Key financial data and events to focus on today: August 28, 2025, Thursday ① 00:45 Federal Reserve's Barkin speaks ② 04:00 Nvidia releases Q2 earnings ③ 15:00 The Ministry of Commerce holds a press conference ④ 17:00 Eurozone August Industrial Sentiment Index ⑤ 17:00 Eurozone August Economic Sentiment Index ⑥ 19:30 European Central Bank publishes July monetary policy meeting minutes ⑦ 20:30 Canada Q2 Current Account ⑧ 20:30 Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending August 23 ⑨ 20:30 U.S. Q2 Real GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter revision 10 22:00 U.S. July Existing Home Sales Index month-on-month 1 22:30 U.S. EIA Natural Gas Inventory for the week ending August 22 1 Next day 06:00 Federal Reserve Governor Waller speaks on monetary policy#BTC
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Bitcoin (BTC) Market Daily Report on February 24, 2025
Core Data Current price: $95,534 (down 1% in 24 hours), fluctuation range of $95,270-96,594, failed to stand firm at the $100,000 mark. Support/Resistance: Support: 94,000-94,500 (chip zone), 95,000 (psychological position) Resistance: 97,000 (short-term selling pressure), 98,892 (technical position), 100,000 (strong resistance)
Technical Analysis Indicator Signal: MACD (4 hours): Bullish momentum weakens, histogram turns from positive to negative, trend to be confirmed. KDJ: Neutral range oscillation (33-41), no clear direction signal. Form: Multiple V-shaped reversals + head and shoulders bottom, $90,000 support is valid. Long and short focus: Long: Breaking through $98,892 may hit $100,000, and the tightening supply on the ETH chain boosts confidence. Short: ETF net outflow of 510 BTC, liquidity risk suppresses rebound.
Market sentiment and funds Sentiment: The greed index rebounded to neutral and bullish, but there was a clear divergence between institutional reduction and retail investors chasing up. Fund movement: BTC liquidation: 24-hour liquidation of $25.08 million, with short orders accounting for 62%. ETH movement: Exchange inventory hit an 8-year low (11% of circulation), long-term bullish. Altcoin: ETH fell 2%, SOL/XRP followed the decline of 1-5%, and funds turned to LTC and other compliant expected targets.
Short-term trend forecast Bullish (35%): Stabilize $98,892 and break through with large volume, with a target of $100,000. Oscillation (50%): 94,000-97,000 range consolidation, waiting for direction signals. Pullback (15%): Fall below the support of 94,000 USD and test 92,000 USD.
Operation strategy Aggressive: Long order: 94,500-95,000 light position to try long, stop loss 94,000, target 97,000. Short order: Rebound short near 97,000, stop loss 98,000, target 95,000. Steady: Increase position after the range breaks through, and allocate 5%-10% position in LTC/BTSE to hedge risk.
⚠️ Risk warning Policy: SEC has doubts about the approval of SOL/XRP ETF, and LTC has a higher probability of passing. Technology: A breakthrough of $100,000 without volume may trigger a flash crash. Position: Single currency ≤10% position, leverage must set a hard stop loss.
Yesterday afternoon, I analyzed the situation of Erbing for my brothers in the live broadcast room, and I gave everyone a very clear analysis The market of Erbing near the pressure level of 2500 is rushing back to the support level near 2450, and it is also accurately stepping back and pulling up the rebound. Yesterday, the long orders near 2450 made money again. The overall running trajectory of Erbing is within the box that we analyzed for my brothers in the live broadcast room yesterday.
Current market
Short-term support level 2436-2460 range Short-term pressure level 2590-2618 range
Short-term trend: The overall box state of 2460~2600 points is maintained, and the probability of short-term retracement to 2460 and secondary pull-up is relatively high.
The overall volatility of the big cake is not big, and we continue to make orders according to our points yesterday.
Current focus The short-term Yali node has dropped to 66,200-66800
The support node is still around 64,000 points~64,600.
Short-term and limited support level 62380-63000 (lower track support of the descending channel)
Short-term trend: There is a high probability that it will rebound around 64,300 for the second time. Break situation: If the market falls below 64,000, it will rebound to 62,800 [bow]
The two-cake market had two consecutive impacts yesterday. We arranged the Yali position for the brothers in the live broadcast room and in the blog post. The 3580~3620 range oscillated and pulled back, and the dog village was played twice in a row.
The current overall pattern has a weak-to-strong market and attacked the 3600 port again. The current focus is on the high point of June 17, which is around the Yali position of 3635-3675
The short-term support level focuses on 3410~3450 (slowly moving up)
Short-term trend: There is a high probability of a high of 3650 and a waterfall.
I said it in front of 20,000 to 30,000 brothers in the live broadcast room yesterday. Dabingzi is still very weak and has no rebound. It will continue to fall back to the support level below 67,000.
The market really fell back to around 66,300 last night and is currently fluctuating at 66,800.
Overall, it is still hovering in our short-term support range of 66200-66800. Pay attention to the extreme support around 65,000 points, which is the short-term extreme position of Dabingzi
The second cake rebounded weakly in the short term yesterday at our short-term support level, which is between 3450 and 3480. It is still fluctuating at this position. This position is the half-year line support level at the daily level. At present, this position has been stepped back three times in a row and there is a possibility of breaking!
Therefore, you can arrange the short-term extreme line support between 3350 and 3380, and wait for the big positive line to rise!
Yesterday, the big pancake hit 69,800. After all, the 70,000 integer mark, the air force began to exert force again, wiping out all the gains and bottoming out near 67,000. The overall fluctuation of the market is very intense. However, the overall pressure and support changes are not very large.
Continue to pay attention to 66,380~67,000 short-term support 68,800~69,300 short-term Yali Short-term trend: It will probably fall back to around 67,000 for the second time to shock above 68,000.
The price of the second cake hit our Yali range of 3650 yesterday and then the waterfall exceeded 150 ingots. This has been publicly emphasized in front of 30,000 brothers in the live broadcast room. Congratulations to the brothers.
The current second cake has fallen below the 3500 mark again, and the overall situation is still relatively weak!
Pay attention to the short-term support of 3430-3465 The short-term market is likely to rebound from this position for the second time
After hitting 66,000 overnight, the big expression rebounded and is currently fluctuating around 67,300. The market hit the daily level half-year line support level yesterday, which is around 66,500 and rebounded weakly!
The current rebound strength is not very strong, so the shorts may counterattack. Therefore, the subsequent market will probably hit this position twice, which is between 66,000 and 66,500 and fluctuate and rebound.