KUPO CRYPTO

🫡Why did the Fed's first interest rate cut cause the market to collapse??? (The first time, mind you).
🤓🤓🤓 Let me give you a few examples of the sharp market drops in the U.S. S&P 500 index.
- In 2001 (Dotcom bubble) after the Fed's first rate cut, it took 3 years for the S&P 500 index to return to its previous peak before the rate cut.
- In 2008 (Financial crisis) after the Fed's first rate cut, it also took 3 years for the S&P 500 index to regain the 2007 level.
- In 2020 when the Fed cut rates, the market also saw continuous sell-offs, and it took over a year to recover.
🥰🥰🥰 So what are the reasons that the Fed's first rate cut caused such a significant market collapse?
🧐There are 4 main reasons:
1️⃣. The Fed cutting rates is a signal of a weak and struggling economy, making investors concerned about withdrawing capital, especially in volatile markets like crypto.
2️⃣. The market had grown strongly during the rate hike period; when rates are cut, it seems the market has peaked and needs correction.
3️⃣. The margin borrowing rate was pushed up high in anticipation of the Fed's rate cut.
4️⃣. Time is needed for the Fed's policies to take effect.
🚫🚫🚫So whatever you do, don't fomo when the market is rising on the day the rate cut is announced (the market won't rise gradually, it will rise slowly, slowly, making you regret not getting in). There are many stocks that will run to that deadline.
🥰 Finally: this is a personal opinion, not investment advice. No one is going to compile these hidden truths for you. No one works and gets insulted for being stupid and still continues. All for the Vietnamese community that is not easily led astray 😍
#MarketPullback #BTC #ETH #Fed #FOMO

🤔Many people ask me how to play in this market. This is my way of playing, I don't encourage others to follow. Just read for reference.
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✅️Ad's Long position is still open since BTC 109 and hasn't cut any orders, there have been times when DCA has dropped significantly. If BTC breaks 104, I will cut the order and think it will be a downtrend.
✅️I will FOMO before September 17th. I will cut all orders before the interest rate announcement. For the following 2 reasons:
1️⃣Reducing interest rates when the US economy is weak will only lead to a short increase in FOMO trading and then a significant drop.
2️⃣If interest rates are not reduced, there will also be short selling.
----> In general, whether there is a reduction in interest rates or they remain the same, you will still face losses. The only difference is that reducing interest rates leads to a long-term downtrend, while keeping rates the same leads to a short-term downtrend..
🤫🤫🤫 Important note: this is my way of trading. Each person has their own thoughts, ideas, and different ways of playing 😃 #BTC #ETH

Hope you all have a great weekend. Saturday, Sunday — please don’t forget to check the views if you can. Cheers ae #BTC #ETH

Stop messing with these young people. I posted first and clearly stated the timeline like this, but the young ones are still being stubborn. If I don't block them, I'd be too guilty on my conscience—#BTC #ETH

If only it would come on here to........ to do what #BTC #ETH

Just do it exactly the same, so the meat is guaranteed for Mr. Bê, ak #BTC

If people say I talk big, I accept it. No arguing, no explanations, no presentation.

Recently there’s a guy posting losses, and the money he lost could amount to a few billion. I hope everyone takes that as a lesson and recognizes that the future is gambling. Gambling will always have winners and losers, but the future is even worse—when you subtract all costs, the total for both sides turns into a negative number. What you need to do is ride the wave: aim to profit a bit or at least reduce losses; don’t go against the trend, and also get rid of junk coins. When the market is up, only watch for small pullback timeframes to enter a trade—don’t short. And ads have reminded you many times: don’t short when the market hasn’t rejected yet and hasn’t retested. Wishing everyone gets back to shore soon after these painful days #BTC #ETH

Once again, just numbers and predictions when the FOMC. #BTC #ETH

Just like usual on the weekend, ad doesn't have a view, folks. Congratulations to everyone who stayed steadfast following ad's prediction. For any coin that hasn't flown yet, according to ad just go to the pagoda to read scriptures and make a wish—no other way left already 😁😁😁

Everything is only numbers #BTC #ETH

To be honest, I’m not better than you guys. However, there are 3 things I always keep in mind when stepping into this gambling arena every day.
1. Don’t try to go against the market.
2. Never guess the bottom or top without a clear sign of rejection of the top/bottom, and after a retest.
3. Learn how to cut losses; accept the pain when you end up going against the tide.
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✅️ Seeing you guys burn like #zec m, I don’t know what to say. You burn even borrowed money, money for daily life transactions. Play can be win or loss, but don’t be stubborn—and accept the pain before you lose everything. Because the admin also used to be like that 🥰

✅️ Note that there is also another very important piece of news, happening this morning but with no specific time yet. #BTC
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is meeting for 2 days, through September 18, to decide on monetary policy. The focus this time is the possibility of continuing to raise interest rates.
If the BOJ truly raises interest rates, Japan will have two rate hikes within just 3 months. This is the fastest pace of adjustment since the period of the economic bubble.
The most recent time the BOJ raised interest rates in such a short span was in 1990.

So green and dizzy like that, why are you running so slowly, grandpa? Cut it, grandpa, now 😁😁😁#BTC #ETH

The FOMC meeting is over. The Fed has raised the base rate by 0.25d, and the Fed expects one more rate hike this year. Ad also predicts a rate increase by the end of October. Now there are only 3–4 weeks left for the price to clear the two levels at 83.7 and 93 before a heavy drop. #BTC . This is Ad’s private prediction, not investment advice, guys. Tonight there is one more piece of news. Hopefully the market absorbs all this news and then takes off.
#ETH #zec

Note everyone before the FOMC early morning tomorrow 17/9. If you are grinding long/short, you should only trade #BTC , not the alt. Any trade that is currently in profit should either close it or move the stop loss up; if you are currently in a loss, remember to handle the stop loss carefully. In short, don’t trade alt for the rest of this week.

Arrived at the stock-in area 😁😁😁 #BTC #ETH

Another ad again here, sit tight for a week full of turbulence. In the early hours of 17/9, the Fed will announce its interest rate. This time, the chance of a rate hike is real, folks. However, it’s not that a rate hike means the party is over immediately.
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✅️ With 5 years of experience running Grap ads, the key is how big the new rate increase is:
- If it’s a +0.25d hike, then uncle is up; after about a month, the effects gradually sink in—if the economy is still healthy, then uncle may increase again.
- If it’s a +0.5d hike or more, then the chance that uncle drops for good is very high.
- If it stays unchanged, then uncle goes flying away instantly.
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- This is just Ad’s personal opinion. With 5 years of experience running Grap, I don’t encourage you to follow it. Play however you want, but make sure you’ve got a specific Ls—don’t borrow or take loans, folks #BTC #ETH

Many people call to short #zec . However, you still haven't understood the timing—when to short and when to let go.
- To short, at least on the 1H timeframe you must create an OB (order block) reduction at the top. Then there should be a strong FVG. After that, go down to the 15m timeframe to see if the price retests the FVG—if it breaks down, then short at the FVG; it's about 95% at the top.
- In this betting ring: you shouldn't try to catch a falling knife, and you shouldn't short if you don't clearly know it. If not, it's not going to be easy to get calm #BTC #ETH

If you follow Ads, then you’ll know the ad is waiting at the 82.8 zone. Then from 81–82, you can lock in the full TP. Let the chart run—long or short from the 77 zone is already warm enough. That 82.8 area is very choppy; at least it needs to test enough times—2 times—to know whether it will break or drop its signal. So don’t worry. Lock it and go to sleep for peace of mind. As for the ad, it hopes it holds around 80 and stays put, so the little flock can head back to shore #BTC #ETH