Analyst Warning: Bitcoin Bull Market May Peak in 50 Days, October is a Key Window
As the cryptocurrency market continues to fluctuate, analysts generally believe that the BTC bull market cycle may be entering its final stage, with a final sprint expected in the next two months.
Cryptocurrency analyst "CRYPTO₿IRB" stated this morning that the Bitcoin bull market may end within the next 50 days, with a peak expected around the end of October. This prediction is based on the analysis of previous bull market peaks and the number of days following Bitcoin halving.
Analysis suggests that 1,017 days have passed since the low point in November 2022. Historically, the time interval between bull market peaks and their cycle lows usually falls between 1,060 and 1,100 days. Therefore, "CRYPTO₿IRB" believes that the Bitcoin bull market may peak between late October and mid-November 2025.
This view is supported by Benjamin Cowen, founder of ITC Crypto, who pointed out that Bitcoin typically reaches a low in September after halving, then rebounds to the market cycle peak in the fourth quarter.
However, some analysts hold a different view. They believe that this market cycle is different from previous ones because it is driven by institutional adoption (such as ETFs and corporate bonds) rather than retail investors' fear of missing out (FOMO), and the U.S. government also supports cryptocurrencies. Additionally, if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in the next two weeks, liquidity will improve as borrowing costs become lower.
It is worth noting that Bitcoin's recent price has been fluctuating between $107,500 and $112,500, and may continue to consolidate in the short term. However, analysts also warn that if BTC continues to follow the historical correction pattern of September, Bitcoin's price may drop below the $100,000 mark again.
Overall, although cycle models indicate a clear market turning point, new variables such as institutional participation and policy support add uncertainty to this bull market. Investors need to find a balance between historical patterns and emerging fundamentals to prepare for potential market turning points.
