2,800). The end of the government shutdown (11-12) released a liquidity effect of 1500-3000 billion that continues to ferment. NFP data published on 11-13 shows non-farm employment up by 42K (below the expected 150K), and the unemployment rate is at 4.1% (above the expected 4.0%), reinforcing Fed dovish expectations, with the probability of a rate cut in December rising to 77%. DXY has pulled back to 99.81 (-0.5% WoW), alleviating strong pressure. Concerns about the trade war (Trump 155% against China) still exist, but the positive developments outweigh the negatives, with the market shifting from pessimism (before 11-15) to optimism. The probability of ETH reaching $3,500 on Polymarket is 65%.
Fusaka upgrade will be officially activated tonight (12-03) at 21:49 UTC (Beijing time next day 05:49). The PeerDAS technology reduces L2 data costs by 40-60%, enhancing the overall scalability of Ethereum. This is a significant milestone following the Dencun upgrade, expected to stimulate the DeFi and NFT ecosystems. The market has priced this in advance, with ETH up 8.97% in 24 hours (bouncing back +9% from the low point of $2,800). The end of the government shutdown (11-12) released a liquidity effect of 1500-3000 billion that continues to ferment. NFP data published on 11-13 shows non-farm employment up by 42K (below the expected 150K), and the unemployment rate is at 4.1% (above the expected 4.0%), reinforcing Fed dovish expectations, with the probability of a rate cut in December rising to 77%. DXY has pulled back to 99.81 (-0.5% WoW), alleviating strong pressure. Concerns about the trade war (Trump 155% against China) still exist, but the positive developments outweigh the negatives, with the market shifting from pessimism (before 11-15) to optimism. The probability of ETH reaching $3,500 on Polymarket is 65%.
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Has the privacy sector cooled off?
The harsh reality
Previous strategies have completely failed: three consecutive bullish recommendations led to a 35-42% loss
The privacy sector is not cooling off but is experiencing severe market fluctuations: the fundamental logic holds partially, but the price has seriously overdrawn ZEC and is severely decoupled from the overall market: a 40% drop while BTC/ETH remains stable is an extremely dangerous signal
Final recommendation
At this stage, heavy trading is not recommended:
Mainly observe: wait for $300 support confirmation or decide after a collapse at $270. If trading is necessary, shorting is more reasonable: technical, fundamental, and capital aspects all support shorting. Going long is extremely dangerous: only tiny positions should be tested, with strict stop-losses
Key monitoring indicators:
Technical aspect: whether the $295-300 support holds
Fundamental aspect: whether the privacy pool is growing again
Sentiment aspect: whether KOLs like Arthur Hayes are really increasing their holdings
Risk warning: ZEC's recent performance proves that the market is more brutal than any analysis. Please strictly control your position and avoid heavy gambling.
Forecast for the next 48 hours
Baseline scenario (probability 50%)
Price range: $295-320
Logic: oscillating and consolidating at the $300 support level, waiting for directional choice
Action: mainly observe, do not rush to build positions
Bearish scenario (probability 40%)
Price target: $270-290
Logic: breaking $295 triggers long liquidation, panic intensifies
Action: short on rebound at $320-330
Bullish scenario (probability 10%)
Price target: $330-350
Logic: oversold rebound + external positive stimuli
Action: very small position bottom fishing at $295-305
Solemn statement: This analysis corrects previous bullish biases and provides a more balanced long and short perspective. However, cryptocurrency investment still carries extremely high risks. The severe volatility of ZEC shows its extreme danger. Please make decisions cautiously based on personal risk tolerance, prioritizing the safety of principal $ZEC #加密市场观察
The harsh reality
Previous strategies have completely failed: three consecutive bullish recommendations led to a 35-42% loss
The privacy sector is not cooling off but is experiencing severe market fluctuations: the fundamental logic holds partially, but the price has seriously overdrawn ZEC and is severely decoupled from the overall market: a 40% drop while BTC/ETH remains stable is an extremely dangerous signal
Final recommendation
At this stage, heavy trading is not recommended:
Mainly observe: wait for $300 support confirmation or decide after a collapse at $270. If trading is necessary, shorting is more reasonable: technical, fundamental, and capital aspects all support shorting. Going long is extremely dangerous: only tiny positions should be tested, with strict stop-losses
Key monitoring indicators:
Technical aspect: whether the $295-300 support holds
Fundamental aspect: whether the privacy pool is growing again
Sentiment aspect: whether KOLs like Arthur Hayes are really increasing their holdings
Risk warning: ZEC's recent performance proves that the market is more brutal than any analysis. Please strictly control your position and avoid heavy gambling.
Forecast for the next 48 hours
Baseline scenario (probability 50%)
Price range: $295-320
Logic: oscillating and consolidating at the $300 support level, waiting for directional choice
Action: mainly observe, do not rush to build positions
Bearish scenario (probability 40%)
Price target: $270-290
Logic: breaking $295 triggers long liquidation, panic intensifies
Action: short on rebound at $320-330
Bullish scenario (probability 10%)
Price target: $330-350
Logic: oversold rebound + external positive stimuli
Action: very small position bottom fishing at $295-305
Solemn statement: This analysis corrects previous bullish biases and provides a more balanced long and short perspective. However, cryptocurrency investment still carries extremely high risks. The severe volatility of ZEC shows its extreme danger. Please make decisions cautiously based on personal risk tolerance, prioritizing the safety of principal $ZEC #加密市场观察
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Shorting the overvalued bubble of new coins series - today's latest reference strategy recommendation ---- Shorting MON
The new coin's launch has been very volatile, and it cannot be ruled out that some quality projects perform well in the market after launch. However, this year, the vast majority of projects peaked upon launch and then continued to decline. I am only providing the idea of shorting such projects; the specific timing for shorting is up to you.
MON (Monad) - Technical rebound provides a second shorting opportunity
Core shorting logic update:
Social FUD continues to ferment:
Arthur Hayes went bullish from November 25, saying "rise to 10 dollars" to November 27, "exit and let it go to zero," and on November 30 warned again, "hope everyone vesting," his attitude has been erratic, causing panic in the community. The community criticizes the tokenomics structure: 3% community allocation vs 25% team allocation, which is extremely unfair. Controversy over circulation rate: the market questions the actual circulation is close to 50% rather than the official claim of 10.8%. If true, it will reassess the FDV to below 1.5 billion dollars.
MON (Monad) - Technical rebound provides a second shorting opportunity
Core shorting logic update:
Social FUD continues to ferment:
Arthur Hayes went bullish from November 25, saying "rise to 10 dollars" to November 27, "exit and let it go to zero," and on November 30 warned again, "hope everyone vesting," his attitude has been erratic, causing panic in the community. The community criticizes the tokenomics structure: 3% community allocation vs 25% team allocation, which is extremely unfair. Controversy over circulation rate: the market questions the actual circulation is close to 50% rather than the official claim of 10.8%. If true, it will reassess the FDV to below 1.5 billion dollars.
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Shorting the Overvalued Bubble New Coin Series - Today's Latest Reference Strategy Recommendation (Operate with Caution)
🔥 First choice: RLS (Rayls) - a newly listed RWA concept coin from December
The new coin has high volatility, and there is a possibility that some quality projects perform well after their launch, but this year, the vast majority of projects peaked right after their launch and then continued to decline. I am only providing the idea of shorting such projects; the specific timing for shorting should be determined by yourself.
Project overview and listing time: RLS was listed on Binance Alpha, Gate.io, Coinbase, and Bitget for spot trading on December 1, and on OKX, Bybit, Binance, and Aster for perpetual contracts on December 2, which was only 1-2 days ago, making it a perfect "super new coin" target.
The new coin has high volatility, and there is a possibility that some quality projects perform well after their launch, but this year, the vast majority of projects peaked right after their launch and then continued to decline. I am only providing the idea of shorting such projects; the specific timing for shorting should be determined by yourself.
Project overview and listing time: RLS was listed on Binance Alpha, Gate.io, Coinbase, and Bitget for spot trading on December 1, and on OKX, Bybit, Binance, and Aster for perpetual contracts on December 2, which was only 1-2 days ago, making it a perfect "super new coin" target.
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Today's Potential Token Reference Strategy: Long ADA
ADA (Cardano) - Cycle Rebound Setting (Score: 9.2/10)
Current Price: $0.434 (24H +12.09%, Strong Recovery, MC $15.9B)
Technical Indicator Core: 1H: RSI 58.2 (Strong) | MACD Histogram +0.0012 (Turning Positive) | Resistance at Upper Band 0.440 4H: RSI 55.1 (Neutral to Bullish) | Support at Middle Band 0.428 | 24H Rebound Rate 85% Daily: RSI 52.3 (Out of Oversold) | Uptrend Established
Derivatives Advantage: OI 1.2B (+3.5% Capital Inflow) | Funding Rate -0.015% (Shorts Pay) | Upper Liquidation for Shorts at 0.45 1.5M
Long Entry Conditions (4/5 Met, Probability 85%): • Price > 0.435 (Upper Band 1H) > 0.428 (Support) • RSI: 1H > 55 + 4H > 50 (Momentum Sustained) • MACD: 1H > 0.0015 + 4H Expansion • Volume > Average 30% + CMF > 0.05 (Buying Pressure)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 0.434-0.436 | Leverage: 4x | Stop Loss: 0.420 (-3.2%) | Target: 0.465 (+7.1%) | R/R: 2.22:1$ADA #加密市场回调
ADA (Cardano) - Cycle Rebound Setting (Score: 9.2/10)
Current Price: $0.434 (24H +12.09%, Strong Recovery, MC $15.9B)
Technical Indicator Core: 1H: RSI 58.2 (Strong) | MACD Histogram +0.0012 (Turning Positive) | Resistance at Upper Band 0.440 4H: RSI 55.1 (Neutral to Bullish) | Support at Middle Band 0.428 | 24H Rebound Rate 85% Daily: RSI 52.3 (Out of Oversold) | Uptrend Established
Derivatives Advantage: OI 1.2B (+3.5% Capital Inflow) | Funding Rate -0.015% (Shorts Pay) | Upper Liquidation for Shorts at 0.45 1.5M
Long Entry Conditions (4/5 Met, Probability 85%): • Price > 0.435 (Upper Band 1H) > 0.428 (Support) • RSI: 1H > 55 + 4H > 50 (Momentum Sustained) • MACD: 1H > 0.0015 + 4H Expansion • Volume > Average 30% + CMF > 0.05 (Buying Pressure)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 0.434-0.436 | Leverage: 4x | Stop Loss: 0.420 (-3.2%) | Target: 0.465 (+7.1%) | R/R: 2.22:1$ADA #加密市场回调
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Today's Potential Cryptocurrency Recommendation: Long LINK
LINK (Chainlink) - Oracle Repair Strategy (Rating: 8.7/10)
Current Price: $13.60 (24H +12.27%, Strong Infrastructure, MC $9.47B)
Technical Indicators Overview: 1H: RSI 62.1 (Strong) | MACD Histogram +0.008 (Expansion) | Midline Resistance at 13.65 4H: RSI 59.4 (Neutral to Bullish) | Upper Band 13.80 Daily: RSI 54.8 (Repair Complete) | Divergence Turns Positive
Derivatives Advantage: OI 580M (+2.8%) | Funding Rate -0.012% (Bullish Advantage) | Short Liquidation at 14.0: 1.2M
Bullish Entry Conditions (3/5 Met, 80% Probability): • Price > 13.65 (1H Midline) + > 13.50 (Support) • RSI: 1H > 60 + 4H > 55 (Momentum) • MACD: 1H > 0.01 + 4H Expansion • Volume > Average 25% + TVS Stable ($805B)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 13.60-13.65 | Leverage: 3x | Stop Loss: 13.30 (-2.2%) | Target: 14.30 (+5.1%) | R/R: 2.32:1$LINK #BinanceBlockchainWeek
LINK (Chainlink) - Oracle Repair Strategy (Rating: 8.7/10)
Current Price: $13.60 (24H +12.27%, Strong Infrastructure, MC $9.47B)
Technical Indicators Overview: 1H: RSI 62.1 (Strong) | MACD Histogram +0.008 (Expansion) | Midline Resistance at 13.65 4H: RSI 59.4 (Neutral to Bullish) | Upper Band 13.80 Daily: RSI 54.8 (Repair Complete) | Divergence Turns Positive
Derivatives Advantage: OI 580M (+2.8%) | Funding Rate -0.012% (Bullish Advantage) | Short Liquidation at 14.0: 1.2M
Bullish Entry Conditions (3/5 Met, 80% Probability): • Price > 13.65 (1H Midline) + > 13.50 (Support) • RSI: 1H > 60 + 4H > 55 (Momentum) • MACD: 1H > 0.01 + 4H Expansion • Volume > Average 25% + TVS Stable ($805B)
Trading Parameters: Entry: 13.60-13.65 | Leverage: 3x | Stop Loss: 13.30 (-2.2%) | Target: 14.30 (+5.1%) | R/R: 2.32:1$LINK #BinanceBlockchainWeek
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🚀 The latest 2 token strategies for long positions in SUI and CRO based on anti-drawdown, the analysis is limited to judgment strategies made from technical indicators and should not be considered real investment advice; technical indicators are useless under the impact of macro news and policy in cryptocurrency.
💡 Bear market risk management key points
Core defensive strategy: • Choose counter-trend/most anti-drawdown assets, avoid chasing highs and selling lows • Significantly reduce leverage: SUI 4x, CRO 3x (historical lessons) • Tighten stop-loss: set at -3.9% to -6.8% • Quick in and out: complete within 24 hours to avoid overnight risk
Market environment emergency: After extreme panic in the market (liquidation of $301.8M), technical rebounds often occur, choose strong counter-trend assets to participate in the recovery
Operational discipline upgrade: • Position: single coin <5% of total funds (strict control) • Confirmation: must wait for multiple technical + fundamental validations • Mindset: accept small profits, avoid heavy bets
Priority: SUI > CRO (strong counter-trend vs defensive stability)
⚠️ Continuous huge loss warning: The market is in a state of extreme panic, any leveraged operation carries a risk of going to zero. It is better to miss opportunities than to lose principal; wait for the market to stabilize before taking action. $SUI #加密市场回调
💡 Bear market risk management key points
Core defensive strategy: • Choose counter-trend/most anti-drawdown assets, avoid chasing highs and selling lows • Significantly reduce leverage: SUI 4x, CRO 3x (historical lessons) • Tighten stop-loss: set at -3.9% to -6.8% • Quick in and out: complete within 24 hours to avoid overnight risk
Market environment emergency: After extreme panic in the market (liquidation of $301.8M), technical rebounds often occur, choose strong counter-trend assets to participate in the recovery
Operational discipline upgrade: • Position: single coin <5% of total funds (strict control) • Confirmation: must wait for multiple technical + fundamental validations • Mindset: accept small profits, avoid heavy bets
Priority: SUI > CRO (strong counter-trend vs defensive stability)
⚠️ Continuous huge loss warning: The market is in a state of extreme panic, any leveraged operation carries a risk of going to zero. It is better to miss opportunities than to lose principal; wait for the market to stabilize before taking action. $SUI #加密市场回调
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The latest short-selling high valuation new project series --- PIEVERSE - AI/GameFi concept excessive speculation
Project Overview and Compliance Analysis:
Listing Date: November 14 Binance Alpha/Bybit/OKX SPOT/PERP, November 24 Bithumb/Gate.io Current Price: $0.3538, FDV $355 million (high), Circulation Rate 17.5% (175 million/1 billion supply), Low Circulation VC Control: $10 million financing, led by Animoca Brands/UOB Ventures/CMS Holdings, 15% investors + 20% team (35% control), 12 months cliff until November 2026, releasing 350 million tokens ($35 million) Weak Fundamentals: BNB Chain TimeFi platform (AI-driven Web3 event calendar/on-chain challenges), early stage with no TVL data, zero ecosystem development, no DeFi integration/user growth. GameFi/AI competition is fierce, vs mature projects like Axie Market Impact: Bear market severely hit AI/GameFi, PIEVERSE -15% in 24 hours, -34% in 7 days, VC unlock + market panic dual bearish signal
Technical Downward Confirmation Signal (December 2 00:33 UTC):
Multi-Time Frame: 1-hour RSI 55 (neutral), 4-hour RSI 44 (slightly bearish), Daily RSI 63 (overbought edge), bearish divergence. MACD negative value (4 hours -25), Bollinger Bands lower bound testing $0.321 Perpetual Data: OI $18.9 million (+5.2% 24 hours new shorts entered), funding rate negative (-0.016% Binance short fee), favorable for continued shorting Exchange Flow: $1.87 million whale outflow in 7 days, suspected signs of transfer to CEX, liquidation risk long-dominated ($216,000 long liquidation vs $138,000 short) Support/Resistance: Support $0.321 (4-hour lower bound), Resistance $0.347 (1-hour upper bound). Market downtrend amplifies liquidation chain
Social Sentiment: Twitter neutral to slightly bearish, discussions about VC fundraising/useless cases, KOLs not strongly bullish (@stacy_muur neutral), FUD surrounds unlock/speculation, fear index 24, engagement low
Short Selling Suggestions:
Entry: $0.354 (current, 4-hour rebound to middle band) Target: $0.321 (first, 9% drop, partial liquidation), $0.300 (second, 15% drop) Stop Loss: $0.370 (5% rise) Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1, Win Rate 70%. Holding period 1-3 weeks, position account 1.5%, bear market neutral position $PIEVERSE #加密市场回调
Project Overview and Compliance Analysis:
Listing Date: November 14 Binance Alpha/Bybit/OKX SPOT/PERP, November 24 Bithumb/Gate.io Current Price: $0.3538, FDV $355 million (high), Circulation Rate 17.5% (175 million/1 billion supply), Low Circulation VC Control: $10 million financing, led by Animoca Brands/UOB Ventures/CMS Holdings, 15% investors + 20% team (35% control), 12 months cliff until November 2026, releasing 350 million tokens ($35 million) Weak Fundamentals: BNB Chain TimeFi platform (AI-driven Web3 event calendar/on-chain challenges), early stage with no TVL data, zero ecosystem development, no DeFi integration/user growth. GameFi/AI competition is fierce, vs mature projects like Axie Market Impact: Bear market severely hit AI/GameFi, PIEVERSE -15% in 24 hours, -34% in 7 days, VC unlock + market panic dual bearish signal
Technical Downward Confirmation Signal (December 2 00:33 UTC):
Multi-Time Frame: 1-hour RSI 55 (neutral), 4-hour RSI 44 (slightly bearish), Daily RSI 63 (overbought edge), bearish divergence. MACD negative value (4 hours -25), Bollinger Bands lower bound testing $0.321 Perpetual Data: OI $18.9 million (+5.2% 24 hours new shorts entered), funding rate negative (-0.016% Binance short fee), favorable for continued shorting Exchange Flow: $1.87 million whale outflow in 7 days, suspected signs of transfer to CEX, liquidation risk long-dominated ($216,000 long liquidation vs $138,000 short) Support/Resistance: Support $0.321 (4-hour lower bound), Resistance $0.347 (1-hour upper bound). Market downtrend amplifies liquidation chain
Social Sentiment: Twitter neutral to slightly bearish, discussions about VC fundraising/useless cases, KOLs not strongly bullish (@stacy_muur neutral), FUD surrounds unlock/speculation, fear index 24, engagement low
Short Selling Suggestions:
Entry: $0.354 (current, 4-hour rebound to middle band) Target: $0.321 (first, 9% drop, partial liquidation), $0.300 (second, 15% drop) Stop Loss: $0.370 (5% rise) Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1, Win Rate 70%. Holding period 1-3 weeks, position account 1.5%, bear market neutral position $PIEVERSE #加密市场回调
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Short Selling High Valuation New Project Series----MON
Project Overview Analysis:
Listing Date: November 24th on the mainnet, multiple exchanges SPOT/PERP (Bybit/Bitget/Binance/OKX/Coinbase/Hyperliquid) Current Price: $0.0289, FDV $2.93 billion (extremely high), Circulation Rate 10.8% (10.8 billion/100 billion supply), low circulation creates scarcity VC control: $432 million financing, Paradigm led with $225 million (OKX Ventures/Dragonfly), team 27% + 19.7% locked until 2029, no 6-month unlock, but Q4 2026 cliff period releases 46.7% of supply (value $1.37 billion) Weak fundamentals: EVM L1 (10,000 TPS parallel execution), TVL $153 million vs FDV ratio 0.005 (far lower than Solana's 0.1+), transaction fees are 0, no users in early stage, DEX trading volume 0. Arthur Hayes warns "99% crash", community FUD high, Twitter discussions focus on manipulation/VC exit market impact: bear market amplifies risks for new L1 coins, MON -7% in 24 hours, -28% in 7 days, no TVL buffer to resist BTC/ETH downturn
Technical Downward Confirmation Signal (December 2nd 00:33 UTC):
Multi-Timeframe: 1-hour RSI 47 (neutral bearish), 4-hour RSI 37 (close to oversold), daily RSI 33 (oversold), bearish continuation. MACD all negative (1 hour -672, 4 hours -1113), testing lower Bollinger Band (1 hour lower band $0.027) Perpetual Data: OI $162 million (-12.94% 24-hour speculative withdrawal), funding rate positive (longs pay shorts, +0.005% Binance), favorable for short selling exchange traffic: 7-day whale outflow, whale withdrew 73 million MON to OTC (suspected distribution), liquidation risk downward tendency ($0.0319 long liquidation $1.98 million vs upper shorts $4.36 million) Support/Resistance: Support $0.027 (4-hour lower band), Resistance $0.032 (daily middle band). Market decline reinforces breakout probability
Social Sentiment: Twitter FUD dominates, Hayes bearish, KOL calls it "VC scam", discussions on unlocking/manipulation (@Cbb0fe/@KookCapitalLLC), no FOMO, low engagement, panic index 24
Short Selling Advice:
Entry: $0.029 (near current level, 1-hour rebound confirmation) Target: $0.026 (first, 10% drop, partial liquidation), $0.024 (second, 17% drop) Stop Loss: $0.032 (10% increase) Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.4:1, Win Rate 75%. Holding period 1-2 weeks, position account 2%, market bear additional increase $MON #加密市场回调
Project Overview Analysis:
Listing Date: November 24th on the mainnet, multiple exchanges SPOT/PERP (Bybit/Bitget/Binance/OKX/Coinbase/Hyperliquid) Current Price: $0.0289, FDV $2.93 billion (extremely high), Circulation Rate 10.8% (10.8 billion/100 billion supply), low circulation creates scarcity VC control: $432 million financing, Paradigm led with $225 million (OKX Ventures/Dragonfly), team 27% + 19.7% locked until 2029, no 6-month unlock, but Q4 2026 cliff period releases 46.7% of supply (value $1.37 billion) Weak fundamentals: EVM L1 (10,000 TPS parallel execution), TVL $153 million vs FDV ratio 0.005 (far lower than Solana's 0.1+), transaction fees are 0, no users in early stage, DEX trading volume 0. Arthur Hayes warns "99% crash", community FUD high, Twitter discussions focus on manipulation/VC exit market impact: bear market amplifies risks for new L1 coins, MON -7% in 24 hours, -28% in 7 days, no TVL buffer to resist BTC/ETH downturn
Technical Downward Confirmation Signal (December 2nd 00:33 UTC):
Multi-Timeframe: 1-hour RSI 47 (neutral bearish), 4-hour RSI 37 (close to oversold), daily RSI 33 (oversold), bearish continuation. MACD all negative (1 hour -672, 4 hours -1113), testing lower Bollinger Band (1 hour lower band $0.027) Perpetual Data: OI $162 million (-12.94% 24-hour speculative withdrawal), funding rate positive (longs pay shorts, +0.005% Binance), favorable for short selling exchange traffic: 7-day whale outflow, whale withdrew 73 million MON to OTC (suspected distribution), liquidation risk downward tendency ($0.0319 long liquidation $1.98 million vs upper shorts $4.36 million) Support/Resistance: Support $0.027 (4-hour lower band), Resistance $0.032 (daily middle band). Market decline reinforces breakout probability
Social Sentiment: Twitter FUD dominates, Hayes bearish, KOL calls it "VC scam", discussions on unlocking/manipulation (@Cbb0fe/@KookCapitalLLC), no FOMO, low engagement, panic index 24
Short Selling Advice:
Entry: $0.029 (near current level, 1-hour rebound confirmation) Target: $0.026 (first, 10% drop, partial liquidation), $0.024 (second, 17% drop) Stop Loss: $0.032 (10% increase) Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.4:1, Win Rate 75%. Holding period 1-2 weeks, position account 2%, market bear additional increase $MON #加密市场回调
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ZEC In-Depth Analysis: Is the Project Team Really Dumping?
Core Views
Key Findings: There is no evidence that the project team is dumping, and the price decline is mainly driven by technical corrections and market sentiment. ZEC's fundamentals remain healthy, currently in a severely oversold state, with rebound opportunities but caution is advised in timing.
Fundamental Analysis
Token Economics Status
Supply Model: Fixed cap of 21 million, mimicking Bitcoin's scarcity model. Current supply: circulating supply of 16.42 million (about 78%), daily production of about 1,575. Halving impact: second halving to be completed on November 23, 2024, block reward will decrease to 1.5625 ZEC
Unlocking and Allocation Mechanism
Key Findings: There is no evidence that the project team is dumping, and the price decline is mainly driven by technical corrections and market sentiment. ZEC's fundamentals remain healthy, currently in a severely oversold state, with rebound opportunities but caution is advised in timing.
Fundamental Analysis
Token Economics Status
Supply Model: Fixed cap of 21 million, mimicking Bitcoin's scarcity model. Current supply: circulating supply of 16.42 million (about 78%), daily production of about 1,575. Halving impact: second halving to be completed on November 23, 2024, block reward will decrease to 1.5625 ZEC
Unlocking and Allocation Mechanism
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Risk Management Key Points
Core Anti-Drop Strategy:
• Choose relatively strong + deeply oversold coins, avoid chasing highs and selling lows
• Control leverage multiples
• Strict stop-loss: set at -3.3% to -4.3%
• Quick entry and exit: complete transactions within 24-48 hours
Market Environment Response: After a sharp market drop, there is often a technical rebound; choose targets with strong anti-drop characteristics to participate in the recovery trend.
Operational Discipline: • Position: single coin < 10% of total funds • Confirmation: wait for multiple verification of technical indicators • Execution: mechanized stop-loss, do not adjust based on emotions
⚠️ Important Reminder: In a significant drop environment, reducing leverage is the top priority; better to miss out than to over-invest. Although the technical aspect supports a rebound, risk must be strictly controlled. The market has opportunities every day, but principal may not be available every day.
Follow me for daily potential coin recommendations and in-depth market analysis. $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT
Core Anti-Drop Strategy:
• Choose relatively strong + deeply oversold coins, avoid chasing highs and selling lows
• Control leverage multiples
• Strict stop-loss: set at -3.3% to -4.3%
• Quick entry and exit: complete transactions within 24-48 hours
Market Environment Response: After a sharp market drop, there is often a technical rebound; choose targets with strong anti-drop characteristics to participate in the recovery trend.
Operational Discipline: • Position: single coin < 10% of total funds • Confirmation: wait for multiple verification of technical indicators • Execution: mechanized stop-loss, do not adjust based on emotions
⚠️ Important Reminder: In a significant drop environment, reducing leverage is the top priority; better to miss out than to over-invest. Although the technical aspect supports a rebound, risk must be strictly controlled. The market has opportunities every day, but principal may not be available every day.
Follow me for daily potential coin recommendations and in-depth market analysis. $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT
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