周期预测
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Analyst Warning: Bitcoin Bull Market May Peak in 50 Days, October is a Key Window
With the ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency market, analysts generally believe and anticipate that the Bitcoin bull market may be entering its final stage, with a final sprint expected in the next two months.
Cryptocurrency analyst "CRYPTO₿IRB" stated this morning that the Bitcoin bull market may end within the next 50 days, predicting it will peak around the end of October. This prediction is based on an analysis of previous bull market peaks and the number of days after Bitcoin halving.
It is believed that 1,017 days have passed since the low point in November 2022. Historically, the interval between the peak of a bull market and its cycle low point is usually between 1,060 and 1,100 days. Therefore, "CRYPTO₿IRB" believes that the Bitcoin bull market may peak between late October and mid-November 2025.
This view has been confirmed by Benjamin Cowen, founder of ITC Crypto, who pointed out that Bitcoin typically reaches a low in September after halving, then rebounds to the cycle peak in the fourth quarter.
However, some analysts hold a different view. They believe that this market cycle is different from previous ones because it is driven by the adoption of institutional investors (such as ETFs and corporate bonds), rather than retail investors' fear of missing out (FOMO), and the U.S. government also supports cryptocurrencies. Additionally, if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in two weeks, liquidity will improve as borrowing costs will become lower.
It is noteworthy that Bitcoin's recent price has been fluctuating in the range of $107,500 to $112,500, and may continue to consolidate in the short term. However, analysts also remind that if BTC continues the historical correction pattern of September, the Bitcoin price may once again fall below the $100,000 mark.
Overall, although the cycle model points to a clear market turning point, new variables such as institutional participation and policy support add uncertainty to this bull market. Investors need to find a balance between historical patterns and emerging fundamentals to prepare for potential market turning points.
#比特币牛市 #周期预测
With the ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency market, analysts generally believe and anticipate that the Bitcoin bull market may be entering its final stage, with a final sprint expected in the next two months.
Cryptocurrency analyst "CRYPTO₿IRB" stated this morning that the Bitcoin bull market may end within the next 50 days, predicting it will peak around the end of October. This prediction is based on an analysis of previous bull market peaks and the number of days after Bitcoin halving.
It is believed that 1,017 days have passed since the low point in November 2022. Historically, the interval between the peak of a bull market and its cycle low point is usually between 1,060 and 1,100 days. Therefore, "CRYPTO₿IRB" believes that the Bitcoin bull market may peak between late October and mid-November 2025.
This view has been confirmed by Benjamin Cowen, founder of ITC Crypto, who pointed out that Bitcoin typically reaches a low in September after halving, then rebounds to the cycle peak in the fourth quarter.
However, some analysts hold a different view. They believe that this market cycle is different from previous ones because it is driven by the adoption of institutional investors (such as ETFs and corporate bonds), rather than retail investors' fear of missing out (FOMO), and the U.S. government also supports cryptocurrencies. Additionally, if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in two weeks, liquidity will improve as borrowing costs will become lower.
It is noteworthy that Bitcoin's recent price has been fluctuating in the range of $107,500 to $112,500, and may continue to consolidate in the short term. However, analysts also remind that if BTC continues the historical correction pattern of September, the Bitcoin price may once again fall below the $100,000 mark.
Overall, although the cycle model points to a clear market turning point, new variables such as institutional participation and policy support add uncertainty to this bull market. Investors need to find a balance between historical patterns and emerging fundamentals to prepare for potential market turning points.
#比特币牛市 #周期预测
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